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基于水文学方法的珠江流域生态流量研究 被引量:53
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作者 张强 崔瑛 陈永勤 《生态环境学报》 CSCD 北大核心 2010年第8期1828-1837,共10页
珠江流域水资源丰富,但由于水体污染等原因,水质性缺水问题较为突出,区域水环境、水生态以及水安全等成为急需解决的重要科学问题。开展生态流量研究对于评价地表水文过程演变对区域水环境与水生态的影响具有重要理论意义,并为区域水资... 珠江流域水资源丰富,但由于水体污染等原因,水质性缺水问题较为突出,区域水环境、水生态以及水安全等成为急需解决的重要科学问题。开展生态流量研究对于评价地表水文过程演变对区域水环境与水生态的影响具有重要理论意义,并为区域水资源优化配置和可持续开发利用提供科学依据。基于此,运用各种"水文学"方法(包括最小月平均流量法、改进的7Q10法、NGPRP法、逐月最小生态径流计算法和逐月频率计算法)对珠江流域11个主要水文控制站点的实测月径流量做了全面而系统的研究,分析珠江流域生态径流过程,并通过与Tennant法对比分析,选择逐月最小生态径流计算法和逐月频率计算法分别计算了各水文控制站的最小生态径流量和适宜生态径流量,除个别站点外,其评价结果分别处于Tennant法"中"和"最佳"的等级。对于逐月频率计算法中保证率的选取方法,研究表明各月径流系列均取50%最适合珠江流域。研究同时为仅利用水文资料中的多年逐月径流数据来确定生态需水提供了一种新的研究思路。 展开更多
关键词 逐月最小生态径流计算法 逐月频率计算法 基于概率分布的生态需水评估方法 概率分布函数 珠江流域
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Towards multiple hazard resilient bridges:a methodology for modeling frequent and infrequent time-varying loads Part I,Comprehensive reliability and partial failure probabilities 被引量:9
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作者 Zach Liang George C.Lee 《Earthquake Engineering and Engineering Vibration》 SCIE EI CSCD 2012年第3期293-301,共9页
The current AASHTO load and resistance factor design (LRFD) guidelines are formulated based on bridge reliability, which interprets traditional design safety factors into more rigorously deduced factors based on the... The current AASHTO load and resistance factor design (LRFD) guidelines are formulated based on bridge reliability, which interprets traditional design safety factors into more rigorously deduced factors based on the theory of probability. This is a major advancement in bridge design specifications. However, LRFD is only calibrated for dead and live loads. In cases when extreme loads are significant, they need to be individually assessed. Combining regular loads with extreme loads has been a major challenge, mainly because the extreme loads are time variables and cannot be directly combined with time invariant loads to formulate the probability of structural failure. To overcome these difficulties, this paper suggests a methodology of comprehensive reliability, by introducing the concept of partial failure probability to separate the loads so that each individual load combination under a certain condition can be approximated as time invariant. Based on these conditions, the extreme loads (also referred to as multiple hazard or MH loads) can be broken down into single effects. In Part II of this paper, a further breakdown of these conditional occurrence probabilities into pure conditions is discussed by using a live truck and earthquake loads on a bridge as an example. There are three major steps in establishing load factors from MH load distributions: (1) formulate the failure probabilities; (2) normalize various load distributions; and (3) establish design limit state equations. This paper describes the formulation of the failure probabilities of single and combined loads. 展开更多
关键词 multiple hazards bridge probability-based design comprehensive reliability partial failure probability
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Towards multiple hazard resilient bridges:a methodology for modeling frequent and infrequent time-varying loads Part Ⅱ,Examples for live and earthquake load effects 被引量:7
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作者 Zach Liang George C. Lee 《Earthquake Engineering and Engineering Vibration》 SCIE EI CSCD 2012年第3期303-311,共9页
The current AASHTO load and resistance factor design (LRFD) guidelines are formulated based on bridge reliability, which interprets traditional design safety factors into more rigorously deduced factors based on the... The current AASHTO load and resistance factor design (LRFD) guidelines are formulated based on bridge reliability, which interprets traditional design safety factors into more rigorously deduced factors based on the theory of probability. This is a major advancement in bridge design specifications. However, LRFD is only calibrated for dead and live loads. In cases when extreme loads are significant, they need to be individually assessed. Combining regular loads with extreme loads has been a major challenge, mainly because the extreme loads are time variable and cannot be directly combined with time invariant loads to formulate the probability of structural failure.To overcome these difficulties, this paper suggests a methodology of comprehensive reliability, by introducing the concept of partial failure probability to separate the loads so that each individual load combination under a certain condition can be approximated a,; time invariant. Based on these conditions, the extreme loads (also referred to as multiple hazard or MH loads) can be broken down into single effects. In this paper, a further breakdown of these conditional occurrence probabilities into pure conditions is discussed by using a live truck and earthquake loads on a bridge as an example. 展开更多
关键词 multiple hazards bridge probability-based design comprehensive reliability partJ[al failure probability
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Probability-Based Analyses of the Snap-Through in Cage-Shaped Mesostructures Under Out-of-Plane Compressions 被引量:1
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作者 Qing Liu Zhangming Shen +5 位作者 Zhi Liu Yumeng Shuai Zengyao Lv Tianqi Jin Xu Cheng Yihui Zhang 《Acta Mechanica Solida Sinica》 SCIE EI CSCD 2023年第4期569-581,共13页
Three-dimensional(3D)mesostructures with distinct compressive deformation behaviors and tunable mechanical responses have gained increasing interest in recent years.3D cage-shaped mesostructures are representative fra... Three-dimensional(3D)mesostructures with distinct compressive deformation behaviors and tunable mechanical responses have gained increasing interest in recent years.3D cage-shaped mesostructures are representative framework structures widely exploited in 3D flexible electronics,owing to their unique cellular geometry and unusual mechanical responses.The snap-through behavior of cage-shaped mesostructures could potentially result in the performance degradation of electronics,while it could also be harnessed to design reconfigurable electronics.Due to the complicated deformation modes and random characteristics in experiments,the snap-through behavior of cage-shaped mesostructures remains largely unexplored,espe-cially in terms of probability-based analyses.In this work,we present a systematic study on the configuration evolution and snap-through of 3D cage-shaped mesostructures under out-of-plane compressions.Experimental and computational studies show the existence of two distinct deformation modes associated with the snap-through,which is controlled by the energy barrier based on the energetic analyses.Phase diagrams of the deformation modes decode how key geometric parameters and assembly strain affect the snap-through.Compressive experiments based on periodic arrays(10 × 10)of mesostructures provided a large amount of deformation data,allowing for statistical analyses of the snap-through behavior.These results provide new insights and useful guidelines for the design of 3D reconfigurable devices and multistable metamaterials based on 3D cage-shaped mesostructures. 展开更多
关键词 3D cage-shaped mesostructures SNAP-THROUGH probability-based analyses 3D assembly Out-of-plane compression
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Sequence optimization for multiple asteroids rendezvous via cluster analysis and probability-based beam search 被引量:5
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作者 LI HaiYang BAOYIN HeXi 《Science China(Technological Sciences)》 SCIE EI CAS CSCD 2021年第1期122-130,共9页
It is of great significance to visit multiple asteroids in a space mission.In this paper,the multiple asteroids mission optimization is implemented using cluster analysis and probability-based beam search.Clustering i... It is of great significance to visit multiple asteroids in a space mission.In this paper,the multiple asteroids mission optimization is implemented using cluster analysis and probability-based beam search.Clustering is performed to select the first asteroid to visit.Four cluster algorithms are investigated and affinity propagation is selected.Then four beam search algorithms that are deterministic beam search and three probability-based beam search variants,probabilistic beam search,ant-colony beam search,and evolving beam search,are applied to search for the rendezvous sequence.Deterministic beam search as a heuristic tree search algorithm is widely applied in multitarget sequence optimization,but it has an obvious drawback of the conflict between the number of pruned nodes and the possibility of finding optimal solutions,which can be improved by probability-based beam search.Among three probability-based beam search,the ant-colony beam search has a learning mechanism,and evolving beam search is constructed based on ant-colony beam search and has an evolutionary mechanism.Results show that the introduction of randomness can improve beam search,and beam search variants with the learning and evolutionary mechanism have an excellent performance. 展开更多
关键词 interplanetary trajectory optimization multi-target mission cluster analysis probability-based beam search
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Near-ground trajectory planning for UAVs via multi-resolution hybrid voxel-surfel map
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作者 GAO TianYu WENG Rui +4 位作者 WU Tong ZHANG RuiXian HAN ChengZhe JI XiaoYu LIU Ming 《Science China(Technological Sciences)》 SCIE EI CAS CSCD 2023年第5期1245-1254,共10页
This paper is concerned with trajectory planning problems for UAVs operating near ground.Most existing studies focus on solving the problem of collision-free trajectory planning between pre-defined path points,but ign... This paper is concerned with trajectory planning problems for UAVs operating near ground.Most existing studies focus on solving the problem of collision-free trajectory planning between pre-defined path points,but ignore the need of navigation method for UAVs working on specific operating surfaces in near-ground space.In this paper,a novel near-ground trajectory planning framework is proposed,where the hybrid voxel-surfel map is developed to model the environment with special attention to the uneven operating surface.To improve the frequency of updates,a probability-based surfel fusion method and a resolution adaptive adjustment method based on the fusion result are proposed in this paper.By using possibility information in the map,a path search method is established to generate the initial trajectory.The trajectory is then further optimized based on map gradient information to generate a final trajectory that tracks the specified operating surface according to the task requirements.Compared with existing methods,the multi-resolution hybrid voxel-surfel map proposed in this paper has advantages in terms of operating efficiency.A series of experiments in simulated and real scenarios validate the effectiveness of the proposed trajectory planning framework. 展开更多
关键词 near-ground trajectory planning hybrid voxel-surfel map probability-based surfel fusion operating surface tracking
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Probability-based Clustering and Its Application to WLAN Location Estimation 被引量:3
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作者 张明华 张申生 曹健 《Journal of Shanghai Jiaotong university(Science)》 EI 2008年第5期547-552,共6页
Wireless local area networks (WLAN) localization based on received signal strength is becoming an important enabler of location based services. Limited efficiency and accuracy are disadvantages to the deterministic lo... Wireless local area networks (WLAN) localization based on received signal strength is becoming an important enabler of location based services. Limited efficiency and accuracy are disadvantages to the deterministic location estimation techniques. The probabilistic techniques show their good accuracy but cost more computation overhead. A Gaussian mixture model based on clustering technique was presented to improve location determination efficiency. The proposed clustering algorithm reduces the number of candidate locations from the whole area to a cluster. Within a cluster, an improved nearest neighbor algorithm was used to estimate user location using signal strength from more access points. Experiments show that the location estimation time is greatly decreased while high accuracy can still be achieved. 展开更多
关键词 probability-based clustering Gaussian mixture model wireless local area networks (WLAN) location estimation received signal strength
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用两层分类算法进行视频烟雾检测 被引量:3
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作者 仝伯兵 王士同 《计算机科学》 CSCD 北大核心 2015年第3期301-306,共6页
为提高视频烟雾检测的准确性,提出一种基于概率的两层最近邻自适应度量分类算法(PTLNN)来进行烟雾检测。该算法以最小化平均绝对误差为原则,结合AdaBoost和KNN算法的优势,充分考虑局部和全局的样本分布,能明显提升分类精度。采用离散余... 为提高视频烟雾检测的准确性,提出一种基于概率的两层最近邻自适应度量分类算法(PTLNN)来进行烟雾检测。该算法以最小化平均绝对误差为原则,结合AdaBoost和KNN算法的优势,充分考虑局部和全局的样本分布,能明显提升分类精度。采用离散余弦变换(DCT)和离散小波变换(DWT)两种方式对烟雾特征进行提取,并验证算法性能。通过与传统算法的对比实验发现,采用离散余弦变换并结合PTLNN算法在视频烟雾检测方面具有更好的效果,既满足实时性要求又提高了检测精度。 展开更多
关键词 两层分类 平均绝对误差 基于概率 烟雾检测 离散余弦变换
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Application of the probability-based covering algorithm model in text classification
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作者 ZHOU Ying 《Chinese Journal of Library and Information Science》 2009年第4期1-17,共17页
The probability-based covering algorithm(PBCA) is a new algorithm based on probability distribution. It decides, by voting, the class of the tested samples on the border of the coverage area, based on the probability ... The probability-based covering algorithm(PBCA) is a new algorithm based on probability distribution. It decides, by voting, the class of the tested samples on the border of the coverage area, based on the probability of training samples. When using the original covering algorithm(CA), many tested samples that are located on the border of the coverage cannot be classified by the spherical neighborhood gained. The network structure of PBCA is a mixed structure composed of both a feed-forward network and a feedback network. By using this method of adding some heterogeneous samples and enlarging the coverage radius,it is possible to decrease the number of rejected samples and improve the rate of recognition accuracy. Relevant computer experiments indicate that the algorithm improves the study precision and achieves reasonably good results in text classification. 展开更多
关键词 probability-based covering algorithm Structural training algorithm probability Text classification
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基于概率的两层最近邻自适应度量分类算法 被引量:2
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作者 仝伯兵 王士同 《计算机工程与应用》 CSCD 北大核心 2015年第21期144-149,270,共7页
针对有限样本下,KNN算法距离量的选择以及以前距离量学习研究中没有充分考虑样本分布的情况,提出了一种新的基于概率的两层最近邻自适应度量算法(PTLNN)。该算法分为两层,在低层使用欧氏距离来确定一个未标记的样本局部子空间;在高层,用... 针对有限样本下,KNN算法距离量的选择以及以前距离量学习研究中没有充分考虑样本分布的情况,提出了一种新的基于概率的两层最近邻自适应度量算法(PTLNN)。该算法分为两层,在低层使用欧氏距离来确定一个未标记的样本局部子空间;在高层,用Ada Boost在子空间进行信息提取。以最小化平均绝对误差为原则,定义一个基于概率的自适应距离度量进行最近邻分类。该算法结合KNN与Ada Boost算法的优势,在有限样本下充分考虑样本分布能降低分类错误率,并且在噪声数据下有很好的稳定性,能降低Ada Boost过度拟合现象发生。通过与其他算法对比实验表明,PTLNN算法取得更好的结果。 展开更多
关键词 两层分类 距离学习 基于概率 ADABOOST 平均绝对误差
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Multi-Mode Guided Waves Based Reference-Free Damage Diagnostic Imaging in Plates 被引量:1
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作者 Jiaqi Zhang Kehai Liu +3 位作者 Chang Gao Zhanjun Wu Yuebin Zheng Dongyue Gao 《Structural Durability & Health Monitoring》 EI 2019年第1期41-59,共19页
Probability-based diagnostic imaging(PDI)is one of the most well-known damage identification methods using guided waves.It is usually applied to diagnose damage in plates.The previous studies were dependent on the cer... Probability-based diagnostic imaging(PDI)is one of the most well-known damage identification methods using guided waves.It is usually applied to diagnose damage in plates.The previous studies were dependent on the certain damage index(DI)which is always calculated from the guided wave signals.In conventional methods,DI is simply defined by comparing the real-time data with the baseline data as reference.However,the baseline signal is easily affected by varying environmental conditions of structures.In this paper,a reference-free diagnostic imaging method is developed to avoid the influence of environmental factors,such as temperature and load conditions.The DI is defined based on the mode conversion of multi-mode guided waves with realtime signals without baseline signals.To improve the accuracy of diagnosis,two terms are included in the reference-free DI.One is called energy DI,which is defined based on the feature of signal energy.The other is called correlation DI and is defined based on the correlation coefficient.Then the PDI algorithm can be carried out instantaneously according to the reference-free DI.The real-time signals which are used to calculate DI are collected by the piezoelectric lead zirconate titanate(PZT)transducers placed on both sides of a plate.The numerical simulations by the finite element(FE)method on aluminum plates with PZT arrays are performed to validate the effectiveness of the reference-free damage diagnostic imaging.The approach is validated by two different arrays:a circle network and a square network.The results of diagnostic imaging are demonstrated and discussed in this paper.Furthermore,the advantage of reference-free DI is investigated by comparing the accuracy of defined reference-free DI and energy DI. 展开更多
关键词 Multi-mode guided waves probability-based diagnostic imaging referencefree mode conversion
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无线纳米传感网中基于概率的洪泛算法
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作者 夏建川 张秀娟 王斯锋 《通信技术》 2019年第9期2163-2166,共4页
目前无线纳米传感网为大量应用提供了新的解决方案。纳米传感器资源有限,因此需要新的通信协议。简单的洪泛机制可以应用于基于电磁的无线纳米传感网,但是冗余广播增加了资源使用,影响性能并增加了能量消耗。PBF(Probabilistic Based Fl... 目前无线纳米传感网为大量应用提供了新的解决方案。纳米传感器资源有限,因此需要新的通信协议。简单的洪泛机制可以应用于基于电磁的无线纳米传感网,但是冗余广播增加了资源使用,影响性能并增加了能量消耗。PBF(Probabilistic Based Flooding)算法被提出并用于无线纳米传感网广播。使用Nano-sim进行了仿真,结果表明PBF算法减少了冗余重传,同时保持了良好的性能。 展开更多
关键词 无线纳米传感网 广播 分布式的 基于概率的
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内蒙古区域地震台网监测能力研究 被引量:36
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作者 刘芳 蒋长胜 +4 位作者 张帆 杨彦明 梁莹 王磊 苗春兰 《地震学报》 CSCD 北大核心 2014年第5期919-929,981,共11页
国际上新近发展的"基于概率的完整性震级"(PMC)方法,具有可考察地震定位中由于台站人为选择等造成的台网监测能力下降,以及避免传统基于G-R关系的统计算法因地震数目过少而无法评估等优点.本研究利用PMC方法,计算得到内蒙古... 国际上新近发展的"基于概率的完整性震级"(PMC)方法,具有可考察地震定位中由于台站人为选择等造成的台网监测能力下降,以及避免传统基于G-R关系的统计算法因地震数目过少而无法评估等优点.本研究利用PMC方法,计算得到内蒙古区域地震台网39个台站对周边地震事件的检测概率及台网检测概率.单台检测概率结果显示:PMC方法能够客观地反映39个台站对地震事件的检测能力;因台网布局等影响,内蒙古区域地震台网中西部和中东部地区的台站检测能力较强,而靠近蒙古、俄罗斯边境的台站,阿拉善右旗附近地区的台站,以及邻近吉林、黑龙江等地区的台站检测能力较低.合成检测概率结果显示,由于邻省台站的引入,全区80%的地区基于概率的最小完整性震级MP达到2.2左右,其余地区MP达到3.3左右.为提高地震台网监测能力,建议在监测能力较弱的中蒙交界地区、东北部地区,以及阿拉善左旗以西地区适度加密台站,进一步优化台网布局. 展开更多
关键词 内蒙古区域地震台网 最小完整性震级 基于概率的完整性震级方法
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自主移动机器人室内定位方法研究综述 被引量:32
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作者 高云峰 周伦 +1 位作者 吕明睿 刘文涛 《传感器与微系统》 CSCD 北大核心 2013年第12期1-5,9,共6页
自主移动机器人的室内定位作为机器人研究领域中最基本的问题已被广泛研究。根据定位技术和传感器的不同,将室内定位方法分为航迹推算定位、地图匹配定位和基于信标定位三类。详细介绍了超声波网络定位系统和基于无线射频识别(RFID)的... 自主移动机器人的室内定位作为机器人研究领域中最基本的问题已被广泛研究。根据定位技术和传感器的不同,将室内定位方法分为航迹推算定位、地图匹配定位和基于信标定位三类。详细介绍了超声波网络定位系统和基于无线射频识别(RFID)的定位方法。对几种基于概率的定位算法做了分析和对比,并对自主移动机器人室内定位方法的研究方向做了展望。 展开更多
关键词 自主移动机器人 室内定位方法 航迹推算定位 地图匹配定位 信标定位 概率算法
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工程结构可靠度设计的研究与应用进展 被引量:10
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作者 邓子胜 《五邑大学学报(自然科学版)》 CAS 2001年第3期19-25,共7页
概述了工程结构设计理论的发展,在分析工程结构可靠度设计原理和方法的研究与应用现状的基础上,提出了今后应重视的若干研究课题.
关键词 工程结构 可靠度 可靠指标 失效概率 概率极限状态设计法
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复合材料加筋壁板损伤识别的概率成像方法 被引量:23
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作者 刘国强 肖迎春 +1 位作者 张华 任革学 《复合材料学报》 EI CAS CSCD 北大核心 2018年第2期311-319,共9页
由于不需要超声导波的波速和传播时间,损伤概率成像方法特别适合于复合材料结构的损伤识别。但是其损伤概率分布函数是一种不精确的分布概率,会造成损伤定位精度的降低,从而会影响其在实际工程结构中的应用。为了提高其损伤定位精度,提... 由于不需要超声导波的波速和传播时间,损伤概率成像方法特别适合于复合材料结构的损伤识别。但是其损伤概率分布函数是一种不精确的分布概率,会造成损伤定位精度的降低,从而会影响其在实际工程结构中的应用。为了提高其损伤定位精度,提出了一种改进的损伤概率成像方法。该方法通过利用损伤因子与损伤距离激励-传感通道直达路径的相对距离的关系,对损伤概率成像方法的损伤概率分布函数进行了改进。通过对复合材料加筋壁板上不同位置损伤的识别,对所提方法的有效性进行了验证。实验结果表明,该方法不仅能对复合材料加筋壁板的单损伤进行准确定位,而且能对两个损伤进行有效识别。 展开更多
关键词 复合材料 结构健康监测 导波 损伤识别 概率成像
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中国地震台网监测能力评估和台站检测能力评分(2008—2015年) 被引量:17
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作者 王亚文 蒋长胜 +1 位作者 刘芳 毕金孟 《地球物理学报》 SCIE EI CAS CSCD 北大核心 2017年第7期2767-2778,共12页
针对中国地震台网"十五"项目建成后的地震监测能力科学评估的需求,为进一步优化台网布局、提升边疆海域等重点地区监测能力,本研究利用"基于概率的完整性震级"(PMC)方法,对中国地震台网1001个台站以及2008-10-01-20... 针对中国地震台网"十五"项目建成后的地震监测能力科学评估的需求,为进一步优化台网布局、提升边疆海域等重点地区监测能力,本研究利用"基于概率的完整性震级"(PMC)方法,对中国地震台网1001个台站以及2008-10-01-2015-09-17期间实际产出的地震观测资料进行了研究,分析了指定震级档下的检测概率P_E和最小完整性震级MP的分布.除台网整体监测能力分布外,为直观地用单分值表述逐个台站的地震检测能力,本文发展了基于等振幅曲线的"地震检测能力评分表",给出了国家台和区域台每个台站的地震检测能力评分统计特征和空间分布特征.此外,研究中还采用设定"最佳"地震监测能力目标函数的方式,模拟了通过改进观测条件可获得的地震台网监测能力提升的理论结果.研究结果表明,我国华北和东南沿海等东部地区地震监测能力较高,西部尤其是青藏高原南部地区M_p仅约为4.5,近海海域M_p仅约为3.5;从单个地震台站的运行效益角度,台网运行水平和地震观测资料的分析程度对台站的实际的地震检测能力影响显著,新疆等部分台站稀疏地区地震检测能力较高,而中等台站密度的贵州等部分区域相对较低;国家台的地震检测能力评分D_(score)系统优于区域台,新疆等西部边疆地区,以及福建等东南沿海地区的D_(score)明显高于台站密集的东部地区;模拟结果显示,在现有台站布局条件下,通过台站优化改造和提升运维管理水平,可显著提升对内蒙古西部、四川西部、甘肃一青海的北部交界地区、鄂尔多斯地块内部、贵州大部分地区,以及我国近海海域、朝鲜半岛北部和中南半岛北部地区的地震监测能力. 展开更多
关键词 中国地震台网 最小完整性震级 地震检测能力 PMC方法
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利用PMC方法评估地震台阵的地震检测能力——以西昌流动地震台阵为例 被引量:14
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作者 蒋长胜 房立华 +2 位作者 韩立波 王未来 郭路杰 《地球物理学报》 SCIE EI CAS CSCD 北大核心 2015年第3期832-843,共12页
为实现对高密度、宽频带流动地震台阵地震检测能力的实时、不同深度评估,本研究采用"基于概率的完整性震级"(PMC)方法,以西昌流动地震台阵为例,对2013-01-13—2014-05-14期间平均的地震检测能力、不同震源深度检测能力,以及... 为实现对高密度、宽频带流动地震台阵地震检测能力的实时、不同深度评估,本研究采用"基于概率的完整性震级"(PMC)方法,以西昌流动地震台阵为例,对2013-01-13—2014-05-14期间平均的地震检测能力、不同震源深度检测能力,以及某一时刻的实时地震检测能力进行了评估.结果表明,PMC方法可识别地震观测资料处理中人为因素对地震检测能力的影响,不同震源深度下地震的检测能力存在差异,其中H=7.5km时,"网内"的完整性震级MP可达ML0.8,而在H=15.0km和25.0km时,"网内"的MP分别为ML1.0和ML1.4.在示例的2014-01-14时刻,非正常运行的台站造成地震检测能力的变化可被清晰识别出.此外,与MAXC和EMR等其它常用方法的对比表明,这些方法可能过高估计了地震台阵的检测能力. 展开更多
关键词 流动地震台阵 最小完整性震级 地震检测能力 PMC方法
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基于PMC方法的山东省测震台网监测能力评估 被引量:13
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作者 王鹏 郑建常 李铂 《地球物理学进展》 CSCD 北大核心 2016年第6期2408-2414,共7页
为了实现对山东区域测震台网监测能力的科学准确的评估,分析山东及邻区地震监测能力的时空分布特征,为该区的地震研究和测震台网的进一步优化布局提供科学依据.本文利用"基于概率的完整性震级"(PMC)方法,通过计算山东测震台网... 为了实现对山东区域测震台网监测能力的科学准确的评估,分析山东及邻区地震监测能力的时空分布特征,为该区的地震研究和测震台网的进一步优化布局提供科学依据.本文利用"基于概率的完整性震级"(PMC)方法,通过计算山东测震台网的117个台站对周边地震事件的检测概率、测震台网的合成检测概率以及最小完整性震级,来评估测震台网的监测能力.单台检测概率结果显示,PMC方法可客观反映117个台站对地震事件的监测能力,在距离台站较近的区域,检测概率随着震级和震中距的增大而增大,处于沂沭断裂带中南段的台站对低震级档的地震有较高的监测能力.合成检测概率结果显示,检测概率高值区域主要集中在台站密集的胶东半岛和沂沭带中南段,而靠近山东省界的鲁西和鲁北区域则监测能力较差.最小完整性震级的结果也反映了类似的规律.同时,PMC方法还可以检测不同深度对检测概率空间分布特征的影响. 展开更多
关键词 最小完整性震级 监测能力 PMC 山东测震台网
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基于概率的锈蚀钢筋混凝土桥梁检测维护策略优化 被引量:8
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作者 周浩 黄天立 +1 位作者 任伟新 陈华鹏 《中南大学学报(自然科学版)》 EI CAS CSCD 北大核心 2014年第12期4292-4299,共8页
考虑钢筋锈蚀钢筋混凝土桥梁结构,将基于钢筋局部锈蚀深度的结构损伤强度指标作为表征结构使用性能的退化指标;考虑钢筋锈蚀、损伤检测、维护决策等各种因素的不确定性,给出基于概率的结构使用寿命预测模型和检测维护成本模型;以最大化... 考虑钢筋锈蚀钢筋混凝土桥梁结构,将基于钢筋局部锈蚀深度的结构损伤强度指标作为表征结构使用性能的退化指标;考虑钢筋锈蚀、损伤检测、维护决策等各种因素的不确定性,给出基于概率的结构使用寿命预测模型和检测维护成本模型;以最大化桥梁经检测维护后的使用寿命期望和最小化检测维护成本为优化目标函数,提出基于Monte Carlo模拟和遗传算法的锈蚀钢筋混凝土桥梁结构检测维护策略优化分析方法;通过算例分析1座钢筋混凝土桥梁30 m跨主梁,得到其检测维护策略的Pareto优化解集。研究结果表明:Pareto优化解集提供了在不同的结构使用寿命期望和检测维护成本预算约束下效益最大的检测维护策略,可为业主或土木基础设施管理部门选择优化的检测维护策略提供决策依据。 展开更多
关键词 钢筋混凝土桥梁 钢筋锈蚀 检测维护策略 概率优化 MONTE CARLO模拟
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