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高空电磁脉冲作用下电力系统主要效应模式分析 被引量:10
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作者 陈宇浩 谢彦召 +4 位作者 刘民周 高冲 李萌 巩少岩 周建辉 《强激光与粒子束》 EI CAS CSCD 北大核心 2019年第7期45-50,共6页
随着电网智能化和整体规模的提高,现代电力系统越来越容易受到高空电磁脉冲的威胁,一旦关键环节故障将有可能导致连锁反应,造成大面积停电。而针对不同的电力设备,其效应模式和威胁等级也有所不同,需要进行分类和分级研究。根据电力设... 随着电网智能化和整体规模的提高,现代电力系统越来越容易受到高空电磁脉冲的威胁,一旦关键环节故障将有可能导致连锁反应,造成大面积停电。而针对不同的电力设备,其效应模式和威胁等级也有所不同,需要进行分类和分级研究。根据电力设备在电磁脉冲作用下的不同效应模式,将其分为SCADA系统与继电保护设备,变压器、互感器等线圈类设备,线路与设备避雷器与其他设备,并分析了其效应机理。然后考虑高空电磁脉冲威胁下电力设备存在多种效应等级,介绍了不同效应分类方法以及多等级效应评估模型。最后综合考虑易损性和重要性以及系统间的级联影响,分别梳理总结了在E1和E3作用下电力系统的故障链模式。 展开更多
关键词 电力设备 高空电磁脉冲 效应模式 多等级分类
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Covariates of Disability-Profile Transitions in Older People Living at Home
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作者 Michel Raiche Rejean Hebert +2 位作者 Marie-France Dubois N’Deye Rokhaya Gueye Nicole Dubuc 《Journal of Biosciences and Medicines》 2014年第3期25-36,共12页
The objective of this study was to explore the relationship of sociodemographic, clinical, and health-services use-related variables with transitions between disability-based profiles. In a longitudinal study of 1386 ... The objective of this study was to explore the relationship of sociodemographic, clinical, and health-services use-related variables with transitions between disability-based profiles. In a longitudinal study of 1386 people aged 75 and over living in the community at baseline, disabilities were assessed annually for up to four years with the Functional Autonomy Measurement System (SMAF), which generates 14 Iso-SMAF profiles. These profiles are grouped into 4 disability states, which are predominant alterations in instrumental activities of daily living (IADLs), mobility, mental functions as well as severe and mixed disabilities. Continuous-time, multi-state Markov modeling was used to identify the factors associated with transitions made by older people between these states and to institutionalization and death. Greater age and receiving help for ADL were associated with four transitions, while altered cognitive functions and hospitalization were associated with three, all involving more decline or less recovery. From mild IADL profiles, men have a higher risk of transitioning to intermediate predominantly mental profiles, while women are at higher risk of transitioning to intermediate predominantly mobility profiles. Unmet needs are associated with deterioration, from mild IADL to intermediate predominantly mobility profiles. These results help understanding the complex progression of disabilities in older people. 展开更多
关键词 Aged Disability Profiles TRANSITIONS COVARIATES multistate Model Case-Mix classification Longitudinal
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