In the situation of inadequate vaccines and rapid mutation of virulent strains, alternative health interventions play a crucial role in the containment of emerging epidemics. This study elucidates the critical aspects...In the situation of inadequate vaccines and rapid mutation of virulent strains, alternative health interventions play a crucial role in the containment of emerging epidemics. This study elucidates the critical aspects of health interventions to control epidemic resurgence. Besides, human behavioral response to epidemics plays an instrumental role in bringing the success of control efforts. The appearance of multi-strain epidemics has become a global health concern that requires special attention. Here, we introduce a novel mean-field epidemic game approach to predict the evolutionary dynamics of flu-like epidemics having multiple disease strains. Our model illustrates the importance of multiple provisions alongside their timely execution for better disease attenuation. In addition to vaccination, we introduce self-protection as a potential alternative that yields safeguard against either strain. Both these imperfect provisions render better efficacy against primary (resident) strain than secondary (mutant) to contain epidemic transmission. The simulation-backed model analysis further sheds some light on the crucial impacts of control interventions to limit the invasion of virulent strains from qualitative and quantitative viewpoints. It explicates how vaccination and self-protection complement each other as per situation demands. Our full-fledged theoretical approach further illustrates the dynamic trade-off between the cost and efficacy of a certain intervention. We confirm that the disease dies out when the basic reproduction number of individual strains is less than one and becomes endemic if it is greater than one. Finally, the model addresses the evolutionary consequences when mutation takes place from primary to secondary strain. Some impressive facts while employing dual provisions have been reinforced using a game-theoretic framework.展开更多
为了优化多菌发酵芝麻香型丢糟生产饲料的工艺条件,试验以芝麻香型丢糟为原料,添加辅料麸皮,同时接种枯草芽孢杆菌D、酿酒酵母菌SY和植物乳杆菌2-41进行发酵。采用正交试验设计,测定粗蛋白含量、细胞计数和感官评价指标。最佳工艺条件:...为了优化多菌发酵芝麻香型丢糟生产饲料的工艺条件,试验以芝麻香型丢糟为原料,添加辅料麸皮,同时接种枯草芽孢杆菌D、酿酒酵母菌SY和植物乳杆菌2-41进行发酵。采用正交试验设计,测定粗蛋白含量、细胞计数和感官评价指标。最佳工艺条件:麸皮添加量15%,菌种接种量17%,发酵温度30℃,发酵时间8 d,初始酸度1.2 mmol/10 g NaOH,该发酵条件下产物粗蛋白含量(25.31±0.41)%,细胞计数6.4×10^(8)个/g,发酵香突出,饲料评分95分,等级为1级。展开更多
文摘In the situation of inadequate vaccines and rapid mutation of virulent strains, alternative health interventions play a crucial role in the containment of emerging epidemics. This study elucidates the critical aspects of health interventions to control epidemic resurgence. Besides, human behavioral response to epidemics plays an instrumental role in bringing the success of control efforts. The appearance of multi-strain epidemics has become a global health concern that requires special attention. Here, we introduce a novel mean-field epidemic game approach to predict the evolutionary dynamics of flu-like epidemics having multiple disease strains. Our model illustrates the importance of multiple provisions alongside their timely execution for better disease attenuation. In addition to vaccination, we introduce self-protection as a potential alternative that yields safeguard against either strain. Both these imperfect provisions render better efficacy against primary (resident) strain than secondary (mutant) to contain epidemic transmission. The simulation-backed model analysis further sheds some light on the crucial impacts of control interventions to limit the invasion of virulent strains from qualitative and quantitative viewpoints. It explicates how vaccination and self-protection complement each other as per situation demands. Our full-fledged theoretical approach further illustrates the dynamic trade-off between the cost and efficacy of a certain intervention. We confirm that the disease dies out when the basic reproduction number of individual strains is less than one and becomes endemic if it is greater than one. Finally, the model addresses the evolutionary consequences when mutation takes place from primary to secondary strain. Some impressive facts while employing dual provisions have been reinforced using a game-theoretic framework.
文摘为了优化多菌发酵芝麻香型丢糟生产饲料的工艺条件,试验以芝麻香型丢糟为原料,添加辅料麸皮,同时接种枯草芽孢杆菌D、酿酒酵母菌SY和植物乳杆菌2-41进行发酵。采用正交试验设计,测定粗蛋白含量、细胞计数和感官评价指标。最佳工艺条件:麸皮添加量15%,菌种接种量17%,发酵温度30℃,发酵时间8 d,初始酸度1.2 mmol/10 g NaOH,该发酵条件下产物粗蛋白含量(25.31±0.41)%,细胞计数6.4×10^(8)个/g,发酵香突出,饲料评分95分,等级为1级。
