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Saddlepoint approximation based structural reliability analysis with non-normal random variables 被引量:8
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作者 SONG ShuFang & LU ZhenZhou School of Aeronautics, Northwestern Polytechnical University, Xi’an 710072, China 《Science China(Technological Sciences)》 SCIE EI CAS 2010年第2期566-576,共11页
The saddlepoint approximation (SA) can directly estimate the probability distribution of linear performance function in non-normal variables space. Based on the property of SA, three SA based methods are developed for... The saddlepoint approximation (SA) can directly estimate the probability distribution of linear performance function in non-normal variables space. Based on the property of SA, three SA based methods are developed for the structural system reliability analysis. The first method is SA based reliability bounds theory (RBT), in which SA is employed to estimate failure probability and equivalent normal reliability index for each failure mode firstly, and then RBT is employed to obtain the upper and the lower bounds of system failure probability. The second method is SA based Nataf approximation, in which SA is used to estimate the probability density function (PDF) and cumulative distribution function (CDF) for the approximately linearized performance function of each failure mode. After the PDF of each failure mode and the correlation coefficients among approximately linearized performance functions are estimated, Nataf distribution is employed to approximate the joint PDF of multiple structural system performance functions, and then the system failure probability can be estimated directly by numerical simulation using the joint PDF. The third method is SA based line sampling (LS). The standardization transformation is needed to eliminate the dimensions of variables firstly in this case. Then LS method can express the system failure probability as an arithmetic average of a set of failure probabilities of the linear performance functions, and the probabilities of the linear performance functions can be estimated by the SA in the non-normal variables space. By comparing basic concepts, implementations and results of illustrations, the following conclusions can be drawn: (1) The first method can only obtain the bounds of system failure probability and it is only acceptable for the linear limit state function; (2) the second method can give the estimation of system failure probability, and its error mostly results from the approximation of Nataf distribution for the joint PDF of the structural system performance functi 展开更多
关键词 saddlepoint APPROXIMATION reliability BOUNDS theory Nataf DISTRIBUTION line sampling PROBABILITY density FUNCTION CUMULATIVE DISTRIBUTION FUNCTION failure PROBABILITY
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RBMDO Using Gaussian Mixture Model-Based Second-Order Mean-Value Saddlepoint Approximation 被引量:9
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作者 Debiao Meng Shiyuan Yang +3 位作者 Tao Lin Jiapeng Wang Hengfei Yang Zhiyuan Lv 《Computer Modeling in Engineering & Sciences》 SCIE EI 2022年第8期553-568,共16页
Actual engineering systems will be inevitably affected by uncertain factors.Thus,the Reliability-Based Multidisciplinary Design Optimization(RBMDO)has become a hotspot for recent research and application in complex en... Actual engineering systems will be inevitably affected by uncertain factors.Thus,the Reliability-Based Multidisciplinary Design Optimization(RBMDO)has become a hotspot for recent research and application in complex engineering system design.The Second-Order/First-Order Mean-Value Saddlepoint Approximate(SOMVSA/-FOMVSA)are two popular reliability analysis strategies that are widely used in RBMDO.However,the SOMVSA method can only be used efficiently when the distribution of input variables is Gaussian distribution,which significantly limits its application.In this study,the Gaussian Mixture Model-based Second-Order Mean-Value Saddlepoint Approximation(GMM-SOMVSA)is introduced to tackle above problem.It is integrated with the Collaborative Optimization(CO)method to solve RBMDO problems.Furthermore,the formula and procedure of RBMDO using GMM-SOMVSA-Based CO(GMM-SOMVSA-CO)are proposed.Finally,an engineering example is given to show the application of the GMM-SOMVSA-CO method. 展开更多
关键词 Uncertain factors reliability-based multidisciplinary design optimization saddlepoint approximate gaussian mixture model collaborative optimization
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鞍点规划与形位误差评定理论的研究 被引量:6
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作者 钱名海 吴宏基 +1 位作者 安立邦 刘健 《大连理工大学学报》 EI CAS CSCD 北大核心 1993年第1期33-38,共6页
提出了鞍点规划的概念,建立了两类有重要应用价值的鞍点规划数学 模型.它是解决形位误差评定等一类工程问题的有力工具.据此可以建立 形位误差评定统一的数学模型;通过分类编码,揭示了各种评定问题的共 性.给出了最小条件的解析... 提出了鞍点规划的概念,建立了两类有重要应用价值的鞍点规划数学 模型.它是解决形位误差评定等一类工程问题的有力工具.据此可以建立 形位误差评定统一的数学模型;通过分类编码,揭示了各种评定问题的共 性.给出了最小条件的解析表达式和几何判别准则,为评定的计算机化提 供了依据.根据上述原理开发的评定软件,目前已应用在生产实际中. 展开更多
关键词 鞍点 形位偏差测量 数学规划
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Saddlepoint approximation based line sampling method for uncertainty propagation in fuzzy and random reliability analysis 被引量:5
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作者 LI LuYi,LU ZhenZhou &SONG ShuFang School of Aeronautics,Northwestern Polytechnical University,Xi’an 710072,China 《Science China(Technological Sciences)》 SCIE EI CAS 2010年第8期2252-2260,共9页
For structural system with random basic variables as well as fuzzy basic variables,uncertain propagation from two kinds of basic variables to the response of the structure is investigated.A novel algorithm for obtaini... For structural system with random basic variables as well as fuzzy basic variables,uncertain propagation from two kinds of basic variables to the response of the structure is investigated.A novel algorithm for obtaining membership function of fuzzy reliability is presented with saddlepoint approximation(SA)based line sampling method.In the presented method,the value domain of the fuzzy basic variables under the given membership level is firstly obtained according to their membership functions.In the value domain of the fuzzy basic variables corresponding to the given membership level,bounds of reliability of the structure response satisfying safety requirement are obtained by employing the SA based line sampling method in the reduced space of the random variables.In this way the uncertainty of the basic variables is propagated to the safety measurement of the structure,and the fuzzy membership function of the reliability is obtained.Compared to the direct Monte Carlo method for propagating the uncertainties of the fuzzy and random basic variables,the presented method can considerably improve computational efficiency with acceptable precision.The presented method has wider applicability compared to the transformation method,because it doesn't limit the distribution of the variable and the explicit expression of performance function, and no approximation is made for the performance function during the computing process.Additionally,the presented method can easily treat the performance function with cross items of the fuzzy variable and the random variable,which isn't suitably approximated by the existing transformation methods.Several examples are provided to illustrate the advantages of the presented method. 展开更多
关键词 MEMBERSHIP function FUZZY reliability FUZZY VARIABLE random VARIABLE saddlepoint APPROXIMATION BASED line sampling METHOD
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Saddlepoint Approximation Method in Reliability Analysis:A Review
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作者 Debiao Meng Yipeng Guo +4 位作者 Yihe Xu Shiyuan Yang Yongqiang Guo Lidong Pan Xinkai Guo 《Computer Modeling in Engineering & Sciences》 SCIE EI 2024年第6期2329-2359,共31页
The escalating need for reliability analysis(RA)and reliability-based design optimization(RBDO)within engineering challenges has prompted the advancement of saddlepoint approximationmethods(SAM)tailored for such probl... The escalating need for reliability analysis(RA)and reliability-based design optimization(RBDO)within engineering challenges has prompted the advancement of saddlepoint approximationmethods(SAM)tailored for such problems.This article offers a detailed overview of the general SAM and summarizes the method characteristics first.Subsequently,recent enhancements in the SAM theoretical framework are assessed.Notably,the mean value first-order saddlepoint approximation(MVFOSA)bears resemblance to the conceptual framework of the mean value second-order saddlepoint approximation(MVSOSA);the latter serves as an auxiliary approach to the former.Their distinction is rooted in the varying expansion orders of the performance function as implemented through the Taylor method.Both the saddlepoint approximation and third-moment(SATM)and saddlepoint approximation and fourth-moment(SAFM)strategies model the cumulant generating function(CGF)by leveraging the initial random moments of the function.Although their optimal application domains diverge,each method consistently ensures superior relative precision,enhanced efficiency,and sustained stability.Every method elucidated is exemplified through pertinent RA or RBDO scenarios.By juxtaposing them against alternative strategies,the efficacy of these methods becomes evident.The outcomes proffered are subsequently employed as a foundation for contemplating prospective theoretical and practical research endeavors concerning SAMs.The main purpose and value of this article is to review the SAM and reliability-related issues,which can provide some reference and inspiration for future research scholars in this field. 展开更多
关键词 Reliability analysis reliability-based design optimization saddlepoint approximation
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Application of saddlepoint approximation in reliability analysis of dynamic systems 被引量:1
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作者 阮家荣 王家 区兆驹 《Earthquake Engineering and Engineering Vibration》 SCIE EI CSCD 2007年第4期391-400,共10页
The application of the saddlepoint approximation to reliability analysis of dynamic systems is investigated. The failure event in reliability problems is formulated as the exceedance of a single performance variable o... The application of the saddlepoint approximation to reliability analysis of dynamic systems is investigated. The failure event in reliability problems is formulated as the exceedance of a single performance variable over a prescribed threshold level. The saddlepoint approximation technique provides a choice to estimate the cumulative distribution function (CDF) of the performance variable. The failure probability is obtained as the value of the complement CDF at a specified threshold. The method requires computing the saddlepoint from a simple algebraic equation that depends on the cumulant generating function (CGF) of the performance variable. A method for calculating the saddlepoint using random samples of the performance variable is presented. The applicable region of the saddlepoint approximation is discussed in detail. A 10-story shear building model with white noise excitation illustrates the accuracy and efficiency of the proposed methodology. 展开更多
关键词 cumulant generating function failure probability reliability analysis saddlepoint approximation
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CNJK线性规划鞍点算法原理及理论分析 被引量:5
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作者 邵和平 成孟金 +1 位作者 张国光 尚毅 《沈阳化工学院学报》 CAS 1994年第4期251-264,共14页
在理论上证明了CNJK鞍点算法最优解的充分必要条件、局部收敛性、最优迭代步长;并介绍了对美国贝尔实验室检验题目的计算结果.
关键词 鞍点 线性规划 拉格朗日乘子 算法
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An Uncertainty Analysis and Reliability-Based Multidisciplinary Design Optimization Method Using Fourth-Moment Saddlepoint Approximation
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作者 Yongqiang Guo Zhiyuan Lv 《Computer Modeling in Engineering & Sciences》 SCIE EI 2023年第3期1855-1870,共16页
In uncertainty analysis and reliability-based multidisciplinary design and optimization(RBMDO)of engineering structures,the saddlepoint approximation(SA)method can be utilized to enhance the accuracy and efficiency of... In uncertainty analysis and reliability-based multidisciplinary design and optimization(RBMDO)of engineering structures,the saddlepoint approximation(SA)method can be utilized to enhance the accuracy and efficiency of reliability evaluation.However,the random variables involved in SA should be easy to handle.Additionally,the corresponding saddlepoint equation should not be complicated.Both of them limit the application of SA for engineering problems.The moment method can construct an approximate cumulative distribution function of the performance function based on the first few statistical moments.However,the traditional moment matching method is not very accurate generally.In order to take advantage of the SA method and the moment matching method to enhance the efficiency of design and optimization,a fourth-moment saddlepoint approximation(FMSA)method is introduced into RBMDO.In FMSA,the approximate cumulative generating functions are constructed based on the first four moments of the limit state function.The probability density function and cumulative distribution function are estimated based on this approximate cumulative generating function.Furthermore,the FMSA method is introduced and combined into RBMDO within the framework of sequence optimization and reliability assessment,which is based on the performance measure approach strategy.Two engineering examples are introduced to verify the effectiveness of proposed method. 展开更多
关键词 Reliability-based multidisciplinary design optimization moment method saddlepoint approximate sequence optimization and reliability assessment performance measure approach
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严格鞍点的查找算法 被引量:1
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作者 徐子珊 《重庆工商大学学报(自然科学版)》 2004年第5期477-479,共3页
对两人有限零和对策,可以通过搜索其赢得矩阵的鞍点来求得其优化解,对搜索赢得矩阵中的严格鞍点提出了一个快速算法,并对其进行了时间复杂度的分析。
关键词 鞍点 矩阵 优化解 有限 快速算法 搜索 时间复杂度 查找算法
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Inference in the Presence of Likelihood Monotonicity for Polytomous and Logistic Regression
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作者 John E. Kolassa 《Advances in Pure Mathematics》 2016年第5期331-341,共11页
This paper addresses the problem of inference for a multinomial regression model in the presence of likelihood monotonicity. This paper proposes translating the multinomial regression problem into a conditional logist... This paper addresses the problem of inference for a multinomial regression model in the presence of likelihood monotonicity. This paper proposes translating the multinomial regression problem into a conditional logistic regression problem, using existing techniques to reduce this conditional logistic regression problem to one with fewer observations and fewer covariates, such that probabilities for the canonical sufficient statistic of interest, conditional on remaining sufficient statistics, are identical, and translating this conditional logistic regression problem back to the multinomial regression setting. This reduced multinomial regression problem does not exhibit monotonicity of its likelihood, and so conventional asymptotic techniques can be used. 展开更多
关键词 Polytomous Regression Likelihood Monotonicity saddlepoint Approximation
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Saddlepoint approximations for studentized compound Poisson sums with no moment conditions in audit sampling
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作者 ZHOU GuoLiang 1 & ZHOU Wang 2, 1 Institute of Accounting and Finance, Shanghai University of Finance and Economics, Shanghai 200433, China 2 Department of Statistics and Applied Probability, National University of Singapore, Singapore 117546, Singapore 《Science China Mathematics》 SCIE 2010年第12期3131-3138,共8页
Saddlepoint approximations for the studentized compound Poisson sums with no moment conditions in audit sampling are derived. This result not only provides a very accurate approximation for studentized compound Poisso... Saddlepoint approximations for the studentized compound Poisson sums with no moment conditions in audit sampling are derived. This result not only provides a very accurate approximation for studentized compound Poisson sums, but also can be applied much more widely in statistical inference of the error amount in an audit population of accounts to check the validity of financial statements of a firm. Some numerical illustrations and comparison with the normal approximation method are presented. 展开更多
关键词 saddlepoint APPROXIMATION Laplace APPROXIMATION SELF-NORMALIZED COMPOUND POISSON SUM stu- dentized COMPOUND POISSON SUM
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SADDLEPOINT APPROXIMATIONS TO THETWO-SAMPLE PERMUTATION TESTS
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作者 荆炳义 《Acta Mathematicae Applicatae Sinica》 SCIE CSCD 1998年第2期197-201,共5页
A saddlepoint approximation for a two-sample permutation test was obtained by Robinson[7].Although the approximation is very accurate, the formula is very complicated and difficult toapply. In this papert we shall rev... A saddlepoint approximation for a two-sample permutation test was obtained by Robinson[7].Although the approximation is very accurate, the formula is very complicated and difficult toapply. In this papert we shall revisit the same problem from a different angle. We shall first turnthe problem into a conditional probability and then apply a Lugannani-Rice type formula to it,which was developed by Skovagard[8] for the mean of i.i.d. samples and by Jing and Robinson[5]for smooth function of vector means. Both the Lugannani-Rice type formula and Robinson'sformula achieve the same relative error of order O(n-3/2), but the former is very compact andmuch easier to use in practice. Some numerical results will be presented to compare the twoformulas. 展开更多
关键词 Indirect edgeworth expansion Lugannani-Rice formula saddlepoint approximation two-sample permutation test
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On the Spectrum of Asymptotic Expansions for an Asymptotic Normal Sequence
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作者 Min Tsao 《Open Journal of Statistics》 2012年第1期98-105,共8页
We present a family of formal expansions for the density function of a general one-dimensional asymptotic normal sequence Xn. Members of the family are indexed by a parameter τ with an interval domain which we refer ... We present a family of formal expansions for the density function of a general one-dimensional asymptotic normal sequence Xn. Members of the family are indexed by a parameter τ with an interval domain which we refer to as the spectrum of the family. The spectrum provides a unified view of known expansions for the density of Xn. It also provides a means to explore for new expansions. We discuss such applications of the spectrum through that of a sample mean and a standardized mean. We also discuss a related expansion for the cumulative distribution function of Xn. 展开更多
关键词 ASYMPTOTIC EXPANSION ASYMPTOTIC NORMAL SEQUENCE Edgeworth EXPANSION saddlepoint EXPANSION saddlepoints EXPANSION HERMITE POLYNOMIALS
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Detecting Change-Point via Saddlepoint Approximations
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作者 Zhaoyuan LI Maozai TIAN 《Journal of Systems Science and Information》 CSCD 2017年第1期48-73,共26页
It’s well-known that change-point problem is an important part of model statistical analysis. Most of the existing methods are not robust to criteria of the evaluation of change-point problem.In this article, we cons... It’s well-known that change-point problem is an important part of model statistical analysis. Most of the existing methods are not robust to criteria of the evaluation of change-point problem.In this article, we consider "mean-shift" problem in change-point studies. A quantile test of single quantile is proposed based on saddlepoint approximation method. In order to utilize the information at different quantile of the sequence, we further construct a "composite quantile test" to calculate the probability of every location of the sequence to be a change-point. The location of change-point can be pinpointed rather than estimated within a interval. The proposed tests make no assumptions about the functional forms of the sequence distribution and work sensitively on both large and small size samples,the case of change-point in the tails, and multiple change-points situation. The good performances of the tests are confirmed by simulations and real data analysis. The saddlepoint approximation based distribution of the test statistic that is developed in the paper is of independent interest and appealing.This finding may be of independent interest to the readers in this research area. 展开更多
关键词 CHANGE-POINT mean shift saddlepoint approximations composite quantile BOOTSTRAP
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Saddle Point Criteria in Nonsmooth Semi-Infinite Minimax Fractional Programming Problems 被引量:1
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作者 MISHRA S K SINGH Yadvendra VERMA R U 《Journal of Systems Science & Complexity》 SCIE EI CSCD 2018年第2期446-462,共17页
This paper considers a nonsmooth semi-infinite minimax fractional programming problem(SIMFP) involving locally Lipschitz invex functions. The authors establish necessary optimality conditions for SIMFP. The authors ... This paper considers a nonsmooth semi-infinite minimax fractional programming problem(SIMFP) involving locally Lipschitz invex functions. The authors establish necessary optimality conditions for SIMFP. The authors establish the relationship between an optimal solution of SIMFP and saddle point of scalar Lagrange function for SIMFP. Further, the authors study saddle point criteria of a vector Lagrange function defined for SIMFP. 展开更多
关键词 Generalized convexity Lagrange function nonsmooth programming problems saddlepoint semi-infinite minimax fractional programming problems.
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Banach空间中的一个共轭拉格朗日函数及其鞍点
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作者 杨湘豫 陈迪红 《系统工程》 CSCD 1997年第4期70-72,共3页
本文在函数共轭概念下定义了拉格朗日函数,给出了拉格朗日函数鞍点概念;推证了这些概念的一些结论;由这些结论知,我们也得到了(p)及(P’)的一些最优性条件.
关键词 拉格郎日函数 鞍点 最优性 BANACH空间
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B-(p,r)-不变凸性下广义分式规划的鞍点存在性定理
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作者 童子双 《浙江师范大学学报(自然科学版)》 CAS 2008年第2期136-140,共5页
对于一类目标函数中有无限个分式的广义分式规划,讨论了其最优性充分条件;给出了2个不完全Lagrange函数,并利用已有的最优性必要条件,在B-(p,r)-不变凸性的条件下,证明了鞍点最优性准则.
关键词 广义分式规划 充分条件 不完全Lagrange函数 鞍点 B-(p r)-不变凸
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关于向量极值问题的研究
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作者 贾继红 王春玲 《西北建筑工程学院学报(自然科学版)》 2001年第2期13-16,共4页
在局部凸实拓扑向量空间中 ,给出了广义锥类凸向量映射的概念 ,研究了目标函数和约束函数均为广义锥类凸映射的向量极值问题 .首先 ,用拟切锥给出了向量极值问题极小点的充分条件 ;其次 ,用拟切锥给出了向量极值问题对应的标量化问题极... 在局部凸实拓扑向量空间中 ,给出了广义锥类凸向量映射的概念 ,研究了目标函数和约束函数均为广义锥类凸映射的向量极值问题 .首先 ,用拟切锥给出了向量极值问题极小点的充分条件 ;其次 ,用拟切锥给出了向量极值问题对应的标量化问题极小点的充分条件 ;最后 ,定义了极值问题的 Lagrangian函数 ,给出了 Lagrangian函数鞍点的概念 ,用拟切锥获得了鞍点的充分条件 . 展开更多
关键词 广义锥类凸 极小点 鞍点 拓扑空间 向量极值
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The Multivariate Saddlepoint Approximation to the Distribution of Estimators: A General Approach
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作者 Juan Carlos Abril Maria de las Mercedes Abril Carlos I. Martinez 《Journal of Mathematics and System Science》 2016年第2期53-59,共7页
We develop the theory of multivariate saddlepoint approximations. Our treatment differs from the one in Barndorff-Nielsen and Cox (1979, equation (4.7)) in two aspects: 1) our results are satisfied for random ve... We develop the theory of multivariate saddlepoint approximations. Our treatment differs from the one in Barndorff-Nielsen and Cox (1979, equation (4.7)) in two aspects: 1) our results are satisfied for random vectors that are not necessarily sums of independent and identically distributed random vectors, and 2) we consider that the sample is taken from any distribution, not necessarily a member of the exponential family of densities. We also show the relationship with the corresponding multivariate Edgeworth approximations whose general treatment was developed by Durbin in 1980, emphasizing that the basic assumptions that support the validity of both approaches are essentially similar. 展开更多
关键词 Approximate distributions Asymptotic expansions Edgeworth approximations saddlepoint approximations.
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基于鞍点逼近的机械零部件可靠性及其灵敏度分析 被引量:21
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作者 金雅娟 张义民 张艳林 《机械工程学报》 EI CAS CSCD 北大核心 2009年第12期102-107,共6页
将鞍点逼近理论与灵敏度分析方法相结合,讨论具有随机参数的机械零部件可靠性及其灵敏度问题。在基本随机参数概率分布已知的前提下,应用鞍点逼近技术获得了外载荷作用下随机结构响应的概率密度函数和分布函数。在实例计算中,对螺栓、... 将鞍点逼近理论与灵敏度分析方法相结合,讨论具有随机参数的机械零部件可靠性及其灵敏度问题。在基本随机参数概率分布已知的前提下,应用鞍点逼近技术获得了外载荷作用下随机结构响应的概率密度函数和分布函数。在实例计算中,对螺栓、汽车前轴进行数值分析,将所提方法得出的数值分析结果与Monte-Carlo方法计算的结果进行对比验证,得出由鞍点逼近技术计算概率密度函数和分布函数具有计算结果准确度高、计算速率较快、尾部分布较好的优点。应用灵敏度分析方法,利用鞍点逼近技术计算的随机结构响应的概率密度函数,得到机械零部件随机参数可靠性灵敏度的变化规律,研究设计参数的改变对螺栓、汽车前轴可靠性的影响,为机械零部件的可靠性设计提供理论依据。 展开更多
关键词 鞍点逼近 随机参数 可靠性灵敏度
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