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海上风电出力特性及其消纳问题探讨 被引量:76
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作者 徐乾耀 康重庆 +2 位作者 张宁 樊扬 朱浩骏 《电力系统自动化》 EI CSCD 北大核心 2011年第22期54-59,共6页
中国海上风电将迎来快速发展,研究其出力特性对海上风电消纳具有重要意义。文中利用实际数据分析与运行模拟相结合的方式,将海上风电的出力特性与陆上风电进行了对比研究。为了对比风电场出力的分布特性,提出了风电场出力分布特征指数... 中国海上风电将迎来快速发展,研究其出力特性对海上风电消纳具有重要意义。文中利用实际数据分析与运行模拟相结合的方式,将海上风电的出力特性与陆上风电进行了对比研究。为了对比风电场出力的分布特性,提出了风电场出力分布特征指数的新指标。根据历史出力分析了近岸风电场的随机特性与波动特性;结合测风数据与中长期规划,利用风电场运行模拟技术分析了海上风电场出力的统计特性。分析表明,与陆上风电相比,海上风电具有出力水平较高、小时级出力波动小、冬季比夏季出力高、夜晚比白天出力高以及具有更高的容量因子等特性,其出力分布特征指数明显高于陆上风电场。最后,阐述了海上风电消纳不同于陆上风电消纳的特点,为合理消纳海上风电提供参考。 展开更多
关键词 海上风电 运行模拟 随机特性 风电出力 分布特征指数 风电消纳
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大跨度斜拉桥三维脉动风场模拟 被引量:60
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作者 李永乐 周述华 强士中 《土木工程学报》 EI CSCD 北大核心 2003年第10期60-65,共6页
针对大跨度斜拉桥结构形式及振动型态的特点,结合自然风的相关特性,提出了一种简化的三维脉动风速场模拟方法,将实际面状的三维脉动风速场简化为多个线状的一维脉动风速场。基于谱解法,采用互谱密度矩阵Cholesky分解的显式表达,并运用FF... 针对大跨度斜拉桥结构形式及振动型态的特点,结合自然风的相关特性,提出了一种简化的三维脉动风速场模拟方法,将实际面状的三维脉动风速场简化为多个线状的一维脉动风速场。基于谱解法,采用互谱密度矩阵Cholesky分解的显式表达,并运用FFT技术,以京沪高速南京长江大桥为工程实例,进行了三维脉动风场的模拟,并对模拟样本进行检验,结果表明模拟值与目标值吻合良好。 展开更多
关键词 随机过程 数值模拟 谱解法 斜拉桥 三维脉动风场
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水舌入水喷溅的随机数学模型 被引量:17
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作者 柳海涛 刘之平 孙双科 《水利水电科技进展》 CSCD 北大核心 2009年第6期1-4,共4页
对水舌入水喷溅的随机计算理论进行研究与改进,开发了随机数学模型。该模型对溅水区进行时空离散,可反映水舌入水形态与喷溅过程对溅水分布的影响。同时,通过引入人工神经网络模块,实时判别水滴的当地风速与飞行终止条件,使其具备模拟... 对水舌入水喷溅的随机计算理论进行研究与改进,开发了随机数学模型。该模型对溅水区进行时空离散,可反映水舌入水形态与喷溅过程对溅水分布的影响。同时,通过引入人工神经网络模块,实时判别水滴的当地风速与飞行终止条件,使其具备模拟复杂地形与风场下溅水分布的能力。通过室内溅水试验对数学模型进行验证,结果表明该模型的模拟计算结果与试验结果较吻合。 展开更多
关键词 泄洪雾化 水舌入水形态 喷溅 随机模型 降雨强度分布 河谷地形 风场
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随机风速下高速列车的运行安全可靠性 被引量:16
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作者 于梦阁 张继业 张卫华 《力学学报》 EI CSCD 北大核心 2013年第4期483-492,共10页
基于可靠性理论提出了随机风速作用下高速列车风致安全分析的新方法,这种方法可以对随机风速作用下高速列车的运行安全可靠性进行有效评估.首先基于Cooper理论和谐波叠加法计算随车移动点的脉动风速,建立随机风速作用下高速列车非定常... 基于可靠性理论提出了随机风速作用下高速列车风致安全分析的新方法,这种方法可以对随机风速作用下高速列车的运行安全可靠性进行有效评估.首先基于Cooper理论和谐波叠加法计算随车移动点的脉动风速,建立随机风速作用下高速列车非定常气动载荷的计算方法,并通过数值仿真得到气动载荷系数的标准差随侧偏角的变化规律.然后建立高速列车车辆系统动力学模型,并对计算模型的正确性进行验证.最后以随机风速、侧力系数、升力系数、侧滚力矩系数、摇头力矩系数和点头力矩系数为基本随机变量,研究随机风速作用下高速列车的运行安全可靠性和可靠性灵敏度,给出随机风速作用下高速列车的概率特征风速曲线.研究结果表明:随着车速和风速的增大,系统的失效概率增大;通过可靠性灵敏度分析发现侧力系数和侧滚力矩系数对高速列车的运行安全影响最大,应该特别注意这两个参数的变化对高速列车运行安全性的影响;传统确定性方法得到的高速列车的安全域曲线偏于保守,基于可靠性的方法可得到更合理的安全域曲线. 展开更多
关键词 随机风速 可靠性 失效概率 灵敏度 概率特征风速曲线
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Fault diagnosis of wind turbine bearing based on stochastic subspace identification and multi-kernel support vector machine 被引量:15
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作者 Hongshan ZHAO Yufeng GAO +1 位作者 Huihai LIU Lang LI 《Journal of Modern Power Systems and Clean Energy》 SCIE EI CSCD 2019年第2期350-356,共7页
In order to accurately identify a bearing fault on a wind turbine, a novel fault diagnosis method based on stochastic subspace identification(SSI) and multi-kernel support vector machine(MSVM) is proposed. Firstly, th... In order to accurately identify a bearing fault on a wind turbine, a novel fault diagnosis method based on stochastic subspace identification(SSI) and multi-kernel support vector machine(MSVM) is proposed. Firstly, the collected vibration signal of the wind turbine bearing is processed by the SSI method to extract fault feature vectors. Then, the MSVM is constructed based on Gauss kernel support vector machine(SVM) and polynomial kernel SVM. Finally, fault feature vectors which indicate the condition of the wind turbine bearing are inputted to the MSVM for fault pattern recognition. The results indicate that the SSI-MSVM method is effective in fault diagnosis for a wind turbine bearing and can successfully identify fault types of bearing and achieve higher diagnostic accuracy than that of K-means clustering, fuzzy means clustering and traditional SVM. 展开更多
关键词 wind TURBINE BEARING Fault diagnosis stochastic SUBSPACE identification(SSI) Multi-kernel support vector machine(MSVM)
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基于半不变量和Gram-Charlier级数展开法的随机潮流算法 被引量:16
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作者 卫鹏 刘建坤 +2 位作者 周前 徐青山 黄煜 《电力工程技术》 2017年第1期34-38,共5页
随着新能源规模的日益扩大,新能源电站的出力往往呈现较强的相关性,在传统的随机潮流算法中对强相关性随机变量考虑较少。综合考虑风电出力的随机波动、负荷的变化、发电机的强迫停运及线路的故障等各种不确定情况,根据节点电压和支路... 随着新能源规模的日益扩大,新能源电站的出力往往呈现较强的相关性,在传统的随机潮流算法中对强相关性随机变量考虑较少。综合考虑风电出力的随机波动、负荷的变化、发电机的强迫停运及线路的故障等各种不确定情况,根据节点电压和支路潮流的期望值及灵敏度矩阵,计算了负荷及常规发电机、风电机组出力、各节点注入功率的各阶半不变量,由Gram-Charlier级数展开求得概率密度函数和概率分布函数。IEEE-30节点测试表明:该算法能反映大规模新能源接入下系统的不确定性,将求取随机变量和的概率密度函数的卷积运算简化为半不变量的代数运算,极大地缩短了计算时间,并具有良好的收敛性。 展开更多
关键词 随机模型 半不变量 随机潮流 风电 Gram-Charlier级数
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Day-ahead Scheduling of Multi-carrier Energy Systems with Multi-type Energy Storages and Wind Power 被引量:14
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作者 Rufeng Zhang Tao Jiang +4 位作者 Guoging Li Houhe Chen Xue Li Linquan Bai Hantao Cui 《CSEE Journal of Power and Energy Systems》 SCIE 2018年第3期283-292,共10页
The integration of large-scale wind power brings challenges to the operation of integrated energy systems(IES).In this paper,a day-ahead scheduling model for IES with wind power and multi-type energy storage is propos... The integration of large-scale wind power brings challenges to the operation of integrated energy systems(IES).In this paper,a day-ahead scheduling model for IES with wind power and multi-type energy storage is proposed in a scenario-based stochastic programming framework.The structure of the IES consists of electricity,natural gas,and heating networks which are all included in the model.Operational constraints for IES incorporating multi-type energy storage devices are also considered.The constraints of the electricity network,natural gas network and heating network are formulated,and non-linear constraints are linearized.The calculation method for the correlation of wind speed between wind farms based on historical data is proposed.Uncertainties of correlated wind power were represented by creating multiple representative scenarios with different probabilities,and this was done using the Latin hyper-cube sampling(LHS)method.The stochastic scheduling model is formulated as a mixed integer linear programming(MILP)problem with the objective function of minimizing the total expected operation cost.Numerical results on a modified PJM 5-bus electricity system with a seven-node natural gas system and a six-node heating system validate the proposed model.The results demonstrate that multi-type energy storage devices can help reduce wind power curtailments and improve the operational flexibility of IES. 展开更多
关键词 Multicarrier energy systems multi-type energy storage stochastic day-ahead scheduling wind power
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随机风环境下高速列车运行安全评估研究 被引量:13
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作者 于梦阁 张骞 +1 位作者 刘加利 张继业 《机械工程学报》 EI CAS CSCD 北大核心 2018年第4期245-254,共10页
研究随机风环境下高速列车的气动特性及运行安全特性,提出一种随机风环境下高速列车运行安全的评估方法。基于Cooper理论和谐波叠加法建立任意风向角下随车移动点的脉动风速数值模拟方法,推导随机风作用下高速列车非定常气动载荷的计算... 研究随机风环境下高速列车的气动特性及运行安全特性,提出一种随机风环境下高速列车运行安全的评估方法。基于Cooper理论和谐波叠加法建立任意风向角下随车移动点的脉动风速数值模拟方法,推导随机风作用下高速列车非定常气动载荷的计算公式;建立高速列车系统动力学模型,研究非定常气动载荷作用下高速列车的运行安全特性,获得随机风环境下高速列车安全运行的平均特征风速曲线及其置信区间。计算结果表明,在随机风环境下,高速列车的非定常气动载荷及轮重减载率具有随机特性,且近似服从正态分布;风向角越接近于90°,非定常气动载荷及轮重减载率的波动幅值越大;在相同的风向角下,MCWC随着列车速度的增加而减小;在相同的车速下,不同风向角下的MCWC由小到大的排序为90°、60°、120°、30°、150°。 展开更多
关键词 高速列车 随机风 气动载荷 运行安全 风向角
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基于维纳随机过程的风电场储能配置方法 被引量:11
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作者 李学斌 赵号 《电网技术》 EI CSCD 北大核心 2022年第9期3437-3446,共10页
针对含电化学储能的风电功率控制系统,以一阶巴特沃思滤波环节为实时高频功率提取方法,理论分析了储能系统在一段时间内平抑风电功率波动所需提供的能量,给出了所需储能能量的最大值。引入维纳随机过程,论证了某时段内所需储能系统提供... 针对含电化学储能的风电功率控制系统,以一阶巴特沃思滤波环节为实时高频功率提取方法,理论分析了储能系统在一段时间内平抑风电功率波动所需提供的能量,给出了所需储能能量的最大值。引入维纳随机过程,论证了某时段内所需储能系统提供的能量与滤波时间常数的比值所形成的过程为维纳随机过程,分析了不同时间尺度风电功率变化量概率分布的均值和方差参数随时间间隔的变化趋势。在此基础上,提出了满足一定置信区间的储能功率容量和能量容量的配置方法,统一了储能功率和能量的选择过程。利用国内某风电场全月有功功率数据,计算了该实际场景下储能系统容量配置,并在PSCAD/EMTDC中搭建了含储能的风电功率控制系统,仿真验证了所提配置方法的有效性和实用性。 展开更多
关键词 功率波动 一阶滤波 随机过程 电化学储能 风电场
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我国东南沿海台风极值风速预测与区划图构建 被引量:8
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作者 方根深 Weichiang Pang +2 位作者 赵林 曹曙阳 葛耀君 《土木工程学报》 EI CSCD 北大核心 2021年第7期43-53,共11页
中国沿海是全球受台风灾害最严重的区域之一,获取台风极值风速对指导沿海土木工程结构抗风设计、防灾减灾和风险评估至关重要,中国现有抗风设计体系未单独设定台风极值风荷载。文章提出基于地理加权回归的台风模拟方法,主要包括台风路... 中国沿海是全球受台风灾害最严重的区域之一,获取台风极值风速对指导沿海土木工程结构抗风设计、防灾减灾和风险评估至关重要,中国现有抗风设计体系未单独设定台风极值风荷载。文章提出基于地理加权回归的台风模拟方法,主要包括台风路径、强度和风场参数递推模型,基于日本气象局1951~2015年历史台风最佳路径数据,开了西北太平洋地区台风局部路径和全路径随机模拟,结合台风边界层三维风场模型,预测不同工程场地的极值风速,率先完整创建我国沿海区域台风极值风速区划图并讨论台风风灾空间分布特点;面向不同建筑结构设计需求,形成台风风灾曲线和极值风速剖面数据库,为沿海建筑结构抗台风设计提供极值风荷载输入条件,推进我国结构抗风理论体系从传统良态风向台风的跨越。 展开更多
关键词 台风 极值风速 结构抗风 随机模拟 风灾
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Studies of TLP Dynamic Response Under Wind, Waves and Current 被引量:7
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作者 谷家扬 杨建民 吕海宁 《China Ocean Engineering》 SCIE EI 2012年第3期363-378,共16页
Investigated is the coupled response of a tension leg platform (TLP) for random waves. Inferred are the mass matrix, coupling stiffness matrix, damping matrix in the vibration differential equation and external load... Investigated is the coupled response of a tension leg platform (TLP) for random waves. Inferred are the mass matrix, coupling stiffness matrix, damping matrix in the vibration differential equation and external load of TLP in moving coordinating system. Infinitesimal method is applied to divide columns and pontoons into small parts. Time domain motion equation is solved by Runge-Kutta integration scheme. Jonswap spectrum is simulated in the random wave, current is simulated by linear interpolation, and NPD spectrum is applied as wind spectrum. The Monte Carlo method is used to simulate random waves and fluctuated wind. Coupling dynamic response, change of tendon tension and riser tension in different sea conditions are analyzed by power spectral density (PSD). The influence of approach angle on dynamic response of TLP and tendon tension is compared. 展开更多
关键词 TLP nonlinear stochastic waves sea state different approach angles coupling with wave current and wind
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Stochastic Unit Commitment with High-Penetration Offshore Wind Power Generation in Typhoon Scenarios 被引量:1
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作者 Yanqi Liu Dundun Liu Hongcai Zhang 《Journal of Modern Power Systems and Clean Energy》 SCIE EI CSCD 2024年第2期535-546,共12页
To tackle the energy crisis and climate change,wind farms are being heavily invested in across the world.In China's coastal areas,there are abundant wind resources and numerous offshore wind farms are being constr... To tackle the energy crisis and climate change,wind farms are being heavily invested in across the world.In China's coastal areas,there are abundant wind resources and numerous offshore wind farms are being constructed.The secure operation of these wind farms may suffer from typhoons,and researchers have studied power system operation and resilience enhancement in typhoon scenarios.However,the intricate movement of a typhoon makes it challenging to evaluate its spatial-temporal impacts.Most published papers only consider predefined typhoon trajectories neglecting uncertainties.To address this challenge,this study proposes a stochastic unit commitment model that incorporates high-penetration offshore wind power generation in typhoon scenarios.It adopts a data-driven method to describe the uncertainties of typhoon trajectories and considers the realistic anti-typhoon mode in offshore wind farms.A two-stage stochastic unit commitment model is designed to enhance power system resilience in typhoon scenarios.We formulate the model into a mixed-integer linear programming problem and then solve it based on the computationally-efficient progressive hedging algorithm(PHA).Finally,numerical experiments validate the effectiveness of the proposed method. 展开更多
关键词 Unit commitment two-stage stochastic programming offshore wind farm TYPHOON
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Saltation and suspension of wind-blown particle movement 被引量:5
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作者 WANG Ping ZHENG XiaoJing HU WenWen 《Science China(Physics,Mechanics & Astronomy)》 SCIE EI CAS 2008年第10期1586-1596,共11页
Several factors that affect the trajectories of sand particles in a wind-blown sand flux are analyzed by considering the stochastic movement of sand particles transported within turbulent flow in the atmospheric bound... Several factors that affect the trajectories of sand particles in a wind-blown sand flux are analyzed by considering the stochastic movement of sand particles transported within turbulent flow in the atmospheric boundary layer. The results show that there are remarkably different trajectories for particles with the same diameter, the same vertical liftoff velocity from sand bed and the same friction ve-locity of wind because of the presence of turbulence flow. The vertical fluctuating velocity of sand particles can be regarded as a reflection of the transport mode, which is related to not only the diameters and liftoff velocity of sand particles but also the shear stress velocity of wind. The critical liftoff velocity and the fraction of each transport mode are calculated for the given particle diameter and friction ve-locity of wind. A comparison of the predicted fraction and the statistical fraction with and without the wind-sand couple effect is made. 展开更多
关键词 wind EROSION SALTATION SUSPENSION stochastic model CRITERION
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Stochastic Economic Dispatch Based Optimal Market Clearing Strategy Considering Flexible Ramping Products Under Wind Power Uncertainties
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作者 Haoyong Chen Jianping Huang +2 位作者 Zhenjia Lin Fanqi Huang Mengshi Li 《CSEE Journal of Power and Energy Systems》 SCIE EI CSCD 2024年第4期1525-1535,共11页
High penetration level of renewable energy has brought great challenges to operation of power systems,and use of flexible resources(FRs)is becoming increasingly important.Flexibility of power systems can be improved b... High penetration level of renewable energy has brought great challenges to operation of power systems,and use of flexible resources(FRs)is becoming increasingly important.Flexibility of power systems can be improved by changing generation arrangements,but the interests of some market participants may be harmed in the process.This study proposes a stochastic economic dispatch model with trading of flexible ramping products(FRPs).To calculate changes in revenue and reasonably compensate units that provide FRs,multisegmented marginal bidding for energy is simulated by linearizing generation cost,and an optimal market clearing strategy for FRPs is developed according to changes in clearing energy and marginal clearing price.Then,the correlation between prediction errors of wind speeds among different wind farms is determined based on a joint distribution function modeled by the copula function,and quasi-Monte Carlo simulation(QMC)is used to generate wind power scenarios.Finally,numerical simulations of modified IEEE-30 and IEEE-118 bus systems is performed with minimum comprehensive cost as the objective function.This verifies the proposed model could effectively deal with wind variability and uncertainty,stabilize the marginal clearing price of the electricity market,and ensure fairness in the market. 展开更多
关键词 Flexible ramping product marginal clearing price risk cost stochastic economic dispatch wind power correlation
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基于二维随机场的地基大型光学望远镜风扰动时程模拟与性能预测 被引量:4
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作者 曹玉岩 王建立 +4 位作者 王志臣 李洪文 张岩 初宏亮 李玉霞 《光学精密工程》 EI CAS CSCD 北大核心 2022年第4期442-454,共13页
随着地基光学望远镜口径的不断增大,风扰动已成为影响望远镜成像质量最为关键的因素之一。为了深入研究风扰动对望远镜系统性能的影响规律及作用机理,从时域角度对望远镜在风扰动作用下的响应进行时程模拟以及系统性能预测。首先,简要... 随着地基光学望远镜口径的不断增大,风扰动已成为影响望远镜成像质量最为关键的因素之一。为了深入研究风扰动对望远镜系统性能的影响规律及作用机理,从时域角度对望远镜在风扰动作用下的响应进行时程模拟以及系统性能预测。首先,简要介绍了望远镜结构组成并采用有限元方法建立了结构动力学模型,通过模态变换方法将动力学模型转换到模态坐标系下,从而降低了模型维数、提高了计算效率。然后,提出了一种基于二维随机场的风速时程模拟方法,将望远镜圆顶内的风速场表达为随时间和空间位置变化的二维随机场,通过引入波数谱,克服了谱表达方法中各个离散采样点处互功率谱矩阵Cholesky分解出现数值不稳定的问题,从而可以表达空间和时间频率范围内几乎连续的随机场,并且在数值计算中引入了快速傅里叶变换FFT算法,进一步提高了模拟效率。最后,以2 m口径望远镜为例,对风速环境进行了时程模拟,并对外界平均风速为10 m/s及15 m/s的风扰动作用下,望远镜的性能进行了预测。仿真分析结果表明:作用在望远镜主镜上的风扰动分别造成主镜最大接近45 nm和70 nm的面形误差;作用在次镜及桁架上,主要造成低频的主次镜相对位置和角度偏差。 展开更多
关键词 地基望远镜 随机场 风扰动 时程模拟 动力学模型
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Short-term Transmission Maintenance Scheduling Considering Network Topology Optimization 被引量:4
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作者 Weixin Zhang Bo Hu +6 位作者 Kaigui Xie Changzheng Shao Tao Niu Jiahao Yan Lvbin Peng Maosen Cao Yue Sun 《Journal of Modern Power Systems and Clean Energy》 SCIE EI CSCD 2022年第4期883-893,共11页
With the increasing penetration of renewable energy sources,transmission maintenance scheduling(TMS)will have a larger impact on the accommodation of wind power.Meanwhile,the more flexible transmission network topolog... With the increasing penetration of renewable energy sources,transmission maintenance scheduling(TMS)will have a larger impact on the accommodation of wind power.Meanwhile,the more flexible transmission network topology owing to the network topology optimization(NTO)technique can ensure the secure and economic operation of power systems.This paper proposes a TMS model considering NTO to decrease the wind curtailment without adding control devices.The problem is formulated as a two-stage stochastic mixed-integer programming model.The first stage arranges the maintenance periods of transmission lines.The second stage optimizes the transmission network topology to minimize the maintenance cost and system operation in different wind speed scenarios.The proposed model cannot be solved efficiently with off-theshelf solvers due to the binary variables in both stages.Therefore,the progressive hedging algorithm is applied.The results on the modified IEEE RTS-79 system show that the proposed method can reduce the negative impact of transmission maintenance on wind accommodation by 65.49%,which proves its effectiveness. 展开更多
关键词 Mixed-integer linear programming network topology optimization progressive hedging algorithm stochastic optimization transmission maintenance scheduling wind curtailment
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Integrated Heat and Power Dispatch Model for Wind-CHP System with Solid Heat Storage Device Based on Robust Stochastic Theory 被引量:2
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作者 LI Huanhuan TAN Zhongfu +1 位作者 CHEN Hongtao GUO Hongwu 《Wuhan University Journal of Natural Sciences》 CAS CSCD 2018年第1期31-42,共12页
This paper built a combined heat and power(CHP) dispatch model for wind-CHP system with solid heat storage device(SHS) aiming at minimizing system coal consumption, and set system demand-supply balance and units'... This paper built a combined heat and power(CHP) dispatch model for wind-CHP system with solid heat storage device(SHS) aiming at minimizing system coal consumption, and set system demand-supply balance and units' operation conditions as the operation constraints. Furthermore, robust stochastic optimization theory was used to describe wind power output uncertainty. The simulation result showed that SHS increased CHP peak-valley shifting capability and reduced abandoned wind rate from 12% to 6%, and reduced 5% coal consumption, compared with the original system operation by flexible charging electric power and heating. The payback period of employing SHS in wind-CHP system is far shorter than SHS expected service life. 展开更多
关键词 wind power abandoned wind solid electric heatstorage device combined heat and power (CHP) heat storage robust stochastic optimization theory
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随机风对弹道落点散布的影响 被引量:4
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作者 张松兰 刘晓利 《战术导弹控制技术》 2006年第2期44-45,72,共3页
弹道上风的变化及对射程侧偏的影响比较复杂,关键是空气的流动受季节、昼夜、地形、海陆、高度、纬度等多种因素影响,具有一定的随机性。因此,本文就随机风对弹道偏差的影响进行理论分析。首先建立随机风的风场模型,然后针对建立的... 弹道上风的变化及对射程侧偏的影响比较复杂,关键是空气的流动受季节、昼夜、地形、海陆、高度、纬度等多种因素影响,具有一定的随机性。因此,本文就随机风对弹道偏差的影响进行理论分析。首先建立随机风的风场模型,然后针对建立的模型进行弹道仿真分析,为弹道设计提供理论上的分析。 展开更多
关键词 随机风 散布误差 MATLAB 正态分布 弹道 风场模型
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Important Issues and Results When Considering the Stochastic Representation of Wind Power Plants in a Generation Optimization Model: An Application to the Large Brazilian Interconnected Power System 被引量:3
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作者 Juliana F. Chade Mummey Ildo L. Sauer +1 位作者 Dorel S. Ramos William W.-G. Yeh 《Energy and Power Engineering》 2019年第8期320-332,共13页
Wind power has an increasing share of the Brazilian energy market and may represent 11.6% of total capacity by 2024. For large hydro-thermal systems having high-storage capacity, a complementarity between hydro and wi... Wind power has an increasing share of the Brazilian energy market and may represent 11.6% of total capacity by 2024. For large hydro-thermal systems having high-storage capacity, a complementarity between hydro and wind production could have important effects. The current optimization models are applied to dispatch power plants to meet the market demand and optimize the generation dispatches considering only hydroelectric and thermal power plants. The remaining sources, including wind power, small-hydroelectric plants and biomass plants, are excluded from the optimization model and are included deterministically. This work introduces a general methodology to represent the stochastic behavior of wind production aimed at the planning and operation of large interconnected power systems. In fact, considering the generation of the wind power source stochastically could show the complementarity between the hydro and wind power production, reducing the energy price in the spot market with the reduction of thermal power dispatches. In addition to that, with a reduction in wind power and a simultaneous dry-season occurrence, this model, is able to show the need of thermal power plants dispatches as well as the reduction of the risk of energy shortages. 展开更多
关键词 stochastic Optimization HYDROTHERMAL Systems Planning wind Power Complementarity SYNTHETIC Series GENERATION
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考虑风浪流的TLP张力腿张力响应规律分析(英文) 被引量:4
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作者 谷家扬 杨建民 吕海宁 《船舶力学》 EI 北大核心 2012年第9期1041-1055,共15页
文章研究了张力腿平台在风浪流中的张力腿的张力变化规律。推导了微分方程中的质量矩阵、耦合刚度矩阵、阻尼矩阵和运动坐标系下张力腿平台波浪外荷载。采用微元法对立柱和浮筒进行离散,运用龙格—库塔法对张力腿平台耦合运动微分方程... 文章研究了张力腿平台在风浪流中的张力腿的张力变化规律。推导了微分方程中的质量矩阵、耦合刚度矩阵、阻尼矩阵和运动坐标系下张力腿平台波浪外荷载。采用微元法对立柱和浮筒进行离散,运用龙格—库塔法对张力腿平台耦合运动微分方程进行了数值求解。对不同海况下和不同浪向角下张力腿平台张力腿张力变化进行了能量谱分析,并在上海交通大学海洋工程国家重点试验室中通过缩尺比为1:40的模型对数值模拟的结果进行了试验验证。比较了考虑风和流以及不考虑风和流的结果。 展开更多
关键词 张力腿平台 非线性 随机波 不同海况 不同浪向角 风浪流耦合响应 张力腿张力
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