An atmospheric general circulation model is used in a series of three experiments to simulate the intraseasonal oscillation in the tropical atmosphere.Analyses of the model daily data show that various physical variab...An atmospheric general circulation model is used in a series of three experiments to simulate the intraseasonal oscillation in the tropical atmosphere.Analyses of the model daily data show that various physical variables,from sever- al different regions,exhibit fluctuations with a spectral peak between 30 and 60 days.This represents a 30—60 day oscillation in the tropical atmosphere and possesses several features which are consistent with observations.These in- clude a horizontal structure dominated by zonal wavenumber 1 and a vertical structure which is predominantly baroclinic. The effect of warm SST (sea surface temperature) anomalies on the 30—60 day oscillation in the tropical atmos- phere is also simulated by prescribing global SST as observed in 1983.This has the effect of weakening the oscillation while at the same time the vertical structure becomes less baroclinic. The importance of cumulus convection to the propagational characteristics of this oscillation is demonstrated by a comparison of results based on different parameterizations for convection.In one case,where the maximum convection over the Pacific is simulated to be too far east,the simulated 30—60 day oscillation shows evidence of westward propa- gation.In the second case,where the convection maximum is located near the observed position in the western Pacific, there is more clearly evidence of eastward propagation. Both results suggest that the location of maximum convection in the Pacific can have an important influence on the strength,structure and propagation of the 30—60 day oscillation.展开更多
利用中国160个台站和NCEP再分析资料,引入综合分析气候反馈的统计方法——广义平衡反馈方法(GEFA),结合EOF、相关合成分析,探讨2009/2010年中国冬季气温异常型的成因。结果表明:2009/2010年中国冬季气温出现的东北冷西南暖分布型与同期...利用中国160个台站和NCEP再分析资料,引入综合分析气候反馈的统计方法——广义平衡反馈方法(GEFA),结合EOF、相关合成分析,探讨2009/2010年中国冬季气温异常型的成因。结果表明:2009/2010年中国冬季气温出现的东北冷西南暖分布型与同期海温异常及其相联系的大气环流异常有密切的关系。其中赤道中东太平洋海温异常的El Ni o型和赤道大西洋海温异常"正-负-正"三极型模态对2009/2010年中国冬季气温东北冷西南暖分布型有显著的强迫作用。上述海温异常型影响了大气环流异常,中高纬度地面偏北气流将冷空气输送到华北东北地区,致使该地区冬季气温偏低,同时中纬度西风增强,极地冷空气被迫盘踞在高纬,不能影响到西南地区,导致西南地区较常年更暖。展开更多
This paper aims to demonstrate the relationships between ENSO and rice production of Jiangxi province in order to identify the reason that ENSO might have little effect on Chinese rice production. Using a data set wit...This paper aims to demonstrate the relationships between ENSO and rice production of Jiangxi province in order to identify the reason that ENSO might have little effect on Chinese rice production. Using a data set with measures of Jiangxi＇s climate and rice production, we find the reason that during 1985 and 2004 ENSO＇s well correlated with rainfall did not promote Chinese rice production. First, the largest effects of ENSO mostly occur in the months when there is no rice in the field. Second, there is almost no temperature effect. Finally, the monthly distribution of rainfall is almost the same in ENSO and neutral years because the largest effects are during months when there is the least rain. In addition, due to the high irrigation share and reliable and effective irrigation facilities of cultivated land, China＇s rice production is less climate-sensitive.展开更多
文摘An atmospheric general circulation model is used in a series of three experiments to simulate the intraseasonal oscillation in the tropical atmosphere.Analyses of the model daily data show that various physical variables,from sever- al different regions,exhibit fluctuations with a spectral peak between 30 and 60 days.This represents a 30—60 day oscillation in the tropical atmosphere and possesses several features which are consistent with observations.These in- clude a horizontal structure dominated by zonal wavenumber 1 and a vertical structure which is predominantly baroclinic. The effect of warm SST (sea surface temperature) anomalies on the 30—60 day oscillation in the tropical atmos- phere is also simulated by prescribing global SST as observed in 1983.This has the effect of weakening the oscillation while at the same time the vertical structure becomes less baroclinic. The importance of cumulus convection to the propagational characteristics of this oscillation is demonstrated by a comparison of results based on different parameterizations for convection.In one case,where the maximum convection over the Pacific is simulated to be too far east,the simulated 30—60 day oscillation shows evidence of westward propa- gation.In the second case,where the convection maximum is located near the observed position in the western Pacific, there is more clearly evidence of eastward propagation. Both results suggest that the location of maximum convection in the Pacific can have an important influence on the strength,structure and propagation of the 30—60 day oscillation.
文摘利用中国160个台站和NCEP再分析资料,引入综合分析气候反馈的统计方法——广义平衡反馈方法(GEFA),结合EOF、相关合成分析,探讨2009/2010年中国冬季气温异常型的成因。结果表明:2009/2010年中国冬季气温出现的东北冷西南暖分布型与同期海温异常及其相联系的大气环流异常有密切的关系。其中赤道中东太平洋海温异常的El Ni o型和赤道大西洋海温异常"正-负-正"三极型模态对2009/2010年中国冬季气温东北冷西南暖分布型有显著的强迫作用。上述海温异常型影响了大气环流异常,中高纬度地面偏北气流将冷空气输送到华北东北地区,致使该地区冬季气温偏低,同时中纬度西风增强,极地冷空气被迫盘踞在高纬,不能影响到西南地区,导致西南地区较常年更暖。
基金US National Natural Science Foundation, No.0624359 Knowledge Innovation Program of the CAS, No.KSCX1-YW-09+5 种基金 No.KZCX2-YW-305-2 National Key Technology R＆D Program of China, No.2006BAC08B06 No.2008BAK50B06 No.2008BAK47B02 No.2008BAC44B04 China State Major Project for Water Pollution Control and Management, No.2009ZX07106-001 Acknowledgement We are grateful to FANG Yu and YAN Bangyou from the Mountain, River and Lake Office of Jiangxi and WANG Xiaohong, Deputy Director General of the Department of Science and Technology of Jiangxi Provincial Government for their assistance on this project.
文摘This paper aims to demonstrate the relationships between ENSO and rice production of Jiangxi province in order to identify the reason that ENSO might have little effect on Chinese rice production. Using a data set with measures of Jiangxi＇s climate and rice production, we find the reason that during 1985 and 2004 ENSO＇s well correlated with rainfall did not promote Chinese rice production. First, the largest effects of ENSO mostly occur in the months when there is no rice in the field. Second, there is almost no temperature effect. Finally, the monthly distribution of rainfall is almost the same in ENSO and neutral years because the largest effects are during months when there is the least rain. In addition, due to the high irrigation share and reliable and effective irrigation facilities of cultivated land, China＇s rice production is less climate-sensitive.
