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经济学前沿之行为经济学回顾与展望 被引量:5
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作者 王保卫 牛政凯 《西北民族大学学报(哲学社会科学版)》 CSSCI 北大核心 2021年第1期130-140,共11页
行为经济学是心理学与经济学交叉研究的前沿学科,其研究成果丰硕,重要理论包括前景理论、心理账户、市场可预测理论等,凭借这些开创性理论,行为经济学研究者已三次荣膺诺贝尔经济学奖。行为经济学研究的重要主题包括激励,社会偏好,社会... 行为经济学是心理学与经济学交叉研究的前沿学科,其研究成果丰硕,重要理论包括前景理论、心理账户、市场可预测理论等,凭借这些开创性理论,行为经济学研究者已三次荣膺诺贝尔经济学奖。行为经济学研究的重要主题包括激励,社会偏好,社会影响,启发、偏差与风险,时间和计划,个体差异。行为经济学的未来仍可能是一门争议不断的学科,其研究重点应更加关注宏观经济学与生产者。 展开更多
关键词 行为经济学 时间和计划 易得性偏差 经济学史 禀赋效应
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台风会影响公司资本结构吗——基于凸显风险的分析 被引量:1
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作者 王鹤璇 陈胜蓝 《金融学季刊》 2021年第3期145-177,共33页
台风作为一种极端天气现象,会对社会造成巨大的损失。基于"可用性启发式"理论,临近台风灾区的公司很可能由于凸显事件带来的感知风险变化而改变资本结构。本文以2009—2016年台风事件作为自然实验情境,使用双重差分模型考察... 台风作为一种极端天气现象,会对社会造成巨大的损失。基于"可用性启发式"理论,临近台风灾区的公司很可能由于凸显事件带来的感知风险变化而改变资本结构。本文以2009—2016年台风事件作为自然实验情境,使用双重差分模型考察台风是否会通过凸显风险影响公司的资本结构。研究结果表明,位于台风近灾区的公司会显著降低目前的债务水平,尤其是短期债务水平。本文还发现,台风带来的凸显风险只产生了短期影响,公司债务水平经历下降后又迅速上升。而且,台风的凸显性越小(台风次数较多或台风强度较弱),对债务水平的影响也越小"。本文的研究结果对于理解台风如何导致公司高管的行为偏差以及影响公司资本结构的因素具有一定的启示意义。 展开更多
关键词 凸显效应 资本结构 可用性启发式 行为偏差
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Evaluation and fusion of SST data from MTSAT and TMI in East China Sea, Yellow Sea and Bohai Sea in 2008 被引量:1
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作者 伍玉梅 申辉 +2 位作者 崔雪森 杨胜龙 樊伟 《Chinese Journal of Oceanology and Limnology》 SCIE CAS CSCD 2012年第4期697-702,共6页
Two typical satellite sea surface temperature (SST) datasets, from the Multi-functional Transport Satellite (MTSAT) and Tropical Rainfall Measuring Mission Microwave Imager (TMI), were evaluated for the East China Sea... Two typical satellite sea surface temperature (SST) datasets, from the Multi-functional Transport Satellite (MTSAT) and Tropical Rainfall Measuring Mission Microwave Imager (TMI), were evaluated for the East China Sea, Yellow Sea, and Bohai Sea throughout 2008. Most monthly-mean availabilities of MTSAT are higher than those of TMI, whereas the seasonal variation of the latter is less than that of the former. The analysis on the one-year data shows that the annual mean availability of MTSAT (61%) is greater than that of TMI (56%). This is mainly because MTSAT is a geostationary satellite, which achieves longer observation than the sun-synchronous TMI. The daily availability of TMI (28%-75%) is more constant than that of MTSAT (9%-93%). The signal of infrared sensors on MTSAT is easily disturbed on cloudy days. In contrast, the TMI microwave sensor can obtain information through clouds. Based on in-situ SSTs, the SST accuracy of TMI is superior to that of MTSAT. In 2008, the root mean square (RMS) error of TMI and MTSAT were 0.77 K and 0.84 K, respectively. The annual mean biases were 0.14 K (TMI) and -0.31 K (MTSAT). To attain a high availability of SSTs, we propose a fusion method to merge both SSTs. The annual mean availability of fusion SSTs increases 17% compared to MTSAT. In addition, the availabilities of the fusion SSTs become more constant. The annual mean RMS and bias of fusion SSTs (0.78 K and -0.06 K, respectively) are better than those of MTSAT (0.84 K and -0.31 K). 展开更多
关键词 satellite SST availability FUSION root mean square bias
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Overreaction and Availability Bias: Analysis of Real Estate Sector’s Stock Prices and Investors’ Reaction during Demonetisation in India
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作者 Kavita Singh Sarthak Sengupta Anurika Vaish 《Journal of Modern Accounting and Auditing》 2019年第5期232-240,共9页
The stock market is full of events that affect the sensitivity reaction of investors at a large scale. Individual investor sentiment is just like his/her personal feeling depending upon their nature, risk appetite, an... The stock market is full of events that affect the sensitivity reaction of investors at a large scale. Individual investor sentiment is just like his/her personal feeling depending upon their nature, risk appetite, and market scenario. This research study investigates the investors’ reaction in the stock market for the real estate segment during the massive market crisis in developing countries. Demonetisation of 2016 in India has been taken with the purpose of implementing a pilot study to analyse the overreaction and availability bias. The primary focus was on analysing how the investors react on the information of demonetisation and their pattern of investment in the stock market with a special emphasis on real estate sector where the effect of the event had dramatically changed the stock prices. Therefore, a pre- and post- analysis had been conducted to gauge the prices, sensitivity, and reaction of investors in the stock market. The reaction of the citizens after these events was found to be drastically affected. Five real estate companies had been focused upon in this study to examine the impact of investors’ overreaction owing to the demonetisation and their investment pattern for stocks during pre- and post- demonetisation period at that timeframe. The analysis was done on a shorter period of time so that the impact of overreaction and availability bias can be critically analysed. The paper thus exhibits how investor sentiments and reaction for stock preference had changed over time through statistical study. 展开更多
关键词 INVESTOR sentiment stock market demonetisation OVERREACTION availability bias
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两种RAIM可用性分析方法的比较 被引量:3
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作者 任锴 杨力 冯勇 《遥测遥控》 2009年第2期13-16,59,共5页
介绍最大水平精度因子法和近似径向误差保护法两种RAIM可用性分析方法。采用GPS和GLONASS广播星历,通过数据仿真,用不同方法计算多种环境下的RAIM可用性概率。通过比较,说明在多故障、多星座环境下,BIT是更合适的可用性分析方法。
关键词 RAIM可用性 GPS/GLONASS组合 偏差完好性风险
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浅析易得性偏差视角下的公知常识认定 被引量:1
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作者 刘耘 《中国发明与专利》 2018年第1期114-118,共5页
当前"公知常识"已经成为业内学术探讨的热点,如何正确地认定公知常识已成为专利审查质量提升的关键。本文通过引入易得性偏差理论指出公知常识认定过程中容易产生易得性偏差,对容易想到的技术知识赋予过大的权重,而对大量的... 当前"公知常识"已经成为业内学术探讨的热点,如何正确地认定公知常识已成为专利审查质量提升的关键。本文通过引入易得性偏差理论指出公知常识认定过程中容易产生易得性偏差,对容易想到的技术知识赋予过大的权重,而对大量的其它必须考虑的信息"视而不见",从而导致专利审查中公知常识认定错误,并结合案例指出在公知常识错误认定过程中存在部件的易得性、工作方式的易得性和技术问题的易得性导致的易得性偏差,最后提出针对性的对策。 展开更多
关键词 公知常识认定 易得性偏差
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