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基于大偏差统计模型的Http-Flood DDoS检测机制及性能分析 被引量:36
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作者 王进 阳小龙 隆克平 《软件学报》 EI CSCD 北大核心 2012年第5期1272-1280,共9页
针对Http洪泛Web DDoS(distributed denial of service)攻击,提出了一种检测机制.该机制首先采用型方法量化处理用户访问的网页序列,以得到用户访问不同网页的实际点击概率分布;然后,利用大偏差统计模型分析了用户访问行为的实际点击概... 针对Http洪泛Web DDoS(distributed denial of service)攻击,提出了一种检测机制.该机制首先采用型方法量化处理用户访问的网页序列,以得到用户访问不同网页的实际点击概率分布;然后,利用大偏差统计模型分析了用户访问行为的实际点击概率分布与网站先验概率分布的偏差;最后,依据大偏差概率检测恶意DDoS攻击.对该机制的性能进行仿真,结果表明,正常用户的大偏差概率大于恶意攻击者,并且大部分正常用户的大偏差概率大于10 36,而大部分恶意攻击者的大偏差概率则小于1040.由此,该机制能够有效地检测Http洪泛Web DDoS攻击,当检测门限设置为1060时,其有效检测率可达97.5%,而误检率仅为0.6%.另外,将该机制与基于网页转移概率的检测方法进行性能比较,结果表明,该检测机制的检测率优于基于网页专业概率的检测机制,并且在误检率小于5%的情况下,该机制的检测率比现有检测机制提高0.6%. 展开更多
关键词 IP网络 分布式拒绝服务 大偏差
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自相似业务模型下的队列分析──大偏差技术 被引量:10
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作者 张连芳 薛飞 +1 位作者 舒炎泰 刘嘉焜 《通信学报》 EI CSCD 北大核心 1999年第4期23-28,共6页
近年来对许多实际运行中的网络(局域网和广域网)的测量与分析证实:真实的网络业务具有统计上的自相似性而且是长相关的。传统的排队理论均假定业务是Poisson或Markovian,因此是短相关的,那里的队列分析方法对自相似业务模型是不适... 近年来对许多实际运行中的网络(局域网和广域网)的测量与分析证实:真实的网络业务具有统计上的自相似性而且是长相关的。传统的排队理论均假定业务是Poisson或Markovian,因此是短相关的,那里的队列分析方法对自相似业务模型是不适用的。大偏差技术是对自相似业务模型进行队列分析的有效方法。本文应用大偏差技术对以FARIMA为业务模型的队列系统进行了分析,结果证明:队列长度尾分布渐进为Weibullian分布,而且与模型的短相关结构无关。 展开更多
关键词 自相似业务 大偏差技术 ATM网络 QOS
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A random walk with a branching system in random environments 被引量:13
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作者 Ying-qiu LI Xu LI Quan-sheng LIU 《Science China Mathematics》 SCIE 2007年第5期698-704,共7页
We consider a branching random walk in random environments, where the particles are reproduced as a branching process with a random environment (in time), and move independently as a random walk on ? with a random env... We consider a branching random walk in random environments, where the particles are reproduced as a branching process with a random environment (in time), and move independently as a random walk on ? with a random environment (in locations). We obtain the asymptotic properties on the position of the rightmost particle at time n, revealing a phase transition phenomenon of the system. 展开更多
关键词 random walks in random environments branching processes in random environments rightmost particles phase transition large deviation 60J10 60F05
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Large Deviation for Supercritical Branching Processes with Immigration 被引量:8
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作者 Jing Ning LIU Mei ZHANG 《Acta Mathematica Sinica,English Series》 SCIE CSCD 2016年第8期893-900,共8页
In this paper, we study the large deviation for a supercritical branching process with immigration controlled by a sequence of non-negative integer-valued independently identical distributed random variables, improvin... In this paper, we study the large deviation for a supercritical branching process with immigration controlled by a sequence of non-negative integer-valued independently identical distributed random variables, improving the previous results for non immigration processes. We rely heavily on the detail description and limit property of the generating function of immigration processes. 展开更多
关键词 SUPERCRITICAL branching processes large deviation IMMIGRATION
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CONVERGENCE OF A CLASS OF MULTI-AGENT SYSTEMS IN PROBABILISTIC FRAMEWORK 被引量:9
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作者 Gongguo TANG Lei GUO 《Journal of Systems Science & Complexity》 SCIE EI CSCD 2007年第2期173-197,共25页
Multi-agent systems arise from diverse fields in natural and artificial systems, and a basic problem is to understand how locally interacting agents lead to collective behaviors (e.g., synchronization) of the overal... Multi-agent systems arise from diverse fields in natural and artificial systems, and a basic problem is to understand how locally interacting agents lead to collective behaviors (e.g., synchronization) of the overall system. In this paper, we will consider a basic class of multi-agent systems that are described by a simplification of the well-known Vicsek model. This model looks simple, but the rigorous theoretical analysis is quite complicated, because there are strong nonlinear interactions among the agents in the model. In fact, most of the existing results on synchronization need to impose a certain connectivity condition on the global behaviors of the agents' trajectories (or on the closed-loop dynamic neighborhood graphs), which are quite hard to verify in general. In this paper, by introducing a probabilistic framework to this problem, we will provide a complete and rigorous proof for the fact that the overall multi-agent system will synchronize with large probability as long as the number of agents is large enough. The proof is based on a detailed analysis of both the dynamical properties of the nonlinear system evolution and the asymptotic properties of the spectrum of random geometric graphs. 展开更多
关键词 CONNECTIVITY large deviation local interaction rules multi-agent systems random geometric graph spectral graph theory SYNCHRONIZATION Vicsek model
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Local Functional Limit Theorems of Increments for Brownian Motion 被引量:6
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作者 Fu Qing GAO Yong Hong LIU 《Acta Mathematica Sinica,English Series》 SCIE CSCD 2018年第7期1074-1086,共13页
In this paper, we present a local Csorgo- Revesz type functional limit theorem for increments of Brownian motion and give its convergence rate. The results also extend the functional forms of Levy's modulus of contin... In this paper, we present a local Csorgo- Revesz type functional limit theorem for increments of Brownian motion and give its convergence rate. The results also extend the functional forms of Levy's modulus of continuity for Brownian motion. 展开更多
关键词 Keywords Brownian motion INCREMENT local functional limit rate of convergence large deviation small deviation
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LARGE DEVIATIONS FOR SOME DEPENDENT SEQUENCES 被引量:6
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作者 胡舒合 王学军 《Acta Mathematica Scientia》 SCIE CSCD 2008年第2期295-300,共6页
Let (Xi) be a martingale difference sequence and Sn=∑^ni=1Xi Suppose (Xi) i=1 is bounded in L^p. In the case p ≥2, Lesigne and Volny (Stochastic Process. Appl. 96 (2001) 143) obtained the estimation μ(Sn ... Let (Xi) be a martingale difference sequence and Sn=∑^ni=1Xi Suppose (Xi) i=1 is bounded in L^p. In the case p ≥2, Lesigne and Volny (Stochastic Process. Appl. 96 (2001) 143) obtained the estimation μ(Sn 〉 n) ≤ cn^-p/2, Yulin Li (Statist. Probab. Lett. 62 (2003) 317) generalized the result to the case when p ∈ (1,2] and obtained μ(Sn 〉 n) ≤ cn^l-p, these are optimal in a certain sense. In this article, the authors study the large deviation of Sn for some dependent sequences and obtain the same order optimal upper bounds for μ(Sn 〉 n) as those for martingale difference sequence. 展开更多
关键词 large deviation φ-mixing sequence NA sequence linear process
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Moderate deviation for super-Brownian motion with immigration 被引量:5
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作者 ZHANG Mei Department of Mathematics, Beijing Normal University, Beijing 100875, China Department of Mathematics, The Central University of Finance and Economics, Beijing 100081, China 《Science China Mathematics》 SCIE 2004年第3期440-452,共13页
We prove a moderate deviation principle for a super-Brownian motion with immigration of all dimensions, and consequently fill the gap between the central limit theorem and large deviation principle.
关键词 moderate deviation principle super-Brownian motion with immigration large deviation principle evolution equation
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航空发动机大偏差状态变量模型建立方法 被引量:6
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作者 李秋红 孙健国 《南京航空航天大学学报》 EI CAS CSCD 北大核心 2010年第2期175-178,共4页
提出一种基于各参数物理意义的状态变量模型建立方法,研究了模型参数在包线内的变化情况。建模过程中,首先建立航空发动机的小偏差状态变量模型,再采用线性插值的方法构造航空发动机的大偏差状态变量模型。采用本方法建立的小偏差数学... 提出一种基于各参数物理意义的状态变量模型建立方法,研究了模型参数在包线内的变化情况。建模过程中,首先建立航空发动机的小偏差状态变量模型,再采用线性插值的方法构造航空发动机的大偏差状态变量模型。采用本方法建立的小偏差数学模型完全能保证模型的稳态精度,并取得了较高的动态建模精度,其计算工作量比原拟合法更小、运算速度更快。同时模型各参数物理意义明确,在包线内的变化较有规律,在构造大偏差模型时获得了较高的模型精度。 展开更多
关键词 航空发动机 状态变量模型 大偏差 小偏差
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Precise Asymptotics in Limit Theorems for a Supercritical Branching Process with Immigration in a Random Environment
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作者 Chun Mao HUANG Rui ZHANG Zhi Qiang GAO 《Acta Mathematica Sinica,English Series》 SCIE CSCD 2024年第8期1850-1874,共25页
Let(Zn)be a supercritical branching process with immigration in an independent and identically distributed random environment.Under necessary moment conditions,we show the exact convergence rate in the central limit t... Let(Zn)be a supercritical branching process with immigration in an independent and identically distributed random environment.Under necessary moment conditions,we show the exact convergence rate in the central limit theorem on log Zn and establish the corresponding local limit theorem by using the moments of the natural submartingale and the convergence rates of its logarithm.By similar approach and with the help of a change of measure,we also present the so-called integrolocal theorem and integral large deviation theorem to characterize the precise asymptotics of the upper large deviations. 展开更多
关键词 Branching process with immigration random environment central limit theorem large deviation
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大口径钢筋混凝土管的泥水平衡顶管法施工技术 被引量:5
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作者 王长明 方文献 +1 位作者 杨国富 齐世超 《建筑技术开发》 2022年第16期67-68,共2页
以石家庄园博园工程为依托,研究了大口径钢筋混凝土管的泥水平衡顶管施工工艺,提出了大口径钢筋混凝土管的泥水平衡顶管施工的顶进和纠偏理论,相关研究结论可为同类泥水平衡顶管法施工提供借鉴经验。
关键词 大口径 泥水平衡 顶管 纠偏
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Computing large deviation prefactors of stochastic dynamical systems based on machine learning
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作者 李扬 袁胜兰 +1 位作者 陆凌宏志 刘先斌 《Chinese Physics B》 SCIE EI CAS CSCD 2024年第4期364-373,共10页
We present a large deviation theory that characterizes the exponential estimate for rare events in stochastic dynamical systems in the limit of weak noise.We aim to consider a next-to-leading-order approximation for m... We present a large deviation theory that characterizes the exponential estimate for rare events in stochastic dynamical systems in the limit of weak noise.We aim to consider a next-to-leading-order approximation for more accurate calculation of the mean exit time by computing large deviation prefactors with the aid of machine learning.More specifically,we design a neural network framework to compute quasipotential,most probable paths and prefactors based on the orthogonal decomposition of a vector field.We corroborate the higher effectiveness and accuracy of our algorithm with two toy models.Numerical experiments demonstrate its powerful functionality in exploring the internal mechanism of rare events triggered by weak random fluctuations. 展开更多
关键词 machine learning large deviation prefactors stochastic dynamical systems rare events
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关于非线性热力学形式大偏差的一些结果
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作者 高银辉 季泳 《宁波大学学报(理工版)》 CAS 2024年第5期48-53,共6页
拓扑压在遍历理论、动力系统、维数理论和平衡态理论中作用重大.经典的热力学形式,即势函数是可加的,无论在确定性系统还是在随机系统中都已有许多重要的理论结果和广泛应用.Buzzi、Kloeckner和Leplaideur定义了动力系统的非线性热力学... 拓扑压在遍历理论、动力系统、维数理论和平衡态理论中作用重大.经典的热力学形式,即势函数是可加的,无论在确定性系统还是在随机系统中都已有许多重要的理论结果和广泛应用.Buzzi、Kloeckner和Leplaideur定义了动力系统的非线性热力学形式,并采用了凸分析方法对其展开研究.本文研究了关于非线性热力学形式大偏差的一些结果. 展开更多
关键词 非线性热力学形式 大偏差 碎轨性质 动力系统
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ND序列部分和的大偏差和强收敛性 被引量:6
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作者 李旭 王学军 +1 位作者 刘小涛 胡舒合 《纯粹数学与应用数学》 CSCD 2011年第6期808-813,共6页
利用ND随机变量序列的矩不等式、极大值不等式以及随机变量的截尾方法,重点研究了ND随机变量序列部分和的大偏差结果和强收敛性,推广了文献中一些相依随机变量序列的若干相应结果.
关键词 ND序列 大偏差 强收敛性
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Asymptotic properties branching processes in of supercritical random environments 被引量:3
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作者 Yingqiu LI Quansheng LIU +1 位作者 Zhiqiang GAO Hesong WANG 《Frontiers of Mathematics in China》 SCIE CSCD 2014年第4期737-751,共15页
We consider a supercritical branching process (Zn) in an independent and identically distributed random environment ξ, and present some recent results on the asymptotic properties of the limit variable W of the nat... We consider a supercritical branching process (Zn) in an independent and identically distributed random environment ξ, and present some recent results on the asymptotic properties of the limit variable W of the natural martingale Wn = Zn/E[Zn|ξ], the convergence rates of W - Wn (by considering the convergence in law with a suitable norming, the almost sure convergence, the convergence in Lp, and the convergence in probability), and limit theorems (such as central limit theorems, moderate and large deviations principles) on (log Zn). 展开更多
关键词 Branching process random environment large deviation moderate deviation central limit theorem MOMENT weighted moment convergence rate
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WFSD-2孔二开孔斜分析及纠斜施工 被引量:5
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作者 李海明 《探矿工程(岩土钻掘工程)》 2012年第1期21-24,共4页
汶川地震断裂带科学钻探工程WFSD-2孔钻探工程技术质量要求高,其中,孔斜及取心率尤为重要。但其上部(≤600 m)花岗岩、花岗闪长岩、变质火山岩坚硬致密,局部裂隙发育,裂隙面、小断层多且断层倾角大,易造斜,造成岩心堵塞。钻孔结构较复杂... 汶川地震断裂带科学钻探工程WFSD-2孔钻探工程技术质量要求高,其中,孔斜及取心率尤为重要。但其上部(≤600 m)花岗岩、花岗闪长岩、变质火山岩坚硬致密,局部裂隙发育,裂隙面、小断层多且断层倾角大,易造斜,造成岩心堵塞。钻孔结构较复杂,采用大口径牙轮钻进孔斜难以控制,纠斜钻进难度大。二开(47.8~638.01m)施工,从80~311.39 m顶角/方位角由0.7°/202.9°到5.8°/222.7°。其后,采用5LZ120×7.0L-5(0.5°、0.75°弯外管)螺杆马达纠斜。从317.43~456.12 m顶角/方位角由6.0°/228.3°纠正到0.9°/103.7°,取得了理想的效果。就孔斜及纠斜施工进行总结、分析和归纳。 展开更多
关键词 大口径 科学钻探 孔斜 纠斜 汶川地震断裂带
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一类随机过程的经验测度的大偏差定理(英文) 被引量:5
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作者 席福宝 《应用概率统计》 CSCD 北大核心 1998年第2期165-172,共8页
本文证明了一类随机过程的经验测度的大偏差定理,其中这类随机过程是一个随机发展过程解的小扰动.
关键词 经验测度 随机发展过程 大偏差定理 随机过程
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保形取心技术在苏丹六区的应用 被引量:5
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作者 孙少亮 《石油地质与工程》 CAS 2008年第3期103-105,共3页
针对苏丹六区油层蕴藏条件及地层疏松、埋藏深度浅、井斜大、取心困难等问题,通过运用辽河工程院自主研制的保形取心工具、优化取心工艺技术措施,很好地解决了该地区疏松地层取心收获率低等问题。通过近年来9口井的取心实践,证明了该项... 针对苏丹六区油层蕴藏条件及地层疏松、埋藏深度浅、井斜大、取心困难等问题,通过运用辽河工程院自主研制的保形取心工具、优化取心工艺技术措施,很好地解决了该地区疏松地层取心收获率低等问题。通过近年来9口井的取心实践,证明了该项取心技术能显著提高苏丹六区松散地层取心质量,并对指导苏丹其它区块同类油田大斜度井、松散地层取心具有一定的参考价值。详细介绍了该区块取心难点,保形取心的技术特点,取心工艺技术措施及应用效果。 展开更多
关键词 保形取心 取心收获率 苏丹六区 松散地层 大斜度井
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强天气过程中近地面层风速的非线性动力学特征 被引量:5
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作者 全利红 胡非 王迎春 《气候与环境研究》 CSCD 北大核心 2007年第3期287-295,共9页
强天气过程中大气边界层不同尺度运动之间存在强烈的相互作用,这种相互作用使得近地层风速的变化表现出很强的非线性,风速的非线性特征可以用近代非线性物理中奇异性、大偏差和多重分形等特征量来刻划。作者研究了两次沙尘暴和一次冷锋... 强天气过程中大气边界层不同尺度运动之间存在强烈的相互作用,这种相互作用使得近地层风速的变化表现出很强的非线性,风速的非线性特征可以用近代非线性物理中奇异性、大偏差和多重分形等特征量来刻划。作者研究了两次沙尘暴和一次冷锋时期超声风温仪观测资料的这些特征。4组资料奇异指数的概率分布基本一致,只有最强的奇异性存在差异。但最大风速的奇异性并不是最强的。风速的大偏差特征表明,不同时间长度相同的风速时间序列中出现某种极值的概率几乎不变,而大偏差谱能反映不同天气系统影响的差异,天气系统越强,越能维持涡旋运动规律不变。 展开更多
关键词 沙尘暴 非线性动力学 奇异性 大偏差 多分形谱
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All-and mixed-dielectric grating for Nd:glass-based high-energy pulse compression 被引量:1
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作者 Yuxing Han Hongchao Cao +2 位作者 Fanyu Kong Yunxia Jin Jianda Shao 《High Power Laser Science and Engineering》 SCIE CAS CSCD 2023年第5期98-104,共7页
Maximizing the energy-loading performance of gratings is a universal theme in high-energy pulse compression.However,sporadic grating designs strongly restrict the development of high-power laser engineering.This study... Maximizing the energy-loading performance of gratings is a universal theme in high-energy pulse compression.However,sporadic grating designs strongly restrict the development of high-power laser engineering.This study proposes an all-and mixed-dielectric grating design paradigm for Nd:glass-based pulse compressors.The solution regions are classified according to the line density.High diffraction efficiency solutions are described in more detail based on the dispersion amount and incident angle.Moreover,an energy scaling factor of 7.09 times larger than that of the National Ignition Facility’s Advanced Radiographic Capability(NIF-ARC)is obtained by taking advantage of the low electric field intensity at transverse magnetic polarization and a small incident angle.These results make a pioneering contribution to facilitate future 20–50-petawatt-class ultrafast laser systems. 展开更多
关键词 all-dielectric grating high-peak-power laser large deviation angle Littrow configuration mixed metal-dielectric grating
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