Objective To assess the data quality and estimate the provincial infant mortality rate（1q0） from China＇s sixth census. Methods A log-quadratic model is applied to under-fifteen data. We analyze and compare the aver...Objective To assess the data quality and estimate the provincial infant mortality rate（1q0） from China＇s sixth census. Methods A log-quadratic model is applied to under-fifteen data. We analyze and compare the average relative errors（AREs） for 1q0 between the estimated and reported values using the leave-one-out cross-validation method. Results For the sixth census, the AREs are more than 100% for almost all provinces. The estimated average 1q0 level for 31 provinces is 12.3‰ for males and 10.7‰ for females. Conclusion The data for the provincial 1q0 from China＇s sixth census have a serious data quality problem. The actual levels of 1q0 for each province are significantly higher than the reported values.展开更多
Ali CPT-1 is the first Chinese cosmic microwave background(CMB) experiment aiming for the high-precision measurement of CMB B-mode polarization. The telescope, currently under deployment in Tibet, will observe in two ...Ali CPT-1 is the first Chinese cosmic microwave background(CMB) experiment aiming for the high-precision measurement of CMB B-mode polarization. The telescope, currently under deployment in Tibet, will observe in two frequency bands centered at 90 and 150 GHz. We forecast the CMB lensing reconstruction, lensing-galaxy, and lensing-cosmic infrared background(CIB) cross-correlation signal-to-noise ratio(SNR) for Ali CPT-1. We consider two stages with different integrated observation times, namely “4 module*yr”(first stage) and “48 module*yr”(final stage). For lensing reconstruction, we use three different quadratic estimators, namely temperature-only, polarization-only and minimum-variance(MV) estimators, using curved sky geometry. We take into account the impacts of inhomogeneous hit counts and mean-field bias due to incomplete sky coverage.In the first stage, our results show that the 150 GHz channel can measure the lensing signals at 15σ significance with the MV estimator. In the final stage, the measurement significance will increase to 31σ. We also combine the two frequency data in the harmonic domain to optimize the SNR. Our results show that the coadding procedure can significantly reduce the reconstruction bias in the high multiple range. Owning to the high quality of the polarization data in the final stage of Ali CPT-1, the EB estimator will dominate the lensing reconstruction in this stage. We also estimate the SNR of cross-correlations between Ali CPT-1 CMB lensing and other tracers of the large scale structure of the universe. For its cross-correlation with Dark Energy Spectroscopic Instrument(DESI) galaxies/quasars, we report the cross-correlation SNR = 10-20 for the four redshift bins at 0.05 < z < 2.1. In the first stage, the total SNR is approximately 32. In the final stage, the lensing-galaxy cross-correlation can reach SNR = 52. For lensing-CIB cross-correlation, in the first stage, the cross-correlations between Ali CPT-1 lensing and Planck CIB 353, 545 and857 GHz channels are approxim展开更多
基金supported by a grant from the National Science Foundation of China:A Study on the Mortality Pattern of Chinese Population and Related Statistical Models(81273179)China’s sixth census excluds the data of Hong Kong SAR,Macao SAR,and Taiwan
文摘Objective To assess the data quality and estimate the provincial infant mortality rate（1q0） from China＇s sixth census. Methods A log-quadratic model is applied to under-fifteen data. We analyze and compare the average relative errors（AREs） for 1q0 between the estimated and reported values using the leave-one-out cross-validation method. Results For the sixth census, the AREs are more than 100% for almost all provinces. The estimated average 1q0 level for 31 provinces is 12.3‰ for males and 10.7‰ for females. Conclusion The data for the provincial 1q0 from China＇s sixth census have a serious data quality problem. The actual levels of 1q0 for each province are significantly higher than the reported values.
基金supported by the National Key R&D Program of China (Grant Nos. 2020YFC2201603, 2020YFC2201601, and 2020YFC2201600)National Natural Science Foundation of China (Grant No. 11653003)111 Project (Grant No. B20019)。
文摘Ali CPT-1 is the first Chinese cosmic microwave background(CMB) experiment aiming for the high-precision measurement of CMB B-mode polarization. The telescope, currently under deployment in Tibet, will observe in two frequency bands centered at 90 and 150 GHz. We forecast the CMB lensing reconstruction, lensing-galaxy, and lensing-cosmic infrared background(CIB) cross-correlation signal-to-noise ratio(SNR) for Ali CPT-1. We consider two stages with different integrated observation times, namely “4 module*yr”(first stage) and “48 module*yr”(final stage). For lensing reconstruction, we use three different quadratic estimators, namely temperature-only, polarization-only and minimum-variance(MV) estimators, using curved sky geometry. We take into account the impacts of inhomogeneous hit counts and mean-field bias due to incomplete sky coverage.In the first stage, our results show that the 150 GHz channel can measure the lensing signals at 15σ significance with the MV estimator. In the final stage, the measurement significance will increase to 31σ. We also combine the two frequency data in the harmonic domain to optimize the SNR. Our results show that the coadding procedure can significantly reduce the reconstruction bias in the high multiple range. Owning to the high quality of the polarization data in the final stage of Ali CPT-1, the EB estimator will dominate the lensing reconstruction in this stage. We also estimate the SNR of cross-correlations between Ali CPT-1 CMB lensing and other tracers of the large scale structure of the universe. For its cross-correlation with Dark Energy Spectroscopic Instrument(DESI) galaxies/quasars, we report the cross-correlation SNR = 10-20 for the four redshift bins at 0.05 < z < 2.1. In the first stage, the total SNR is approximately 32. In the final stage, the lensing-galaxy cross-correlation can reach SNR = 52. For lensing-CIB cross-correlation, in the first stage, the cross-correlations between Ali CPT-1 lensing and Planck CIB 353, 545 and857 GHz channels are approxim
