While game theoretic tools have been widely applied to nuclear proliferation and disarmament issues, traditional decision analysis assumes that decision makers, options, and preferences are fixed. A drama theoretic ap...While game theoretic tools have been widely applied to nuclear proliferation and disarmament issues, traditional decision analysis assumes that decision makers, options, and preferences are fixed. A drama theoretic approach is used to overcome these limiting assumptions： Drama Theory （DT） II allows global leaders and national security policy makers to engage in a rational-emotional process of re-defining international security negotiations （and their ＂positions＂ in them） Until agreement on a satisfactory nuclear non-proliferation resolution is reached. The 2009 nuclear energy negotiations between Iran and world powers are modeled with DT II and the Confrontation ManagerTM Decision Support System. By adjusting strategy and deriving transformative security policy, it is shown how international security can be achieved by promoting nuclear non-proliferation and resolving strategic conflict.展开更多
In some sense, talking about arms control and non-proliferation at the present in East Asia seems unsuitable. Moreover, for the "hawkish" forces in the United States, who are more prominent now than other el...In some sense, talking about arms control and non-proliferation at the present in East Asia seems unsuitable. Moreover, for the "hawkish" forces in the United States, who are more prominent now than other elements in influencing international politics in East Asia, as well as for those people within this broadly defined region.展开更多
The interaction between China and the Middle East on the issue of arms transfer and non-proliferation of Weapons of Mass Destruction(WMD)has elicited great concern since the 1980s.It was also during this period that C...The interaction between China and the Middle East on the issue of arms transfer and non-proliferation of Weapons of Mass Destruction(WMD)has elicited great concern since the 1980s.It was also during this period that China was accused,primarily by the US,of being involved in WMD-related transfers to the Middle East.The paper examines China’s changing attitudes towards major international non-proliferation regimes and cases of US allegations of China’s exports of WMDs to the Middle East.It argues that China’s stance on abiding by the WMD regimes in the Middle East has been consistent with the principles of diplomacy which emphasizes peace and the pursuit of its good image as a responsible great power.China abides by the international WMD regimes and is seeking more cooperation in non-proliferation with other countries,and its efforts deserve acknowledgement.展开更多
Out of concern over nuclear weapons proliferation,the worry over DPRK nuclear testing is overwrought.The author sees the situation from the viewpoint of a geopolitical game in a non-proliferation mask.To attempt a geo...Out of concern over nuclear weapons proliferation,the worry over DPRK nuclear testing is overwrought.The author sees the situation from the viewpoint of a geopolitical game in a non-proliferation mask.To attempt a geopolitical game using non-proliferation is wrongly directed,but this is the main reason the issue fluctuates and deadlocks occasionally.To solve the situation once and for all,the international community needs to recognize its geopolitical nature and cure the problem accordingly.Since DPRK leader Kim Jong-Un crossed the border April 27 to meet South Korean President Moon Jae-in,the destiny of the Korean Peninsula is,as it should be,in the hands of the Koreans,not Chinese or Americans.展开更多
文摘While game theoretic tools have been widely applied to nuclear proliferation and disarmament issues, traditional decision analysis assumes that decision makers, options, and preferences are fixed. A drama theoretic approach is used to overcome these limiting assumptions： Drama Theory （DT） II allows global leaders and national security policy makers to engage in a rational-emotional process of re-defining international security negotiations （and their ＂positions＂ in them） Until agreement on a satisfactory nuclear non-proliferation resolution is reached. The 2009 nuclear energy negotiations between Iran and world powers are modeled with DT II and the Confrontation ManagerTM Decision Support System. By adjusting strategy and deriving transformative security policy, it is shown how international security can be achieved by promoting nuclear non-proliferation and resolving strategic conflict.
文摘In some sense, talking about arms control and non-proliferation at the present in East Asia seems unsuitable. Moreover, for the "hawkish" forces in the United States, who are more prominent now than other elements in influencing international politics in East Asia, as well as for those people within this broadly defined region.
文摘The interaction between China and the Middle East on the issue of arms transfer and non-proliferation of Weapons of Mass Destruction(WMD)has elicited great concern since the 1980s.It was also during this period that China was accused,primarily by the US,of being involved in WMD-related transfers to the Middle East.The paper examines China’s changing attitudes towards major international non-proliferation regimes and cases of US allegations of China’s exports of WMDs to the Middle East.It argues that China’s stance on abiding by the WMD regimes in the Middle East has been consistent with the principles of diplomacy which emphasizes peace and the pursuit of its good image as a responsible great power.China abides by the international WMD regimes and is seeking more cooperation in non-proliferation with other countries,and its efforts deserve acknowledgement.
基金funded by the Fundamental Research Funds for the Central Universities of the University of International Relations(project No.3262016T01)
文摘Out of concern over nuclear weapons proliferation,the worry over DPRK nuclear testing is overwrought.The author sees the situation from the viewpoint of a geopolitical game in a non-proliferation mask.To attempt a geopolitical game using non-proliferation is wrongly directed,but this is the main reason the issue fluctuates and deadlocks occasionally.To solve the situation once and for all,the international community needs to recognize its geopolitical nature and cure the problem accordingly.Since DPRK leader Kim Jong-Un crossed the border April 27 to meet South Korean President Moon Jae-in,the destiny of the Korean Peninsula is,as it should be,in the hands of the Koreans,not Chinese or Americans.
