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中国近四十年最高最低温度变化 被引量:433
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作者 翟盘茂 任福民 《气象学报》 CSCD 北大核心 1997年第4期418-429,共12页
利用中国1951-1990年的实测资料,在剔除测站迁移和城市化热岛效应对气候变化趋势的可能影响之后,研究了中国最高温度、最低温度的时空变化趋势特点。结果表明,最高温度在95°E以西及黄河以北地区普遍呈增温趋势,而... 利用中国1951-1990年的实测资料,在剔除测站迁移和城市化热岛效应对气候变化趋势的可能影响之后,研究了中国最高温度、最低温度的时空变化趋势特点。结果表明,最高温度在95°E以西及黄河以北地区普遍呈增温趋势,而在东部黄河以南却呈降温趋势;最低温度在全国普遍呈增温趋势,在高纬度地区增暖最明显。这种变化使得日较差表现出明显的减少趋势。虽然最高、最低温度变化的准周期性规律是一致的,但它们的线性变化趋势却呈现出明显的不对称性。最低温度的显著升高反映了近40a中温室效应持续加强的迹象。进一步的分析表明。 展开更多
关键词 最高温度 最低温度 温度变化 中国
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多元系统论 被引量:274
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作者 伊塔马.埃文-佐哈尔 张南峰 《中国翻译》 CSSCI 北大核心 2002年第4期19-25,共7页
在系统概念指导之下的研究,重点不再是物质和材料的描述、罗列和分类,而是现象之间的相互关系,因此只需要较少的假说,就能解释各种现象,从而令人类学科发生了巨大的变革。但是,为了发展出纯质的系统理论,多样性、冲突、矛盾、变化和时... 在系统概念指导之下的研究,重点不再是物质和材料的描述、罗列和分类,而是现象之间的相互关系,因此只需要较少的假说,就能解释各种现象,从而令人类学科发生了巨大的变革。但是,为了发展出纯质的系统理论,多样性、冲突、矛盾、变化和时间的推移都被排除在一切系统分折之外;显然是异质的现实因此被简约为同质的。多元系统论尝试改变这个传统,把上述参数纳入系统之内,令系统概念与异质性和时间的推移完全兼容。 展开更多
关键词 多元系统 形式库 异质性 稳定 变化
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The Influence of ENSO on the Summer Climate Change in China and Its Mechanism 被引量:287
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作者 黄荣辉 吴仪芳 《Advances in Atmospheric Sciences》 SCIE CAS CSCD 1989年第1期21-32,共12页
The influence of ENSO on the summer climate change in China and its mechanism from the observed data is discussed. It is discovered that in the developing stage of ENSO, the SST in the western tropical Pacific is col... The influence of ENSO on the summer climate change in China and its mechanism from the observed data is discussed. It is discovered that in the developing stage of ENSO, the SST in the western tropical Pacific is colder in summer, the convective activities may be weak around the South China Sea and the Philippines. As a consequence, the subtropical high shifted southward. Therefore, a drought may be caused in the Indo-China peninsula and in the South China. Moreover, in midsummer the subtropical high is weak over the Yangtze River valley and Huaihe River valley, and the flood may be caused in the area from the Yangtze River valley to Huaihe River valley. On the contrary, in the decaying stage of ENSO. the convective activities may be strong around the Philippines, and the subtropical high shifted northward, a drought may be caused in the Yangtze River valley and Huaihe River valley. 展开更多
关键词 The Influence of ENSO on the Summer Climate change in China and Its Mechanism ENSO
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Spatiotemporal characteristics, patterns, and causes of land-use changes in China since the late 1980s 被引量:266
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作者 LIU Jiyuan KUANG Wenhui +13 位作者 ZHANG Zengxiang XU Xinliang QIN Yuanwei NING Jia ZHOU Wancun ZHANG Shuwen LI Rendong YAN Changzhe WU Shixin SHI Xuezheng JIANG Nan YU Dongsheng PAN Xianzhang CHI Wenfeng 《Journal of Geographical Sciences》 SCIE CSCD 2014年第2期195-210,共16页
Land-use/land-cover changes (LUCCs) have links to both human and nature inter- actions. China's Land-Use/cover Datasets (CLUDs) were updated regularly at 5-year inter- vals from the late 1980s to 2010, with stand... Land-use/land-cover changes (LUCCs) have links to both human and nature inter- actions. China's Land-Use/cover Datasets (CLUDs) were updated regularly at 5-year inter- vals from the late 1980s to 2010, with standard procedures based on Landsat TM/ETM+ im- ages. A land-use dynamic regionalization method was proposed to analyze major land-use conversions. The spatiotemporal characteristics, differences, and causes of land-use changes at a national scale were then examined. The main findings are summarized as fol- lows. Land-use changes (LUCs) across China indicated a significant variation in spatial and temporal characteristics in the last 20 years (1990-2010). The area of cropland change de- creased in the south and increased in the north, but the total area remained almost un- changed. The reclaimed cropland was shifted from the northeast to the northwest. The built-up lands expanded rapidly, were mainly distributed in the east, and gradually spread out to central and western China. Woodland decreased first, and then increased, but desert area was the opposite. Grassland continued decreasing. Different spatial patterns of LUC in China were found between the late 20th century and the early 21st century. The original 13 LUC zones were replaced by 15 units with changes of boundaries in some zones. The main spatial characteristics of these changes included (1) an accelerated expansion of built-up land in the Huang-Huai-Hai region, the southeastern coastal areas, the midstream area of the Yangtze River, and the Sichuan Basin; (2) shifted land reclamation in the north from northeast China and eastern Inner Mongolia to the oasis agricultural areas in northwest China; (3) continuous transformation from rain-fed farmlands in northeast China to paddy fields; and (4) effective- ness of the "Grain for Green" project in the southern agricultural-pastoral ecotones of Inner Mongolia, the Loess Plateau, and southwestern mountainous areas. In the last two decades, although climate change 展开更多
关键词 satellite remote sensing land-use change CHARACTERISTICS spatial pattern China
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企业柔性战略——跨世纪战略管理研究与实践的前沿 被引量:145
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作者 汪应洛 李垣 刘益 《管理科学学报》 1998年第1期22-25,共4页
在分析80年代以来主要企业战略管理观点基础上,企业战略应关注如何适应变化、利用变化、制造变化来建立竞争优势.文中提出柔性战略的概念,并指出柔性战略与已有战略在含义。
关键词 柔性战略 竞争 企业管理
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1949年后的中国户籍制度:结构与变迁 被引量:152
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作者 陆益龙 《北京大学学报(哲学社会科学版)》 CSSCI 北大核心 2002年第2期123-130,共8页
起初以重建社会秩序为目标的户籍制度 ,在文化传统及发展战略选择的路径依赖中 ,逐渐演化成社会控制、资源配置、利益再分配的重要手段。这一制度安排及其演变 。
关键词 户籍制度 结构 变迁
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基础地理数据库的持续更新问题 被引量:159
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作者 陈军 李志林 +1 位作者 蒋捷 赵仁亮 《地理信息世界》 2004年第5期1-5,共5页
本文分析了基础地理数据库更新的实际需求与研究现状,指出其持续更新过程中一系列与"初始建库"不同的理论、方法和关键技术问题,提出应不失时机地加强对主数据库增量数据建模方法、多源遥感影像与矢量化地图数据的自动配准、... 本文分析了基础地理数据库更新的实际需求与研究现状,指出其持续更新过程中一系列与"初始建库"不同的理论、方法和关键技术问题,提出应不失时机地加强对主数据库增量数据建模方法、多源遥感影像与矢量化地图数据的自动配准、GIS集成环境下的重要基础地理要素变化信息的提取、多尺度地图数据库级联更新的自动综合方法、客户数据库的更新方法等的研究。 展开更多
关键词 GIS 地图数据库 基础地理信息 矢量化
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Spatial patterns and driving forces of land use change in China during the early 21st century 被引量:164
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作者 LIU Jiyuan ZHANG Zengxiang +8 位作者 XU Xinliang KUANG Wenhui ZHOU Wancun ZHANG Shuwen LI Rendong YAN Changzhen YU Dongsheng WU Shixin JIANG Nan 《Journal of Geographical Sciences》 SCIE CSCD 2010年第4期483-494,共12页
Land use and land cover change as the core of coupled human-environment systems has become a potential field of land change science (LCS) in the study of global environmental change. Based on remotely sensed data of... Land use and land cover change as the core of coupled human-environment systems has become a potential field of land change science (LCS) in the study of global environmental change. Based on remotely sensed data of land use change with a spatial resolution of 1 km × 1 km on national scale among every 5 years, this paper designed a new dynamic regionalization according to the comprehensive characteristics of land use change including regional differentiation, physical, economic, and macro-policy factors as well. Spatial pattern of land use change and its driving forces were investigated in China in the early 21 st century. To sum up, land use change pattern of this period was characterized by rapid changes in the whole country. Over the agricultural zones, e.g., Huang-Huai-Hai Plain, the southeast coastal areas and Sichuan Basin, a great proportion of fine arable land were engrossed owing to considerable expansion of the built-up and residential areas, resulting in decrease of paddy land area in southern China. The development of oasis agriculture in Northwest China and the reclamation in Northeast China led to a slight increase in arable land area in northern China. Due to the "Grain for Green" policy, forest area was significantly increased in the middle and western developing regions, where the vegetation coverage was substantially enlarged, likewise. This paper argued the main driving forces as the implementation of the strategy on land use and regional development, such as policies of "Western Development", "Revitalization of Northeast", coupled with rapidly economic development during this period. 展开更多
关键词 land use change spatial pattern driving forces the early 21st century China
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中国北方地区50年来最高和最低气温变化及其影响 被引量:122
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作者 王菱 谢贤群 +1 位作者 苏文 郭学兵 《自然资源学报》 CSSCI CSCD 北大核心 2004年第3期337-343,共7页
最高和最低温度的变化对农业和环境的影响比平均温度更加重要。自20世纪50年代以来,中国北方最高和最低温度变化的特点是:最低温度升温速率大于最高温度的升温速率;冬季升温速率大于夏季;偏北(纬度较高)地区的升温速率大于偏南(纬度较低... 最高和最低温度的变化对农业和环境的影响比平均温度更加重要。自20世纪50年代以来,中国北方最高和最低温度变化的特点是:最低温度升温速率大于最高温度的升温速率;冬季升温速率大于夏季;偏北(纬度较高)地区的升温速率大于偏南(纬度较低)地区。黄淮海和西北区,夏季最高气温呈下降趋势。对最高和最低温度变化作突变性检验,年平均最高气温变化的突变点发生于1992年,年平均最低温度变化的突变点发生于1981年。最低温度明显升高的年份远远早于最高气温,这说明最低气温的变化比最高气温变化敏感,中国北方气候变暖主要来自于最低温度升高的贡献。自20世纪80年代气候变暖以来,中国北方喜温作物种植面积扩大,作物种植北界向北推移。 展开更多
关键词 最高温度 最低温度 变化 影响
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我国信息化教学模式的20年研究述评:借鉴、变革与创新 被引量:130
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作者 林书兵 张倩苇 《中国电化教育》 CSSCI 北大核心 2015年第9期103-110,117,共9页
近20年来,伴随着教育信息化的快速发展,信息化教学模式在课堂教学中的应用也呈现出瞬息多变的态势,但到目前为止,传统课堂的教学结构并未发生实质性转变,信息化教学的效果也未真正凸显。如何变革传统课堂教学结构构建创新有效的信息化... 近20年来,伴随着教育信息化的快速发展,信息化教学模式在课堂教学中的应用也呈现出瞬息多变的态势,但到目前为止,传统课堂的教学结构并未发生实质性转变,信息化教学的效果也未真正凸显。如何变革传统课堂教学结构构建创新有效的信息化教学模式,促进信息技术与教育教学的深度融合成为摆在当前教育信息化进程中的重要课题。该文以文献调研的方式对20年来信息化教学模式的相关研究进行全面梳理,有助于我们更加深刻地认识信息化教学模式构建的一般规律,以期为教育教学模式的改革创新实践提供经验和启示。 展开更多
关键词 信息化教学模式 信息化教学设计 变革
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治理现代化目标下国家空间规划体系的变迁与重构 被引量:117
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作者 张京祥 夏天慈 《自然资源学报》 CSSCI CSCD 北大核心 2019年第10期2040-2050,共11页
基于治理理论,从中央—地方以及政府—市场关系维度,分别揭示了西方发达国家和我国空间规划体系在国家治理变迁影响下的演变历程与总体趋向。国土空间规划是我国面向生态文明建设的重要制度变革与治理体系重构的举措,但是面向国家治理... 基于治理理论,从中央—地方以及政府—市场关系维度,分别揭示了西方发达国家和我国空间规划体系在国家治理变迁影响下的演变历程与总体趋向。国土空间规划是我国面向生态文明建设的重要制度变革与治理体系重构的举措,但是面向国家治理现代化目标,未来我国国土空间规划体系再建构还必须重视三个方面的问题:(1)充分理解"国土空间"的多元价值属性,重视国土空间规划对多元目标的统筹平衡,不能把空间简单化为"自然资源"载体,谨防规划蜕化为单纯的"资源环境管控技术工具";(2)集权与分权相结合,建立与政府事权相对应、层级差异有序的空间规划体系;(3)高度重视规划研究和非法定规划的作用,为空间规划的科学性提供有力支撑。 展开更多
关键词 国家治理体系 治理现代化 空间规划 变迁 重构
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Increasing terrestrial vegetation activity in China, 1982—1999 被引量:112
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作者 FANG Jingyun PIAO Shilong +1 位作者 HE Jinsheng MA Wenhong 《Science China(Life Sciences)》 SCIE CAS 2004年第3期229-240,共12页
Variations in vegetation activity during the past 18 years in China were investigated using the normalized difference vegetation index (NDVI) derived from the 3rd generation time series dataset of NOAA-AVHRR from 1982... Variations in vegetation activity during the past 18 years in China were investigated using the normalized difference vegetation index (NDVI) derived from the 3rd generation time series dataset of NOAA-AVHRR from 1982 to 1999. In order to eliminate the effects of non-vegetation factors, we characterized areas with NDVI < 0.1 as sparsely vegetated areas and areas with NDVI ≥ 0.1 as vegetated areas. The results showed that increasing NDVI trends were evident, to varying extents, in almost all regions in China in the 18 years, indicating that vegetation activity has been rising in recent years in these regions. Compared to the early 1980s, the vegetated area increased by 3.5% by the late 1990s, while the sparsely vegetated area declined by 18.1% in the same period. The national total mean annual NDVI increased by 7.4% during the study period. Extended growing seasons and increased plant growth rates ac-counted for the bulk of these increases, while increases in temperature and summer rainfall, and strengthening agricultural activity were also likely important factors. NDVI changes in China ex-hibited relatively large spatial heterogeneity; the eastern coastal regions experienced declining or indiscernibly rising trends, while agricultural regions and western China experienced marked increases. Such a pattern was due primarily to urbanization, agricultural activity, regional climate characteristics, and different vegetation responses to regional climate changes. 展开更多
关键词 China NDVI vegetation activity climate change agricultural production urbanization.
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原真性理解:旅游与遗产保护视角的演变与差异 被引量:105
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作者 张朝枝 《旅游科学》 CSSCI 2008年第1期1-8,28,共9页
"原真性"是一个动态、多元和复杂的问题。遗产保护研究领域强调客体本身衡量标准,讨论建构公认的遗产保护标准体系与技术指标;而旅游研究则强调主体的实地体验,讨论主体对客体"真"、"假"的辨别及其体验... "原真性"是一个动态、多元和复杂的问题。遗产保护研究领域强调客体本身衡量标准,讨论建构公认的遗产保护标准体系与技术指标;而旅游研究则强调主体的实地体验,讨论主体对客体"真"、"假"的辨别及其体验效果。旅游与遗产保护是一个互动演进与相互作用的过程,因此在旅游与遗产保护研究中要从互动与动态的角度来理解原真性概念。 展开更多
关键词 原真性 旅游 遗产保护 演变 差异
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40-Year(1978–2017) human settlement changes in China reflected by impervious surfaces from satellite remote sensing 被引量:104
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作者 Peng Gong Xuecao Li Wei Zhang 《Science Bulletin》 SCIE EI CSCD 2019年第11期756-763,共8页
Impervious surfaces are the most significant feature of human settlements. Timely, accurate, and frequent information on impervious surfaces is critical in both social-economic and natural environment applications. Ov... Impervious surfaces are the most significant feature of human settlements. Timely, accurate, and frequent information on impervious surfaces is critical in both social-economic and natural environment applications. Over the past 40 years, impervious surface areas in China have grown rapidly. However,annual maps of impervious areas in China with high spatial details do not exist during this period. In this paper, we made use of reliable impervious surface mapping algorithms that we published before and the Google Earth Engine(GEE) platform to address this data gap. With available data in GEE, we were able to map impervious surfaces over the entire country circa 1978, and during 1985–2017 at an annual frequency. The 1978 data were at 60-m resolution, while the 1985–2017 data were in 30-m resolution.For the 30-m resolution data, we evaluated the accuracies for 1985, 1990, 1995, 2000, 2005, 2010, and2015. Overall accuracies reached more than 90%. Our results indicate that the growth of impervious surface in China was not only fast but also considerably exceeding the per capita impervious surface area in developed countries like Japan. The 40-year continuous and consistent impervious surface distribution data in China would generate widespread interests in the research and policy-making community. The impervious surface data can be freely downloaded from http://data.ess.tsinghua.edu.cn. 展开更多
关键词 URBANIZATION RURAL development LANDSAT data LAND COVER change JAPAN
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基于生产成本的中国农地利用集约度的变化特征 被引量:94
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作者 刘成武 李秀彬 《自然资源学报》 CSCD 北大核心 2006年第1期9-15,共7页
以价值形态的农作物种植成本为表征指标,对我国1980—2002年农地利用集约度的变化特征进行了年际间、不同种植业之间与不同区域之间的比较研究。结果表明:①近20多年来,我国农地利用的集约度不断提高,但在1985—1986年、1993—1994年与1... 以价值形态的农作物种植成本为表征指标,对我国1980—2002年农地利用集约度的变化特征进行了年际间、不同种植业之间与不同区域之间的比较研究。结果表明:①近20多年来,我国农地利用的集约度不断提高,但在1985—1986年、1993—1994年与1998—2002年,农地利用的集约度出现过三次明显的下降;②我国农地利用主要以物质成本投入为主;物质成本投入相对稳定,而劳力成本的投入变化较大,其变化同总成本变化同步;③不同种植业生产的集约度有一定差异,但在总的时序变化规律上差异不明显;④不同区域之间农地利用集约度的变化特征差异显著。低收入地区农地利用集约度的提高幅度比高收入地区大;高收入地区集约度的提高主要依赖于物质成本的投入,劳力成本投入增加不明显,而低收入地区劳力成本与物质成本的投入比例基本相当,且在1991年以后,劳力成本的投入比例超过了物质成本;从集约度的波动上看,集约度下降的阶段,收入高的地区下降幅度大,而收入低的地区下降幅度小。 展开更多
关键词 中国 农地利用 集约度 变化 特征
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广西近50年来气温、降水气候变化 被引量:101
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作者 黄雪松 周惠文 +1 位作者 黄梅丽 赵江洁 《广西气象》 2005年第4期9-11,共3页
采用广西1958~2005年的气温、降水资料,运用统计方法,分析了全区近50a来的年平均气温、最高气温、最低气温、四季平均气温和年、汛期降水量的分布特点及变化趋势.结果显示,近50a来,广西年及春、秋两季平均气温和最低气温呈明显偏高趋势... 采用广西1958~2005年的气温、降水资料,运用统计方法,分析了全区近50a来的年平均气温、最高气温、最低气温、四季平均气温和年、汛期降水量的分布特点及变化趋势.结果显示,近50a来,广西年及春、秋两季平均气温和最低气温呈明显偏高趋势,年最高气温、夏、冬两季平均气温及年降水、汛期降水变化较平稳. 展开更多
关键词 近50a 广西 气温 降水 气候变化
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太湖流域土地利用与景观格局演变研究 被引量:87
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作者 万荣荣 杨桂山 《应用生态学报》 CAS CSCD 北大核心 2005年第3期475-480,共6页
基于遥感、GIS技术和景观生态学方法 ,以太湖流域为研究区域 ,在 1 985年、1 995年和 2 0 0 0年的土地利用图基础上 ,分析了土地利用与景观格局演变 .结果表明 ,1 5年间 ,太湖流域农田呈减少趋势 ,建设用地、林地、草地、水体呈增加趋... 基于遥感、GIS技术和景观生态学方法 ,以太湖流域为研究区域 ,在 1 985年、1 995年和 2 0 0 0年的土地利用图基础上 ,分析了土地利用与景观格局演变 .结果表明 ,1 5年间 ,太湖流域农田呈减少趋势 ,建设用地、林地、草地、水体呈增加趋势 ,其中农田的减少占土地利用总减少量的 89 6 4% ,建设用地的增加占土地利用总增加量的 79 2 1 % ;由于人类活动的干预 ,太湖流域景观结构与景观异质性发生了较大变化 .从景观尺度上看 ,斑块密度、多样性指数和均匀度指数呈降低趋势 ,边界密度、优势度指数、景观形状指数呈增加趋势 ;从斑块尺度上看 ,各景观组分的异质性指数及其变化过程有较大的差异 ,体现了景观生态系统的复杂性 .人口增长、经济、政策等因素是太湖流域近 1 5年景观格局动态变化的主要驱动力 .太湖流域土地利用变化产生了景观碎化、边缘效应、生境退化等景观生态效应 .可通过调整景观尺度上的土地利用方式 ,使太湖流域生态建设及水土资源实现可持续发展 . 展开更多
关键词 土地利用 景观格局 演变 太湖流域
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The land use and land cover change database and its relative studies in China 被引量:97
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作者 LIU Jiyuan, LIU Mingliang, DENG Xiangzheng, ZhuangDafang,ZHANG Zengxiang, LUO Di(1. Inst. of Geographic Sciences and Natural Resources Research, CAS, Beijing 100101, China 2. Inst. of Remote Sensing Applications, CAS, Beijing 100101, China) 《Journal of Geographical Sciences》 SCIE CSCD 2002年第3期275-282,共8页
In the mid-1990s, we established the national operative dynamic information serving systems on natural resources and environment. During building the land-use/land-cover change (LUCC) database for the mid-1990s, 520 s... In the mid-1990s, we established the national operative dynamic information serving systems on natural resources and environment. During building the land-use/land-cover change (LUCC) database for the mid-1990s, 520 scenes of remotely sensed images of Landsat Thematic Mapper (TM) were interpreted into land-use/land-cover categories at scale of 1:100,000 under overall digital software environment after being geo-referenced and ortho-rectified. The vector map of land-use/land-cover in China at the scale of 1:100,000 was recently converted into a 1-km raster database that captures all of the high-resolution land-use information by calculating area percentage for each kind of land use category within every cell. Being designed as an operative dynamic information serving system, monitoring the change in land-use/land-cover at national level was executed. We have completed the updating of LUCC database by comparing the TM data in the mid-1990s with new data sources received during 1999–2000 and 1989–1990. The LUCC database has supported greatly the national LUCC research program in China and some relative studies are incompletely reviewed in this paper. 展开更多
关键词 land-useAand-cover change database
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Detection,Causes and Projection of Climate Change over China:An Overview of Recent Progress 被引量:99
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作者 丁一汇 任国玉 +4 位作者 赵宗慈 徐影 罗勇 李巧萍 张锦 《Advances in Atmospheric Sciences》 SCIE CAS CSCD 2007年第6期954-971,共18页
This article summarizes the main results and findings of studies conducted by Chinese scientists in the past five years. It is shown that observed climate change in China bears a strong similarity with the global aver... This article summarizes the main results and findings of studies conducted by Chinese scientists in the past five years. It is shown that observed climate change in China bears a strong similarity with the global average. The country-averaged annual mean surface air temperature has increased by 1.1℃ over the past 50 years and 0.5-0.8℃ over the past 100 years, slightly higher than the global temperature increase for the same periods. Northern China and winter have experienced the greatest increases in surface air temperature. Although no significant trend has been found in country-averaged annual precipitation, interdecadal variability and obvious trends on regional scales are detectable, with northwestern China and the mid and lower Yangtze River basin having undergone an obvious increase, and North China a severe drought. Some analyses show that frequency and magnitude of extreme weather and climate events have also undergone significant changes in the past 50 years or so. Studies of the causes of regional climate change through the use of climate models and consideration of various forcings, show that the warming of the last 50 years could possibly be attributed to an increased atmospheric concentration of greenhouse gases, while the temperature change of the first half of the 20th century may be due to solar activity, volcanic eruptions and sea surface temperature change. A significant decline in sunshine duration and solar radiation at the surface in eastern China has been attributed to the increased emission of pollutants. Projections of future climate by models of the NCC (National Climate Center, China Meteorological Administration) and the IAP (Institute of Atmospheric Physics, Chinese Academy of Sciences), as well as 40 models developed overseas, indicate a potential significant warming in China in the 21st century, with the largest warming set to occur in winter months and in northern China. Under varied emission scenarios, the country-averaged annual mean temperature is projected to incre 展开更多
关键词 climate change China DETECTION CAUSES climate models PROJECTION
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大数据时代对传统统计学变革的思考 被引量:99
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作者 朱建平 张悦涵 《统计研究》 CSSCI 北大核心 2016年第2期3-9,共7页
本文在大数据时代背景下,将统计学与大数据有机结合,剖析了大数据时代给统计学带来的变革,阐述了大数据为传统统计学带来的发展机遇。为了保持统计学旺盛的生命力,本文对统计学的发展提出了几点思考。
关键词 大数据 大数据时代 统计学 变革
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