The occurrence of lightning-induced forest fires during a time period is count data featuring over-dispersion （i.e., variance is larger than mean） and a high frequency of zero counts. In this study, we used six gene...The occurrence of lightning-induced forest fires during a time period is count data featuring over-dispersion （i.e., variance is larger than mean） and a high frequency of zero counts. In this study, we used six generalized linear models to examine the relationship between the occurrence of lightning-induced forest fires and meteorological factors in the Northern Daxing＇an Mountains of China. The six models included Poisson, negative binomial （NB）, zero- inflated Poisson （ZIP）, zero-inflated negative binomial （ZINB）, Poisson hurdle （PH）, and negative binomial hurdle （NBH） models. Goodness-of-fit was compared and tested among the six models using Akaike information criterion （AIC）, sum of squared errors, likelihood ratio test, and Vuong test. The predictive performance of the models was assessed and compared using independent validation data by the data-splitting method. Based on the model AIC, the ZINB model best fitted the fire occurrence data, followed by （in order of smaller AIC） NBH, ZIP, NB, PH, and Poisson models. The ZINB model was also best for pre- dicting either zero counts or positive counts （〉1）. The two Hurdle models （PH and NBH） were better than ZIP, Poisson, and NB models for predicting positive counts, but worse than these three models for predicting zero counts. Thus, the ZINB model was the first choice for modeling the occurrence of lightning-induced forest fires in this study, which implied that the excessive zero counts of lightning- induced fires came from both structure and sampling zeros.展开更多
An optimized detection model based on weighted entropy for multiple input multiple output (MIMO) radar in multipath environment is presented. After defining the multipath distance difference (MDD), the multipath recei...An optimized detection model based on weighted entropy for multiple input multiple output (MIMO) radar in multipath environment is presented. After defining the multipath distance difference (MDD), the multipath received signal model with four paths is built systematically. Both the variance and correlation coefficient of multipath scattering coefficient with MDD are analyzed, which indicates that the multipath variable can decrease the detection performance by reducing the echo power. By making use of the likelihood ratio test (LRT), a new method based on weighted entropy is introduced to use the positive multipath echo power and suppress the negative echo power, which results in better performance. Simulation results show that, compared with non-multipath environment or other recently developed methods, the proposed method can achieve detection performance improvement with the increase of sensors.展开更多
基金funded by Asia–Pacific Forests Net(APFNET/2010/FPF/001)National Natural Science Foundation of China(Grant No.31400552)
文摘The occurrence of lightning-induced forest fires during a time period is count data featuring over-dispersion （i.e., variance is larger than mean） and a high frequency of zero counts. In this study, we used six generalized linear models to examine the relationship between the occurrence of lightning-induced forest fires and meteorological factors in the Northern Daxing＇an Mountains of China. The six models included Poisson, negative binomial （NB）, zero- inflated Poisson （ZIP）, zero-inflated negative binomial （ZINB）, Poisson hurdle （PH）, and negative binomial hurdle （NBH） models. Goodness-of-fit was compared and tested among the six models using Akaike information criterion （AIC）, sum of squared errors, likelihood ratio test, and Vuong test. The predictive performance of the models was assessed and compared using independent validation data by the data-splitting method. Based on the model AIC, the ZINB model best fitted the fire occurrence data, followed by （in order of smaller AIC） NBH, ZIP, NB, PH, and Poisson models. The ZINB model was also best for pre- dicting either zero counts or positive counts （〉1）. The two Hurdle models （PH and NBH） were better than ZIP, Poisson, and NB models for predicting positive counts, but worse than these three models for predicting zero counts. Thus, the ZINB model was the first choice for modeling the occurrence of lightning-induced forest fires in this study, which implied that the excessive zero counts of lightning- induced fires came from both structure and sampling zeros.
基金supported by the Natural Science Foundation Research Project of Shaanxi Province(2016JQ6020)
文摘An optimized detection model based on weighted entropy for multiple input multiple output (MIMO) radar in multipath environment is presented. After defining the multipath distance difference (MDD), the multipath received signal model with four paths is built systematically. Both the variance and correlation coefficient of multipath scattering coefficient with MDD are analyzed, which indicates that the multipath variable can decrease the detection performance by reducing the echo power. By making use of the likelihood ratio test (LRT), a new method based on weighted entropy is introduced to use the positive multipath echo power and suppress the negative echo power, which results in better performance. Simulation results show that, compared with non-multipath environment or other recently developed methods, the proposed method can achieve detection performance improvement with the increase of sensors.
基金Supported by the National Natural Science Foundation in China(30671126)Natural Science Foundation in Shandong Universi-ty of Technology(4040306017)+1 种基金Startup Foundation for Ph.D in Shandong University of Technology(4041-4050174041-405016)
