This paper presents a comprehensive analysis of global human trafficking trends over a twenty-year period, leveraging a robust dataset from the Counter Trafficking Data Collaborative (CTDC). The study unfolds in a sys...This paper presents a comprehensive analysis of global human trafficking trends over a twenty-year period, leveraging a robust dataset from the Counter Trafficking Data Collaborative (CTDC). The study unfolds in a systematic manner, beginning with a detailed data collection phase, where ethical and legal standards for data usage and privacy are strictly observed. Following collection, the data undergoes a rigorous preprocessing stage, involving cleaning, integration, transformation, and normalization to ensure accuracy and consistency for analysis. The analytical phase employs time-series analysis to delineate historical trends and utilizes predictive modeling to forecast future trajectories of human trafficking using the advanced analytical capabilities of Power BI. A comparative analysis across regions—Africa, the Americas, Asia, and Europe—is conducted to identify and visualize the distribution of human trafficking, dissecting the data by victim demographics, types of exploitation, and duration of victimization. The findings of this study not only offer a descriptive and predictive outlook on trafficking patterns but also provide insights into the regional nuances that influence these trends. The article underscores the prevalence and persistence of human trafficking, identifies factors contributing to its evolution, and discusses the implications for policy and law enforcement. By integrating a methodological approach with quantitative analysis, this research contributes to the strategic planning and resource allocation for combating human trafficking. It highlights the necessity for continued research and international cooperation to effectively address and mitigate this global issue. The implications of this research are significant, offering actionable insights for policymakers, law enforcement, and advocates in the ongoing battle against human trafficking.展开更多
A project entitled‘Development of a Global High-resolution Marine Dynamic Environmental Forecasting System’has been funded by‘The Program on Marine Environmental Safety Guarantee’of The National Key Research and D...A project entitled‘Development of a Global High-resolution Marine Dynamic Environmental Forecasting System’has been funded by‘The Program on Marine Environmental Safety Guarantee’of The National Key Research and Development Program of China.This project will accomplish its objectives through basic theoretical research,model development and expansion,and system establishment and application,with a focus on four key issues separated into nine tasks.A series of research achievements have already been obtained,including datasets,observations,theories,and model results.展开更多
针对传统静态状态估计方法的缺点,提出了一种改进的电力系统状态估计方法,即将部分节点相量测量单元(phasor measurement unit,PMU)量测数据与监控数据采集(supervisory control and data acquisition,SCADA)量测数据融合进行电力系统...针对传统静态状态估计方法的缺点,提出了一种改进的电力系统状态估计方法,即将部分节点相量测量单元(phasor measurement unit,PMU)量测数据与监控数据采集(supervisory control and data acquisition,SCADA)量测数据融合进行电力系统的全网状态估计。该方法简化了系统的雅可比矩阵,缩短了计算时间。文章研究了PMU和SCADA系统融合改进后的快速分解法,针对SCADA量测数据的缺点,通过历史数据库对潮流数据进行预测,并依据PMU量测量对系统进行分析,继而进行系统全网状态的动态监测。通过算例证明,与传统的估计方法相比,该方法改善了状态估计的精确性,减少了迭代次数,细致地描绘了电网状态的变化过程,为调度中心下一步的决策提供了依据。展开更多
The medium-term runoff forecasting provided new information for forecast of medium and long term runoff and optimal hydroelectric power generation.According to the actual runoff and hydropower generating characteristi...The medium-term runoff forecasting provided new information for forecast of medium and long term runoff and optimal hydroelectric power generation.According to the actual runoff and hydropower generating characteristics of Ertan Hydropower Station,we studied the decade runoff quantitatively and grade forecast model based on Global Forecasting System(GFS) precipitation forecast information in wet season,then used the posteriori runoff transition probability and measurable probability of runoff forecast to research the uncertain runoff description based on runoff forecast;finally on the basis of the runoff description and the grading forecast accuracy of GFS-based next 10 days'total forecast precipitation,we studied the uncertain optimal operating model of Ertan Hydropower Station considering runoff forecast.The results showed that the runoff forecast considering GFS forecast precipitation and uncertainty has significantly improved the existing runoff description and operating optimization model,and obviously raised the hydropower generation efficiency of Ertan Reservoir.展开更多
文摘This paper presents a comprehensive analysis of global human trafficking trends over a twenty-year period, leveraging a robust dataset from the Counter Trafficking Data Collaborative (CTDC). The study unfolds in a systematic manner, beginning with a detailed data collection phase, where ethical and legal standards for data usage and privacy are strictly observed. Following collection, the data undergoes a rigorous preprocessing stage, involving cleaning, integration, transformation, and normalization to ensure accuracy and consistency for analysis. The analytical phase employs time-series analysis to delineate historical trends and utilizes predictive modeling to forecast future trajectories of human trafficking using the advanced analytical capabilities of Power BI. A comparative analysis across regions—Africa, the Americas, Asia, and Europe—is conducted to identify and visualize the distribution of human trafficking, dissecting the data by victim demographics, types of exploitation, and duration of victimization. The findings of this study not only offer a descriptive and predictive outlook on trafficking patterns but also provide insights into the regional nuances that influence these trends. The article underscores the prevalence and persistence of human trafficking, identifies factors contributing to its evolution, and discusses the implications for policy and law enforcement. By integrating a methodological approach with quantitative analysis, this research contributes to the strategic planning and resource allocation for combating human trafficking. It highlights the necessity for continued research and international cooperation to effectively address and mitigate this global issue. The implications of this research are significant, offering actionable insights for policymakers, law enforcement, and advocates in the ongoing battle against human trafficking.
基金funded by "The Program on Marine Environmental Safety Guarantee" of "The National Key Research and Development Program of China"[grant number2016YFC1401409]
文摘A project entitled‘Development of a Global High-resolution Marine Dynamic Environmental Forecasting System’has been funded by‘The Program on Marine Environmental Safety Guarantee’of The National Key Research and Development Program of China.This project will accomplish its objectives through basic theoretical research,model development and expansion,and system establishment and application,with a focus on four key issues separated into nine tasks.A series of research achievements have already been obtained,including datasets,observations,theories,and model results.
文摘针对传统静态状态估计方法的缺点,提出了一种改进的电力系统状态估计方法,即将部分节点相量测量单元(phasor measurement unit,PMU)量测数据与监控数据采集(supervisory control and data acquisition,SCADA)量测数据融合进行电力系统的全网状态估计。该方法简化了系统的雅可比矩阵,缩短了计算时间。文章研究了PMU和SCADA系统融合改进后的快速分解法,针对SCADA量测数据的缺点,通过历史数据库对潮流数据进行预测,并依据PMU量测量对系统进行分析,继而进行系统全网状态的动态监测。通过算例证明,与传统的估计方法相比,该方法改善了状态估计的精确性,减少了迭代次数,细致地描绘了电网状态的变化过程,为调度中心下一步的决策提供了依据。
基金supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China(Grant Nos.50579095,51079015)
文摘The medium-term runoff forecasting provided new information for forecast of medium and long term runoff and optimal hydroelectric power generation.According to the actual runoff and hydropower generating characteristics of Ertan Hydropower Station,we studied the decade runoff quantitatively and grade forecast model based on Global Forecasting System(GFS) precipitation forecast information in wet season,then used the posteriori runoff transition probability and measurable probability of runoff forecast to research the uncertain runoff description based on runoff forecast;finally on the basis of the runoff description and the grading forecast accuracy of GFS-based next 10 days'total forecast precipitation,we studied the uncertain optimal operating model of Ertan Hydropower Station considering runoff forecast.The results showed that the runoff forecast considering GFS forecast precipitation and uncertainty has significantly improved the existing runoff description and operating optimization model,and obviously raised the hydropower generation efficiency of Ertan Reservoir.