A dynamic global vegetation model （DGVM） coupled with a land surface model （LSM） is generally initialized using a spin-up process to derive a physically-consistent initial condition. Spin-up forcing, which is the ...A dynamic global vegetation model （DGVM） coupled with a land surface model （LSM） is generally initialized using a spin-up process to derive a physically-consistent initial condition. Spin-up forcing, which is the atmospheric forcing used to drive the coupled model to equilibrium solutions in the spin-up process, varies across earlier studies. In the present study, the impact of the spin-up forcing in the initialization stage on the fractional coverages （FCs） of plant functional type （PFT） in the subsequent simulation stage are assessed in seven classic climate regions by a modified Community Land Model’s Dynamic Global Vegetation Model （CLM-DGVM）. Results show that the impact of spin-up forcing is considerable in all regions except the tropical rainforest climate region （TR） and the wet temperate climate region （WM）. In the tropical monsoon climate region （TM）, the TR and TM transition region （TR-TM）, the dry temperate climate region （DM）, the highland climate region （H）, and the boreal forest climate region （BF）, where FCs are affected by climate non-negligibly, the discrepancies in initial FCs, which represent long-term cumulative response of vegetation to different climate anomalies, are large. Moreover, the large discrepancies in initial FCs usually decay slowly because there are trees or shrubs in the five regions. The intrinsic growth timescales of FCs for tree PFTs and shrub PFTs are long, and the variation of FCs of tree PFTs or shrub PFTs can affect that of grass PFTs.展开更多
The spin-up time TA in the spin-up process and spin-down time TD in the spin-down process of rotational air flow in the cylindrical vortex chamber with three kinds of the artificial surface roughness were investigated...The spin-up time TA in the spin-up process and spin-down time TD in the spin-down process of rotational air flow in the cylindrical vortex chamber with three kinds of the artificial surface roughness were investigated. One of the most different characteristics between the smooth and rough surface conditions was the spin-down time TD. Also the transient response of the tangential velocity on the spin-up process was analyzed numerically and this result was compared with the experimental results. The above stated results are reported here in detail.展开更多
Diagnostics are presented from an ensemble of high-resolution forecasts that differed markedly in their predictions of the rapid intensification(RI)of Typhoon Rammasun.We show that the basic difference stems from subt...Diagnostics are presented from an ensemble of high-resolution forecasts that differed markedly in their predictions of the rapid intensification(RI)of Typhoon Rammasun.We show that the basic difference stems from subtle differences in initializations of(a)500-850-h Pa environmental winds,and(b)midlevel moisture and ventilation.We then describe how these differences impact on the evolving convective organization,storm structure,and the timing of RI.As expected,ascent,diabatic heating and the secondary circulation near the inner-core are much stronger in the member that best forecasts the RI.The evolution of vortex cloudiness from this member is similar to the actual imagery,with the development of an inner cloud band wrapping inwards to form the eyewall.We present evidence that this structure,and hence the enhanced diabatic heating,is related to the tilt and associated dynamics of the developing inner-core in shear.For the most accurate ensemble member:(a)inhibition of ascent and a reduction in convection over the up-shear sector allow moistening of the boundary-layer air,which is transported to the down-shear sector to feed a developing convective asymmetry;(b)with minimal ventilation,undiluted clouds and moisture from the down-shear left quadrant are then wrapped inwards to the up-shear left quadrant to form the eyewall cloud;and(c)this process seems related to a critical down-shear tilt of the vortex from midlevels,and the vertical phase-locking of the circulation over up-shear quadrants.For the member that forecasts a much-delayed RI,these processes are inhibited by stronger vertical wind shear,initially resulting in poor vertical coherence of the circulation,lesser moisture and larger ventilation.Our analysis suggests that ensemble prediction is needed to account for the sensitivity of forecasts to a relatively narrow range of environmental wind shear,moisture and vortex inner-structure.展开更多
Using 2. 5 ×2. 5 winds and pressure grid data, the angular momentum budgets are studied in this paper for TC 9012 (Yancy) which was kept active 65 hours after land fall. It is found that the inland TC 9012 moved ...Using 2. 5 ×2. 5 winds and pressure grid data, the angular momentum budgets are studied in this paper for TC 9012 (Yancy) which was kept active 65 hours after land fall. It is found that the inland TC 9012 moved into the center of a relatively stable saddle, in which large amount of humid air was entrained into the storm from the southerly jet at low level to bund up the energy of latent heat, the weak cold air coming from the north provided it with baroclinic energy, while the vorticity transfer of geostrophic angular momentum on the radius 4°-8°from the cyclone center at upper troposphere and the input of cyclonic angular momentum produced by the βterm are immediate factors maintaining the central pressure and maximum winds.展开更多
Nonlinear properties of ion acoustic solitary waves are studied in the case of dense magnetized plasmas. The degenerate electrons with relative density effects from their spin states in the same direction and from equ...Nonlinear properties of ion acoustic solitary waves are studied in the case of dense magnetized plasmas. The degenerate electrons with relative density effects from their spin states in the same direction and from equally probable up and down spinning states are taken up separately. Quantum statistical as well as quantum tunneling effects for both types of electrons are taken. The ions have large inertia and are considered classically, whereas the electrons are degenerate. The collisions of ions and electrons with neutral atoms are considered. We derive the deformed Korteweg de–Vries(DKdV)equation for small amplitude electrostatic potential disturbances by employing the reductive perturbation technique. The Runge–Kutta method is applied to solve numerically the DKdV equation. The analytical solution of DKdV is also presented with time dependence. We discuss the profiles for velocity, amplitude, and time variations in solitons for the cases when all the electrons are spinning in the same direction and for the case when there is equal probability of electrons having spin up and spin down. We have found that the wave is unstable because of the collisions between neutral gas molecules and the charged plasmas particles in the presence of degenerate electrons.展开更多
We examine a hierarchy of minimal conceptual models for tropical cyclone intensification.These models are framed mostly in terms of axisymmetric balance dynamics.In the first set of models,the heating rate is prescrib...We examine a hierarchy of minimal conceptual models for tropical cyclone intensification.These models are framed mostly in terms of axisymmetric balance dynamics.In the first set of models,the heating rate is prescribed in such a way to mimic a deep overturning circulation with convergence in the lower troposphere and divergence in the upper troposphere,characteristic of a region of deep moist convection.In the second set,the heating rate is related explicitly to the latent heat release of ascending air parcels.The release of latent heat markedly reduces the local static stability of ascending air,raising two possibilities in the balance framework.The first possibility is that the effective static stability and the related discriminant in the Eliassen equation for the overturning circulation in saturated air,although small,remains positive so the Eliassen equation is globally elliptic.The second possibility,the more likely one during vortex intensification,is that the effective static stability in saturated air is negative and the Eliassen equation becomes locally hyperbolic.These models help to understand the differences between the early Ooyama models of 1968 and 1969,the Emanuel,1989 model,and the later Emanuel models of 1995,1997 and 2012.They provide insight also into the popular explanation of the WISHE feedback mechanism for tropical cyclone intensification.Some implications for recent work are discussed.展开更多
Numerical simulations of two heavy rainfall cases in the Changjiang-Huaihe River basin are performed with TRMM/PR (precipitation radar) data incorporated into the PSU/NCAR meso scale model MM5. The mixing ratio of rai...Numerical simulations of two heavy rainfall cases in the Changjiang-Huaihe River basin are performed with TRMM/PR (precipitation radar) data incorporated into the PSU/NCAR meso scale model MM5. The mixing ratio of rainwater q <SUB>r</SUB> is obtained from the R −q <SUB>r</SUB> relation (R is the rainfall rate), and the mixing ratio of water vapor q <SUB>v</SUB> in the model is replaced by q <SUP>1</SUP>′<SUB>v</SUB> = q <SUB>v</SUB>+q <SUB>r</SUB>. Then, TRMM/PR data are used to modify humidity analysis obtained from conventional radiosonde data, and sensitivity experiments (STE) are performed and compared to control experiments (CTL). Results show that both the heavy rainfall distribution and its maximum amounts from STE are improved compared with those from CTL.展开更多
基于TRAMS(Tropical Regional Atmospheric Model System)区域模式和ECMWF(European Centre for Medium-range Weather Forecasting)全球分析场资料,对一次华南暖区暴雨过程进行IAU-Replay模拟试验。由于本次个例模拟试验的分析时刻ECMW...基于TRAMS(Tropical Regional Atmospheric Model System)区域模式和ECMWF(European Centre for Medium-range Weather Forecasting)全球分析场资料,对一次华南暖区暴雨过程进行IAU-Replay模拟试验。由于本次个例模拟试验的分析时刻ECMWF分析场和TRAMS模式正好处于比较协调的状态,直接使用全球分析场进行冷启动也不会激发虚假高频短波,因此IAU-Replay方法对于模拟结果的初始平衡性影响较小。从动力场和水物质场的对比可以发现,IAU-Replay方法通过提前启动模式有效避免了Spin-up过程的影响,这对于降水预报具有明显的改进效果。对IAU-Replay中不同预热时间的敏感性进行测试,发现当预热时间从6 h延长至12 h后模式可以更加合理地模拟出与对流系统中直接相关的中小尺度信息,从而使降水预报效果更接近实况。连续一周的预报结果评估进一步验证了IAU-Replay技术的有效性。展开更多
Based on the Princeton Ocean Model （POM）, the seasonal thermohaline feature and the ocean circulation in the Gulf of Thailand （GOT）, situated between 6°N to 14°N latitude and 99°E to 105°E long...Based on the Princeton Ocean Model （POM）, the seasonal thermohaline feature and the ocean circulation in the Gulf of Thailand （GOT）, situated between 6°N to 14°N latitude and 99°E to 105°E longitude, were studied numerically with 37 × 97 orthogonal curvilinear grid and 10 vertical sigma levels conforming to a realistic bottom topography. A spin-up phase of the first model run was executed using wind stress calculated from climatological monthly mean wind, restoring-type surface heat and salt, and climatological monthly mean fresh water flux data. In this paper, the temperature and salinity fields taken from Levitus94 data sets and the calculated temperature and salinity from the model run for 12-month mean and for each season are presented where the winter, summer, rainy, and end of the rainy seasons of Thailand are represented by the months January, April, July, and October, respectively. The simulated circulations are also described. The results show that the temperature in the GoT is warmer than the temperature of the other parts connected to the South China Sea （SCS）. At any depth of inflow from SCS into the GoT, the salinity is high, but in the outflow from the GoT at the surface, the salinity is low. The strong circulations are clockwise during summer and the rainy seasons of Thailand, which are the East Asian monsoon periods, northeasterly and southwesterly during summer. They occur near Pattani and Narathiwat provinces during summer and in the central GoT during the rainy seasons. Sensitivity experiments were designed to investigate the effects of wind forcing and open boundary conditions. Wind forcing is shown to be the important factor for generating the circulation in the GoT. The lateral velocity at the open boundaries is of considerable importance to current circulation for the rainy and end of the rainy seasons, with insignificant effect for the winter and summer seasons of Thailand.展开更多
In this paper, the numerical experiments on the issue of spin-up time for seasonal-scale regional climate modeling were conducted with the newly Regional Climate Model （RegCM3）, in the case of the abnormal climate e...In this paper, the numerical experiments on the issue of spin-up time for seasonal-scale regional climate modeling were conducted with the newly Regional Climate Model （RegCM3）, in the case of the abnormal climate event during the summer of 1998 in China. To test the effect of spin-up time on the regional climate simulation results for such abnormal climate event, a total of 11 experiments were performed with different spin-up time from 10 days to 6 months, respectively. The simulation results show that, for the meteorological variables in the atmosphere, the model would be running in “climate mode” after 4-8-day spin-up time, then, it is independent of the spin-up time basically, and the simulation errors are mainly caused by the model＇ s failure in describing the atmospheric processes over the model domain. This verifies again that the regional climate modeling is indeed a lateral boundary condition problem as demonstrated by earlier research work. The simulated mean precipitation rate over each subregion is not sensitive to the spin-up time, but the precipitation scenario is somewhat different for the experiment with different spin-up time, which shows that there exists the uncertainty in the simulation to precipitation scenario, and such a uncertainty exhibits more over the areas where heavy rainfall happened. Generally, for monthly-scale precipitation simulation, a soin-uo time of 1 month is enough, whereas a spin-up time of 2 months is better for seasonal-scale one. Furthermore, the relationship between the precipitation simulation error and the advancement/withdrawal of East Asian summer monsoon was analyzed. It is found that the variability of correlation coefficient for precipitation is more significant over the areas where the summer monsoon is predominant. Therefore, the model＇s capability in reproducing precipitation features is related to the heavy rainfall processes associated with the advancement/withdrawal of East Asian summer monsoon, which suggests that it is necessary to develop a m展开更多
基金supported by the Chinese Academy of Sciences under Grant No.KZCX2-YW-219State Key Project for Basic Research Program of China(973)under Grant No.2010CB951801Key Program of National Natural Science Foundation under Grant No.40830103
文摘A dynamic global vegetation model （DGVM） coupled with a land surface model （LSM） is generally initialized using a spin-up process to derive a physically-consistent initial condition. Spin-up forcing, which is the atmospheric forcing used to drive the coupled model to equilibrium solutions in the spin-up process, varies across earlier studies. In the present study, the impact of the spin-up forcing in the initialization stage on the fractional coverages （FCs） of plant functional type （PFT） in the subsequent simulation stage are assessed in seven classic climate regions by a modified Community Land Model’s Dynamic Global Vegetation Model （CLM-DGVM）. Results show that the impact of spin-up forcing is considerable in all regions except the tropical rainforest climate region （TR） and the wet temperate climate region （WM）. In the tropical monsoon climate region （TM）, the TR and TM transition region （TR-TM）, the dry temperate climate region （DM）, the highland climate region （H）, and the boreal forest climate region （BF）, where FCs are affected by climate non-negligibly, the discrepancies in initial FCs, which represent long-term cumulative response of vegetation to different climate anomalies, are large. Moreover, the large discrepancies in initial FCs usually decay slowly because there are trees or shrubs in the five regions. The intrinsic growth timescales of FCs for tree PFTs and shrub PFTs are long, and the variation of FCs of tree PFTs or shrub PFTs can affect that of grass PFTs.
文摘The spin-up time TA in the spin-up process and spin-down time TD in the spin-down process of rotational air flow in the cylindrical vortex chamber with three kinds of the artificial surface roughness were investigated. One of the most different characteristics between the smooth and rough surface conditions was the spin-down time TD. Also the transient response of the tangential velocity on the spin-up process was analyzed numerically and this result was compared with the experimental results. The above stated results are reported here in detail.
基金partially supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China (Grant Nos. 41365005, 41765007 and 41705038)the Hainan Key Cooperation Program (Grant No. ZDYF2019213)the Natural Science Foundation of Hainan Province of China (Grant No. 417298)
文摘Diagnostics are presented from an ensemble of high-resolution forecasts that differed markedly in their predictions of the rapid intensification(RI)of Typhoon Rammasun.We show that the basic difference stems from subtle differences in initializations of(a)500-850-h Pa environmental winds,and(b)midlevel moisture and ventilation.We then describe how these differences impact on the evolving convective organization,storm structure,and the timing of RI.As expected,ascent,diabatic heating and the secondary circulation near the inner-core are much stronger in the member that best forecasts the RI.The evolution of vortex cloudiness from this member is similar to the actual imagery,with the development of an inner cloud band wrapping inwards to form the eyewall.We present evidence that this structure,and hence the enhanced diabatic heating,is related to the tilt and associated dynamics of the developing inner-core in shear.For the most accurate ensemble member:(a)inhibition of ascent and a reduction in convection over the up-shear sector allow moistening of the boundary-layer air,which is transported to the down-shear sector to feed a developing convective asymmetry;(b)with minimal ventilation,undiluted clouds and moisture from the down-shear left quadrant are then wrapped inwards to the up-shear left quadrant to form the eyewall cloud;and(c)this process seems related to a critical down-shear tilt of the vortex from midlevels,and the vertical phase-locking of the circulation over up-shear quadrants.For the member that forecasts a much-delayed RI,these processes are inhibited by stronger vertical wind shear,initially resulting in poor vertical coherence of the circulation,lesser moisture and larger ventilation.Our analysis suggests that ensemble prediction is needed to account for the sensitivity of forecasts to a relatively narrow range of environmental wind shear,moisture and vortex inner-structure.
文摘Using 2. 5 ×2. 5 winds and pressure grid data, the angular momentum budgets are studied in this paper for TC 9012 (Yancy) which was kept active 65 hours after land fall. It is found that the inland TC 9012 moved into the center of a relatively stable saddle, in which large amount of humid air was entrained into the storm from the southerly jet at low level to bund up the energy of latent heat, the weak cold air coming from the north provided it with baroclinic energy, while the vorticity transfer of geostrophic angular momentum on the radius 4°-8°from the cyclone center at upper troposphere and the input of cyclonic angular momentum produced by the βterm are immediate factors maintaining the central pressure and maximum winds.
文摘Nonlinear properties of ion acoustic solitary waves are studied in the case of dense magnetized plasmas. The degenerate electrons with relative density effects from their spin states in the same direction and from equally probable up and down spinning states are taken up separately. Quantum statistical as well as quantum tunneling effects for both types of electrons are taken. The ions have large inertia and are considered classically, whereas the electrons are degenerate. The collisions of ions and electrons with neutral atoms are considered. We derive the deformed Korteweg de–Vries(DKdV)equation for small amplitude electrostatic potential disturbances by employing the reductive perturbation technique. The Runge–Kutta method is applied to solve numerically the DKdV equation. The analytical solution of DKdV is also presented with time dependence. We discuss the profiles for velocity, amplitude, and time variations in solitons for the cases when all the electrons are spinning in the same direction and for the case when there is equal probability of electrons having spin up and spin down. We have found that the wave is unstable because of the collisions between neutral gas molecules and the charged plasmas particles in the presence of degenerate electrons.
基金the support of NSF grant IAA1656075ONR grant N0001417WX00336the U.S.Naval Postgraduate School。
文摘We examine a hierarchy of minimal conceptual models for tropical cyclone intensification.These models are framed mostly in terms of axisymmetric balance dynamics.In the first set of models,the heating rate is prescribed in such a way to mimic a deep overturning circulation with convergence in the lower troposphere and divergence in the upper troposphere,characteristic of a region of deep moist convection.In the second set,the heating rate is related explicitly to the latent heat release of ascending air parcels.The release of latent heat markedly reduces the local static stability of ascending air,raising two possibilities in the balance framework.The first possibility is that the effective static stability and the related discriminant in the Eliassen equation for the overturning circulation in saturated air,although small,remains positive so the Eliassen equation is globally elliptic.The second possibility,the more likely one during vortex intensification,is that the effective static stability in saturated air is negative and the Eliassen equation becomes locally hyperbolic.These models help to understand the differences between the early Ooyama models of 1968 and 1969,the Emanuel,1989 model,and the later Emanuel models of 1995,1997 and 2012.They provide insight also into the popular explanation of the WISHE feedback mechanism for tropical cyclone intensification.Some implications for recent work are discussed.
基金This research was supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China under Grant No.49794030.
文摘Numerical simulations of two heavy rainfall cases in the Changjiang-Huaihe River basin are performed with TRMM/PR (precipitation radar) data incorporated into the PSU/NCAR meso scale model MM5. The mixing ratio of rainwater q <SUB>r</SUB> is obtained from the R −q <SUB>r</SUB> relation (R is the rainfall rate), and the mixing ratio of water vapor q <SUB>v</SUB> in the model is replaced by q <SUP>1</SUP>′<SUB>v</SUB> = q <SUB>v</SUB>+q <SUB>r</SUB>. Then, TRMM/PR data are used to modify humidity analysis obtained from conventional radiosonde data, and sensitivity experiments (STE) are performed and compared to control experiments (CTL). Results show that both the heavy rainfall distribution and its maximum amounts from STE are improved compared with those from CTL.
文摘基于TRAMS(Tropical Regional Atmospheric Model System)区域模式和ECMWF(European Centre for Medium-range Weather Forecasting)全球分析场资料,对一次华南暖区暴雨过程进行IAU-Replay模拟试验。由于本次个例模拟试验的分析时刻ECMWF分析场和TRAMS模式正好处于比较协调的状态,直接使用全球分析场进行冷启动也不会激发虚假高频短波,因此IAU-Replay方法对于模拟结果的初始平衡性影响较小。从动力场和水物质场的对比可以发现,IAU-Replay方法通过提前启动模式有效避免了Spin-up过程的影响,这对于降水预报具有明显的改进效果。对IAU-Replay中不同预热时间的敏感性进行测试,发现当预热时间从6 h延长至12 h后模式可以更加合理地模拟出与对流系统中直接相关的中小尺度信息,从而使降水预报效果更接近实况。连续一周的预报结果评估进一步验证了IAU-Replay技术的有效性。
文摘Based on the Princeton Ocean Model （POM）, the seasonal thermohaline feature and the ocean circulation in the Gulf of Thailand （GOT）, situated between 6°N to 14°N latitude and 99°E to 105°E longitude, were studied numerically with 37 × 97 orthogonal curvilinear grid and 10 vertical sigma levels conforming to a realistic bottom topography. A spin-up phase of the first model run was executed using wind stress calculated from climatological monthly mean wind, restoring-type surface heat and salt, and climatological monthly mean fresh water flux data. In this paper, the temperature and salinity fields taken from Levitus94 data sets and the calculated temperature and salinity from the model run for 12-month mean and for each season are presented where the winter, summer, rainy, and end of the rainy seasons of Thailand are represented by the months January, April, July, and October, respectively. The simulated circulations are also described. The results show that the temperature in the GoT is warmer than the temperature of the other parts connected to the South China Sea （SCS）. At any depth of inflow from SCS into the GoT, the salinity is high, but in the outflow from the GoT at the surface, the salinity is low. The strong circulations are clockwise during summer and the rainy seasons of Thailand, which are the East Asian monsoon periods, northeasterly and southwesterly during summer. They occur near Pattani and Narathiwat provinces during summer and in the central GoT during the rainy seasons. Sensitivity experiments were designed to investigate the effects of wind forcing and open boundary conditions. Wind forcing is shown to be the important factor for generating the circulation in the GoT. The lateral velocity at the open boundaries is of considerable importance to current circulation for the rainy and end of the rainy seasons, with insignificant effect for the winter and summer seasons of Thailand.
基金Supported jointly by the National Natural Science Foundation of China under Grant Nos.40675065,40333026the Program of Jiangsu Key Laboratory of Meteorological Disaster (KJS0605).
文摘In this paper, the numerical experiments on the issue of spin-up time for seasonal-scale regional climate modeling were conducted with the newly Regional Climate Model （RegCM3）, in the case of the abnormal climate event during the summer of 1998 in China. To test the effect of spin-up time on the regional climate simulation results for such abnormal climate event, a total of 11 experiments were performed with different spin-up time from 10 days to 6 months, respectively. The simulation results show that, for the meteorological variables in the atmosphere, the model would be running in “climate mode” after 4-8-day spin-up time, then, it is independent of the spin-up time basically, and the simulation errors are mainly caused by the model＇ s failure in describing the atmospheric processes over the model domain. This verifies again that the regional climate modeling is indeed a lateral boundary condition problem as demonstrated by earlier research work. The simulated mean precipitation rate over each subregion is not sensitive to the spin-up time, but the precipitation scenario is somewhat different for the experiment with different spin-up time, which shows that there exists the uncertainty in the simulation to precipitation scenario, and such a uncertainty exhibits more over the areas where heavy rainfall happened. Generally, for monthly-scale precipitation simulation, a soin-uo time of 1 month is enough, whereas a spin-up time of 2 months is better for seasonal-scale one. Furthermore, the relationship between the precipitation simulation error and the advancement/withdrawal of East Asian summer monsoon was analyzed. It is found that the variability of correlation coefficient for precipitation is more significant over the areas where the summer monsoon is predominant. Therefore, the model＇s capability in reproducing precipitation features is related to the heavy rainfall processes associated with the advancement/withdrawal of East Asian summer monsoon, which suggests that it is necessary to develop a m
