Asset allocation is an important issue in finance, and both risk and return are its fundamental ingredients. Rather than the return, the measure of the risk is complicated and of controversy.In this paper, we propose ...Asset allocation is an important issue in finance, and both risk and return are its fundamental ingredients. Rather than the return, the measure of the risk is complicated and of controversy.In this paper, we propose an appropriate risk measure which is precisely a convex combination of mean semi-deviation and conditional value-at-risk. Based on this risk measure, investors can trade-off flexibly between the volatility and the loss to tackle the incurring risk by choosing different convex coefficients.As the presented risk measure contains nonsmooth term, the asset allocation model based on it is nonsmooth. To employ traditional gradient algorithms, we develop a uniform smooth approximation of the plus function and convert the model into a smooth one. Finally, an illustrative empirical study is given. The results indicate that investors can control risk efficiently by adjusting the convex coefficient and the confidence level simultaneously according to their perceptions. Moreover, the effectiveness of the smoothing function proposed in the paper is verified.展开更多
电力市场中,日前市场购电电价的随机波动,给供电公司的投资带来了一定的收益风险,因而供电公司需要在不同的市场中合理分配购电电量分散投资,以实现自身收益率尽可能大的同时承受的风险最小.供电公司在多市场中购电电价呈随机波动的特性...电力市场中,日前市场购电电价的随机波动,给供电公司的投资带来了一定的收益风险,因而供电公司需要在不同的市场中合理分配购电电量分散投资,以实现自身收益率尽可能大的同时承受的风险最小.供电公司在多市场中购电电价呈随机波动的特性,本文用均值-下半偏差作为购电风险测度,并用鲁棒优化处理电价的不确定性,建立了供电公司鲁棒均值-下半偏差(Robust Mean Semi-Deviation)购电策略优化模型.最后利用广西电网公司提供的数据进行实证分析,验证了模型的有效性和适用性,表明此模型对供电公司的投资组合决策具有一定的参考价值和指导意义.展开更多
基金Supported by the Natural Science Foundation of China(11171221)
文摘Asset allocation is an important issue in finance, and both risk and return are its fundamental ingredients. Rather than the return, the measure of the risk is complicated and of controversy.In this paper, we propose an appropriate risk measure which is precisely a convex combination of mean semi-deviation and conditional value-at-risk. Based on this risk measure, investors can trade-off flexibly between the volatility and the loss to tackle the incurring risk by choosing different convex coefficients.As the presented risk measure contains nonsmooth term, the asset allocation model based on it is nonsmooth. To employ traditional gradient algorithms, we develop a uniform smooth approximation of the plus function and convert the model into a smooth one. Finally, an illustrative empirical study is given. The results indicate that investors can control risk efficiently by adjusting the convex coefficient and the confidence level simultaneously according to their perceptions. Moreover, the effectiveness of the smoothing function proposed in the paper is verified.
文摘电力市场中,日前市场购电电价的随机波动,给供电公司的投资带来了一定的收益风险,因而供电公司需要在不同的市场中合理分配购电电量分散投资,以实现自身收益率尽可能大的同时承受的风险最小.供电公司在多市场中购电电价呈随机波动的特性,本文用均值-下半偏差作为购电风险测度,并用鲁棒优化处理电价的不确定性,建立了供电公司鲁棒均值-下半偏差(Robust Mean Semi-Deviation)购电策略优化模型.最后利用广西电网公司提供的数据进行实证分析,验证了模型的有效性和适用性,表明此模型对供电公司的投资组合决策具有一定的参考价值和指导意义.
