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KaKs_Calculator:Calculating Ka and Ks Through Model Selection and Model Averaging 被引量:95
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作者 Zhang Zhang Jun Li +3 位作者 Xiao-Qian Zhao Jun Wang Gane Ka-Shu Wong Jun Yu 《Genomics, Proteomics & Bioinformatics》 SCIE CAS CSCD 2006年第4期259-263,共5页
KaKs_Calculator is a software package that calculates nonsynonymous (Ka) and synonymous (Ks) substitution rates through model selection and model averaging. Since existing methods for this estimation adopt their s... KaKs_Calculator is a software package that calculates nonsynonymous (Ka) and synonymous (Ks) substitution rates through model selection and model averaging. Since existing methods for this estimation adopt their specific mutation (substitution) models that consider different evolutionary features, leading to diverse estimates, KaKs_Calculator implements a set of candidate models in a maximum likelihood framework and adopts the Akaike information criterion to measure fitness between models and data, aiming to include as many features as needed for accurately capturing evolutionary information in protein-coding sequences. In addition, several existing methods for calculating Ka and Ks are also incorporated into this software. KaKs_Calculator, including source codes, compiled executables, and documentation, is freely available for academic use at http://evolution.genomics.org.cn/software.htm. 展开更多
关键词 model selection model averaging AIC approximate method maximum likelihoodmethod
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ECMWF集合预报和确定性预报对淮河流域暴雨预报的对比分析 被引量:25
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作者 董全 金荣花 +1 位作者 代刊 康志明 《气象》 CSCD 北大核心 2016年第9期1146-1153,共8页
本文运用2012年5—9月欧洲中期天气预报中心(ECMWF)的集合预报系统(Ensemble Prediction System,EPS)和确定性模式(High-resolution Deterministic forecast,HDet)资料对比分析了淮河流域暴雨的预报效果。对于集合预报,主要对比了基于EP... 本文运用2012年5—9月欧洲中期天气预报中心(ECMWF)的集合预报系统(Ensemble Prediction System,EPS)和确定性模式(High-resolution Deterministic forecast,HDet)资料对比分析了淮河流域暴雨的预报效果。对于集合预报,主要对比了基于EPS的日降水量极端天气预报指数(Extreme Forecast Index,EFI),和改进的贝叶斯模型平均(Modified Bayesian Model Averaging,MBMA)法对降水的订正后概率。由于ROC(Relative Operating Characteristic)检验是与模式的系统性偏差无关的,所以选用ROC检验,对比了不同空报率下的TS评分,以及不同方法的相对经济价值。对比检验的结果显示,各时效预报MBMA预报效果最好,其次是HDet,EFI的预报效果最差,其中2 d内的预报HDet接近MBMA,随着预报时效的延长,MBMA相对于HDet和EFI的优势不断增强。在不同标准下确定三种方法对淮河流域暴雨预报的阈值,结果显示MBMA同样优于HDet,EFI预报效果最差。但MBMA的优势是通过增加预报偏差得到,如果将预报偏差限定为主观预报的1.37,此时MBMA的效果和HDet的效果接近。 展开更多
关键词 集合预报系统(Ensemble Prediction System EPS) 改进型贝叶斯模型平均(Modified Bayesian Model averaging MBMA) 极端预报指数(Extreme Forecast Index EFI) 暴雨
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一种统一的准谐振开关变换器的等效电路分析法──高频网络平均法 被引量:17
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作者 林波涛 丘水生 《电子学报》 EI CAS CSCD 北大核心 1995年第8期71-74,共4页
本文提出了高频网络平均法:利用受控电源(控制量为低频变量)来代替电流(或电压)高频变化的元件。利用它对准谐振开关变换器进行分析,得出了其非线性非时变的等效电路。这一方法简单实用,物理意义鲜明,对于准谐振开关变换器的分... 本文提出了高频网络平均法:利用受控电源(控制量为低频变量)来代替电流(或电压)高频变化的元件。利用它对准谐振开关变换器进行分析,得出了其非线性非时变的等效电路。这一方法简单实用,物理意义鲜明,对于准谐振开关变换器的分析具有实用意义。 展开更多
关键词 准谐振 开关变换器 等效电路模型 高频网络
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DC-DC开关功率变换器分析方法的述评 被引量:8
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作者 林波涛 丘水生 《电路与系统学报》 CSCD 1998年第3期65-72,共8页
本文对DC-DC开关功率变换器分析方法作了一个较全面的述评,着重介绍了拓扑不变的等效电路模型、寄生效应的处理方法、状态空间平均法在准谐振变换器中的应用以及渐近法在变换器中的应用等四个方面。另外,介绍了不稳定分析的一些... 本文对DC-DC开关功率变换器分析方法作了一个较全面的述评,着重介绍了拓扑不变的等效电路模型、寄生效应的处理方法、状态空间平均法在准谐振变换器中的应用以及渐近法在变换器中的应用等四个方面。另外,介绍了不稳定分析的一些结果。 展开更多
关键词 开关功率变换器 平均法 等效电路模型 变换器
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Optimal nonlinear feedback control of quasi-Hamiltonian systems 被引量:14
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作者 朱位秋 应祖光 《Science China Mathematics》 SCIE 1999年第11期1213-1219,共7页
An innovative strategy for optimal nonlinear feedback control of linear or nonlinear stochastic dynamic systems is proposed based on the stochastic averaging method for quasi-Hamiltonian systems and stochastic dynamic... An innovative strategy for optimal nonlinear feedback control of linear or nonlinear stochastic dynamic systems is proposed based on the stochastic averaging method for quasi-Hamiltonian systems and stochastic dynamic programming principle. Feedback control forces of a system are divided into conservative parts and dissipative parts. The conservative parts are so selected that the energy distribution in the controlled system is as requested as possible. Then the response of the system with known conservative control forces is reduced to a controlled diffusion process by using the stochastic averaging method. The dissipative parts of control forces are obtained from solving the stochastic dynamic programming equation. 展开更多
关键词 nonlinear system STOCHASTIC control STOCHASTIC averaging method STOCHASTIC dynamic PROGRAMMING controlled DIFFUSION process.
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FREQUENTIST MODEL AVERAGING ESTIMATION:A REVIEW 被引量:16
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作者 Haiying WANG Xinyu ZHANG Guohua ZOU Academy of Mathematics and Systems Science,Chinese Academy of Sciences,Beijing 100190,China. 《Journal of Systems Science & Complexity》 SCIE EI CSCD 2009年第4期732-748,共17页
In applications, the traditional estimation procedure generally begins with model selection.Once a specific model is selected, subsequent estimation is conducted under the selected model withoutconsideration of the un... In applications, the traditional estimation procedure generally begins with model selection.Once a specific model is selected, subsequent estimation is conducted under the selected model withoutconsideration of the uncertainty from the selection process. This often leads to the underreportingof variability and too optimistic confidence sets. Model averaging estimation is an alternative to thisprocedure, which incorporates model uncertainty into the estimation process. In recent years, therehas been a rising interest in model averaging from the frequentist perspective, and some importantprogresses have been made. In this paper, the theory and methods on frequentist model averagingestimation are surveyed. Some future research topics are also discussed. 展开更多
关键词 Adaptive regression asymptotic theory frequentist model averaging model selection optimality.
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树木年轮轮宽年表建立方法研究进展 被引量:15
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作者 彭小梅 肖生春 肖洪浪 《中国沙漠》 CSCD 北大核心 2013年第3期857-865,共9页
树木年轮以其高分辨率、准确定年、样本广泛分布且可定量等优点,在全球变化特别是气候变化研究中广泛运用。去除以生长趋势为主的噪音,建立包含所需气候信息的轮宽年表是开展树木年轮气候学研究的关键。基于轮宽年表建立理论和树木径向... 树木年轮以其高分辨率、准确定年、样本广泛分布且可定量等优点,在全球变化特别是气候变化研究中广泛运用。去除以生长趋势为主的噪音,建立包含所需气候信息的轮宽年表是开展树木年轮气候学研究的关键。基于轮宽年表建立理论和树木径向生长概念模型,本文综述了轮宽年表建立过程中生长趋势拟合、指数化和均值化3个阶段的主要理论方法的研究进展;并详细介绍了最为关键的生长趋势拟合方法中,目前较为传统的曲线拟合类方法,和近20年来为克服曲线拟合类方法低频信息保留问题而受到关注和发展的区域曲线类方法;认为如何准确提取轮宽低频气候信息,将是树木年轮轮宽年表建立的主要发展趋势。 展开更多
关键词 轮宽年表 生长趋势拟合 去趋势 指数化 均值化
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Direct Optimization of Low-thrust Many-revolution Earth-orbit Transfers 被引量:10
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作者 Gao Yang Academy of Opto-Electronics,Chinese Academy of Sciences,Beijing 100190,China 《Chinese Journal of Aeronautics》 SCIE EI CAS CSCD 2009年第4期426-433,共8页
Low-thrust Earth-orbit transfers with 10^- 5-order thrust-to-weight ratios involve a large number of orbital revolutions which poses a real challenge to trajectory optimization. This article develops a direct method t... Low-thrust Earth-orbit transfers with 10^- 5-order thrust-to-weight ratios involve a large number of orbital revolutions which poses a real challenge to trajectory optimization. This article develops a direct method to optimize minimum-time low-thrust many-revolution Earth-orbit transfers. A parameterized control law in each orbit, in the form of the true optimal control, is proposed, and the time history of the parameters governing the control law is interpolated through a finite number of nodal values. The orbital averaging method is used to significantly reduce the computational workload and the trajectory optimization is conducted based on the orbital averaging dynamics expressed by nonsingular equinoctial elements. Furthermore, Earth's shadowing and perturbation effects are taken into account. The optimal transfer problem is thus converted to the parameter optimization problem that can be solved by nonlinear programming. Taking advantage of the mapping between the parameterized control law and the Lyapunov control law, a technique is proposed to acquire good initial guesses for optimization variables, which results in enlarged convergence domain of the direct optimization method. Numerical examples of optimal Earth-orbit transfers are presented. 展开更多
关键词 low thrust orbital transfer optimization direct method orbital averaging Lyapunov method
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Probabilistic Precipitation Forecasting Based on Ensemble Output Using Generalized Additive Models and Bayesian Model Averaging 被引量:9
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作者 杨赤 严中伟 邵月红 《Acta meteorologica Sinica》 SCIE 2012年第1期1-12,共12页
A probabilistic precipitation forecasting model using generalized additive models (GAMs) and Bayesian model averaging (BMA) was proposed in this paper. GAMs were used to fit the spatial-temporal precipitation mode... A probabilistic precipitation forecasting model using generalized additive models (GAMs) and Bayesian model averaging (BMA) was proposed in this paper. GAMs were used to fit the spatial-temporal precipitation models to individual ensemble member forecasts. The distributions of the precipitation occurrence and the cumulative precipitation amount were represented simultaneously by a single Tweedie distribution. BMA was then used as a post-processing method to combine the individual models to form a more skillful probabilistic forecasting model. The mixing weights were estimated using the expectation-maximization algorithm. The residual diagnostics was used to examine if the fitted BMA forecasting model had fully captured the spatial and temporal variations of precipitation. The proposed method was applied to daily observations at the Yishusi River basin for July 2007 using the National Centers for Environmental Prediction ensemble forecasts. By applying scoring rules, the BMA forecasts were verified and showed better performances compared with the empirical probabilistic ensemble forecasts, particularly for extreme precipitation. Finally, possible improvements and a^plication of this method to the downscaling of climate change scenarios were discussed. 展开更多
关键词 Bayesian model averaging generalized additive model probabilistic precipitation forecasting TIGGE Tweedie distribution
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A modified averaging scheme with application to the secondary Hopf bifurcation of a delayed van der Pol oscillator 被引量:9
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作者 Z.H.Wang H.Y.Hu 《Acta Mechanica Sinica》 SCIE EI CAS CSCD 2008年第4期449-454,共6页
In this paper, a modified averaging scheme is presented for a class of time-delayed vibration systems with slow variables. The new scheme is a combination of the averaging techniques proposed by Hale and by Lehman and... In this paper, a modified averaging scheme is presented for a class of time-delayed vibration systems with slow variables. The new scheme is a combination of the averaging techniques proposed by Hale and by Lehman and Weibel, respectively. The averaged equation obtained from the modified scheme is simple enough but it retains the required information for the local nonlinear dynamics around an equilibrium. As an application of the present method, the delay value for which a secondary Hopf bifurcation occurs is successfully located for a delayed van der Pol oscillator. 展开更多
关键词 Time delay ·Secondary Hopf bifurcation·The averaging technique van der Pol oscillator
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First passage failure of dynamical power systems under random perturbations 被引量:9
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作者 CHEN LinCong1 & ZHU WeiQiu2 1 College of Civil Engineering,Huaqiao University,Xiamen 361021,China 2 Department of Mechanics,State Key Laboratory of Fluid Power Transmission and Control,Zhejiang University,Hangzhou 310027,China 《Science China(Technological Sciences)》 SCIE EI CAS 2010年第9期2495-2500,共6页
The first-passage problem of dynamical power system of a single-machine-infinite-bus (SMIB) system under random perturbations is studied.First,the stochastic averaging method for quasi non-integrable generalized Hamil... The first-passage problem of dynamical power system of a single-machine-infinite-bus (SMIB) system under random perturbations is studied.First,the stochastic averaging method for quasi non-integrable generalized Hamiltonian systems is applied to reduce the equations of the SMIB system under random perturbations to a set of averaged It equations.Then,the backward Kolmogorov equation governing the conditional reliability function and the Pontryagin equation governing the conditional mean of first passage time are established and solved numerically,respectively.Finally,the proposed method is verified by using the Monte Carlo simulation of the original system. 展开更多
关键词 DYNAMICAL power system random PERTURBATION stochastic averaging FIRST PASSAGE FAILURE
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Stochastic averaging technique for SDOF strongly nonlinear systems with delayed feedback fractional-order PD controller 被引量:9
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作者 CHEN LinCong LIANG Xiao +1 位作者 ZHU WeiQiu ZHAO YaoBing 《Science China(Technological Sciences)》 SCIE EI CAS CSCD 2019年第2期287-297,共11页
A stochastic averaging technique is proposed to study the randomly excited single-degree-of-freedom(SDOF) strongly nonlinear systems with delayed feedback fractional-order proportional-derivative(PD) controller. The d... A stochastic averaging technique is proposed to study the randomly excited single-degree-of-freedom(SDOF) strongly nonlinear systems with delayed feedback fractional-order proportional-derivative(PD) controller. The delayed feedback fractional-order PD control force is approximated by an equivalent non-delay feedback control force combining with a quasi-linear elastic force and a quasi-linear damping force. The averaged It? stochastic differential equation for amplitude of the equivalent nonlinear system is derived by the generalized harmonic functions. The analytical stationary probability density function(PDF) is obtained with solving the reduced Fokker-Planck-Kolmogorov(FPK) equation. Two examples of van der Pol oscillator and RayleighDuffing oscillator are studied to illustrate the application and effectiveness of the proposed method. Numerical results display that the proposed method can yield to the high precision, and the time delay could ruin the control effectiveness, but also even amplifies the response of the system more than that of uncontrolled system. Furthermore, the study finds that the parameters of fractional-order α and time delay may cause the stochastic P-bifurcation. It is indicated that the delayed feedback fractional-order PD controller can offer a potentially effective tool for anti-control of stochastic bifurcation 展开更多
关键词 αstochastic averaging STRONGLY nonlinear system time DELAY FRACTIONAL-ORDER PD^a CONTROLLER
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基于混合ISSA-LSTM的锂离子电池剩余使用寿命预测 被引量:9
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作者 邹红波 柴延辉 +1 位作者 杨钦贺 陈俊廷 《电力系统保护与控制》 EI CSCD 北大核心 2023年第19期21-31,共11页
准确预测锂离子电池剩余使用寿命(remaining useful life,RUL)对降低电池使用风险和维护设备稳定性方面具有重要意义。为了提高锂离子电池RUL预测的稳定性和结果的准确性,提出一种基于混合改进麻雀搜索算法(improved sparrow search alg... 准确预测锂离子电池剩余使用寿命(remaining useful life,RUL)对降低电池使用风险和维护设备稳定性方面具有重要意义。为了提高锂离子电池RUL预测的稳定性和结果的准确性,提出一种基于混合改进麻雀搜索算法(improved sparrow search algorithm,ISSA)与长短期记忆(long short-term memory,LSTM)神经网络的锂电池RUL预测模型。首先,用均值化方法对原始数据中的异常值进行处理。然后,结合Tent混沌映射、自适应权重以及反向学习策略和柯西变异扰动策略优化麻雀搜索算法,再利用改进麻雀搜索算法对LSTM模型的参数进行优化。最后,采用改进的混合ISSA-LSTM模型并完成RUL预测。采用NASA公开数据集对本模型进行验证。结果表明,该模型的平均绝对误差、均方根误差和平均相对百分比误差控制在0.01647、0.02284和1.2048%以内,能够有效地提高锂离子电池RUL的预测精度。 展开更多
关键词 锂离子电池 剩余使用寿命预测 混合改进麻雀搜索算法 长短期记忆神经网络 均值化
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On stochastic optimal control of partially observable nonlinear quasi Hamiltonian systems 被引量:10
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作者 朱位秋 应祖光 《Journal of Zhejiang University Science》 EI CSCD 2004年第11期1313-1317,共5页
A stochastic optimal control strategy for partially observable nonlinear quasi Hamiltonian systems is proposed. The optimal control forces consist of two parts. The first part is determined by the conditions under whi... A stochastic optimal control strategy for partially observable nonlinear quasi Hamiltonian systems is proposed. The optimal control forces consist of two parts. The first part is determined by the conditions under which the stochastic optimal control problem of a partially observable nonlinear system is converted into that of a completely observable linear system. The second part is determined by solving the dynamical programming equation derived by applying the stochastic averaging method and stochastic dynamical programming principle to the completely observable linear control system. The response of the optimally controlled quasi Hamiltonian system is predicted by solving the averaged Fokker-Planck-Kolmogorov equation associated with the optimally controlled completely observable linear system and solving the Riccati equation for the estimated error of system states. An example is given to illustrate the procedure and effectiveness of the proposed control strategy. 展开更多
关键词 Nonlinear system Partially observation Stochastic optimal control Separation principle Stochastic averaging Dynamical programming
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Variation in the methods leads to variation in the interpretation of biodiversity-ecosystem multifunctionality relationships 被引量:9
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作者 Xin Jing Case M.Prager +3 位作者 Aimée T.Classen Fernando T.Maestre Jin-Sheng He Nathan J.Sanders 《Journal of Plant Ecology》 SCIE CSCD 2020年第4期431-441,共11页
Aims Biodiversity is often positively related to the capacity of an ecosystem to provide multiple functions simultaneously(i.e.multifunctionality).However,there is some controversy over whether biodiversity–multifunc... Aims Biodiversity is often positively related to the capacity of an ecosystem to provide multiple functions simultaneously(i.e.multifunctionality).However,there is some controversy over whether biodiversity–multifunctionality relationships depend on the number of functions considered.Particularly,investigators have documented contrasting findings that the effects of biodiversity on ecosystem multifunctionality do not change or increase with the number of ecosystem functions.Here,we provide some clarity on this issue by examining the statistical underpinnings of different multifunctionality metrics.Methods We used simulations and data from a variety of empirical studies conducted across spatial scales(from local to global)and biomes(temperate and alpine grasslands,forests and drylands).We revisited three methods to quantify multifunctionality including the averaging approach,summing approach and threshold-based approach.Important Findings Biodiversity–multifunctionality relationships either did not change or increased as more functions were considered.These results were best explained by the statistical underpinnings of the averaging and summing multifunctionality metrics.Specifically,by averaging the individual ecosystem functions,the biodiversity–multifunctionality relationships equal the population mean of biodiversity-single function relationships,and thus will not change with the number of functions.Likewise,by summing the individual ecosystem functions,the strength of biodiversity–multifunctionality relationships increases as the number of functions increased.We proposed a scaling standardization method by converting the averaging or summing metrics into a scaling metric,which would make comparisons among different biodiversity studies.In addition,we showed that the range-relevant standardization can be applied to the threshold-based approach by solving for the mathematical artefact of the approach(i.e.the effects of biodiversity may artificially increase with the number of functions considered).Our 展开更多
关键词 averaging approach BIODIVERSITY ecosystem multifunctionality multiple threshold approach plant species richness spatial scale
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DYNAMIC STABILITY OF AXIALLY MOVING VISCOELASTIC BEAMS WITH PULSATING SPEED 被引量:7
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作者 YANG Xiao-dong(杨晓东) CHEN Li-qun(陈立群) 《Applied Mathematics and Mechanics(English Edition)》 SCIE EI 2005年第8期989-995,共7页
Parametric vibration of an axially moving, elastic, tensioned beam with pulsating speed was investigated in the vicinity of subharmonic and combination resonance. The method of averaging was used to yield a set of aut... Parametric vibration of an axially moving, elastic, tensioned beam with pulsating speed was investigated in the vicinity of subharmonic and combination resonance. The method of averaging was used to yield a set of autonomous equations when the parametric excitation frequency is twice or the combination of the natural frequencies. Instability boundaries were presented in the plane of parametric frequency and amplitude. The analytical results were numerically verified. The effects of the viscoelastic damping, steady speed and tension on the instability boundaries were numerically demonsWated. It is found that the viscoelastic damping decreases the instability regions and the steady speed and the tension make the instability region drift along the frequency axis. 展开更多
关键词 subharmonic resonance averaging method stability of vibration axially moving beam
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Characteristics of Multi-Objective Linear Programming Problem and Multi-Objective Linear Fractional Programming Problem Taking Maximum Value of Multi-Objective Functions
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作者 Samsun Nahar Md. Asadujjaman +2 位作者 Khadiza Begum Mahede-Ul-Hassan Md. Abdul Alim 《Applied Mathematics》 2024年第1期22-32,共11页
In this paper, a new statistical averaging technique is proposed for finding an optimal solution to a multi-objective linear fractional programming problem (MOLFPP) and multi-objective linear programming problem (MOLP... In this paper, a new statistical averaging technique is proposed for finding an optimal solution to a multi-objective linear fractional programming problem (MOLFPP) and multi-objective linear programming problem (MOLPP) by using new arithmetic averaging method and new geometric averaging method. It is significantly noticeable same characteristics among all the technique while taking maximum or minimum among all optimized values for multi-objective functions using simplex algorithm. The characteristics provided from the problems are verified by the numerical examples. 展开更多
关键词 MOLPP MOLFPP New Arithmetic averaging Method New Geometric averaging Method
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Interval-valued intuitionistic fuzzy aggregation operators 被引量:4
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作者 Weize Wang Xinwang Liu Yong Qin 《Journal of Systems Engineering and Electronics》 SCIE EI CSCD 2012年第4期574-580,共7页
The notion of the interval-valued intuitionistic fuzzy set (IVIFS) is a generalization of that of the Atanassov's intuitionistic fuzzy set. The fundamental characteristic of IVIFS is that the values of its membersh... The notion of the interval-valued intuitionistic fuzzy set (IVIFS) is a generalization of that of the Atanassov's intuitionistic fuzzy set. The fundamental characteristic of IVIFS is that the values of its membership function and non-membership function are intervals rather than exact numbers. There are various averaging operators defined for IVlFSs. These operators are not monotone with respect to the total order of IVIFS, which is undesirable. This paper shows how such averaging operators can be represented by using additive generators of the product triangular norm, which simplifies and extends the existing constructions. Moreover, two new aggregation operators based on the t.ukasiewicz triangular norm are proposed, which are monotone with respect to the total order of IVIFS. Finally, an application of the interval-valued intuitionistic fuzzy weighted averaging operator is given to multiple criteria decision making. 展开更多
关键词 interval-valued intuitionistic fuzzy set (IVIFS) interval-valued intuitionistic fuzzy weighted averaging (IVlFWA) operator interval-valued intuitionistic fuzzy ordered weighted averaging (IVI-FOWA) operator multiple criteria decision making (MCDM) mono-tonicity.
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改进Elman神经网络在短期热负荷预测中的应用 被引量:8
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作者 王琦 杨超杰 李丽锋 《工业仪表与自动化装置》 2020年第1期50-53,共4页
热电厂的短期热负荷预测在城市集中供暖中起着至关重要的作用,直接影响热电厂的经济效益和热能利用率。电厂的短期热负荷一般采用神经网络预测模型进行预测,而BP神经网络应用最为广泛。Elman神经网络算法在BP神经网络基础上加入了承接层... 热电厂的短期热负荷预测在城市集中供暖中起着至关重要的作用,直接影响热电厂的经济效益和热能利用率。电厂的短期热负荷一般采用神经网络预测模型进行预测,而BP神经网络应用最为广泛。Elman神经网络算法在BP神经网络基础上加入了承接层,作为一步延时算子,实现记忆能力,使系统具备适应时变能力,增强系统全局稳定性。但Elman神经网络算法模型的构造依然需要大量样本的支撑,而且输入层的变量多,导致预测时间依然很长,收敛速度慢。该文在Elman神经网络预测前,进行了相关系数预处理和对样本中异常值的平均化预处理,通过数据归一化运算,使Elman神经网络输入层变量大幅减少。仿真实验表明,改进的Elman神经网络算法使预测模型快速寻优,减少预测时间的同时明显提高预测精度。 展开更多
关键词 短期热负荷预测 ELMAN神经网络 相关系数预处理 归一化 平均化
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Response regimes of nonlinear energy harvesters with a resistorinductor resonant circuit by complexification-averaging method 被引量:8
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作者 HUANG DongMei CHEN JiaYi +2 位作者 ZHOU ShengXi FANG XueLai LI Wei 《Science China(Technological Sciences)》 SCIE EI CAS CSCD 2021年第6期1212-1227,共16页
In this paper, the steady-state response regimes of nonlinear energy harvesters with a resistor-inductor resonant circuit are theoretically investigated. The complexification averaging(CA) method is used to theoretica... In this paper, the steady-state response regimes of nonlinear energy harvesters with a resistor-inductor resonant circuit are theoretically investigated. The complexification averaging(CA) method is used to theoretically analyze the energy harvesting performance and reduce the motion equations into a set of first-order differential equations. The amplitudes and phases of both the response displacement and the output voltage are derived, and the corresponding stability conditions are determined. The response regimes are studied with the variation of nonlinear stiffness coefficients and coupling parameters, which are verified by the time domain analysis. The frequency island phenomenon is found and analyzed. Additionally, the backbone curve for deducing the extreme vibration frequency and amplitude is derived. Simultaneously, the analytical expressions of the switching points(critical amplitude and frequency) to identify the hardening and softening properties are established. Accordingly, a criterion is given to determine the occurrence of the jump phenomenon, and its effectiveness is verified. Overall, this paper presents an in-depth theoretical analysis of nonlinear energy harvesters with a resistor-inductor resonant circuit. It presents the theoretical framework and guidance for more extensive evaluations and understanding the theoretical analysis of nonlinear energy harvesters with external circuits. 展开更多
关键词 energy harvesting complexification averaging method nonlinear vibration
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