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三个登陆台风造成云南灾害的天气成因研究 被引量:4
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作者 马涛 胡勇 +4 位作者 杨琳晗 张万诚 刘少荣 孙东汉 裴玥 《灾害学》 CSCD 北大核心 2020年第4期113-120,共8页
利用FNL 1°×1°再分析资料,云南站点降水实况资料,中国台风天气网资料,气象灾情直报系统数据和中国气象灾害年鉴等资料,分析"威马逊""海鸥"和"天鸽"系统对云南造成的强降水及灾害成因,结... 利用FNL 1°×1°再分析资料,云南站点降水实况资料,中国台风天气网资料,气象灾情直报系统数据和中国气象灾害年鉴等资料,分析"威马逊""海鸥"和"天鸽"系统对云南造成的强降水及灾害成因,结果表明:"威马逊"灾情最严重,受灾和伤亡人数最多,"天鸽"直接经济损失低于"威马逊";"海鸥"灾情和直接经济损失均相对最轻。三个台风低压进入云南的位置和强度不同,其西移过程中造成云南大到暴雨的范围、落区分布明显不同,"天鸽"从文山州的富宁进入云南,位置较偏东偏北,向西南-西移动;"海鸥"位置则偏西偏南,从红河州的金平入境云南,向西北-西-西南移动;"威马逊"从文山州的麻栗坡进入云南,逐渐加强西北移。"威马逊"西行影响云南持续时间最长达78 h、影响范围最大,对云南9个州市造成影响,其次是"天鸽"持续影响时间达66 h、对云南7个州市造成影响,"海鸥"持续时间为54 h,影响范围相对较小。从水汽输送的情况来看,"海鸥"的净水汽量最大为20.53×10~7 kg/s,"天鸽"次之为15.07×10~7 kg/s,"威马逊"最小为14.03×10~7 kg/s,并且东向输送到云南的水汽量最大。西太平洋副高的位置和强度对西行台风进入云南有重要影响。"威马逊"影响云南以台风低压降水为主,"天鸽"和"海鸥"影响造成云南东部出现强降水与冷空气活动有关。 展开更多
关键词 云南 洪涝灾害 副高位置 水汽输送 “威马逊”台风 “海鸥”台风 “天鸽”台风
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西太平洋副热带高压东西位置异常与华北夏季酷暑 被引量:54
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作者 卫捷 杨辉 孙淑清 《气象学报》 CAS CSCD 北大核心 2004年第3期308-316,共9页
文中研究了副热带高压 (副高 )东西位置异常与中国东部地区夏季气温的关系。发现两者之间有很高的正相关 ,当西太平洋副高偏西时 ,大片的北方地区气温会降低 ;而当副高偏东时 ,该地区的气温将偏高。西太平洋副高东西位置的异常对应着亚... 文中研究了副热带高压 (副高 )东西位置异常与中国东部地区夏季气温的关系。发现两者之间有很高的正相关 ,当西太平洋副高偏西时 ,大片的北方地区气温会降低 ;而当副高偏东时 ,该地区的气温将偏高。西太平洋副高东西位置的异常对应着亚洲太平洋地区的长波位置和强度的很大变化 ,从而影响到中国北方地区的气温。更重要的是 ,副高西端位移所产生的扰动还会以波列的形式向极地和北美方向传播 ,从而从更大的范围内影响西风带环流。对 2 0 0 2年夏季中国北方出现的持续高温天气进行了分析。该年夏季副高持续偏东。西风带大槽也处于偏东的位置。西部的大陆副高东移扩展 ,与槽后的高压脊打通 ,造成该地区的持续高温。副高的东西位置决定了季风气流 (也就是水汽的主要通道 )的北向转折的路径。当副高偏东时 ,向北折向的位置随之东移 ,东亚大陆的水汽供应变为负距平 ,特别是中国北方地区 ,变得十分干燥。引起中国北方高温的直接系统是大陆高压中的极强的下沉气流 。 展开更多
关键词 西太平洋副热带高压 位置异常 气温 水汽通道 下沉气流
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Longitudinal Displacement of the Subtropical High in the Western Pacific in Summer and its Influence 被引量:33
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作者 杨辉 孙淑清 《Advances in Atmospheric Sciences》 SCIE CAS CSCD 2003年第6期921-933,共13页
Using the relative vorticity averaged over a certain area, a new index for measuring the longitudinal position of the subtropical high (SH) in the western Pacific is proposed to avoid the increasing trend of heights i... Using the relative vorticity averaged over a certain area, a new index for measuring the longitudinal position of the subtropical high (SH) in the western Pacific is proposed to avoid the increasing trend of heights in the previous indices based on geopotential height. The years of extreme westward and eastward extension of SH using the new index are in good agreement with those defined by height index. There exists a distinct difference in large-scale circulation between the eastward and westward extension of SH under the new definition, which includes not only the circulation in the middle latitudes but also the flow in the lower latitudes. It seems that when the SH extends far to the east (west), the summer monsoon in the South China Sea is stronger (weaker) and established earlier (later). In addition, there exists a good relationship between the longitudinal position of SH and the summer rainfall in China. A remarkable negative correlation area appears in the Changjiang River valley, indicating that when the SH extends westward (eastward), the precipitation in that region increases (decreases). A positive correlation region is found in South China, showing the decrease of rainfall when the SH extends westward. On the other hand, the rainfall is heavier when the SH retreats eastward. However, the anomalous longitudinal position of SH is not significantly related to the precipitation in North China. The calculation of correlation coefficients between the index of longitudinal position of SH and surface temperature in China shows that a large area of positive values, higher than 0.6 in the center, covers the whole of North China, even extending eastward to the Korean Peninsula and Japan Islands when using NCEP/NCAR reanalysis data to do the correlation calculation. This means that when the longitudinal position of the SH withdraws eastward in summer, the temperature over North China is higher. On the other hand, when it moves westward, the temperature there is lower. This could explain the phenomenon of the ser 展开更多
关键词 longitudinal position of subtropical high large-scale circulation RAINFALL TEMPERATURE
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初夏西太平洋副高南北位置长期变化的成因及预报 被引量:23
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作者 赵振国 陈国珍 《热带气象学报》 CSCD 1995年第3期223-230,共8页
利用月平均高度场和海温场资料,通过统计相关分析,探讨了初夏西太平洋副热带高压南北位置长期变化的规律及其成因,结果表明,初夏副高南北位置存在着11年左右和3-5年的准周期振荡,这种周期变化分别与太阳活动、海洋下垫面和对... 利用月平均高度场和海温场资料,通过统计相关分析,探讨了初夏西太平洋副热带高压南北位置长期变化的规律及其成因,结果表明,初夏副高南北位置存在着11年左右和3-5年的准周期振荡,这种周期变化分别与太阳活动、海洋下垫面和对流层上部位势高度场类似的周期振荡相吻合。太阳黑子高值年、赤道东太平洋暖水期、热带中东太平洋对流层上部位势高度偏高阶段,初夏西太平洋副高位置偏南,反之偏北。最后建立了6月份副高脊线的预报方法。 展开更多
关键词 西太平洋 长期变化 成因 气候变化
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The Characteristics of Longitudinal Movement of the Subtropical High in the Western Pacific in the Pre-rainy Season in South China 被引量:25
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作者 杨辉 孙淑清 《Advances in Atmospheric Sciences》 SCIE CAS CSCD 2005年第3期392-400,共9页
Using the NCEP/NCAR reanalysis data, the China rainfall data of the China Meteorological Administration, and the sea surface temperature (SST) data of NOAA from 1951-2000, the features of the anomalous longitudinal po... Using the NCEP/NCAR reanalysis data, the China rainfall data of the China Meteorological Administration, and the sea surface temperature (SST) data of NOAA from 1951-2000, the features of the anomalous longitudinal position of the subtropical high in the western Pacific (SHWP) in the pre-rainy season in South China and associated circulation and precipitation are studied. Furthermore, the relationship between SHWP and SST and the eastern Asian winter monsoon is also investigated. Associated with the anomalous longitudinal position of SHWP in the pre-rainy season in South China, the flow patterns in both the middle and lower latitudes are different. The circulation anomalies greatly influence the precipitation in the pre-rainy season in South China. When the SHWP is in a west position (WP), the South China quasi-stationary front is stronger with more abundant precipitation there. However, when the SHWP is in an east position (EP), a weaker front appears with a shortage of precipitation there. There exists a good relationship between the longitudinal position of SHWP and SST in the tropical region. A negative correlation can be found both in the central and eastern tropical Pacific and the Indian Ocean. This means that the higher (lower) SST there corresponds to a west (east) position of SHWP. This close relationship can be found even in the preceding autumn and winter. A positive correlation appears in the western and northern Pacific and large correlation coefficient values also occur in the preceding autumn and winter. A stronger eastern Asian winter monsoon will give rise to cooler SSTs in the Kuroshio and the South China Sea regions and it corresponds to negative SST anomaly (SSTA) in the central and eastern Pacific and positive SSTA in the western Pacific in winter and the following spring. The whole tropical SSTA pattern, that is, positive (negative) SSTA in the central and eastern Pacific and negative (positive) SSTA in the western Pacific, is favorable to the WP (EP) of SHWP. 展开更多
关键词 longitudinal position of the subtropical high large-scale circulation PRECIPITATION Sea Sur- face Temperature (SST) East Asian winter monsoon
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亚洲地面气温异常对中国汛期雨带位置的影响研究 被引量:7
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作者 田永丽 曹杰 《高原气象》 CSCD 北大核心 2004年第3期339-343,共5页
利用1980—1999年NECP/NCAR地面气温资料和中国气象局国家气象中心中国汛期雨带类型资料,计算并分析了亚洲地区地面气温与中国汛期雨带位置的关系。结果表明,亚洲地面气温与中国汛期雨带位置关系最好的区域在青藏高原,该地区的地面气温... 利用1980—1999年NECP/NCAR地面气温资料和中国气象局国家气象中心中国汛期雨带类型资料,计算并分析了亚洲地区地面气温与中国汛期雨带位置的关系。结果表明,亚洲地面气温与中国汛期雨带位置关系最好的区域在青藏高原,该地区的地面气温与中国汛期雨带位置之间的正相关关系具有较好的持续性,其中关系最密切的时间是5月份。对相应大气环流的合成分析发现,当5月青藏高原地面气温偏高时,热力作用使得高原地区上升气流加剧,并在115°E,25°N附近强迫出一支相对偏强的下沉气流,导致在110°~120°E,20°~25°N附近出现一个相对的反气旋性环流,该环流有利于夏季西太平洋副热带高压的北上,最终使得中国汛期雨带位置偏北。 展开更多
关键词 地面气温 中国汛期雨带位置 西太平洋副热带高压 青藏高原 热力作用
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