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爆炸波中的混合不确定度量化方法 被引量:6
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作者 梁霄 王瑞利 《计算物理》 CSCD 北大核心 2017年第5期574-582,共9页
将认知不确定作为外层,偶然不确定作为内层,利用混合不确定理论处理爆炸波中的不确定度问题.分别使用非嵌入多项式混沌方法(NIPC)和Dempster-Shafer理论处理偶然不确定和认知不确定,用迎风格式求解确定系统.结果表明:NIPC和Dempster-Sha... 将认知不确定作为外层,偶然不确定作为内层,利用混合不确定理论处理爆炸波中的不确定度问题.分别使用非嵌入多项式混沌方法(NIPC)和Dempster-Shafer理论处理偶然不确定和认知不确定,用迎风格式求解确定系统.结果表明:NIPC和Dempster-Shafer结构为模型输入参数和初边值不确定性对输出响应量的影响提供一种有效方法,对各种建模与模拟不确定性评估和确认建模与模拟具有很好的参考价值. 展开更多
关键词 建模与模拟 非嵌入多项式混沌法(NIPC) 混合不确定度量化 dempster-shafer结构
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基于概率盒理论的源荷不确定性最优潮流 被引量:2
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作者 陈芷欣 丁家满 《电子测量技术》 北大核心 2021年第7期61-68,共8页
在含风电场的电力系统中,影响系统经济运行的不确定参数往往具有随机波动的特点,其容易在系统潮流优化时造成信息丢失等问题。以风电场中的风速和负荷为研究对象,采用概率盒理论来描述风电场参数的不确定性,首先利用参数的分布函数漂移... 在含风电场的电力系统中,影响系统经济运行的不确定参数往往具有随机波动的特点,其容易在系统潮流优化时造成信息丢失等问题。以风电场中的风速和负荷为研究对象,采用概率盒理论来描述风电场参数的不确定性,首先利用参数的分布函数漂移区间来建立风、荷的概率盒模型,然后以发电成本最小为目标函数,将风、荷的概率盒等信度离散化代入到优化模型中构建基于概率盒理论的最优潮流模型,最后采用内点法来求解该模型得到最优潮流的计算结果,并与蒙特卡洛的方法作对比验证所提方法的有效性。IEEE30节点系统的实验计算结果表明,使用概率盒的方法在准确性上不仅能够更加全面地描述系统的不确定性,有效地求解最优潮流问题,而且在计算时间上用时更短,操作也更加简单有效。 展开更多
关键词 不确定性 概率盒 风电 负荷 最优潮流 证据结构体
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Structural damage assessment using improved Dempster-Shafer data fusion algorithm 被引量:3
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作者 Ding Yijie Yao Xiaofei +1 位作者 Wang Sheliang Zhao Xindong 《Earthquake Engineering and Engineering Vibration》 SCIE EI CSCD 2019年第2期395-408,共14页
As an efficient tool in handling uncertain issues, Dempster-Shafer evidence theory has been increasingly used in structural health monitoring and damage detection. In applications, however, Dempster-Shafer evidence th... As an efficient tool in handling uncertain issues, Dempster-Shafer evidence theory has been increasingly used in structural health monitoring and damage detection. In applications, however, Dempster-Shafer evidence theory sometimes leads to counter-intuitive results. In this study, a new fusion algorithm of evidence theory is put forward to address various counter-intuitive problems and manage the reliability difference of the evidence. The proposed algorithm comprises the following aspects:(1) Dempster's combination rule is generalized by introducing the concept of evidence ullage. The new rule allows classical Dempster's rule and can resolve counter-intuitive problems cause by evidence conflict and evidence compatibility;(2) a reliability assessing method based on a priori and posterior knowledge is proposed. Compared with conventional reliability assessment, the proposed method can reflect the actual evidence reliabilities and can efficiently reduce decision risk. Numerical examples confirm the validity and utility of the proposed algorithm. In addition, an experimental investigation on a spatial truss structure is carried out to illustrate the identified ability of the proposed approach. The results indicate that the fusion algorithm has no strict request on the accuracy and consistency of evidence sources and can efficiently enhance diagnostic accuracy. 展开更多
关键词 dempster-shafer EVIDENCE theory DAMAGE detection EVIDENCE confl ICT EVIDENCE reliability SPATIAL TRUSS structure
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