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超对策理论的改进及应用 被引量:2
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作者 舒江 段建新 刘德铭 《系统工程理论与实践》 EI CSCD 北大核心 1994年第9期49-52,共4页
超对策技术主要处理军事或经济贸易冲突中出现的信息失真,态势误判情形下双方的决策分析选择,这也是一种定量研究欺骗与反欺骗战术的方法。决策目标(目的)与决策分析选择实施过程有机结合是赵对策技术的一个尚不完善之处。本文提出... 超对策技术主要处理军事或经济贸易冲突中出现的信息失真,态势误判情形下双方的决策分析选择,这也是一种定量研究欺骗与反欺骗战术的方法。决策目标(目的)与决策分析选择实施过程有机结合是赵对策技术的一个尚不完善之处。本文提出“制约垒”概念来反映基于决策目标之下决策分析、选择、控制的动态过程,最后以“海湾危机”全过程为实际背景,用改进的超对策方法进行了分析。 展开更多
关键词 冲突分析 超对策 制约链 制约垒
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The Extension of Hypergame Analysis and Its Application
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作者 Shu Jiang and Liu Deming (National University of Defense Technology. Hunan. 410073, P. R .China) 《Journal of Systems Engineering and Electronics》 SCIE EI CSCD 1994年第2期47-52,共6页
The hypergame analysis mainly processes the conflict in which one or more of the players are notfully aware of the nature of the conflict situation. it is a kind of qualitative technology which describes thedecieve an... The hypergame analysis mainly processes the conflict in which one or more of the players are notfully aware of the nature of the conflict situation. it is a kind of qualitative technology which describes thedecieve and anti-decieve strategies.The defect of hypergame analysis appears in that the decision goalcombines with the course of the decision analysis. This paper puts forward the concept 'sanctioned rampart', which reflects the dynamics course of players' decision analysis based on decision goal. At the end.the extended hypergame is used to analyse the whole course of 'Gulf Crisis'. 展开更多
关键词 Conflict analysis Hypergame sanctioned chain. sanctioned rampart.
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