The stochastic fluctuation of renewable energy resources has significant impact on the stability of the power system with renewable generations and results in change in stability.Therefore,it is necessary to track the...The stochastic fluctuation of renewable energy resources has significant impact on the stability of the power system with renewable generations and results in change in stability.Therefore,it is necessary to track the changing stability of the power system with renewable generations,a task that can be performed online.This paper details the use of decision trees to predict multi-mode damping of power system integrating renewable generations with the help of wide-area measurements system(WAMS).Power systems with renewable source generation are complex with vast amounts of data being collected from WAMS.Decision trees(DTs)are employed as a means to handle vast quantities of wide-area information,which involves the mode damping information indicating the stability.A 16-generator,68-bus system with photovoltaic power generation and wind power generation is used as the test system.Remote signals obtained from phasor measurement units(PMUs)are employed as the input variables of DTs for predicting purposes.The simulation results demonstrate that the proposed predicting scheme is able to suggest the optimal course of action to remedy any near instability or unstable electromechanical oscillations even without prior knowledge of the varying output of the renewable source power.展开更多
动量轮是卫星姿态控制系统的关键部件,对卫星的可靠性及整体寿命有直接影响。针对卫星动量轮的剩余寿命预测问题,提出一种基于Copula函数的多退化量下的寿命预测方法。首先,分析了影响动量轮寿命的关键因素,选择润滑剂剩余量和电流作为...动量轮是卫星姿态控制系统的关键部件,对卫星的可靠性及整体寿命有直接影响。针对卫星动量轮的剩余寿命预测问题,提出一种基于Copula函数的多退化量下的寿命预测方法。首先,分析了影响动量轮寿命的关键因素,选择润滑剂剩余量和电流作为退化量;其次,分别对单个退化量进行退化建模,得到动量轮剩余寿命的边缘分布函数;然后,通过Copula函数族来描述多退化量之间的相关性,并对边缘分布进行融合,得到动量轮剩余寿命的联合分布函数;最后,提出基于赤池信息准则(Akaike information criterion,AIC)模型评价的Copula函数选择方法。展开更多
基金supported by the National Basic Research Program of China(973 Program)(No.2012CB215206)National Natural Science Foundation of China(No.51407071)+3 种基金the International Collaborative Project jointly Funded by the NSFC(No.51311122)Chinathe EPSRC,UKFundamental Research Funds for the Central Universities(No.2014QN18)China Postdoctoral Science Foundation(No.2014M550683).
文摘The stochastic fluctuation of renewable energy resources has significant impact on the stability of the power system with renewable generations and results in change in stability.Therefore,it is necessary to track the changing stability of the power system with renewable generations,a task that can be performed online.This paper details the use of decision trees to predict multi-mode damping of power system integrating renewable generations with the help of wide-area measurements system(WAMS).Power systems with renewable source generation are complex with vast amounts of data being collected from WAMS.Decision trees(DTs)are employed as a means to handle vast quantities of wide-area information,which involves the mode damping information indicating the stability.A 16-generator,68-bus system with photovoltaic power generation and wind power generation is used as the test system.Remote signals obtained from phasor measurement units(PMUs)are employed as the input variables of DTs for predicting purposes.The simulation results demonstrate that the proposed predicting scheme is able to suggest the optimal course of action to remedy any near instability or unstable electromechanical oscillations even without prior knowledge of the varying output of the renewable source power.
文摘动量轮是卫星姿态控制系统的关键部件,对卫星的可靠性及整体寿命有直接影响。针对卫星动量轮的剩余寿命预测问题,提出一种基于Copula函数的多退化量下的寿命预测方法。首先,分析了影响动量轮寿命的关键因素,选择润滑剂剩余量和电流作为退化量;其次,分别对单个退化量进行退化建模,得到动量轮剩余寿命的边缘分布函数;然后,通过Copula函数族来描述多退化量之间的相关性,并对边缘分布进行融合,得到动量轮剩余寿命的联合分布函数;最后,提出基于赤池信息准则(Akaike information criterion,AIC)模型评价的Copula函数选择方法。