The major seismicity source in the northern Arabian Sea is the Makran Subduction Zone (MSZ) that defines the tectonic boundary between the Arabian plate and the Eurasian plate, located offshore Iran and Pakistan over ...The major seismicity source in the northern Arabian Sea is the Makran Subduction Zone (MSZ) that defines the tectonic boundary between the Arabian plate and the Eurasian plate, located offshore Iran and Pakistan over which an instrumentally registered earthquake (Mw 8.1) generated a tsunami on 27 November, 1945. It has caused severe cataclysm to a vulnerable population along the surrounding coastlines, including India. It has been on a long seismic quiescence since this last event. The population and industrialization have exponentially increased along the coastal areas in last half decade. The highly exposed coastal locations to the tsunamis are the areas where the nuclear power plants are located. In the present work, a numerical simulation of a great tsunamigenic earthquake (M 9) is presented that predicts the generation, propagation, run-up and travel time using TUNAMI N2 for estimating tsunami impacts along the nuclear power plants of the western coast of India. TUNAMI N2 code was designed for shallow water wave equations, which uses the finite-difference method based on staggered-leap frog scheme. Thus, it has potential to simulate a far-field tsunami with much more accuracy than other methods. It is observed that the tsunami will strike along the coast of Jaitapur Nuclear Power Plant (Maharashtra), Tarapur Nuclear Power Plant (Maharashtra), Kaiga Nuclear Power Plant (Karnataka) and Mithi-Virdi Nuclear Power Plant (Gujarat) after 210, 215, 225 and 230 minutes, respectively. Results show that the tsunami run-up is highest for Jaitapur coast (2.32 m). The Mithi-Virdi coast is the least effected (0.93 m) while Kaiga (2.15 m) and Tarapur coast (2.12 m) might have faced quite intense tsunami consequences. The arrival times and run-ups of the tsunami along the coast of different power plants have been calculated since these parameters are of vital importance in mitigation of the coastal hazard, evacuation planning and installation of early warning system in order to save the inhabited communities from the disaste展开更多
To assist the analysis of tsunami hazards for Qatar coastal areas were using numerical model. By Tsunamis waves created from submarine earthquakes of magnitude of (M<sub>w</sub>) 8.6 and 9.0 in Richard sca...To assist the analysis of tsunami hazards for Qatar coastal areas were using numerical model. By Tsunamis waves created from submarine earthquakes of magnitude of (M<sub>w</sub>) 8.6 and 9.0 in Richard scale along the Makran Subduction Zone (MSZ) as well as coastal landslides with soil volume of 1.25 to 2.0 km<sup>3</sup> along Iranian coast inside the Arabian Gulf is considered. TUNAMI-N2KISR model (Al-Salem) was applied in this study to predict the tsunami propagation and magnitude of Tsunami induced wave heights. The model adopts to solve shallow water equations describing nonlinear long-wave theory. The model also incorporate tidal effect inside the Arabian Gulf as a tsunami travel time from Makran Subduction to Qatar coastline takes more than 9 hours with the tidal range of about 1.6 m during Spring Tide event. For coastal landslides, tsunami generation was simulated using a two-layer numerical model, developed by solving nonlinear long-wave equations. Two-layer model was used to determine initial wave deformation generated by a landslide case. Then TUNAMI-N2KISR was use to simulate tsunami wave propagation. Tsunami waves from landslide scenario arrived after 2.5 - 3 hr with maximum tsunami amplitudes along coasts of Ras laffan-Qatar were 0.8 to 1.0 m. Incorporation of ocean tide is found to impose some small effect on tsunami amplitude at Qatar coastline and nearby areas for the Mw 9.0 earthquake due to small tidal range in this area. In addition, it is found that the tsunami arrival time has become shorter.展开更多
文摘The major seismicity source in the northern Arabian Sea is the Makran Subduction Zone (MSZ) that defines the tectonic boundary between the Arabian plate and the Eurasian plate, located offshore Iran and Pakistan over which an instrumentally registered earthquake (Mw 8.1) generated a tsunami on 27 November, 1945. It has caused severe cataclysm to a vulnerable population along the surrounding coastlines, including India. It has been on a long seismic quiescence since this last event. The population and industrialization have exponentially increased along the coastal areas in last half decade. The highly exposed coastal locations to the tsunamis are the areas where the nuclear power plants are located. In the present work, a numerical simulation of a great tsunamigenic earthquake (M 9) is presented that predicts the generation, propagation, run-up and travel time using TUNAMI N2 for estimating tsunami impacts along the nuclear power plants of the western coast of India. TUNAMI N2 code was designed for shallow water wave equations, which uses the finite-difference method based on staggered-leap frog scheme. Thus, it has potential to simulate a far-field tsunami with much more accuracy than other methods. It is observed that the tsunami will strike along the coast of Jaitapur Nuclear Power Plant (Maharashtra), Tarapur Nuclear Power Plant (Maharashtra), Kaiga Nuclear Power Plant (Karnataka) and Mithi-Virdi Nuclear Power Plant (Gujarat) after 210, 215, 225 and 230 minutes, respectively. Results show that the tsunami run-up is highest for Jaitapur coast (2.32 m). The Mithi-Virdi coast is the least effected (0.93 m) while Kaiga (2.15 m) and Tarapur coast (2.12 m) might have faced quite intense tsunami consequences. The arrival times and run-ups of the tsunami along the coast of different power plants have been calculated since these parameters are of vital importance in mitigation of the coastal hazard, evacuation planning and installation of early warning system in order to save the inhabited communities from the disaste
文摘To assist the analysis of tsunami hazards for Qatar coastal areas were using numerical model. By Tsunamis waves created from submarine earthquakes of magnitude of (M<sub>w</sub>) 8.6 and 9.0 in Richard scale along the Makran Subduction Zone (MSZ) as well as coastal landslides with soil volume of 1.25 to 2.0 km<sup>3</sup> along Iranian coast inside the Arabian Gulf is considered. TUNAMI-N2KISR model (Al-Salem) was applied in this study to predict the tsunami propagation and magnitude of Tsunami induced wave heights. The model adopts to solve shallow water equations describing nonlinear long-wave theory. The model also incorporate tidal effect inside the Arabian Gulf as a tsunami travel time from Makran Subduction to Qatar coastline takes more than 9 hours with the tidal range of about 1.6 m during Spring Tide event. For coastal landslides, tsunami generation was simulated using a two-layer numerical model, developed by solving nonlinear long-wave equations. Two-layer model was used to determine initial wave deformation generated by a landslide case. Then TUNAMI-N2KISR was use to simulate tsunami wave propagation. Tsunami waves from landslide scenario arrived after 2.5 - 3 hr with maximum tsunami amplitudes along coasts of Ras laffan-Qatar were 0.8 to 1.0 m. Incorporation of ocean tide is found to impose some small effect on tsunami amplitude at Qatar coastline and nearby areas for the Mw 9.0 earthquake due to small tidal range in this area. In addition, it is found that the tsunami arrival time has become shorter.