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基于置信规则库推理的过程报警预测方法 被引量:5
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作者 张泽生 李宏光 +1 位作者 杨博 张菁 《控制工程》 CSCD 北大核心 2019年第4期765-772,共8页
为了更加有效的利用流程工业中的各种历史报警信息,对未来时刻的系统安全性进行评判,提出了一种基于置信规则库推理的过程报警时间序列预测方法,利用过程变量的历史报警数据建立置信规则库模型,采取粒子群算法进行模型参数学习。该预测... 为了更加有效的利用流程工业中的各种历史报警信息,对未来时刻的系统安全性进行评判,提出了一种基于置信规则库推理的过程报警时间序列预测方法,利用过程变量的历史报警数据建立置信规则库模型,采取粒子群算法进行模型参数学习。该预测模型可以对未来一段时间过程可能产生的报警状态变化趋势进行预测。通过数值实例仿真及实际工业过程报警数据对该模型进行验证,得到了较为满意的预测结果。 展开更多
关键词 置信规则库模型 时间序列 粒子群优化算法 过程报警状态 预测
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The Transformation of the Heterogeneous Materials under the Fatigue Deformation
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作者 S. Kh. Shamirzaev J. K. Ziyovaddinov Sh. B. Karimov 《Materials Sciences and Applications》 2012年第6期398-407,共10页
The objects of our paper are aluminum alloy samples (AASs) contained the different amount of Cu, Mn, Mg, Si and Li. We are modeling the features of microstructure of potential relief of an AAS and studying its transfo... The objects of our paper are aluminum alloy samples (AASs) contained the different amount of Cu, Mn, Mg, Si and Li. We are modeling the features of microstructure of potential relief of an AAS and studying its transformation under both imposed fatigue deformation and wetted by liquid metals (Ga;or Hg;Li;In). We illustrate the main ideas by using only the “time series” allied with effective internal friction Q-1eff of an AAS. AASs like B-95 or 7075 are heterogeneous materials for which the more energy can be absorbed by selected micro-regions of a tested sample. So micro-crack in the space of AAS and alarm state of AAS arises. Each micro-region will to contribute the Q-1k (the internal friction Q-1k belong to k-th micro-region) to the effective internal friction— Q-1eff accordance with fit statistic . We find a number of micro-regions—L and series gk & Qk from the experimental data like as the internal friction (Q-1)eff versus both the number of cycles—N and the deformation—е. Series gk & Qk (k=1,2,3,...,L) present the microstructures of AASs. In this paper also is presented the original technology to forecast fatigue damage of an AAS. Here the fatigue sensitive element (FSE) used. We made multiphase heterogeneous mixtures (MHMs) which contents a variable volume of initial components. It is selected MHMs are using for produce FSEs. The present paper is aimed to establish the correlation of the FSEs microstructures changes and corresponding changes of the aluminum alloy microstructures at imposing the same spectra deformation on both of them. A change of FSEs microstructure investigated by using their effective electrical resistance Reff data. 展开更多
关键词 Amplitude-Dependent Internal Friction FATIGUE CRACKING process alarm state FATIGUE SENSITIVE Element
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