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最大似然属性在断裂识别中的应用——以塔里木盆地哈拉哈塘地区热瓦普区块奥陶系走滑断裂的识别为例 被引量:40
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作者 马德波 赵一民 +3 位作者 张银涛 杨鹏飞 杨敏 李磊 《天然气地球科学》 EI CAS CSCD 北大核心 2018年第6期817-825,共9页
断裂是重要的油气储集空间和渗流通道,控制着油气藏形成与分布。断裂的精细刻画是油气藏勘探开发的关键环节。利用最大似然属性进行哈拉哈塘地区热瓦普区块奥陶系走滑断裂识别,取得良好的应用效果。最大似然属性是通过对整个地震数据体... 断裂是重要的油气储集空间和渗流通道,控制着油气藏形成与分布。断裂的精细刻画是油气藏勘探开发的关键环节。利用最大似然属性进行哈拉哈塘地区热瓦普区块奥陶系走滑断裂识别,取得良好的应用效果。最大似然属性是通过对整个地震数据体扫描计算数据样点之间的相似性,获得研究区内断裂发育的最可能位置及概率,提升断裂刻画精度。关键步骤包括:(1)断裂的地震反射特征分析;(2)倾角控制下断裂成像加强;(3)最大似然属性的提取(Likelihood属性、Thin Likelihood属性);(4)属性切片的解译。热瓦普区块奥陶系走滑断裂的刻画证实最大似然属性刻画的断裂效果优于相干体,其中Likelihood属性对于分支断裂的刻画效果较好,Thin Likelihood属性对于分支断裂以及断裂带内部结构的刻画较为清楚,还对裂缝密集发育区的预测有一定的效果。 展开更多
关键词 最大似然属性 likelihood Thinlikelihood 断裂识别 哈拉哈塘地区
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WOMBAT—A tool for mixed model analyses in quantitative genetics by restricted maximum likelihood (REML) 被引量:44
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作者 MEYER Karin 《Journal of Zhejiang University-Science B(Biomedicine & Biotechnology)》 SCIE CAS CSCD 2007年第11期815-821,共7页
WOMBAT is a software package for quantitative genetic analyses of continuous traits, fitting a linear, mixed model; estimates of covariance components and the resulting genetic parameters are obtained by restricted ma... WOMBAT is a software package for quantitative genetic analyses of continuous traits, fitting a linear, mixed model; estimates of covariance components and the resulting genetic parameters are obtained by restricted maximum likelihood. A wide range of models, comprising numerous traits, multiple fixed and random effects, selected genetic covariance structures, random regression models and reduced rank estimation are accommodated. WOMBAT employs up-to-date numerical and computational methods. Together with the use of efficient compilers, this generates fast executable programs, suitable for large scale analyses. Use of WOMBAT is illustrated for a bivariate analysis. The package consists of the executable program, available for LINUX and WINDOWS environments, manual and a set of worked example, and can be downloaded free of charge from http://agbu. une.edu.au/-kmeyer/wombat.html 展开更多
关键词 SOFTWARE Variance components Genetic parameters Mixed model Restricted maximum likelihood
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LIVESTOCK PRODUCTION PLANNING UNDER ENVIRONMENTAL RISKS AND UNCERTAINTIES 被引量:31
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作者 Günther FISCHER Tatiana ERMOLIEVA +1 位作者 Yuri ERMOLIEV Harrij van VELTHUIZEN 《Journal of Systems Science and Systems Engineering》 SCIE EI CSCD 2006年第4期399-418,共20页
In this paper we demonstrate the need for risk-adjusted approaches to planning expansion of livestock production. In particular, we illustrate that under exposure to risk, a portfolio of producers is needed where more... In this paper we demonstrate the need for risk-adjusted approaches to planning expansion of livestock production. In particular, we illustrate that under exposure to risk, a portfolio of producers is needed where more efficient producers co-exist and cooperate with less efficient ones given that the latter are associated with lower, uncorre, lated or even negatively correlated contingencies. This raises important issues of cooperation and risk sharing among diverse producers. For large-scale practical allocation problems when information on the contingencies may be disperse, not analytically tractable, or be available on aggregate levels, we propose a downscaling procedure based on behavioral principles utilizing spatial risk preference structure, It allows for estimation of production allocation at required resolutions accounting for location specific risks and suitability constraints. The approach provides a tool for harmonization of data from various spatial levels. We applied the method in a case study of livestock production allocation in China to 2030. 展开更多
关键词 Spatial production allocation sequential downscaling CROSS-ENTROPY maximum likelihood risks and uncertainties.
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Lifetime prediction based on Gamma processes from accelerated degradation data 被引量:24
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作者 Wang Haowei Xu Tingxue Mi Qiaoli 《Chinese Journal of Aeronautics》 SCIE EI CAS CSCD 2015年第1期172-179,共8页
Accelerated degradation test is a useful approach to predict the product lifetime at the normal use stress level, especially for highly reliable products. Two kinds of the lifetime prediction based on Gamma processes ... Accelerated degradation test is a useful approach to predict the product lifetime at the normal use stress level, especially for highly reliable products. Two kinds of the lifetime prediction based on Gamma processes were studied. One was to predict the lifetime of the population from accelerated degradation data, and the other was to predict the lifetime of an individual by taking the accelerated degradation data as prior information. For an extensive application, the Gamma process with a time transformation and random effects was considered. A novel contribution is that a deducing method for determining the relationships between the shape and scale parameters of Gamma processes and accelerated stresses was presented. When predicting the lifetime of an individual, Bayesian inference methods were adopted to improve the prediction accuracy, in which the conjugate prior distribution and the non-conjugate prior distribution of random parameters were studied. The conjugate prior distribution only considers the random effect of the scale parameter while the non-conjugate prior distribution considers the random effects of both the scale and shape parameter. The application and usefulness of the proposed method was demonstrated by the accelerated degradation data of carbon-film resistors. 展开更多
关键词 conjugate accelerated prior lifetime Bayesian determining illustrated likelihood acceleration fitting
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Real time remaining useful life prediction based on nonlinear Wiener based degradation processes with measurement errors 被引量:22
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作者 唐圣金 郭晓松 +3 位作者 于传强 周志杰 周召发 张邦成 《Journal of Central South University》 SCIE EI CAS 2014年第12期4509-4517,共9页
Real time remaining useful life(RUL) prediction based on condition monitoring is an essential part in condition based maintenance(CBM). In the current methods about the real time RUL prediction of the nonlinear degrad... Real time remaining useful life(RUL) prediction based on condition monitoring is an essential part in condition based maintenance(CBM). In the current methods about the real time RUL prediction of the nonlinear degradation process, the measurement error is not considered and forecasting uncertainty is large. Therefore, an approximate analytical RUL distribution in a closed-form of a nonlinear Wiener based degradation process with measurement errors was proposed. The maximum likelihood estimation approach was used to estimate the unknown fixed parameters in the proposed model. When the newly observed data are available, the random parameter is updated by the Bayesian method to make the estimation adapt to the item's individual characteristic and reduce the uncertainty of the estimation. The simulation results show that considering measurement errors in the degradation process can significantly improve the accuracy of real time RUL prediction. 展开更多
关键词 remaining useful life Wiener based degradation process measurement error nonlinear maximum likelihood estimation Bayesian method
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战略变化的特征研究 被引量:17
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作者 弋亚群 刘益 李垣 《管理工程学报》 CSSCI 2007年第2期1-4,14,共5页
战略变化往往被研究者和管理者当作帮助组织在“超竞争环境”中获得持续生存的根本动力之一。本文对战略变化的可能性、方向、幅度、速度等特征进行了研究,并指出对战略变化特征的研究需要多特征的综合研究,才能更好地揭示企业战略变化... 战略变化往往被研究者和管理者当作帮助组织在“超竞争环境”中获得持续生存的根本动力之一。本文对战略变化的可能性、方向、幅度、速度等特征进行了研究,并指出对战略变化特征的研究需要多特征的综合研究,才能更好地揭示企业战略变化的过程。 展开更多
关键词 战略变化 可能性 方向 幅度 速度 “超竞争环境”
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CONSISTENCY OF MLE OF THE PARAMETER OF EXPONENTIAL LIFETIME DISTRIBUTION FOR RANDOM CENSORING MODEL WITH INCOMPLETE INFORMATION 被引量:18
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作者 YE ERHUA 《Applied Mathematics(A Journal of Chinese Universities)》 SCIE CSCD 1995年第4期379-386,共8页
In this paper, we have discussed a random censoring test with incomplete information, and proved that the maximum likelihood estimator(MLE) of the parameter based on the randomly censored data with incomplete informat... In this paper, we have discussed a random censoring test with incomplete information, and proved that the maximum likelihood estimator(MLE) of the parameter based on the randomly censored data with incomplete information in the case of the exponential distribution has the strong consistency. 展开更多
关键词 Random censoring test with incomplete information exponential distribution maximum likelihood estimator consistency.
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Application of Artificial Bee Colony Algorithm to Maximum Likelihood DOA Estimation 被引量:18
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作者 Zhicheng Zhang Jun Lin Yaowu Shi 《Journal of Bionic Engineering》 SCIE EI CSCD 2013年第1期100-109,共10页
Maximum Likelihood (ML) method has an excellent performance for Direction-Of-Arrival (DOA) estimation, but a mul- tidimensional nonlinear solution search is required which complicates the computation and prevents ... Maximum Likelihood (ML) method has an excellent performance for Direction-Of-Arrival (DOA) estimation, but a mul- tidimensional nonlinear solution search is required which complicates the computation and prevents the method from practical use. To reduce the high computational burden of ML method and make it more suitable to engineering applications, we apply the Artificial Bee Colony (ABC) algorithm to maximize the likelihood function for DOA estimation. As a recently proposed bio-inspired computing algorithm, ABC algorithm is originally used to optimize multivariable functions by imitating the be- havior of bee colony finding excellent nectar sources in the nature environment. It offers an excellent alternative to the con- ventional methods in ML-DOA estimation. The performance of ABC-based ML and other popular meta-heuristic-based ML methods for DOA estimation are compared for various scenarios of convergence, Signal-to-Noise Ratio (SNR), and number of iterations. The computation loads of ABC-based ML and the conventional ML methods for DOA estimation are also investi- gated. Simulation results demonstrate that the proposed ABC based method is more efficient in computation and statistical performance than other ML-based DOA estimation methods. 展开更多
关键词 DOA estimation maximum likelihood artificial bee colony algorithm bio-inspired computing
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论权力及权力控制 被引量:14
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作者 田凯 《教学与研究》 CSSCI 北大核心 2006年第10期45-51,共7页
中外学人对权力有着千差万别的理解,概括起来,权力是指某些人对他人产生预期效果的影响力。权力具有强制性、单向性、相互依赖性、工具性、自我扩张性和侵犯性等基本特征。权力控制的必要性在于权力的自我异化倾向与权力主体的私人属性... 中外学人对权力有着千差万别的理解,概括起来,权力是指某些人对他人产生预期效果的影响力。权力具有强制性、单向性、相互依赖性、工具性、自我扩张性和侵犯性等基本特征。权力控制的必要性在于权力的自我异化倾向与权力主体的私人属性相结合,导致权力难以控制;权力运作过程中的两重性矛盾,导致权力易于失控;权力失控走向腐败对社会运行产生严重影响。权力本身的有限性、权力行使的相对性、权力运行的可控性使权力控制成为可能。 展开更多
关键词 权力控制 必要 可能 权力 工具性 强制性
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Adaptive quasi-likelihood estimate in generalized linear models 被引量:14
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作者 CHEN Xia & CHEN Xiru School of Mathematics and Statistics, Wuhan University, Wuhan 430072, China Graduate School, Chinese Academy of Science, Beijing 100049, China 《Science China Mathematics》 SCIE 2005年第6期829-846,共18页
This paper gives a thorough theoretical treatment on the adaptive quasilikelihood estimate of the parameters in the generalized linear models. The unknown covariance matrix of the response variable is estimated by the... This paper gives a thorough theoretical treatment on the adaptive quasilikelihood estimate of the parameters in the generalized linear models. The unknown covariance matrix of the response variable is estimated by the sample. It is shown that the adaptive estimator defined in this paper is asymptotically most efficient in the sense that it is asymptotic normal, and the covariance matrix of the limit distribution coincides with the one for the quasi-likelihood estimator for the case that the covariance matrix of the response variable is completely known. 展开更多
关键词 GENERALIZED linear models QUASI likelihood estimate ADAPTIVE estimate.
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Empirical likelihood confidence regions of the parameters in a partially linear single-index model 被引量:13
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作者 XUE Liugen~1 & ZHU Lixing~2 1. College of Applied Sciences,Beijing University of Technology,Beijing 100022,China 2. Department of Mathematics,Hong Kong Baptist University,Hong Kong,China 《Science China Mathematics》 SCIE 2005年第10期1333-1348,共16页
In this paper, a partially linear single-index model is investigated, and three empirical log-likelihood ratio statistics for the unknown parameters in the model are suggested. It is proved that the proposed statistic... In this paper, a partially linear single-index model is investigated, and three empirical log-likelihood ratio statistics for the unknown parameters in the model are suggested. It is proved that the proposed statistics are asymptotically standard chi-square under some suitable conditions, and hence can be used to construct the confidence regions of the parameters. Our methods can also deal with the confidence region construction for the index in the pure single-index model. A simulation study indicates that, in terms of coverage probabilities and average areas of the confidence regions, the proposed methods perform better than the least-squares method. 展开更多
关键词 PARTIALLY LINEAR single-index model empirical likelihood CONFIDENCE region CHI-SQUARE distribution coverage probability.
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Generalized Empirical Likelihood Inference in Semiparametric Regression Model for Longitudinal Data 被引量:12
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作者 Gao Rong LI Ping TIAN Liu Gen XUE 《Acta Mathematica Sinica,English Series》 SCIE CSCD 2008年第12期2029-2040,共12页
In this paper, we consider the semiparametric regression model for longitudinal data. Due to the correlation within groups, a generalized empirical log-likelihood ratio statistic for the unknown parameters in the mode... In this paper, we consider the semiparametric regression model for longitudinal data. Due to the correlation within groups, a generalized empirical log-likelihood ratio statistic for the unknown parameters in the model is suggested by introducing the working covariance matrix. It is proved that the proposed statistic is asymptotically standard chi-squared under some suitable conditions, and hence it can be used to construct the confidence regions of the parameters. A simulation study is conducted to compare the proposed method with the generalized least squares method in terms of coverage accuracy and average lengths of the confidence intervals. 展开更多
关键词 longitudinal data semiparametric regression model empirical likelihood confidence region
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Defining laboratory reference values and decision limits' populations, intervals, and interpretations 被引量:12
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作者 James C. Boyd 《Asian Journal of Andrology》 SCIE CAS CSCD 2010年第1期83-90,共8页
This article provides a brief overview of various approaches that may be utilized for the analysis of human semen test results. Reference intervals are the most widely used tool for the interpretation of clinical labo... This article provides a brief overview of various approaches that may be utilized for the analysis of human semen test results. Reference intervals are the most widely used tool for the interpretation of clinical laboratory results. Reference interval development has classically relied on concepts elaborated by the International Federation of Clinical Chemistry Expert Panel on Reference Values during the 1980s. These guidelines involve obtaining and classifying samples from a healthy population of at least 120 individuals and then identifying the outermost 5% of observations to use in defining limits for two-sided or one-sided reference intervals. More recently, decision limits based on epidemiological outcome analysis have also been introduced to aid in test interpretation. The reference population must be carefully defined on the basis of the intended clinical use of the underlying test. To determine appropriate reference intervals for use in male fertility assessment, a reference population of men with documented time to pregnancy of 〈 12 months would be most suitable. However, for epidemiological assessment of semen testing results, a reference population made up ofunselected healthy men would be preferred. Although reference and decision limits derived for individual semen analysis test results will undoubtedly be the interpretational tools of choice in the near future, in the long term, multivariate methods for the interpretation of semen analysis alone or in combination with information from the female partner seem to represent better means for assessing the likelihood of achieving a successful pregnancy in a subfertile couple. 展开更多
关键词 decision limits fertility assessment human semen testing likelihood ratios reference values semen analysis
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A class of strong deviation theorems and an approach of Laplace transformation 被引量:12
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作者 LIU Wen Hebei University of Technology, Tianjin 300130, China 《Chinese Science Bulletin》 SCIE EI CAS 1998年第19期1605-1610,共6页
The limit properties of the dependent sequence of absolutely continuous random variables are investigated by using the notion of likelihood ratio, and a class of strong limit theorems, represented by inequalities, i.e... The limit properties of the dependent sequence of absolutely continuous random variables are investigated by using the notion of likelihood ratio, and a class of strong limit theorems, represented by inequalities, i.e. the strong deviation theorems, are obtained. In the proof an approach of applying the Laplace transformation to the investigation of the strong limit theorems is proposed. 展开更多
关键词 STRONG deviation THEOREM STRONG LIMIT THEOREM likelihood ratio LAPLACE transformation.
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Testing Serial Correlation in Partially Linear Additive Models 被引量:12
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作者 Jin YANG Chuan-hua WEI 《Acta Mathematicae Applicatae Sinica》 SCIE CSCD 2019年第2期401-411,共11页
As an extension of partially linear models and additive models, partially linear additive model is useful in statistical modelling. This paper proposes an empirical likelihood based approach for testing serial correla... As an extension of partially linear models and additive models, partially linear additive model is useful in statistical modelling. This paper proposes an empirical likelihood based approach for testing serial correlation in this semiparametric model. The proposed test method can test not only zero first-order serial correlation, but also higher-order serial correlation. Under the null hypothesis of no serial correlation, the test statistic is shown to follow asymptotically a chi-square distribution. Furthermore, a simulation study is conducted to illustrate the performance of the proposed method. 展开更多
关键词 PARTIALLY LINEAR additive model BACKFITTING Profile LEAST-SQUARES approach Empirical likelihood SERIAL correlation
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Maximum Likelihood Estimator of the Parameter for a Continuous One-Parameter Exponential Family Under the Optimal Ranked Set Sampling 被引量:12
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作者 CHEN Wangxue TIAN Yi XIE Minyu 《Journal of Systems Science & Complexity》 SCIE EI CSCD 2017年第6期1350-1363,共14页
This paper studies a maximum likelihood estimator(MLE) of the parameter for a continuous one-parameter exponential family under ranked set sampling(RSS). The authors first find the optimal RSS according to the charact... This paper studies a maximum likelihood estimator(MLE) of the parameter for a continuous one-parameter exponential family under ranked set sampling(RSS). The authors first find the optimal RSS according to the character of the family, viz, arrange the RSS based on quasi complete and sufficient statistic of independent and identically distributed(iid) samples. Then under this RSS, some sufficient conditions for the existence and uniqueness of the MLE, which are easily used in practice,are obtained. Using these conditions, the existence and uniqueness of the MLEs of the parameters for some usual distributions in this family are proved. Numerical simulations for these distributions fully support the result from the above two step optimizations of the sampling and the estimation method. 展开更多
关键词 Complete sufficient statistic continuous one-parameter exponential family maximum likelihood estimator ranked set sampling
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Statistical Distributions of Ambient Air Pollutants in Shanghai, China 被引量:11
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作者 HAI-DONGKAN BING-HENGCHEN 《Biomedical and Environmental Sciences》 SCIE CAS CSCD 2004年第3期366-372,共7页
Objective To determine the best statistical distribution of concentration data of major air pollutants in Shanghai. Methods Four types of theoretic distributions (lognormal, gamma, Pearson V and extreme value) were... Objective To determine the best statistical distribution of concentration data of major air pollutants in Shanghai. Methods Four types of theoretic distributions (lognormal, gamma, Pearson V and extreme value) were chosen to fit daily average concentration data of PM10, SO2 and NO2 from June 1, 2000 to May 31, 2003 in Shanghai by using the maximum likelihood method. The fit results were evaluated by Chi-square test. Results The best-fit distributions for PM10,SO2 and NO2 concentrations in Shanghai were lognormal, Pearson V, and extreme value distributions, respectively. Conclusion The results can be further applied to local air pollution prediction and control, e.g., the probabilities exceeding the air quality standard and emission source reduction of air pollutant concentration to meet the standard. 展开更多
关键词 Air pollution Statistical distribution SHANGHAI Maximum likelihood.
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Methodology and Application for Health Risk Classification of Chemicals in Foods Based on Risk Matrix 被引量:11
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作者 ZHOU Ping Ping LIU Zhao Ping +4 位作者 ZHANG Lei LIU Ai Dong SONG Yan YONG Ling LI Ning 《Biomedical and Environmental Sciences》 SCIE CAS CSCD 2014年第11期912-916,共5页
The method has been developed to accurately identify the magnitude of health risks and provide scientific evidence for implementation of risk management in food safety.It combines two parameters including consequence ... The method has been developed to accurately identify the magnitude of health risks and provide scientific evidence for implementation of risk management in food safety.It combines two parameters including consequence and likelihood of adverse effects based on risk matrix.Score definitions and classification for the consequence and the likelihood of adverse effects are proposed.The risk score identifies the intersection of consequence and likelihood in risk matrix represents its health risk level with different colors:‘low',‘medium',‘high'.Its use in an actual case is shown. 展开更多
关键词 likelihood consequence intersection colors toxicity intake magnitude Medium judgment chemicals
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Species Abundance in a Forest Community in South China:A Case of Poisson Lognormal Distribution 被引量:11
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作者 Zuo-YunYIN HaiREN +3 位作者 Qian-MeiZHANG Shao-LinPENG Qin-FengGUO Guo-YiZHOU 《Journal of Integrative Plant Biology》 SCIE CAS CSCD 2005年第7期801-810,共10页
: Case studies on Poisson lognormal distribution of species abundance have been rare, especially in forest communities. We propose a numerical method to fit the Poisson lognormal to the species abundance data at an ev... : Case studies on Poisson lognormal distribution of species abundance have been rare, especially in forest communities. We propose a numerical method to fit the Poisson lognormal to the species abundance data at an evergreen mixed forest in the Dinghushan Biosphere Reserve, South China. Plants in the tree, shrub and herb layers in 25 quadrats of 20 m× 20 m, 5 m× 5 m, and 1 m× 1 m were surveyed. Results indicated that: (i) for each layer, the observed species abundance with a similarly small median, mode, and a variance larger than the mean was reverse J-shaped and followed well the zero-truncated Poisson lognormal; (ii) the coefficient of variation, skewness and kurtosis of abundance, and two Poisson lognormal parameters (& and μ) for shrub layer were closer to those for the herb layer than those for the tree layer; and (iii) from the tree to the shrub to the herb layer, the α and the coefficient of variation decreased, whereas diversity increased. We suggest that: (i) the species abundance distributions in the three layers reflects the overall community characteristics; (ii) the Poisson lognormal can describe the species abundance distribution in diverse communities with a few abundant species but many rare species; and (iii) 1/α should be an alternative measure of diversity. 展开更多
关键词 Dinghushan Biosphere Reserve forest community maximum likelihood estimate (MLE) reverse J-shaped curve species abundance distribution (SAD) value-trying method zero-truncated Poisson lognormal (PLN) distribution
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Fast method for spreading sequence estimation of DSSS signal based on maximum likelihood function 被引量:12
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作者 Yanhua Peng Bin Tang Ming Lv 《Journal of Systems Engineering and Electronics》 SCIE EI CSCD 2010年第6期948-953,共6页
To estimate the spreading sequence of the direct sequence spread spectrum (DSSS) signal, a fast algorithm based on maximum likelihood function is proposed, and the theoretical derivation of the algorithm is provided. ... To estimate the spreading sequence of the direct sequence spread spectrum (DSSS) signal, a fast algorithm based on maximum likelihood function is proposed, and the theoretical derivation of the algorithm is provided. By simplifying the objective function of maximum likelihood estimation, the algorithm can realize sequence synchronization and sequence estimation via adaptive iteration and sliding window. Since it avoids the correlation matrix computation, the algorithm significantly reduces the storage requirement and the computation complexity. Simulations show that it is a fast convergent algorithm, and can perform well in low signal to noise ratio (SNR). 展开更多
关键词 direct sequence spread spectrum (DSSS) signal spreading sequence maximum likelihood estimation (MLE).
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