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基于深度神经网络的地表地震动幅值预测研究
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作者 苏闻浩 刘启方 《震灾防御技术》 CSCD 北大核心 2024年第2期387-396,共10页
地震动预测模型是灾害分析和结构设计的重要组成部分,近年来神经网络技术愈发成熟地被应用在该预测模型的开发上,但多为使用地表以下30 m范围内土层等效剪切波速(VS30)作为场地输入参数的单层全连接神经网络模型,忽略了完整土层厚度及... 地震动预测模型是灾害分析和结构设计的重要组成部分,近年来神经网络技术愈发成熟地被应用在该预测模型的开发上,但多为使用地表以下30 m范围内土层等效剪切波速(VS30)作为场地输入参数的单层全连接神经网络模型,忽略了完整土层厚度及剪切波速信息对地震动幅值的影响。本文采用卷积神经网络及全连接神经网络混合模型,选用日本KiK-net台网记录到的3174次地震共计39192条地震动记录,构建了一种基于深度神经网络框架的地表地震动幅值预测模型。该模型的输入参数为震级、震源深度、震中距、场地各土层厚度、剪切波速信息和井下地震动幅值,输出为相应的地表地震动幅值(PGA或PGV或PGD)。对模型进行训练并计算其各项评价指标予以评估,结果表明:(1)该混合神经网络模型的决定系数超过了0.85,模型残差服从正态分布,均值残差接近于0,模型表现出无偏的特性。(2)与现有经验公式相比,混合网络模型的PGA、PGV和PGD预测精度分别提升约26.9%、16.5%和11.6%。与使用VS30作为场地参数的全连接神经网络模型相比,该框架下模型预测值与真实值的Person相关系数及各项评价指标均有所提升,模型残差的均值和标准差更小,PGA、PGV和PGD模型预测精度提升约6.3%、3.9%和3.4%,能更好地对地震动幅值进行预测。 展开更多
关键词 地震动幅值 地震动预测模型 卷积神经网络 深度学习
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2021年漾濞地震序列破裂方向性研究 被引量:1
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作者 杨苗 王宏伟 +1 位作者 温瑞智 任叶飞 《地震学报》 CSCD 北大核心 2023年第5期836-848,共13页
基于2021年云南漾濞M_(S)6.4地震序列的强震动记录,建立了地震动参数预测方程,采用破裂方向性效应拟合方法估计了强震动记录丰富且空间分布均匀的九次地震的震源破裂方向性特征.结果表明:其中的四次地震(1号、4号、8号、9号)表现出破裂... 基于2021年云南漾濞M_(S)6.4地震序列的强震动记录,建立了地震动参数预测方程,采用破裂方向性效应拟合方法估计了强震动记录丰富且空间分布均匀的九次地震的震源破裂方向性特征.结果表明:其中的四次地震(1号、4号、8号、9号)表现出破裂方向性效应,且均为不均匀双侧破裂,但优势破裂方向不同(4号和8号为东南向,1号西北向,9号西南向),说明2021年漾濞地震序列的地震破裂较为复杂;由于主震(4号地震)的破裂速度较慢(约为2.2 km/s),其破裂方向性效应较弱且主要对峰值速度有影响,其它三次地震破裂方向性效应十分显著,破裂速度大于主震;此外,四次地震的破裂方向性效应还存在一定的周期相关性. 展开更多
关键词 漾濞地震 强震动记录 地震动预测方程 破裂方向性 破裂速度
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Probabilistic seismic hazard assessment of Kazakhstan and Almaty city in peak ground accelerations 被引量:3
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作者 N.V.Silacheva U.K.Kulbayeva N.A.Kravchenko 《Geodesy and Geodynamics》 2018年第2期131-141,共11页
As for many post-soviet countries, Kazakhstan’s building code for seismic design was based on a deterministic approach. Recently, Kazakhstan seismologists are engaged to adapt the PSHA(probabilistic hazard assessment... As for many post-soviet countries, Kazakhstan’s building code for seismic design was based on a deterministic approach. Recently, Kazakhstan seismologists are engaged to adapt the PSHA(probabilistic hazard assessment) procedure to the large amount of available geological, geophysical and tectonic Kazakh data and to meet standard requirements for the Eurocode 8. The new procedure has been used within National projects to develop the Probabilistic GSZ(General Seismic Zoning) maps of the Kazakhstan territory and the SMZ(Probabilistic Seismic Microzoning) maps of Almaty city. They agree with the seismic design principles of Eurocode 8 and are expressed in terms of not only seismic intensity,but also engineering parameters(peak ground acceleration PGA). The whole packet of maps has been developed by the Institute of Seismology, together with other Kazakhstan Institutions. Our group was responsible for making analysis in PGA. The GSZ maps and hazard assessment maps for SMZ in terms of PGA for return periods 475 and 2475 years are considered in the article. 展开更多
关键词 Probabilistic seismic hazard assessment Seismic zoning map Peak ground acceleration Seismic sources Seismotectonic setting Seismic regime ground motion prediction equations
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莫霍反射效应对俯冲带浅地壳地震动衰减模型的影响研究 被引量:1
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作者 康莉莉 《地震工程与工程振动》 CSCD 北大核心 2022年第3期163-170,共8页
为探究莫霍反射效应对俯冲带地区浅地壳地震动衰减模型的影响,基于日本KiK-net和K-NET台阵的4 014条水平向浅地壳强震记录,分别建立没有考虑莫霍反射效应的地震动衰减模型Ⅰ和考虑莫霍反射效应的地震动衰减模型Ⅱ,并对比分析了2个模型... 为探究莫霍反射效应对俯冲带地区浅地壳地震动衰减模型的影响,基于日本KiK-net和K-NET台阵的4 014条水平向浅地壳强震记录,分别建立没有考虑莫霍反射效应的地震动衰减模型Ⅰ和考虑莫霍反射效应的地震动衰减模型Ⅱ,并对比分析了2个模型的残差分布、拟合优度及预测结果。研究发现,莫霍反射的影响降低了浅地壳地震某一距离范围内地震波的几何衰减率,采用三段线性几何衰减函数考虑莫霍反射效应的影响,明显改善了模型准确性;采用三段线性几何衰减函数的地震动衰减模型的最大对数似然值有大幅度增加,拟合优度明显提高;2个模型的预测反应谱在多数谱周期点上均存在显著差异,采用三段线性几何衰减函数的地震动衰减模型的预测反应谱在各距离分段上的变化趋势利于提高模型预测结果。结果表明,在俯冲带浅地壳地震动衰减模型研究中,可以采用一个相对简单的三段线性几何衰减函数考虑莫霍反射引起的复杂路径效应的影响,模型可靠度和标准差均显著提高。 展开更多
关键词 浅地壳地震 地震动衰减模型 莫霍反射 路径效应
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Engineering Analysis of Strong Motion Data from Recent Earthquakes in Sichuan, China
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作者 HUANG Chen GALASSO Carmine 《工程科学与技术》 EI CAS CSCD 北大核心 2018年第3期112-124,共13页
Recent earthquakes in the Sichuan Province have contributed to significantly expand the existing ground-motion database for China with new,high-quality ground-motion records.This study investigated the compatibility o... Recent earthquakes in the Sichuan Province have contributed to significantly expand the existing ground-motion database for China with new,high-quality ground-motion records.This study investigated the compatibility of ground-motion prediction equations(GMPEs)established by the NGA-West2 project in the US and local GMPEs for China,with respect to magnitude scaling,distance scaling,and site scaling implied by recent Chinese strong-motion data.The NGA-West2 GMPEs for shallow crustal earthquakes in tectonically active regions are considerably more sophisticated than widely used previous models,particularly in China.Using a mixed-effects procedure,the study evaluated event terms(inter-event residuals)and intra-event residuals of Chinese data relative to the NGA-West2 GMPEs.Distance scaling was investigated by examining trends of intra-event residuals with source-to-site distance.Scaling with respect to site conditions was investigated by examining trends of intra-event residuals with soil type.The study also investigated other engineering characteristics of Chinese strong ground motions.In particular,the records were analyzed for evidence of pulse-like forward-directivity effects.The elastic median response spectra of the selected stations were compared to code-mandated design spectra for various mean return periods.Results showed that international and local GMPEs can be applied for seismic hazard analysis in Sichuan with minor modification of the regression coefficients related to the source-to-site distance and soil scaling.Specifically,the Chinese data attenuated faster than implied by the considered GMPEs and the differences were statistically significant in some cases.Near-source,pulse-like ground motions were identified at two recording stations for the 2008 Wenchuan earthquake,possibly implying rupture directivity.The median recorded spectra were consistent with the code-based spectra in terms of amplitude and shape.The new ground-motion data can be used to develop advanced ground-motion models for China and 展开更多
关键词 ground motion prediction equations NGA-West2 project code-based spectrum pulse-like ground motions
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A simulation-based nonlinear site amplification model for ground-motion prediction equations in Japan 被引量:1
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作者 Ruibin Hou John Xingquan Zhao 《Earthquake Engineering and Engineering Vibration》 SCIE EI CSCD 2021年第4期843-862,共20页
In this manuscript we present a nonlinear site amplification model for ground-motion prediction equations(GMPEs)in Japan,using a site period-based site class and a site impedance ratio as site parameters.We used a lar... In this manuscript we present a nonlinear site amplification model for ground-motion prediction equations(GMPEs)in Japan,using a site period-based site class and a site impedance ratio as site parameters.We used a large number of shear-wave velocity profiles from the Kiban-Kyoshin network(KiK-net)and the Kyoshin network(K-NET)to construct the one-dimensional(1D)numerical models.The strong-motion records from rock-sites in Japan with different earthquake categories and taken from the Pacific Earthquake Engineering Research Center dataset were used in this study.We fit a set of 1D site amplification models using the spectral amplification ratios derived from 1D equivalent linear analyses.Parameters of site impedance ratios for both linear and nonlinear site response were included in the 1D model.The 1D model could be implemented into GMPEs using a new proposed adjustment method.The adjusted site amplification ratios retain the nonlinear characteristics of the 1D model for strong motions and match the linear amplification ratio in GMPE for weak motions.The nonlinearity of the present site model is reasonably similar to that of the historical models,and the present site model could satisfactorily capture the nonlinear site response in empirical data. 展开更多
关键词 nonlinear site amplification model ground-motion prediction equations site class site impedance ratio site response analysis
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地震动持时在工程抗震设计中的研究现状与展望 被引量:1
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作者 王志涛 王巨 郭小东 《震灾防御技术》 CSCD 北大核心 2023年第1期147-163,共17页
长持时地震动对工程场地震害和建筑结构累积损伤具有不利影响,在工程结构抗震设计中选取地震波时,应充分考虑地震动持时的影响。通过文献梳理,对几类典型的地震动持时定义进行阐述,分析其特点与适用性,并总结持时影响因素及预测方程的... 长持时地震动对工程场地震害和建筑结构累积损伤具有不利影响,在工程结构抗震设计中选取地震波时,应充分考虑地震动持时的影响。通过文献梳理,对几类典型的地震动持时定义进行阐述,分析其特点与适用性,并总结持时影响因素及预测方程的研究进展。基于持时对结构抗震性能的影响,总结考虑持时的抗震设计方法研究现状,分析存在的问题,并对研究方向进行展望。 展开更多
关键词 地震动持时 持时影响因素 持时预测方程 抗震设计
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随机有限断层法的俯冲带板内地震动模拟
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作者 林德昕 马强 +3 位作者 陶冬旺 马完君 解全才 刘名吉 《哈尔滨工业大学学报》 EI CAS CSCD 北大核心 2023年第10期103-113,共11页
为明确随机有限断层法在俯冲带板内地震动模拟中的适用性,以2021年日本千叶M j6.1俯冲带板内地震为例,使用该方法模拟了震中范围100 km内25组KiK-net台站井上和井下记录,并分析了模拟与观测记录的频谱、持时、峰值和空间分布等地震动特... 为明确随机有限断层法在俯冲带板内地震动模拟中的适用性,以2021年日本千叶M j6.1俯冲带板内地震为例,使用该方法模拟了震中范围100 km内25组KiK-net台站井上和井下记录,并分析了模拟与观测记录的频谱、持时、峰值和空间分布等地震动特征。结果表明:模拟与观测记录的5%阻尼比拟加速度反应谱(A_(ps))在0.1~10 Hz频带范围内吻合较好;基于70%能量持时模型的模拟记录在强震动段和持时上与观测记录匹配良好;井上台模拟与观测记录的地表峰值加速度(A_(pg))接近,且两者A_(pg)衰减特征基本一致;模拟和观测记录所得A_(pg)等值线相似。此外,将模拟和观测记录与现有日本俯冲带板内地震动衰减关系式(Zhao16)进行了比较,发现Zhao16的A_(pg)预测值普遍出现高估,其A_(ps)预测值在低频和高频分别出现一定程度的低估和高估,这可能与研究区域的盆地效应和软土层有关。研究结果为随机有限断层法模拟俯冲带板内地震动的适用性提供了依据,进而为探索将该方法应用于中国具有相似俯冲带构造的地区提供参考。 展开更多
关键词 2021日本千叶地震 随机有限断层法 地震动模拟 俯冲带衰减关系 俯冲带板内地震
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