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Application of SWAT99.2 to sensitivity analysis of water balance components in unique plots in a hilly region
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作者 Jun-feng Dai Jia-zhou Chen +3 位作者 Guo-an Lu Larry C. Brown Lei Gan Qin-xue Xu 《Water Science and Engineering》 EI CAS CSCD 2017年第3期209-216,共8页
Although many sensitivity analyses using the soil and water assessment tool(SWAT) in a complex watershed have been conducted, little attention has been paid to the application potential of the model in unique plots. I... Although many sensitivity analyses using the soil and water assessment tool(SWAT) in a complex watershed have been conducted, little attention has been paid to the application potential of the model in unique plots. In addition, sensitivity analysis of percolation and evapotranspiration with SWAT has seldom been undertaken. In this study, SWAT99.2 was calibrated to simulate water balance components for unique plots in Southern China from 2000 to 2001, which included surface runoff, percolation, and evapotranspiration. Twenty-one parameters classified into four categories, including meteorological conditions, topographical characteristics, soil properties, and vegetation attributes, were used for sensitivity analysis through one-at-a-time(OAT) sampling to identify the factor that contributed most to the variance in water balance components. The results were shown to be different for different plots, with parameter sensitivity indices and ranks varying for different water balance components. Water balance components in the broad-leaved forest and natural grass plots were most sensitive to meteorological conditions, less sensitive to vegetation attributes and soil properties, and least sensitive to topographical characteristics. Compared to those in the natural grass plot, water balance components in the broad-leaved forest plot demonstrated higher sensitivity to the maximum stomatal conductance(GSI) and maximum leaf area index(BLAI). 展开更多
关键词 Forest and GRASS PLOTS WatER balance Sensitivity analysis Soil and WatER assessment tool (SWat) one-at-a-time (oat) method
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基于OAT-GIS技术的地下水污染风险评估指标权重敏感性分析 被引量:6
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作者 梁欢欢 安达 +3 位作者 王月 张伯强 席北斗 吴明红 《环境工程技术学报》 CAS 2016年第2期139-146,共8页
权重赋值准确性是地下水污染风险评估结论可靠性的重要基础,分析并量化指标权重敏感性是验证权重赋值准确性的难点。以我国37个危险废物填埋场为研究对象,基于构建的填埋场地下水污染风险排序指标体系,利用多准则决策分析模型(MCDA)中... 权重赋值准确性是地下水污染风险评估结论可靠性的重要基础,分析并量化指标权重敏感性是验证权重赋值准确性的难点。以我国37个危险废物填埋场为研究对象,基于构建的填埋场地下水污染风险排序指标体系,利用多准则决策分析模型(MCDA)中的层次分析(AHP)模块对各指标进行权重赋值;利用计算所得的权重最小变化量,基于OAT(one-factor-at-atime)方法,应用MCDA的权重敏感性分析模块对14项指标权重进行依次改变,得出14项指标的权重敏感性大小;分析指标权重赋值过程中的不确定性,并基于地理信息系统(GIS)平台,开展可视化的空间数据统计与分析。结果表明:我国37个危险废物填埋场地下水污染风险评估的14项指标中,使用年限、渗滤液量和地形坡度3项指标权重改变后,填埋场地下水污染风险排序变化最大,即这3项指标权重敏感性最高;而包气带渗透性系数指标权重改变导致的风险排序变化最小,说明其权重敏感性最低。该方法可以有效地分析、验证指标权重赋值的准确性,识别权重赋值的不确定性,帮助相关决策者有针对性地进行风险管理。 展开更多
关键词 单因素轮换法 地理信息系统 地下水 权重敏感性分析
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