BACKGROUND It is important to diagnose depression in Parkinson’s disease(DPD)as soon as possible and identify the predictors of depression to improve quality of life in Parkinson’s disease(PD)patients.AIM To develop...BACKGROUND It is important to diagnose depression in Parkinson’s disease(DPD)as soon as possible and identify the predictors of depression to improve quality of life in Parkinson’s disease(PD)patients.AIM To develop a model for predicting DPD based on the support vector machine,while considering sociodemographic factors,health habits,Parkinson's symptoms,sleep behavior disorders,and neuropsychiatric indicators as predictors and provide baseline data for identifying DPD.METHODS This study analyzed 223 of 335 patients who were 60 years or older with PD.Depression was measured using the 30 items of the Geriatric Depression Scale,and the explanatory variables included PD-related motor signs,rapid eye movement sleep behavior disorders,and neuropsychological tests.The support vector machine was used to develop a DPD prediction model.RESULTS When the effects of PD motor symptoms were compared using“functional weight”,late motor complications(occurrence of levodopa-induced dyskinesia)were the most influential risk factors for Parkinson's symptoms.CONCLUSION It is necessary to develop customized screening tests that can detect DPD in the early stage and continuously monitor high-risk groups based on the factors related to DPD derived from this predictive model in order to maintain the emotional health of PD patients.展开更多
Remaining useful life(RUL)prediction is an advanced technique for system maintenance scheduling.Most of existing RUL prediction methods are only interested in the precision of RUL estimation;the adverse impact of over...Remaining useful life(RUL)prediction is an advanced technique for system maintenance scheduling.Most of existing RUL prediction methods are only interested in the precision of RUL estimation;the adverse impact of overestimated RUL on maintenance scheduling is not of concern.In this work,an RUL estimation method with risk-averse adaptation is developed which can reduce the over-estimation rate while maintaining a reasonable under-estimation level.The proposed method includes a module of degradation feature selection to obtain crucial features which reflect system degradation trends.Then,the latent structure between the degradation features and the RUL labels is modeled by a support vector regression(SVR)model and a long short-term memory(LSTM)network,respectively.To enhance the prediction robustness and increase its marginal utility,the SVR model and the LSTM model are integrated to generate a hybrid model via three connection parameters.By designing a cost function with penalty mechanism,the three parameters are determined using a modified grey wolf optimization algorithm.In addition,a cost metric is proposed to measure the benefit of such a risk-averse predictive maintenance method.Verification is done using an aero-engine data set from NASA.The results show the feasibility and effectiveness of the proposed RUL estimation method and the predictive maintenance strategy.展开更多
Landslide is a serious natural disaster next only to earthquake and flood,which will cause a great threat to people’s lives and property safety.The traditional research of landslide disaster based on experience-drive...Landslide is a serious natural disaster next only to earthquake and flood,which will cause a great threat to people’s lives and property safety.The traditional research of landslide disaster based on experience-driven or statistical model and its assessment results are subjective,difficult to quantify,and no pertinence.As a new research method for landslide susceptibility assessment,machine learning can greatly improve the landslide susceptibility model’s accuracy by constructing statistical models.Taking Western Henan for example,the study selected 16 landslide influencing factors such as topography,geological environment,hydrological conditions,and human activities,and 11 landslide factors with the most significant influence on the landslide were selected by the recursive feature elimination(RFE)method.Five machine learning methods[Support Vector Machines(SVM),Logistic Regression(LR),Random Forest(RF),Extreme Gradient Boosting(XGBoost),and Linear Discriminant Analysis(LDA)]were used to construct the spatial distribution model of landslide susceptibility.The models were evaluated by the receiver operating characteristic curve and statistical index.After analysis and comparison,the XGBoost model(AUC 0.8759)performed the best and was suitable for dealing with regression problems.The model had a high adaptability to landslide data.According to the landslide susceptibility map of the five models,the overall distribution can be observed.The extremely high and high susceptibility areas are distributed in the Funiu Mountain range in the southwest,the Xiaoshan Mountain range in the west,and the Yellow River Basin in the north.These areas have large terrain fluctuations,complicated geological structural environments and frequent human engineering activities.The extremely high and highly prone areas were 12043.3 km^(2)and 3087.45 km^(2),accounting for 47.61%and 12.20%of the total area of the study area,respectively.Our study reflects the distribution of landslide susceptibility in western Henan Province,which provides展开更多
This paper proposes a new method for power transmission risk assessment considering historical failure statistics of transmission systems and operation failure risks of system components.Component failure risks are in...This paper proposes a new method for power transmission risk assessment considering historical failure statistics of transmission systems and operation failure risks of system components.Component failure risks are integrated into the new method based on operational condition assessment of components using the support vector data description(SVDD)approach.The traditional outage probability model of transmission lines has been modified to build a new framework for power transmission system risk assessment.The proposed SVDD approach can provide a suitable mechanism to map component assessment grades to failure risks based on probabilistic behaviors of power system failures.Under the new method,both up-todate component failure risks and traditional system risk indices can be processed with the proposed outage model.As a result,component failure probabilities are not only related to historical statistic data but also operational data of components,and derived risk indices can reflect current operational conditions of components.In simulation studies,the SVDD approach is employed to evaluate component conditions and link such conditions to failure rates using up-to-date component operational data,including both on-line and off-line data of components.The IEEE 24-bus RTS-1979 system is used to demonstrate that component operational conditions can greatly affect the overall transmission system failure risks.展开更多
Natural gas load forecasting is a key process to the efficient operation of pipeline network. An accurate forecast is required to guarantee a balanced network operation and ensure safe gas supply at a minimum cost.Mac...Natural gas load forecasting is a key process to the efficient operation of pipeline network. An accurate forecast is required to guarantee a balanced network operation and ensure safe gas supply at a minimum cost.Machine learning techniques have been increasingly applied to load forecasting. A novel regression technique based on the statistical learning theory, support vector machines (SVM), is investigated in this paper for natural gas shortterm load forecasting. SVM is based on the principle of structure risk minimization as opposed to the principle of empirical risk minimization in conventional regression techniques. Using a data set with 2 years load values we developed prediction model using SVM to obtain 31 days load predictions. The results on city natural gas short-term load forecasting show that SVM provides better prediction accuracy than neural network. The software package natural gas pipeline networks simulation and load forecasting (NGPNSLF) based on support vector regression prediction has been developed, which has also been applied in practice.展开更多
In order to predict the coal outburst risk quickly and accurately,a PCA-FA-SVM based coal and gas outburst risk prediction model was designed.Principal component analysis(PCA)was used to pre-process the original data ...In order to predict the coal outburst risk quickly and accurately,a PCA-FA-SVM based coal and gas outburst risk prediction model was designed.Principal component analysis(PCA)was used to pre-process the original data samples,extract the principal components of the samples,use firefly algorithm(FA)to improve the support vector machine model,and compare and analyze the prediction results of PCA-FA-SVM model with BP model,FA-SVM model,FA-BP model and SVM model.Accuracy rate,recall rate,Macro-F1 and model prediction time were used as evaluation indexes.The results show that:Principal component analysis improves the prediction efficiency and accuracy of FA-SVM model.The accuracy rate of PCA-FA-SVM model predicting coal and gas outburst risk is 0.962,recall rate is 0.955,Macro-F1 is 0.957,and model prediction time is 0.312s.Compared with other models,The comprehensive performance of PCA-FA-SVM model is better.展开更多
Pattern classification is an important field in machine learning; least squares support vector machine (LSSVM) is a powerful tool for pattern classification. A new version of LSSVM, SVD-LSSVM, to save time of selectin...Pattern classification is an important field in machine learning; least squares support vector machine (LSSVM) is a powerful tool for pattern classification. A new version of LSSVM, SVD-LSSVM, to save time of selecting hyper parameters for LSSVM is proposed. SVD-LSSVM is trained through singular value decomposition (SVD) of kernel matrix. Cross validation time of selecting hyper parameters can be saved because a new hyper parameter, singular value contribution rate (SVCR), replaces the penalty factor of LSSVM. Several UCI benchmarking data and the Olive classification problem were used to test SVD-LSSVM. The result showed that SVD-LSSVM has good performance in classification and saves time for cross validation.展开更多
基金the National Research Foundation of Korea,No.NRF-2019S1A5A8034211the National Research Foundation of Korea,No.NRF-2018R1D1A1B07041091.
文摘BACKGROUND It is important to diagnose depression in Parkinson’s disease(DPD)as soon as possible and identify the predictors of depression to improve quality of life in Parkinson’s disease(PD)patients.AIM To develop a model for predicting DPD based on the support vector machine,while considering sociodemographic factors,health habits,Parkinson's symptoms,sleep behavior disorders,and neuropsychiatric indicators as predictors and provide baseline data for identifying DPD.METHODS This study analyzed 223 of 335 patients who were 60 years or older with PD.Depression was measured using the 30 items of the Geriatric Depression Scale,and the explanatory variables included PD-related motor signs,rapid eye movement sleep behavior disorders,and neuropsychological tests.The support vector machine was used to develop a DPD prediction model.RESULTS When the effects of PD motor symptoms were compared using“functional weight”,late motor complications(occurrence of levodopa-induced dyskinesia)were the most influential risk factors for Parkinson's symptoms.CONCLUSION It is necessary to develop customized screening tests that can detect DPD in the early stage and continuously monitor high-risk groups based on the factors related to DPD derived from this predictive model in order to maintain the emotional health of PD patients.
基金support by Natural Science Foundation of China(61873122)。
文摘Remaining useful life(RUL)prediction is an advanced technique for system maintenance scheduling.Most of existing RUL prediction methods are only interested in the precision of RUL estimation;the adverse impact of overestimated RUL on maintenance scheduling is not of concern.In this work,an RUL estimation method with risk-averse adaptation is developed which can reduce the over-estimation rate while maintaining a reasonable under-estimation level.The proposed method includes a module of degradation feature selection to obtain crucial features which reflect system degradation trends.Then,the latent structure between the degradation features and the RUL labels is modeled by a support vector regression(SVR)model and a long short-term memory(LSTM)network,respectively.To enhance the prediction robustness and increase its marginal utility,the SVR model and the LSTM model are integrated to generate a hybrid model via three connection parameters.By designing a cost function with penalty mechanism,the three parameters are determined using a modified grey wolf optimization algorithm.In addition,a cost metric is proposed to measure the benefit of such a risk-averse predictive maintenance method.Verification is done using an aero-engine data set from NASA.The results show the feasibility and effectiveness of the proposed RUL estimation method and the predictive maintenance strategy.
基金This work was financially supported by National Natural Science Foundation of China(41972262)Hebei Natural Science Foundation for Excellent Young Scholars(D2020504032)+1 种基金Central Plains Science and technology innovation leader Project(214200510030)Key research and development Project of Henan province(221111321500).
文摘Landslide is a serious natural disaster next only to earthquake and flood,which will cause a great threat to people’s lives and property safety.The traditional research of landslide disaster based on experience-driven or statistical model and its assessment results are subjective,difficult to quantify,and no pertinence.As a new research method for landslide susceptibility assessment,machine learning can greatly improve the landslide susceptibility model’s accuracy by constructing statistical models.Taking Western Henan for example,the study selected 16 landslide influencing factors such as topography,geological environment,hydrological conditions,and human activities,and 11 landslide factors with the most significant influence on the landslide were selected by the recursive feature elimination(RFE)method.Five machine learning methods[Support Vector Machines(SVM),Logistic Regression(LR),Random Forest(RF),Extreme Gradient Boosting(XGBoost),and Linear Discriminant Analysis(LDA)]were used to construct the spatial distribution model of landslide susceptibility.The models were evaluated by the receiver operating characteristic curve and statistical index.After analysis and comparison,the XGBoost model(AUC 0.8759)performed the best and was suitable for dealing with regression problems.The model had a high adaptability to landslide data.According to the landslide susceptibility map of the five models,the overall distribution can be observed.The extremely high and high susceptibility areas are distributed in the Funiu Mountain range in the southwest,the Xiaoshan Mountain range in the west,and the Yellow River Basin in the north.These areas have large terrain fluctuations,complicated geological structural environments and frequent human engineering activities.The extremely high and highly prone areas were 12043.3 km^(2)and 3087.45 km^(2),accounting for 47.61%and 12.20%of the total area of the study area,respectively.Our study reflects the distribution of landslide susceptibility in western Henan Province,which provides
文摘This paper proposes a new method for power transmission risk assessment considering historical failure statistics of transmission systems and operation failure risks of system components.Component failure risks are integrated into the new method based on operational condition assessment of components using the support vector data description(SVDD)approach.The traditional outage probability model of transmission lines has been modified to build a new framework for power transmission system risk assessment.The proposed SVDD approach can provide a suitable mechanism to map component assessment grades to failure risks based on probabilistic behaviors of power system failures.Under the new method,both up-todate component failure risks and traditional system risk indices can be processed with the proposed outage model.As a result,component failure probabilities are not only related to historical statistic data but also operational data of components,and derived risk indices can reflect current operational conditions of components.In simulation studies,the SVDD approach is employed to evaluate component conditions and link such conditions to failure rates using up-to-date component operational data,including both on-line and off-line data of components.The IEEE 24-bus RTS-1979 system is used to demonstrate that component operational conditions can greatly affect the overall transmission system failure risks.
文摘Natural gas load forecasting is a key process to the efficient operation of pipeline network. An accurate forecast is required to guarantee a balanced network operation and ensure safe gas supply at a minimum cost.Machine learning techniques have been increasingly applied to load forecasting. A novel regression technique based on the statistical learning theory, support vector machines (SVM), is investigated in this paper for natural gas shortterm load forecasting. SVM is based on the principle of structure risk minimization as opposed to the principle of empirical risk minimization in conventional regression techniques. Using a data set with 2 years load values we developed prediction model using SVM to obtain 31 days load predictions. The results on city natural gas short-term load forecasting show that SVM provides better prediction accuracy than neural network. The software package natural gas pipeline networks simulation and load forecasting (NGPNSLF) based on support vector regression prediction has been developed, which has also been applied in practice.
基金financially supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China(52174117,52004117)Postdoctoral Science Foundation of China(2021T140290,2020M680975)Science and Technology Research Project of Liaoning Provincial Department of Education(LJ2020JCL005).
文摘In order to predict the coal outburst risk quickly and accurately,a PCA-FA-SVM based coal and gas outburst risk prediction model was designed.Principal component analysis(PCA)was used to pre-process the original data samples,extract the principal components of the samples,use firefly algorithm(FA)to improve the support vector machine model,and compare and analyze the prediction results of PCA-FA-SVM model with BP model,FA-SVM model,FA-BP model and SVM model.Accuracy rate,recall rate,Macro-F1 and model prediction time were used as evaluation indexes.The results show that:Principal component analysis improves the prediction efficiency and accuracy of FA-SVM model.The accuracy rate of PCA-FA-SVM model predicting coal and gas outburst risk is 0.962,recall rate is 0.955,Macro-F1 is 0.957,and model prediction time is 0.312s.Compared with other models,The comprehensive performance of PCA-FA-SVM model is better.
基金Project (No. 20276063) supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China
文摘Pattern classification is an important field in machine learning; least squares support vector machine (LSSVM) is a powerful tool for pattern classification. A new version of LSSVM, SVD-LSSVM, to save time of selecting hyper parameters for LSSVM is proposed. SVD-LSSVM is trained through singular value decomposition (SVD) of kernel matrix. Cross validation time of selecting hyper parameters can be saved because a new hyper parameter, singular value contribution rate (SVCR), replaces the penalty factor of LSSVM. Several UCI benchmarking data and the Olive classification problem were used to test SVD-LSSVM. The result showed that SVD-LSSVM has good performance in classification and saves time for cross validation.
