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Dysfunction of PLA2G6 and CYP2C44-associated network signals imminent carcinogenesis from chronic inflammation to hepatocellular carcinoma 被引量:13
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作者 Meiyi Li Chen Li +14 位作者 Wei-Xin Liu Conghui Liu Jingru Cui Qingrun Li Hong Ni Yingcheng Yang Chaochao Wu Chunlei Chen Xing Zhen Tao Zeng Mujun zhao Lei Chen Jiarui Wu Rong Zeng Luonan Chen 《Journal of Molecular Cell Biology》 SCIE CAS CSCD 2017年第6期489-503,共15页
Little is known about how chronic inflammation contributes to the progression of hepatoceUular carcinoma (HCC), especially the initiation of cancer. To uncover the critical transition from chronic inflammation to HC... Little is known about how chronic inflammation contributes to the progression of hepatoceUular carcinoma (HCC), especially the initiation of cancer. To uncover the critical transition from chronic inflammation to HCC and the molecular mechanisms at a network level, we analyzed the time-series proteomic data of woodchuck hepatitis virus/c.myc mice and age-matched wt-C57BL/6 mice using our dynamical network biomarker (DNB) model. DNB analysis indicated that the 5th month after birth of transgenic mice was the critical period of cancer initiation, just before the critical transition, which is consistent with clinical symptoms. Meanwhile, the DNB-associated network showed a drastic inversion of protein expression and coexpression levels before and after the critical transition. Two members of DNB, PLA2G6 and CYP2C44, along with their associated differentially expressed proteins, were found to induce dysfunction of arachidonic acid metabolism, further activate inflammatory responses through inflammatory mediator regulation of transient receptor potential channels, and finally lead to impairments of liver detoxification and malignant transition to cancer. As a c-Myc target, PLA2G6 positively correlated with c-Myc in expression, showing a trend from decreasing to increasing during carcinogenesis, with the minimal point at the critical transition or tipping point. Such trend of homologous PLA2G6 and c-Myc was also observed during human hepatocarcinogenesis, with the minimal point at high-grade dysplastic nodules (a stage just before the carcinogenesis). Our study implies that PLA2G6 might function as an oncogene like famous c-Myc during hepatocar- cinogenesis, while downregulation of PLA2G6 and c-Myc could be a warning signal indicating imminent carcinogenesis. 展开更多
关键词 dynamical network biomarker inflammation-induced HCC critical transition early diagnosis high-grade dysplasticnodules tipping point
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Hunt for the tipping point during endocrine resistance process in breast cancer by dynamic network biomarkers 被引量:7
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作者 Rui Liu Jinzeng Wang +7 位作者 Masao Ukai Ki Sewon Pei Chen Yutaka Suzuki Haiyun Wang Kazuyuki Aihara Mariko Okada-Hatakeyama Luonan Chen 《Journal of Molecular Cell Biology》 SCIE CAS CSCD 2019年第8期649-664,共16页
Acquired drug resistance is the major reason why patients fail to respond to cancer therapies.It is a challenging task to deter.mine the tipping point of endocrine resistance and detect the associated molecules.Derive... Acquired drug resistance is the major reason why patients fail to respond to cancer therapies.It is a challenging task to deter.mine the tipping point of endocrine resistance and detect the associated molecules.Derived from new systems biology theory, the dynamic network biomarker (DNB) method is designed to quantitatively identify the tipping point of a drastic system transition and can theoretically identify DNB genes that play key roles in acquiring drug resistance.We analyzed time-course mRNA sequence data generated from the tamoxifen-treated estrogen receptor (ER)-positive MCF-7 cell line, and identified the tipping point of endocrine resistance with its leading molecules.The results show that there is interplay between gene mutations and DNB genes, in which the accumulated mutations eventually affect the DNB genes that subsequently cause the change of transcriptional landscape, enabling full-blown drug resistance. Survival analyses based on clinical datasets validated that the DNB genes were associated with the poor survival of breast cancer patients.The results provided the detection for the pre-resistance state or early signs of endocrine resistance.Our predictive method may greatly benefit the scheduling of treatments for complex diseases in which patients are exposed to considerably different drugs and may become drug resistant. 展开更多
关键词 drug resistance breast cancer tipping point dynamic NETWORK biomarker (DNB) molecular NETWORK MRNA-SEQ
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Response of runoff and its components to climate change in the Manas River of the Tian Shan Mountains 被引量:1
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作者 Ze-Long YANG Peng BAI 《Advances in Climate Change Research》 SCIE CSCD 2024年第1期62-74,共13页
A warming-wetting climate trend has led to increased runoff in most watersheds in the Tian Shan Mountains over the past few decades.However,it remains unclear how runoff components,that is,rainfall runoff(Rrain),snowm... A warming-wetting climate trend has led to increased runoff in most watersheds in the Tian Shan Mountains over the past few decades.However,it remains unclear how runoff components,that is,rainfall runoff(Rrain),snowmelt runoff(Rsnow),and glacier meltwater(Rglacier),responded to historical climate change and how they will evolve under future climate change scenarios.Here,we used a modified Hydrologiska Byrans Vattenbalansavdelning(HBV)model and a detrending method to quantify the impact of precipitation and temperature changes on runoff components in the largest river(Manas River)on the northern slope of the Tian Shan Mountains from 1982 to 2015.A multivariate calibration strategy,including snow cover,glacier area,and runoff was implemented to constrain model parameters associated with runoff components.The downscaled outputs of 12 general circulation models(GCMs)from the Sixth Coupled Model Intercomparison Project(CMIP6)were also used to force the modified HBV model to project the response of runoff and its components to future(2016-2100)climate change under three common socio-economic pathways(SSP126,SSP245,and SSP585).The results indicate that Rrain dominates mean annual runoff with a proportion of 42%,followed by Rsnow(37%)and Rglacier(21%).In terms of inter-annual variation,Rrain and Rsnow show increasing trends(0.93(p<0.05)and 0.31(p>0.05)mm per year),while Rglacier exhibits an insignificant(p>0.05)decreasing trend(-0.12 mm per year),leading to an increasing trend in total runoff(1.12 mm per year,p>0.05).The attribution analysis indicates that changes in precipitation and temperature contribute 8.16 and 10.37 mm,respectively,to the increase in runoff at the mean annual scale.Climate wetting(increased precipitation)increases Rrain(5.03 mm)and Rsnow(3.19 mm)but has a limited effect on Rglacier(-0.06 mm),while warming increases Rrain(10.69 mm)and Rglacier(5.79 mm)but decreases Rsnow(-6.12 mm).The negative effect of glacier shrinkage on Rglacier has outweighed the positive effect of warming on Rglaciers resulti 展开更多
关键词 Tian Shan Rainfall runoff Snowmelt runoff Glacier meltwater Warming-wetting tipping point
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气候临界点及应对——碳中和 被引量:6
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作者 蔡榕硕 王慧 +2 位作者 郑惠泽 郭海峡 ABD-ELGAWAD Amro 《中国人口·资源与环境》 CSSCI CSCD 北大核心 2021年第9期16-23,共8页
基于政府间气候变化专门委员会(IPCC)评估报告及近年的研究文献,文章试图从气候变化的影响和风险的角度出发,诠释气候变暖可能正在触发的全球多个气候临界点,解读国际社会采取碳达峰和碳中和政策措施的由来,讨论不同系统或区域开展适应... 基于政府间气候变化专门委员会(IPCC)评估报告及近年的研究文献,文章试图从气候变化的影响和风险的角度出发,诠释气候变暖可能正在触发的全球多个气候临界点,解读国际社会采取碳达峰和碳中和政策措施的由来,讨论不同系统或区域开展适应性研究的重要性与迫切性。主要结论:①近百年来,特别是1970年代以来,全球持续快速升温变暖,而中国陆地和海洋的升温速率又高于全球平均,产生了广泛的影响和风险。②2019年,造成全球变暖的主要温室气体CO2浓度已达到410.5 mg/L,为工业化前(1750年)的148%,也是至少200万年以来的最高值。③全球的持续升温使得气候变化的风险不成比例地增加,许多系统正在逼近其发生严重突变和不可逆转变化的临界点,并且,某些气候临界点的发生将比预计得更为提前。④气候变暖的加剧可能正在触发全球的九个气候临界点,包括暖水珊瑚礁的大规模白化和死亡、格陵兰和南极冰盖的加速融化、大西洋经向翻转环流的减弱等,并有引发多米诺骨牌效应的风险。⑤为应对气候变暖的影响和风险,有必要将本世纪全球升温限制在工业化前水平(1850—1900年平均)之上2℃(最好为1.5℃)以内,相对于2010年,全球净人为CO2排放量到2030年需减少约25%(45%),并在2070年(2050年)左右实现碳中和。⑥以暖水珊瑚礁为例,讨论并分析了中国受损珊瑚礁将可能由于较高的中国海洋升温速率而率先触发临界点,亟需修复并加强受损珊瑚礁等系统或区域气候恢复力(resilience)的建设,以提高其适应气候变化的能力。此外,最近中国受损珊瑚礁原位有性繁殖修复实验取得了突破性进展,这为重构受损珊瑚礁的恢复力提供了积极的前景。 展开更多
关键词 气候变化 风险 临界点 碳中和 适应 珊瑚礁
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SMAD7 and SERPINE1 as novel dynamic network biomarkers detect and regulate the tipping point of TGF-beta induced EMT 被引量:6
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作者 Zhonglin Jiang Lina Lu +5 位作者 Yuwei Liu Si Zhang Shuxian Li Guanyu Wang Peng Wang Luonan Chen 《Science Bulletin》 SCIE EI CAS CSCD 2020年第10期842-853,M0004,共13页
Epithelial–mesenchymal transition(EMT) is a complex nonlinear biological process that plays essential roles in fundamental biological processes such as embryogenesis, wounding healing, tissue regeneration,and cancer ... Epithelial–mesenchymal transition(EMT) is a complex nonlinear biological process that plays essential roles in fundamental biological processes such as embryogenesis, wounding healing, tissue regeneration,and cancer metastasis. A hallmark of EMT is the switch-like behavior during state transition, which is characteristic of phase transitions. Hence, detecting the tipping point just before mesenchymal state transition is critical for understanding molecular mechanism of EMT. Through dynamic network biomarkers(DNB) model, a DNB group with 37 genes was identified which can provide the early-warning signals of EMT. Particularly, we found that two DNB genes, i.e., SMAD7 and SERPINE1 promoted EMT by switching their regulatory network which was further validated by biological experiments. Survival analyses revealed that SMAD7 and SERPINE1 as DNB genes further acted as prognostic biomarkers for lung adenocarcinoma. 展开更多
关键词 Dynamic network biomarker tipping point Epithelial–mesenchymal transition BISTABILITY Quantitative real-time PCR
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Do abrupt cryosphere events in High Mountain Asia indicate earlier tipping point than expected? 被引量:2
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作者 Cun-De XIAO Tong ZHANG +12 位作者 Tao CHE Zhi-Qiang WEI Tong-Hua WU Lei HUANG Ming-Hu DING Qiao LIU Dong-Hui SHANGGUAN Fei-Teng WANG Peng-Ling WANG Jie CHEN Chun-Hai XU Xin-Wu XU Da-He QIN 《Advances in Climate Change Research》 SCIE CSCD 2023年第6期873-883,共11页
Tipping points of about 16 elements have been identified in Earth system,yet cryospheric tipping point of specific Alpine region has not been studied.Here we analyzed three tipping elements(mountain glacier,snow cover... Tipping points of about 16 elements have been identified in Earth system,yet cryospheric tipping point of specific Alpine region has not been studied.Here we analyzed three tipping elements(mountain glacier,snow cover,and permafrost)identified in recent years,evidenced by the facts of frequent occurrence of abrupt massive collapse of glacier mass and the widespread thermakarst of permafrost.Since 2015,strikingly abrupt cryosphere events(ACEs)have been consistently observed over a large range of High Mountain Asia(HMA).Those events were un-precedentedly significant in history,leading to collapses of glaciers following by disconnection of glacier tongue from accumulation basin and recession of thermakarst towards higher elevation.Strong decreasing of snow depth in 2022 was also observed since 2021/2022 winter,coinciding with extreme warming of the year.The widespread high warming rates in the last two decades over HMA might have triggered above ACEs.The dynamic thresholds of ACEs depend largely on high temperature,especially extreme heat wave,for both glaciers and permafrost,closely related to meltwater as a key factor for reaching initial conditions of abrupt changes,suggesting HMA cryosphere is a tipping element under the global warming level of 1.1℃.The ACEs can cause tremendous damage to local ecosystem and socioeconomy,measures to mitigate risks should be taken when the tipping points are reached. 展开更多
关键词 Abrupt glacier change Thermakarst Snow depth tipping point Early warning system
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“引爆点”理论视角下医院突发公共卫生事件处置
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作者 王屹峰 马华君 +2 位作者 潘柯蓉 阮丹浓 杨贵宇 《现代医院》 2024年第1期1-2,6,共3页
2022年4月,浙江省肿瘤医院所处的杭州市拱墅区发生疫情,医院经历了建院以来涉及就诊面最广、最不同寻常、时间最为紧迫的突发公共卫生事件危机。院方以患者为核心,立足公众视角,及时准确传递医院权威声音,展现了危机中的决断力和执行力... 2022年4月,浙江省肿瘤医院所处的杭州市拱墅区发生疫情,医院经历了建院以来涉及就诊面最广、最不同寻常、时间最为紧迫的突发公共卫生事件危机。院方以患者为核心,立足公众视角,及时准确传递医院权威声音,展现了危机中的决断力和执行力。本文以马尔科姆·格拉德维尔的“引爆点”理论为切入点,揭示突发疫情及应对所引起的网络舆情态势,探讨医院在突发公共卫生事件处置中的传播做法,为各医院品牌传播及运营提供实操性的借鉴。 展开更多
关键词 引爆点 突发公共卫生事件 传播机制 医院品牌
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风险与韧性:规模性返贫韧性治理模式构建与实现路径
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作者 黄锐 周坤 《中央民族大学学报(哲学社会科学版)》 北大核心 2024年第3期135-143,共9页
巩固脱贫攻坚成果、实现全体人民共同富裕,是社会主义的本质要求,也是我们党的重要使命和奋斗目标。脱贫攻坚结束后,贫困治理由扶贫转向防返贫,其中防止规模性返贫尤为重要。目前我国在防止规模性返贫中面临防返贫政策有待完善、对重大... 巩固脱贫攻坚成果、实现全体人民共同富裕,是社会主义的本质要求,也是我们党的重要使命和奋斗目标。脱贫攻坚结束后,贫困治理由扶贫转向防返贫,其中防止规模性返贫尤为重要。目前我国在防止规模性返贫中面临防返贫政策有待完善、对重大风险的关注有待加强、治理结构有待优化等挑战,基于此,本文在分析规模性返贫风险具有风险源多且变化大、重点区域规模性返贫脆弱性比较强等特点的基础上,引入韧性理论,探讨韧性视角下的规模性返贫风险问题,进而提出构建以“主体为核心、客体为辅助、过程为保障、制度为支撑”的韧性治理模式,提出识别韧性临界点、减缓防范规模性返贫风险、提升规模性返贫应对机制等实现路径。 展开更多
关键词 风险 规模性返贫 韧性治理模式 临界点
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海面上升导致泄洪延时-子牙新河案例分析
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作者 孙志芹 张泽 +2 位作者 姜兴钰 王福 王宏 《华北地质》 2024年第1期21-25,共5页
【研究目的】尽管人们普遍认为全球变化背景下的海面上升是海岸带环境变化的重要驱动因素,但对一个具体地区而言,仍缺少定量化的影响评估,以至于气候变化基础研究与海岸带实际经济社会活动之间存在日渐明显的脱节。本文是试图弥合这种... 【研究目的】尽管人们普遍认为全球变化背景下的海面上升是海岸带环境变化的重要驱动因素,但对一个具体地区而言,仍缺少定量化的影响评估,以至于气候变化基础研究与海岸带实际经济社会活动之间存在日渐明显的脱节。本文是试图弥合这种脱节的一次探索。【研究方法】2023年夏秋京冀津地区大暴雨,达到了1963年之后60年一遇的量级,造成生命财产和区域经济的重大损失。本文根据子牙新河洪水闸口泄洪的具体案例,探寻海面上升潮位升高泄洪延时之间可能存在的因果关系。【研究结果】研究发现在21世纪海面上升背景下,渤海湾西岸存在潮位升高1 cm、泄洪时间减少0.02小时的潮位上升与泄洪延时之间的定量时空关系。【结论】提出潮位高于洪水位时不能泄洪的“临界点”概念,并根据联合国政府间气候变化专门委员会(IPCC)关于海面上升的最新预案,尝试做出了今后三个时间节点(2030、2040和2050年)的泄洪延时预测。 展开更多
关键词 陆地大洪水 泄洪 海面上升 临界点 预案
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基于引爆点理论的高校图书馆信息服务水平提升对策 被引量:5
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作者 罗云华 田佳卉 李超 《图书馆建设》 CSSCI 北大核心 2014年第5期68-70,共3页
根据引爆点理论中的个别人物法则、附着力因素法则、环境威力法则,高校图书馆在进行信息服务的过程中,可以从有针对性地寻找学科服务对象、增强图书馆信息服务宣传的附着力、改变图书馆信息服务的实施环境等方面来寻找引爆点,通过牢固... 根据引爆点理论中的个别人物法则、附着力因素法则、环境威力法则,高校图书馆在进行信息服务的过程中,可以从有针对性地寻找学科服务对象、增强图书馆信息服务宣传的附着力、改变图书馆信息服务的实施环境等方面来寻找引爆点,通过牢固树立信息服务意识、将有限的精力放在知名教授和学科带头人的用户体验上、探索具有强附着力的宣传手段、利用环境来取得图书馆信息服务宣传的成功等方式来提高信息服务水平。 展开更多
关键词 图书馆 信息服务 服务水平 引爆点
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MOOC:我国高等教育教学改革的引爆点 被引量:4
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作者 汪剑鲲 《黑龙江高教研究》 CSSCI 北大核心 2015年第10期41-43,共3页
MOOC进入我国以后,以超乎想象的速度给我国的高等教育带来较大的冲击,引发各界的高度关注。文章在分析我国高等教育所处的外部和内部环境的基础上,深入剖析MOOC教学能够在我国发展的必然性和可行性。在充分肯定MOOC教学优势的同时,更多... MOOC进入我国以后,以超乎想象的速度给我国的高等教育带来较大的冲击,引发各界的高度关注。文章在分析我国高等教育所处的外部和内部环境的基础上,深入剖析MOOC教学能够在我国发展的必然性和可行性。在充分肯定MOOC教学优势的同时,更多的是针对其优势的发挥所要面临的挑战进行分析,以及就这些挑战提出建设性建议。 展开更多
关键词 MOOC 高等教育 改革 引爆点
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Will the summer sea ice in the Arctic reach a tipping point?
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作者 Ola M.Johannessen Elena V.Shalina 《Atmospheric and Oceanic Science Letters》 CSCD 2023年第3期58-62,共5页
The Arctic sea-ice cover has decreased in extent,area,and thickness over the last six decades.Most global climate models project that the summer sea-ice extent(SIE)will decline to less than 1 million(mill.)km^(2) in t... The Arctic sea-ice cover has decreased in extent,area,and thickness over the last six decades.Most global climate models project that the summer sea-ice extent(SIE)will decline to less than 1 million(mill.)km^(2) in this century,ranging from 2030 to the end of the century,indicating large uncertainty.However,some models,using the same emission scenarios as required by the Paris Agreement to keep the global temperature below 2°C,indicate that the SIE could be about 2 mill.km^(2) in 2100 but with a large uncertainty of±1.5 mill.km^(2).Here,the authors take another approach by exploring the direct relationship between the SIE and atmospheric CO_(2) concentration for the summer-fall months.The authors correlate the SIE and In(CO_(2)/CO_(2)r)during the period 1979-2022,where CO_(2)r is the reference value in 1979.Using these transient regression equations with an R2 between 0.78 and 0.87,the authors calculate the value that the CO_(2) concentration needs to reach for zero SIE.The results are that,for July,the CO_(2) concentration needs to reach 691±16.5 ppm,for August 604±16.5 ppm,for September 563±17.5 ppm,and for October 620±21 ppm.These values of CO_(2)for an ice-free Arctic are much higher than the targets of the Paris Agreement,which are 450 ppm in 2060 and 425 ppm in 2100,under the IPCC SSP1-2.6 scenario.If these targets can be reached or even almost reached,the "no tipping point"hypothesis for the summer SIE may be valid. 展开更多
关键词 Sea ice ARCTIC Climate change tipping point
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On the Image Reconstruction of Zhuge Liang in ACGN Games Based on the Perspective of the Tipping Point Theory
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作者 Li Hao Chen Haiyan Chang Baoqing 《Contemporary Social Sciences》 2023年第1期116-130,共15页
Zhuge Liang,a well-known figure with rich cultural implications in Chinese history,has exerted profound influences on the spiritual life of the Chinese nation.In the ACGN context,new cultural implications have been at... Zhuge Liang,a well-known figure with rich cultural implications in Chinese history,has exerted profound influences on the spiritual life of the Chinese nation.In the ACGN context,new cultural implications have been attached to him,which offset some of the classic implications of the character forged over a long history.Meanwhile,the inherent traditional cultural spirit embodied by him is being reconstructed.In terms of content design,the ACGN games based on traditional realism tend to refresh people’s collective memories of Zhuge Liang to enhance the stickiness factor of the games,thus creating a sense of familiarity to make the transmitted information easier for the game players to accept.The modern fashionable games,however,are good at leveraging the advantages of technologies to form a tipping point and incorporating fashion elements into the traditional image of Zhuge Liang to attract players,thus enhancing the communication effect.In terms of environmental construction,the ACGN games have created a new industrial environment featuring“ACGN+traditional culture,”which changes the traditional image of Zhuge Liang by means of ACGN game technology while retaining its basic cultural characteristics to provide players with a better immersive and interactive experience. 展开更多
关键词 Zhuge Liang Three Kingdoms culture ACGN culture the tipping point the stickiness factor power of context
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Adapting cities to sea level rise: A perspective from Chinese deltas 被引量:3
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作者 CHENG He-Qin CHEN Ji-Yu 《Advances in Climate Change Research》 SCIE CSCD 2017年第2期130-136,共7页
In recent years, intensifying waterlogging, salt water intrusion, wetland loss, and ecosystem degradation in Chinese delta cities and adjacent regions have generated the pressing need to create an urban form that is s... In recent years, intensifying waterlogging, salt water intrusion, wetland loss, and ecosystem degradation in Chinese delta cities and adjacent regions have generated the pressing need to create an urban form that is suited to both current and future climates incorporating sea level rise. However, adaptation planning uptake is slow. This is particularly unfortunate because patterns of urban form interact with mean sea level rise (MSLR) in ways that reduce or intensify its impact. There are currently two main barriers that are significant in arresting the implementation of adaptation planning with reference to the MSLR projections composed of geomorphologic MSLR projections and eustatic MSLR projections from global climate warming, and making a comprehensive risk assessment of MSLR projections. The present review shows recent progresses in mapping MSLR projections and their risk assessment approaches on Chinese delta cities, and then a perspective of adapting these cities to MSLR projections as following six aspects. 1) The geomorphologic MSLR projections are contributed by the natural tectonic subsidence projections and the MSLR projections by anthropogenic geomorphologic change. The former needs to be updated in a global framework. The latter is accumulated by land subsidence from underground water depletion, water level fall caused by the erosion of riverbeds from a sediment supply decline attributed to the construction of watershed dams, artificial sand excavation, water level raise by engineering projects including land reclamation, deep waterway regulation, and fresh water reservoirs. 2) Controlling MSLR projections by anthropogenic geomorphologic changes. 3) The IPCC AR5 RCPs MSLRs scenarios are expected to be projected to the local eustatic MSLR projections on the Chinese deltas. 4) The MSLR projections need to be matched to a local elevation datum. 5) Modeling approaches of regional river-sea numerical with semi- analytical hydrodynamics, estuarine channel network, system dynamics and adaptat 展开更多
关键词 Mean sea level rise projections Natural tectonic subsidence Climate warming Local elevation datum Anthropogenic geomorphologic change Adaptation tipping point
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全媒体环境下“引爆点”理论在主流新闻报道中的应用 被引量:3
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作者 郝雨 杨欣怡 《河北大学学报(哲学社会科学版)》 CSSCI 北大核心 2016年第1期101-104,共4页
全媒体时代的主流新闻发布面临着自媒体和社交媒体等无把关信息传播的越来越大的挑战,信息过量和注意力碎片化的媒介社会,重要信息往往会被垃圾化、泡沫化的消息所瞬间淹没。新闻媒体从新闻报道的策划到发布、传播都需要科学合理的把控... 全媒体时代的主流新闻发布面临着自媒体和社交媒体等无把关信息传播的越来越大的挑战,信息过量和注意力碎片化的媒介社会,重要信息往往会被垃圾化、泡沫化的消息所瞬间淹没。新闻媒体从新闻报道的策划到发布、传播都需要科学合理的把控,找到自身吸引公众关注的独特价值,制造"引爆点",正确引导舆论。引爆点理论归纳出的流行三原则来阐发流行潮兴起的原因。引爆点理论中引发关注、引导潮流的思路对新闻报道也有一定的借鉴意义。 展开更多
关键词 引爆点 新闻报道 南都记者 卧底替考
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论全球气候变暖中的技术影响:临界过程及临界风险防控 被引量:2
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作者 林慧岳 李云飞 《科学技术哲学研究》 CSSCI 北大核心 2022年第1期89-95,共7页
全球气候变暖过程的技术影响可从三个层面考量:产品生命周期的排放叠加,技术群的集成环境影响,以及技术-经济体系环境影响的产业放大。气候变暖过程是气候风险由量变到质变的临界变化过程。临界过程是临界点和转换期的统一,临界点代表... 全球气候变暖过程的技术影响可从三个层面考量:产品生命周期的排放叠加,技术群的集成环境影响,以及技术-经济体系环境影响的产业放大。气候变暖过程是气候风险由量变到质变的临界变化过程。临界过程是临界点和转换期的统一,临界点代表了人类活动的限度,转换期提供了生态风险防控的可能性。防控气候风险需要建立一种临界思维,这是一种关于危机、预警和主动防御的思维。为了防控气候变化的临界风险,从技术产品的供给侧考虑,有必要通过低碳化的技术创新完成生态化的技术迭代。从温室效应的社会建构考虑,每个地球人都承担维护地球生态系统安全运作的责任。 展开更多
关键词 全球气候变暖 技术影响 临界点 临界过程 临界风险防控
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基于临界点的杭州湾水体富营养化多年变化研究 被引量:1
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作者 化天然 姚炎明 +1 位作者 韩宇 叶观琼 《海洋通报》 CAS CSCD 北大核心 2022年第4期473-480,共8页
本文基于曼-肯德尔(Mann-Kendall)趋势检验和突变分析方法,利用工业废水氨氮排放量等3项指标探究杭州湾水体富营养化变化及其临界点。研究推测杭州湾水体在1996-2019年的富营养化演化过程可依据1998年和2010年两个临界点划分为稳定状态... 本文基于曼-肯德尔(Mann-Kendall)趋势检验和突变分析方法,利用工业废水氨氮排放量等3项指标探究杭州湾水体富营养化变化及其临界点。研究推测杭州湾水体在1996-2019年的富营养化演化过程可依据1998年和2010年两个临界点划分为稳定状态Ⅰ(1996-1998年)、过渡状态(1998-2010年)、稳定状态Ⅱ(2010-2019年)三个阶段,目前杭州湾水体富营养化情况呈现好转态势,但趋势并不明显,这也同时验证了前人的研究结论。现有环境政策取得了一定成效,未来仍需加强关注。囿于数据统计年限,有待通过其他研究方法对1996年之前的富营养化情况做进一步分析。 展开更多
关键词 杭州湾 富营养化 临界点 曼-肯德尔法
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Landscape dynamic network biomarker analysis reveals the tipping point of transcriptome reprogramming to prevent skin photodamage 被引量:2
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作者 Chengming Zhang Hong Zhang +6 位作者 Jing Ge Tingyan Mi Xiao Cui Fengjuan Tu Xuelan Gu Tao Zeng Luonan Chen 《Journal of Molecular Cell Biology》 SCIE CAS CSCD 2021年第11期822-833,共12页
Skin,as the outmost layer of human body,is frequently exposed to environmental stressors including pollutants and ultraviolet(UV),which could lead to skin disorders.Generally,skin response process to ultraviolet B(UVB... Skin,as the outmost layer of human body,is frequently exposed to environmental stressors including pollutants and ultraviolet(UV),which could lead to skin disorders.Generally,skin response process to ultraviolet B(UVB)irradiation is a nonlinear dynamic process,with unknown underlying molecular mechanism of critical transition.Here,the landscape dynamic network biomarker(lDNB)analysis of time series transcriptome data on 3D skin model was conducted to reveal the complicated process of skin response to UV irradiation at both molecular and network levels.The advanced l-DNB analysis approach showed that:(i)there was a tipping point before critical transition state during pigmentation process,validated by 3D skin model;(ii)13 core DNB genes were identified to detect the tipping point as a network biomarker,supported by computational assessment;(iii)core DNB genes such as COL7A1 and CTNNB1 can effectively predict skin lightening,validated by independent human skin data.Overall,this study provides new insights for skin response to repetitive UVB irradiation,including dynamic pathway pattern,biphasic response,and DNBs for skin lightening change,and enables us to further understand the skin resilience process after external stress. 展开更多
关键词 single-sample network tipping point UVB irradiation living skin equivalent model time series data skin lightening
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电视剧网络口碑传播的特征及路径 被引量:2
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作者 季静 《编辑之友》 CSSCI 北大核心 2017年第6期54-57,共4页
电视剧网络口碑传播以"生产性文本"为最佳载体,借助互联网所提供的丰富而便捷的交流渠道,形成一种"迷群"带动模式下的集体狂欢。其传播路径可划分为酝酿、触发、爆发和消退四个阶段,"引爆点"则决定着电... 电视剧网络口碑传播以"生产性文本"为最佳载体,借助互联网所提供的丰富而便捷的交流渠道,形成一种"迷群"带动模式下的集体狂欢。其传播路径可划分为酝酿、触发、爆发和消退四个阶段,"引爆点"则决定着电视剧网络口碑传播路径的长短和走向。 展开更多
关键词 电视剧 网络口碑 传播路径 引爆点 口碑效应
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Simulation of critical transitions and vulnerability assessment of Tibetan Plateau key ecosystems
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作者 YANG Fei MA Chao FANG Hua-jun 《Journal of Mountain Science》 SCIE CSCD 2022年第3期673-688,共16页
Critical transitions in ecosystems may imply risks of unexpected collapse under climate changes,especially vegetation often responds sensitively to climate change.The type of vegetation ecosystem states could present ... Critical transitions in ecosystems may imply risks of unexpected collapse under climate changes,especially vegetation often responds sensitively to climate change.The type of vegetation ecosystem states could present alternative stable states,and its type could signal the critical transitions at tipping points because of changed climate or other drivers.This study analyzed the distribution of four key vegetation ecosystem types:desert,grassland,forest-steppe ecotone and forest,in Tibetan Plateau in China,using the latent class analysis method based on remote sensing data and climate data.This study analyzed the impacts of three key climate factors,precipitation,temperature,and sunshine duration,on the vegetation states,and calculated the critical transition tipping point of potential changes in vegetation type in Tibetan Plateau with the logistic regression model.The studied results showed that climatic factors greatly affect the vegetation states and vulnerability of the Tibetan Plateau.In comparison with temperature and sunshine duration,precipitation shows more obvious impact on differentiations of the vegetations status probability.The precipitation tipping point for desert and grassland transition is averagely 48.0 mm/month,70.7 mm/month for grassland and forest-steppe ecotone,and 115.0 mm/month for forest-steppe ecotone and forest.Both temperature and sunshine duration only show different probability change between vegetation and non-vegetation type,but produce opposite impacts.In Tibetan Plateau,the transition tipping points of vegetation and nonvegetation are about 12.1°C/month and 173.6 h/month for the temperature and sunshine duration,respectively.Further,vulnerability maps calculated with the logistic regression results presented the distribution of vulnerability of Tibetan Plateau key ecosystems.The vulnerability of the typical ecosystems in the Tibetan Plateau is low in the southeast and is high in the northwest.The meteorological factors affect tree cover as well as the transition probability that 展开更多
关键词 VULNERABILITY Transition tipping point Tibetan Plateau Latent class analysis
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