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基于数据挖掘算法和数值模拟技术的大气污染减排效果评估 被引量:22
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作者 熊亚军 徐敬 +5 位作者 孙兆彬 李梓铭 吴进 尹晓梅 乔林 赵秀娟 《环境科学学报》 CAS CSCD 北大核心 2019年第1期116-125,共10页
近年来,京津冀地区采取了大量污染减排措施进行大气污染治理,如何客观评估减排效果是目前大气环境领域的研究难点.为准确评估大气污染过程的减排效果,本文利用北京地区常规气象资料、国控站PM_(2.5)浓度资料,遴选了北京地区2018年3月11... 近年来,京津冀地区采取了大量污染减排措施进行大气污染治理,如何客观评估减排效果是目前大气环境领域的研究难点.为准确评估大气污染过程的减排效果,本文利用北京地区常规气象资料、国控站PM_(2.5)浓度资料,遴选了北京地区2018年3月11—14日和2013年3月14—17日两次空气污染过程,计算了大气容量系数、静稳指数,并利用KNN数据挖掘算法和WRF-Chem模式,对比分析了有无减排条件下的PM_(2.5)日均浓度.结果表明:两次空气污染过程的天气形势和局地气象条件较相似,就大气热力和动力的垂直结构来看,2018年空气污染过程比2013年空气污染过程的大气稳定性更强、边界层高度更低、环境容量更小,但PM_(2.5)峰值浓度却显著下降,平均浓度明显降低,PM_(2.5)小时浓度的增长趋势相对平缓,重污染持续时间缩短.KNN数据挖掘算法减排评估结果显示,该方法能够较好地预测PM_(2.5)日均浓度的变化趋势,2018年3月11—14日,在减排和不减排情景下PM_(2.5)日均值分别为171和229μg·m^(-3),减排使得污染过程PM_(2.5)平均浓度下降了25.3%.数值模拟结果与KNN数据分析结论吻合,进一步验证了减排措施的有效性.综合看来,2018年空气污染过程中PM_(2.5)浓度相比历史相似气象条件下的污染过程显著降低,这是长期大力度减排效果的体现. 展开更多
关键词 北京 相似环流 KNN数据挖掘算法 数值模拟 减排评估
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CO_(2)捕集、利用与封存技术及CO_(2)管道研究现状与发展 被引量:15
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作者 郭克星 闫光龙 +2 位作者 张阿昱 席敏敏 牛爱军 《天然气与石油》 2023年第1期28-40,共13页
CO_(2)捕集、利用与封存(CO_(2)Capture, Utilization and Storage, CCUS)技术是减少碳排放的有效手段之一,是实现中国“双碳”目标的重要技术保障,其中CO_(2)管道输送是最重要的一环。从CCUS技术和CO_(2)管道设计两个维度综述了国内外C... CO_(2)捕集、利用与封存(CO_(2)Capture, Utilization and Storage, CCUS)技术是减少碳排放的有效手段之一,是实现中国“双碳”目标的重要技术保障,其中CO_(2)管道输送是最重要的一环。从CCUS技术和CO_(2)管道设计两个维度综述了国内外CO_(2)捕集、CO_(2)运输、CO_(2)封存和CO_(2)利用的研究进展,针对运输过程,着重从工艺设计、杂质、含水量、止裂控制和风险评估等方面梳理了CO_(2)管道设计的研究成果。中国目前正在大力推进CCUS技术,中国石油、中国石化和中国海洋石油等机构分别成立了相关的研究机构,聚焦CCUS发展的各个环节。虽然中国尚处于技术发展的初级阶段,但相信随着科研人员的努力会很快赶超发达国家,跻身第一方阵。研究结果旨在为中国的CCUS技术发展提供参考,促进中国CCUS技术的推广实施和CO_(2)管道的合理设计。 展开更多
关键词 “双碳”目标 CCUS 碳排放 CO_(2)管道 工艺设计 杂质 含水量 止裂控制 风险评估
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燃煤电厂碳排放在线监测和管理系统设计 被引量:12
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作者 林玥廷 李世明 +1 位作者 卢建刚 丁伟 《自动化技术与应用》 2018年第4期139-141,共3页
本文阐述了电力行业碳排放管理面临的问题;提出了一种燃煤电厂碳排放在线监测和管理系统设计方案,包括碳排放计量,指标计算,碳排放预警,碳配额管理,数据统计及调度和考核方法 ;本系统可应用于指导节能发电调度,为碳排放考核提供数据参考。
关键词 碳排放 在线监测 指标计算 预警 考核
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欧盟碳边境调节机制对产品出口成本影响评估 被引量:3
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作者 张蓝心 温宗国 +1 位作者 许毛 胡喆 《中国环境科学》 EI CAS CSCD 北大核心 2024年第4期1788-1794,共7页
碳边境调节机制(CBAM)带来的产品出口成本影响存在较高的不确定性.通过剖析CBAM条例规则,对CBAM关键要素的核算范围与规则进行研判,提出了评估CBAM出口成本影响的方法学框架,并以粗钢产品为例开展了实证研究.结果表明,在CBAM的系统边界... 碳边境调节机制(CBAM)带来的产品出口成本影响存在较高的不确定性.通过剖析CBAM条例规则,对CBAM关键要素的核算范围与规则进行研判,提出了评估CBAM出口成本影响的方法学框架,并以粗钢产品为例开展了实证研究.结果表明,在CBAM的系统边界与排放核算范围内,我国1t转炉粗钢的嵌入排放为1.73tCO_(2)eq,我国向欧盟出口粗钢产品的增量成本为37.26欧元/t.基于评估结果并统筹考虑我国与欧盟的气候政策体系差异,提出了包括隐性碳价谈判、降低产品碳排放强度、调整出口结构在内的多项应对CBAM的政策建议. 展开更多
关键词 碳边境调节机制(CBAM) 嵌入排放 影响评估 钢铁行业
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建筑全生命周期碳排放——内涵、计算和减量
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作者 Zujian Huang Hao Zhou +3 位作者 Zhijian Miao Hao Tang Borong Lin Weimin Zhuang 《Engineering》 SCIE EI CAS CSCD 2024年第4期115-139,共25页
The life-cycle assessment method,which originates from general products and services,has gradually come to be applied to investigations of the life-cycle carbon emissions(LCCE)of buildings.A literature review was cond... The life-cycle assessment method,which originates from general products and services,has gradually come to be applied to investigations of the life-cycle carbon emissions(LCCE)of buildings.A literature review was conducted to clarify LCCE implications,calculations,and reductions in the context of buildings.A total of 826 global building carbon emission calculation cases were obtained from 161 studies based on the framework of the building life-cycle stage division stipulated by ISO 21930 and the basic principles of the emission factor(EF)approach.The carbon emission calculation methods and results are discussed herein,based on the modules of production,construction,use,end-of-life,and supplementary benefits.According to the hotspot distribution of a building’s carbon emissions,carbon reduction strategies are classified into six groups for technical content and benefits analysis,including reducing the activity data pertaining to building materials and energy,reducing the carbon EFs of the building materials and energy,and exploiting the advantages of supplementary benefits.The research gaps and challenges in current building LCCE studies are summarized in terms of research goals and ideas,calculation methods,basic parameters,and carbon reduction strategies;development suggestions are also proposed. 展开更多
关键词 Building carbon emissions Embodied carbon emissions Operational carbon emissions System boundary Activity data Carbon emission factor Life-cycle assessment Carbon reduction
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基于主体功能区的山西省碳排放时空特征及减排评价 被引量:1
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作者 李虹 张红 +2 位作者 贺桂珍 张霄羽 刘勇 《生态学报》 CAS CSCD 北大核心 2024年第1期143-153,共11页
碳排放核算是落实温室气体减排目标、应对气候变化和实现可持续发展的重要基础。碳排放强度的变化趋势体现了碳减排成效,是主体功能区未来减排措施和低碳发展道路的选择与调整的重要依据。以我国典型高碳经济省份山西省为研究对象,采用B... 碳排放核算是落实温室气体减排目标、应对气候变化和实现可持续发展的重要基础。碳排放强度的变化趋势体现了碳减排成效,是主体功能区未来减排措施和低碳发展道路的选择与调整的重要依据。以我国典型高碳经济省份山西省为研究对象,采用BP神经网络模型,基于市级碳排放量、人口、GDP、夜间灯光总值、植被覆盖率、城市化水平构建了适用于主体功能区的碳排放核算模型,运用探索性空间数据分析、Dagum基尼系数和时间倾向率等方法,分析了主体功能区碳排放时空特征、碳排放区域差异并评价碳减排成效。结果表明:(1)从时间趋势来看,2006—2020年各主体功能区碳排放量呈现逐年增长的趋势,其增长率均表现为重点开发区域(48.08%)>农产品主产区(38.13%)>重点生态功能区(33.95%)的特征,与各区域的功能定位和产业结构显著相关。(2)从空间演变来看,主体功能区的空间集聚特征与山西省“两山夹一川”的独特地势相关。重点开发区域空间集聚格局较为稳定,集中在山西省中部,而农产品主产区、重点生态功能区的集聚特征不显著,分布在东部和西部。(3)碳排放区域差异分析表明山西省碳排放地区间总体差异呈现下降趋势,总体基尼系数由2006年的0.505下降到2020年的0.498,年均下降0.102%,重点开发区域和重点生态功能区之间的差异是总体差异的主要来源。(4)碳减排效果评价显示主体功能区碳排放强度均呈现下降趋势,重点开发区域的碳减排成效显著高于农产品主产区和重点生态功能区。基于对主体功能区碳排放的分析,结合其功能定位,针对性地提出主体功能区减排和低碳发展措施。本文为我国能源资源型省份制定和实施差异化节能减排政策提供了科学参考。 展开更多
关键词 碳排放 减排评价 主体功能区 山西省
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方案设计阶段建筑碳排放计算与低碳性评估
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作者 吴志敏 季柳金 +1 位作者 董凯红 朱文祥 《绿色建筑》 CAS 2024年第4期104-107,116,共5页
“双碳”目标下,降低建筑领域的碳排放迫在眉睫。提出了建筑低碳性评估的基本思路,阐述了建筑低碳性评估的意义,分析了建筑全生命周期碳排放各组成成分;依据碳排放计算的基本公式,结合方案设计阶段建筑方案的数据条件,提出了方案设计阶... “双碳”目标下,降低建筑领域的碳排放迫在眉睫。提出了建筑低碳性评估的基本思路,阐述了建筑低碳性评估的意义,分析了建筑全生命周期碳排放各组成成分;依据碳排放计算的基本公式,结合方案设计阶段建筑方案的数据条件,提出了方案设计阶段建筑全生命周期碳排放各组成成分的计算方法,并研究了建立以碳排放强度为主要评估指标的建筑低碳性评估方法。该方法可用于指导、优化建筑的方案设计,从源头助力控制和减少建筑的碳排放。 展开更多
关键词 方案设计阶段 全生命周期 碳排放 低碳性 评估
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火电厂湿式石灰石——石膏烟气脱硫系统建设与运行的若干问题 被引量:6
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作者 范明豪 刘英卫 《安徽电力》 2007年第3期42-47,共6页
讨论了火电厂湿式石灰石-石膏烟气脱硫系统建设与运行中的一些问题,包括结垢与堵塞、烟囱腐蚀、安装气体-气体换热器与否、除灰脱硫联合运行、排污交易权、电价核定、脱硫工程评估等,就此提出相应对策,最后探讨了火电厂脱硫的发展趋势。
关键词 湿式石灰石-石膏烟气脱硫系统 结垢与堵塞 烟囱腐蚀 GGH 除灰脱硫联合运行 排污交易 电价核定 工程评估
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海事能源转型:未来燃料和未来排放 被引量:1
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作者 William Ramsay Erik Fridell Mario Michan 《哈尔滨工程大学学报(英文版)》 CSCD 2023年第4期681-692,共12页
The lifecycle greenhouse gas(GHG)emissions(Well-to-Wake)from maritime transport must be reduced by at least 50%in absolute values by 2050 to contribute to the ambitions of the Paris Agreement(2015).A transition from c... The lifecycle greenhouse gas(GHG)emissions(Well-to-Wake)from maritime transport must be reduced by at least 50%in absolute values by 2050 to contribute to the ambitions of the Paris Agreement(2015).A transition from conventional fuels to alternative fuels with zero or lower GHG emissions is viewed as the most promising avenue to reach the GHG reductions.Whereas GHG and toxic pollutants emitted from the use of fossil fuels(heavy fuel oil(HFO)and marine gas/diesel oil(MGO/MDO))are generally well understood,the emissions associated with the new fuel options are only now being measured and communicated.This review provides an outlook on fuels that could help shipping respond to the decarbonization effort including Liquefied Petroleum Gas(LPG),Liquefied Natural Gas(LNG),methanol,ammonia,and hydrogen.A quantification of the pollutants associated from the use of these fuels is provided and challenges and barriers to their uptake are discussed. 展开更多
关键词 Greenhouse gas emissions Maritime transport Future fuels Future emissions Life-cycle assessment Energy transition
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碳中和背景下碳审计的制约因素及对策研究 被引量:1
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作者 陈骞 《林业科技情报》 2023年第2期195-197,共3页
碳审计作为一种较为新颖的审计内容,随着我国确定“碳达峰、碳中和”的目标,其在监督企业和地方政府履行减碳任务方面,正在发挥越来越重要的作用。然而实践中,由于我国的碳审计发展时间相对短暂,在制度体系、审计专业技术和理念以及人... 碳审计作为一种较为新颖的审计内容,随着我国确定“碳达峰、碳中和”的目标,其在监督企业和地方政府履行减碳任务方面,正在发挥越来越重要的作用。然而实践中,由于我国的碳审计发展时间相对短暂,在制度体系、审计专业技术和理念以及人才等方面,还面临不少制约因素。因此,需要加强对碳审计的相关研究,探索形成独立完善的碳审计制度方法体系,并充实审计专业技术人才,从而为我国碳中和远景目标的实现,提供强有力的审计监督力量。 展开更多
关键词 碳中和 碳排放 碳审计 低碳经济 环境评价
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西安市碳排放动态演变及等级评估研究 被引量:1
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作者 黄仁全 曾倩 《环境科学导刊》 2023年第2期1-8,共8页
摸清西安市碳排放底数并了解其演变规律,是实现双碳目标的基础。基于《IPCC 2006年国家温室气体清单指南2019修订版》和《省级温室气体清单编制指南》,对西安市碳排放规律进行了动态分析和排放等级评估。研究结果表明,在1995—2020年,... 摸清西安市碳排放底数并了解其演变规律,是实现双碳目标的基础。基于《IPCC 2006年国家温室气体清单指南2019修订版》和《省级温室气体清单编制指南》,对西安市碳排放规律进行了动态分析和排放等级评估。研究结果表明,在1995—2020年,西安市碳排放增长迅速,从899.12万t上升至4912.14万t,年均增长7.03%;其中能源消耗部门占比最大(77.38%~89.46%),汽车排放领域增长最快,年均增长20.07%。人均排放、单位面积排放和碳排放指数增长较快,年均增量率分别为5.28%、6.98%和6.22%,排放等级由很低(Ⅰ_(b))升高至中下(Ⅱ_(a))等级;单位GDP排放呈下降趋势,年均降低率为6.63%。从创新绿色低碳技术、优化产业结构、激发碳排放权交易市场活力等方面提出对策建议。 展开更多
关键词 碳达峰碳中和 碳排放 碳承载力 评估 西安
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再生混凝土路面砖全寿命周期碳排放的计算 被引量:4
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作者 吴书安 蒋业浩 +1 位作者 王欣 王兵 《施工技术》 CAS 北大核心 2014年第24期32-36,共5页
以产业化条件下再生混凝土路面砖为研究对象,分析再生骨料及再生混凝土路面砖制备的工艺流程,引入全寿命周期评价(LCA)方法,拟定研究时间边界,分析再生混凝土路面砖生产系统的碳排放活动,综合运用碳排放系数法与生产线直接能耗统计法,... 以产业化条件下再生混凝土路面砖为研究对象,分析再生骨料及再生混凝土路面砖制备的工艺流程,引入全寿命周期评价(LCA)方法,拟定研究时间边界,分析再生混凝土路面砖生产系统的碳排放活动,综合运用碳排放系数法与生产线直接能耗统计法,建立再生混凝土路面砖的全寿命周期的碳排放计算模型。最后,以再生骨料取代率为70%再生混凝土路面砖为算例,计算全寿命周期碳排放并进行评价。 展开更多
关键词 混凝土 再生混凝土路面砖 碳排放 全寿命周期 评价
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食用菌产业碳排放研究进展及其减排对策思考 被引量:4
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作者 刘朋虎 叶菁 +2 位作者 陈华 王义祥 翁伯琦 《亚热带资源与环境学报》 2021年第1期41-47,共7页
深入开展食用菌产业碳排放规律及其变化趋势的研究具有十分重要的意义。结合福建省食用菌产业发展实际与碳排放研究主要进展,阐述了创立食用菌产业碳排放动态评估的技术体系及其过程优化运作管理的必要性,并进一步提出了因地制宜减排与... 深入开展食用菌产业碳排放规律及其变化趋势的研究具有十分重要的意义。结合福建省食用菌产业发展实际与碳排放研究主要进展,阐述了创立食用菌产业碳排放动态评估的技术体系及其过程优化运作管理的必要性,并进一步提出了因地制宜减排与实施行业碳中和计划的设想及其对策建议,以求为开辟菌业碳减排的新技术领域与食用菌产业绿色发展提供参考与借鉴。 展开更多
关键词 食用菌 产业 碳排放 研究进展 减排对策
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STRATEGIES FOR A LOW-CARBON FOOD SYSTEM IN CHINA
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作者 Xinpeng JIN Xiangwen FAN +2 位作者 Yuanchao HU Zhaohai BAI Lin MA 《Frontiers of Agricultural Science and Engineering》 CSCD 2023年第2期167-182,共16页
In China,there has been insufficient study of whole food system greenhouse gas(GHG)accounting,which limits the development of mitigation strategies and may preclude the achievement of carbon peak and carbon neutrality... In China,there has been insufficient study of whole food system greenhouse gas(GHG)accounting,which limits the development of mitigation strategies and may preclude the achievement of carbon peak and carbon neutrality goals.The paper presents the development of a carbon extension of NUFER(NUtrient flows in Food chain,Environment and Resources use model),a food system GHG emission accounting model that covers land use and land-use change,agricultural production,and post-production subsectors.The spatiotemporal characteristics of GHG emissions were investigated for the Chinese food system(CFS)from 1992 to 2017,with a focus on GHG emissions from the entire system.The potential to achieve a low-carbon food system in China was explored.The net GHG emissions from the CFS increased from 785Tg CO_(2)equivalent(CO_(2)-eq)in 1992 to 1080 Tg CO_(2)-eq in 2017.Agricultural activities accounted for more than half of the total emissions during the study period,while agricultural energy was the largest contributor to the GHG increase.In 2017,highest emitting regions were located in central and southern China(Guangdong and Hunan),the North China Plain(Shandong,Henan and Jiangsu)and Northeast China(Heilongjiang and Inner Mongolia)and contributed to over half of the total GHG emissions.Meanwhile,Xinjiang,Qinghai and Tibet are shown as carbon sink areas.It was found that foodsystem GHG emissions could be reduced to 355 Tg CO_(2)-eq,where enhancing endpoint mitigation technologies,transforming social-economic and diet conditions,and increasing agricultural productivities can contribute to 60%,25%and 15%,respectively.Synergistic mitigation effects were found to exist in agricultural activities. 展开更多
关键词 greenhouse gas emissions food system life cycle assessment environmental inputoutput analysis mitigation strategies
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建设项目碳排放评价技术方法及案例研究 被引量:4
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作者 张以晖 乐融融 林逢春 《环境科学与管理》 CAS 2014年第7期166-171,共6页
将碳排放因素纳入建设项目环评,对其进行项目层面的控制,有利于促进碳减排和低碳经济的发展。文章尝试构建了建设项目碳排放环评体系,通过对某污水处理厂工艺流程中的碳源分析,确定评价范围,核算情景年份下的碳排放量,综合分析碳排放对... 将碳排放因素纳入建设项目环评,对其进行项目层面的控制,有利于促进碳减排和低碳经济的发展。文章尝试构建了建设项目碳排放环评体系,通过对某污水处理厂工艺流程中的碳源分析,确定评价范围,核算情景年份下的碳排放量,综合分析碳排放对环境、经济及社会的影响,最后探讨了协同减排效应,并制定跟踪评价计划。研究表明该污水处理厂在情景年份下,随着污水处理量的增加,碳排放量逐年上升。 展开更多
关键词 建设项目 碳排放 影响评价 案例研究
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SitewiseTM和SEFA方法测算污染场地修复环境足迹对比
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作者 周游 辛毅 +6 位作者 冯彤 桑春晖 肖萌 张红振 李香兰 杨欣桐 董璟琦 《中国环境科学》 EI CAS CSCD 北大核心 2023年第10期5439-5448,共10页
使用SitewiseTM和SEFA对我国北方某城市污染场地修复活动产生的环境足迹进行对比分析,比较其方法原理、指标体系、适用范围和改进建议.结果表明,两款工具在该案例中对温室气体排放量、能源消耗量的模拟一致性相对较好,但对NO_(x)、SO_(x... 使用SitewiseTM和SEFA对我国北方某城市污染场地修复活动产生的环境足迹进行对比分析,比较其方法原理、指标体系、适用范围和改进建议.结果表明,两款工具在该案例中对温室气体排放量、能源消耗量的模拟一致性相对较好,但对NO_(x)、SO_(x)、PM等大气污染物的评估结果存在一定差异,主要由于部分修复环节内置数据库排放因子差异较大.两款工具均能识别出造成环境影响的关键修复环节,也可以同时对不同修复方案进行对比分析,但是对经济、社会指标的评估不充分,缺乏敏感性分析等功能,指标体系和内置数据库与我国实际情况有差异.建议根据我国能耗水平和污染物排放特点,研发适合我国国情的定量测算修复活动环境足迹的工具,为修复活动减污降碳提供科学依据. 展开更多
关键词 绿色可持续修复 碳排放 二次环境影响 低碳修复 评估工具
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Modeling and assessing international climate financing 被引量:2
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作者 Jing WU Lichun TANG +2 位作者 Rayman MOHAMED Qianting ZHU Zheng WANG 《Frontiers of Earth Science》 CSCD 2016年第2期253-263,共11页
Climate financing is a key issue in current negotiations on climate protection. This study establishes a climate financing model based on a mechanism in which donor countries set up funds for climate financing and rec... Climate financing is a key issue in current negotiations on climate protection. This study establishes a climate financing model based on a mechanism in which donor countries set up funds for climate financing and recipient countries use the funds exclusively for carbon emission reduction. The burden-sharing principles are based on GDP, historical emissions, and consumption- based emissions. Using this model, we develop and analyze a series of scenario simulations, including a financing program negotiated at the Cancun Climate Change Conference (2010) and several subsequent programs. Results show that sustained climate financing can help to combat global climate change. However, the Cancun Agreements are projected to result in a reduction of only 0.0I^C in global warming by 2100 compared to the scenario without climate financing. Longer-term climate financing programs should be established to achieve more significant benefits. Our model and simulations also show that climate financing has economic benefits for develop- ing countries. Developed countries will suffer a slight GDP loss in the early stages of climate financing, but the long- term economic growth and the eventual benefits of climate mitigation will compensate for this slight loss. Different burden-sharing principles have very similar effects on global temperature change and economic growth of recipient countries, but they do result in differences in GDP changes for Japan and the FSU. The GDP-based principle results in a larger share of financial burden for Japan, while the historical emissions-based principle results in a larger share of financial burden for the FSU. A larger burden share leads to a greater GDP loss. 展开更多
关键词 integrated assessment financial viability climate change policies burden sharing emissions reduc-tion
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Source emissions and climate change impacts on the multimedia transport and fate of persistent organic pollutants,Chaohu watershed,eastern China 被引量:3
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作者 Xianghui Cao Shouliang Huo +4 位作者 Hanxiao Zhang Jiaqi Zheng Zhuoshi He Chunzi Ma Shuai Song 《Journal of Environmental Sciences》 SCIE EI CAS CSCD 2021年第11期15-25,共11页
Emission intensity and climate change control the transport flux and fate of persistent organic pollutants(POPs)inmultiple environmental compartments.This study applied amultimedia model(BETR model)to explore alternat... Emission intensity and climate change control the transport flux and fate of persistent organic pollutants(POPs)inmultiple environmental compartments.This study applied amultimedia model(BETR model)to explore alternations in the spatio-temporal trends of concentrations and transport flux of benzopyrene(BaP),phenanthrene(Phe),perfluorooctane sulfonates(PFOS)and polychlorinated biphenyls(PCBs)in the Chaohu watershed,located in the lower reaches of the Yangtze River,China in response to changes in source emissions and climate.The potential historic and future risks of these pollutants also were assessed.The results suggest that current trends in concentrations and transport were similar to that of their emissions between 2005 and 2018.During the next 100 years,temporal trends and spatial patterns were not predicted to change significantly,which is consistent with climate change.Based on sensitivity and correlation analyses,climate change had significant effects on multi-media concentrations and transport fluxes of BaP,Phe,PFOS and PCBs,and rainfall intensity was the predominant controlling factor.Risk quotients(RQs)of BaP and Phe-in soil increased from 0.42 to 0.95 and 0.06 to 0.35,respectively,from 2005 to 2090,indicating potential risks.The RQs of the other examined contaminants exhibited little potential risk in soil,water,or sediment.Based on spatial patterns,it was inferred that the ecosystem around Lake Chaohu is the most at risk.The study provides insights needed for local pollution control of POPs in the Chaohu watershed.In addition,the developed approach can be applied to other watersheds world-wide. 展开更多
关键词 Climate change POP emissions Multimedia model Contaminant transport Risk assessment
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Using a Coupled Air Quality Modeling System for the Development of an Air Quality Plan in Madrid (Spain): Source Apportionment and Analysis Evaluation of Mitigation Measures
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作者 Raúl Arasa Anna Domingo-Dalmau Ricardo Vargas 《Journal of Geoscience and Environment Protection》 2016年第3期46-61,共16页
In this contribution, we use a coupled air quality modelling system (AQM) as a tool to design and develop an air quality plan in Madrid. AQM has allowed us to obtain a preliminary evaluation of the effect of mitigatio... In this contribution, we use a coupled air quality modelling system (AQM) as a tool to design and develop an air quality plan in Madrid. AQM has allowed us to obtain a preliminary evaluation of the effect of mitigation measures over regional and local air quality levels. To achieve these goals, we have prepared a sophisticated AQM, coupling the meteorological model WRF, the emission model AEMM, and the photochemical model CMAQ. AQM was evaluated using the whole modelling year 2010 working with high horizontal resolution, 3 km for the region of Madrid and 1km for urban metropolitan area of Madrid. Two different analyses have been realized: a source apportionment exercise following a zero-out methodology to obtain the contribution to the air quality levels of the different emission sector;and an evaluation of the main mitigation measures considered in the air quality plan using sensitivity analysis. The air quality plan was focused on the improvement of NO<sub>2</sub> levels and AQM analyzed the effect of the mitigation measures during ten episodes of 2011 where NO<sub>2</sub> or O<sub>3</sub> levels were the highest of the year;so we analyzed the effect of the mitigation plan in worst conditions. Results provided by the AQM system show that it accomplishes the European Directive modelling uncertainty requirements and the mean absolute gross error for 1-h maximum daily NO<sub>2</sub> is 31% over locations with higher levels of this atmospheric pollutant;the road traffic is the main contributor to the air quality levels providing a 81% for NO<sub>2</sub>, 67% for CO and 46% for PM<sub>10</sub>;measures defined in the plan achieve to reduce up to 11 μgm<sup>-3</sup> NO<sub>2</sub> levels offering highest reductions over urban areas with traffic influence. 展开更多
关键词 Environmental assessment Air Quality Modelling CMAQ emissions Madrid Air Quality Plan Mitigation Measures
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Evaluation of Effluent Discharge from Steel Manufacturing Industries on the Proliferating Environmental Degradation in Nairobi Metropolitan in the Republic of Kenya
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作者 Patrick K. Kiongo Catherine Njoki Wahome +4 位作者 Peter Muli Muthama Jeniffer Muhonja Linah Ngumba Feisal Hassan Evans Momanyi 《Journal of Geoscience and Environment Protection》 2021年第9期198-226,共29页
The overall objective of this study was to establish the effects of steel industrial effluent on Nairobi metropolitan water system and its impact to the society. The study sought to identify various types of wastes pr... The overall objective of this study was to establish the effects of steel industrial effluent on Nairobi metropolitan water system and its impact to the society. The study sought to identify various types of wastes produced by factories, assess how the waste generated is managed and disposed</span></span><span style="font-family:Verdana;"><span style="font-family:Verdana;"><span style="font-family:Verdana;">,</span></span></span><span style="font-family:Verdana;"><span style="font-family:Verdana;"><span style="font-family:Verdana;"> examine the effects of effluent discharge on Nairobi River and finally propose mitigation measures. The research adopted a qualitative design and employed a number of methods: direct observations, document reviews to content analysis of the past studies, which in the end generated invaluable data. The study revealed that there are four categories of waste generated</span></span></span><span style="font-family:Verdana;"><span style="font-family:Verdana;"><span style="font-family:Verdana;">:</span></span></span><span style="font-family:Verdana;"><span style="font-family:Verdana;"><span style="font-family:Verdana;"> solid waste, liquid waste, footbath chemicals as well as thermal wastes. It was also found that waste management in place w</span></span></span><span style="font-family:Verdana;"><span style="font-family:Verdana;"><span style="font-family:Verdana;">as</span></span></span><span style="font-family:Verdana;"><span style="font-family:Verdana;"><span style="font-family:Verdana;"> not effective enough leading to water and soil pollution. Other causes of pollution were found out to emanate from gasses contamination to the air and chemicals used during steel processing. The findings will inform the community of the harmful effects of untreated water and how it impacts on their health and productivity. It will also help the stakeholders in the environmental conservation to articulate issues of policy and influence agenda setting in the national and sub-national levels. 展开更多
关键词 Effluent emissions Environmental assessment Environmental Audits Environmental Degradation Environmental Standards Industrial Effluents POLLUTION Solid Waste
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