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Climate sensitivities of two versions of FGOALS model to idealized radiative forcing 被引量:19
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作者 CHEN XiaoLong ZHOU TianJun GUO Zhun 《Science China Earth Sciences》 SCIE EI CAS 2014年第6期1363-1373,共11页
Projections of future climate change by climate system models depend on the sensitivities of models to specified greenhouse gases.To reveal and understand the different climate sensitivities of two versions of LASG/IA... Projections of future climate change by climate system models depend on the sensitivities of models to specified greenhouse gases.To reveal and understand the different climate sensitivities of two versions of LASG/IAP climate system model FGOALS-g2 and FGOALS-s2,we investigate the global mean surface air temperature responses to idealized CO2 forcing by using the output of abruptly quadrupling CO2 experiments.The Gregory-style regression method is used to estimate the"radiative forcing"of quadrupled CO2 and equilibrium sensitivity.The model response is separated into a fast-response stage associated with the CO2 forcing during the first 20 years,and a slow-response stage post the first 20 years.The results show that the radiative forcing of CO2 is overestimated due to the positive water-vapor feedback and underestimated due to the fast cloud processes.The rapid response of water vapor in FGOALS-s2 is responsible for the stronger radiative forcing of CO2.The climate sensitivity,defined as the equilibrium temperature change under doubled CO2 forcing,is about 3.7 K in FGOALS-g2 and4.5 K in FGOALS-s2.The larger sensitivity of FGOALS-s2 is due mainly to the weaker negative longwave clear-sky feedback and stronger positive shortwave clear-sky feedback at the fast-response stage,because of the more rapid response of water vapor increase and sea-ice decrease in FGOALS-s2 than in FGOALS-g2.At the slow-response stage,similar to the fast-response stage,net negative clear-sky feedback is weaker in FGOALS-s2.Nevertheless,the total negative feedback is larger in FGOALS-s2 due to a larger negative shortwave cloud feedback that involves a larger response of total cloud fraction and condensed water path increase.The uncertainties of estimated forcing and net feedback mainly come from the shortwave cloud processes. 展开更多
关键词 climate sensitivity climate response feedbacks FGOALS CMIP5
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古气候演化特征、驱动与反馈及对现代气候变化研究的启示意义 被引量:19
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作者 任国玉 姜大膀 燕青 《第四纪研究》 CAS CSCD 北大核心 2021年第3期824-841,共18页
古气候与现代气候变化研究如何有效结合,特别是古气候研究如何为理解现代气候变化过程提供背景条件、边界约束和理论框架,值得深入探讨。文章以现代、历史时期、全新世、晚第四纪和新生代为时间基线,回顾阐述了过去气候演变特征、成因... 古气候与现代气候变化研究如何有效结合,特别是古气候研究如何为理解现代气候变化过程提供背景条件、边界约束和理论框架,值得深入探讨。文章以现代、历史时期、全新世、晚第四纪和新生代为时间基线,回顾阐述了过去气候演变特征、成因机制及其对现代气候变化研究的启示意义,探讨了过去与现代气候变化融合研究中存在的不确定性。过去气候演化过程的研究,加深了人们对地球气候系统运行机制的理解。研究表明,各个时期中,地球气候经历了不同相位、幅度和速率的变化,气候系统各分量之间发生了复杂的相互作用,以地表温度为代表的地球表面热力环境演化是各不同阶段气候变化的基本表现形式。全球温度变化不仅受到太阳输出辐射、地球轨道参数和地球构造运动等的影响,而且与地球表层水圈中的海洋、冰冻圈中的大陆冰盖、生物圈中的海洋浮游生物和陆地植被,以及大气圈中的温室气体、粉尘气溶胶、水汽和云等活跃组分之间,存在着多尺度复杂反馈作用。在同一时间尺度上,气候系统分量的互馈通路可能是同向的、可比的,各分量之间的对应关系或具有一致性,研究结论对于预估未来气候变化有借鉴意义;但在不同时间尺度上,气候系统各分量之间的相互联系机制可能难有一致性和可比性,古今互鉴,就需要慎重。 展开更多
关键词 气候系统 时间尺度 气候反馈 气候变化 古气候 冰期-间冰期 新仙女木 全新世 中世纪暖期 小冰期 温室气体 CO_(2)排放
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东亚干旱半干旱区沙漠化与气候变化相互影响研究进展 被引量:15
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作者 花婷 王训明 《地理科学进展》 CSCD 北大核心 2014年第6期841-852,共12页
气候系统主要通过气温、降水及风场等因素影响沙漠化过程,但不同区域其影响机制存在较大差异。目前的研究结果表明,总体上,降水对沙漠化的影响较为明确,降水量增加有利于沙漠化逆转。气温和风场变化对沙漠化的影响存在明显区域差异:在... 气候系统主要通过气温、降水及风场等因素影响沙漠化过程,但不同区域其影响机制存在较大差异。目前的研究结果表明,总体上,降水对沙漠化的影响较为明确,降水量增加有利于沙漠化逆转。气温和风场变化对沙漠化的影响存在明显区域差异:在季风带沙漠化区,气温升高及高空盛行西南风有利于沙漠化逆转;在非季风带沙漠化区,一方面气温升高导致蒸发量增加,沙漠化发展;另一方面,其增加了冰川、冰雪融水的补给,沙漠化逆转;在高寒带沙漠化区,旱灾和寒冻灾害是沙漠化的主因。此外,沙漠化过程通过植被、地表及土壤特征等的改变影响气候系统。例如沙漠化过程的发生伴随地表植被覆盖的变化,并通过改变地表反照率、潜热通量、粗糙度等来影响气温、降水等气候因子;还通过沙尘释放量的变化来影响降水的发生。虽然沙漠化与气候系统间存在多种反馈机制,但反照率—气温—降水—植被的正反馈及沙尘—降水—植被的正反馈是其主要反馈机制。 展开更多
关键词 东亚干旱半干旱区 沙漠化过程 气候系统 反馈 进展
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论医师资格考试制度发展趋势对医学教育的导向作用 被引量:12
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作者 王江红 冯攀 《中国卫生法制》 2009年第3期20-23,共4页
介绍世界主要3种类型国家的医师资格考试和与之相适应的医学教育,探讨医师资格考试发展趋势对医学教育的导向作用。
关键词 医师资格考试 发展趋势 医学教育 导向作用
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极区海洋对全球气候变化的快速响应和反馈作用 被引量:11
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作者 陈立奇 高众勇 +4 位作者 詹力扬 许苏清 汪建君 张远辉 何建华 《应用海洋学学报》 CAS CSCD 2013年第1期138-144,共7页
分析了全球气候变化与极区海洋的相互作用;集成极区快速变暖促使极区海洋出现快速变化的各种现象,如海冰快速变薄和退缩,格陵兰冰盖严重融化,北冰洋和南大洋碳池的固碳能力下降以及极地海洋酸化等.研究提出:北冰洋夏季海冰覆盖面积快速... 分析了全球气候变化与极区海洋的相互作用;集成极区快速变暖促使极区海洋出现快速变化的各种现象,如海冰快速变薄和退缩,格陵兰冰盖严重融化,北冰洋和南大洋碳池的固碳能力下降以及极地海洋酸化等.研究提出:北冰洋夏季海冰覆盖面积快速退缩,海冰覆盖面积在2012年8月26日呈现了记录以来的最低值,有模型预测到2035年北冰洋夏季将会见不到海冰.格陵兰冰盖的消融对全球海平面的上升和大洋环流均会产生影响,格陵兰冰盖全部融化将会使全球海平面上升7 m.通过近10 a的观测发现极地海域对大气二氧化碳的吸收能力不升反降,海水对大气二氧化碳的吸收趋向饱和,南大洋和西北冰洋碳吸收能力变弱.有模式预测,到21世纪末,北冰洋表层海水pH值将会降低0.23~0.45,成为全球海洋酸化最严重的海区,而南大洋的表层海水二氧化碳浓度在21世纪下半叶或将超过600μatm的水平,极地海洋酸化对海洋食物链和生态系统的影响可能成为不可逆转的损害.这些极区海洋的快速变化将对全球气候变化产生反馈作用. 展开更多
关键词 海洋化学 碳汇 气候变化 响应 反馈 极区海洋
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古生态记录揭示的长江中下游太白湖生态系统稳态转换过程 被引量:10
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作者 赵雁捷 王荣 +2 位作者 羊向东 董旭辉 徐敏 《湖泊科学》 EI CAS CSCD 北大核心 2016年第6期1381-1390,共10页
长江中下游浅水湖泊在过去百年内受到强烈的人类活动影响,生态系统状态发生显著的变化,服务功能逐渐丧失.为了更科学有效地管理浅水湖泊,当前迫切需要了解湖泊的生态系统转变过程.以长江中下游典型富营养化浅水湖泊太白湖为例,结合历史... 长江中下游浅水湖泊在过去百年内受到强烈的人类活动影响,生态系统状态发生显著的变化,服务功能逐渐丧失.为了更科学有效地管理浅水湖泊,当前迫切需要了解湖泊的生态系统转变过程.以长江中下游典型富营养化浅水湖泊太白湖为例,结合历史资料和监测数据,基于铅铯同位素重建年代序列,利用粒度、地化指标和沉积物中硅藻群落的时间序列数据,对太白湖过去百年间生态系统转变进行分析.基于T检验的STARS法检测硅藻群落的结果显示,有2个稳态转换分别发生在1950s末和1990s末.1950s末太白湖硅藻群落代表的生态系统状态发生了显著突变,这主要归因于由于建闸筑坝造成的水文条件和营养条件的改变;1990s期间的湖泊生态系统整体转变则是由长期营养输入和渔业活动加强导致的生态系统弹性损失引起的.讨论了不同阶段太白湖生态系统主要要素间反馈机制在水文条件改变和营养富集影响下的变化,加深了对人类活动干扰下太白湖生态系统结构变化过程的理解,为建立浅水湖泊系统动力学模型提供基础. 展开更多
关键词 系统突变 长江中下游 浅水湖泊 太白湖 硅藻 反馈机制
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Emerging interactively stretchable electronics with optical and electrical dual-signal feedbacks based on structural color materials
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作者 Jialin Wang Kai Zhao +1 位作者 Changqing Ye Yanlin Song 《Nano Research》 SCIE EI CSCD 2024年第3期1837-1855,共19页
The booming development of wearable devices has aroused increasing interests in flexible and stretchable devices.With mechanosensory functionality,these devices are highly desirable on account of their wide range of a... The booming development of wearable devices has aroused increasing interests in flexible and stretchable devices.With mechanosensory functionality,these devices are highly desirable on account of their wide range of applications in electronic skin,personal healthcare,human–machine interfaces and beyond.However,they are mostly limited by single electrical signal feedback,restricting their diverse applications in visualized mechanical sensing.Inspired by the mechanochromism of structural color materials,interactively stretchable electronics with optical and electrical dual-signal feedbacks are recently emerged as novel sensory platforms,by combining both of their sensing mechanisms and characteristics.Herein,recent studies on interactively stretchable electronics based on structural color materials are reviewed.Following a brief introduction of their basic components(i.e.,stretchable electronics and mechanochromic structural color materials),two types of interactively stretchable electronics with respect to the nanostructures of mechanochromic materials are outlined,focusing primarily on their design considerations and fabrication strategies.Finally,the main challenges and future perspectives of these emerging devices are discussed. 展开更多
关键词 stretchable electronics structural color materials interactive sensing mechanochromism dual-signal feedbacks
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Counteracting effects on ENSO induced by ocean chlorophyll interannual variability and tropical instability wave-scale perturbations in the tropical Pacific
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作者 Rong-Hua ZHANG Feng TIAN +2 位作者 Qidong SHI Xiujun WANG Tongwen WU 《Science China Earth Sciences》 SCIE EI CAS CSCD 2024年第2期387-404,共18页
Large perturbations in chlorophyll(Chl)are observed to coexist at interannual and tropical instability wave(TIW)scales in the tropical Pacific;at present,their combined effects on El Ni?o-Southern Oscillation(ENSO)thr... Large perturbations in chlorophyll(Chl)are observed to coexist at interannual and tropical instability wave(TIW)scales in the tropical Pacific;at present,their combined effects on El Ni?o-Southern Oscillation(ENSO)through ocean biologyinduced heating(OBH)feedbacks are not understood well.Here,a hybrid coupled model(HCM)for the atmosphere and ocean physics-biogeochemistry(AOPB)in the tropical Pacific is adopted to quantify how ENSO can be modulated by Chl perturbations at interannual and TIW scales,individually or collectively,respectively.The HCM-based sensitivity experiments demonstrate a counteracting effect on ENSO:the bio-climate feedback due to large-scale Chl interannual variability acts to damp ENSO through its impact on upper-ocean stratification and vertical mixing,whereas that due to TIW-scale Chl perturbations tends to amplify ENSO.Because ENSO simulations are sensitively dependent on the ways Chl effects are represented at these different scales,it is necessary to adequately take into account these related differential Chl effects in climate modeling.A bias source for ENSO simulations is illustrated that is related with the Chl effects in the tropical Pacific,adding in a new insight into interactions between the climate system and ocean ecosystem on different scales in the region.These results reveal a level of complexity of ENSO modulations resulting from Chl effects at interannual and TIW scales,which are associated with ocean biogeochemical processes and their interactions with physical processes in the tropical Pacific. 展开更多
关键词 Ocean chlorophyll Bio-climate feedbacks Interannual variability Tropical instability waves Counteracting effects A hybrid coupled model
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Intensity modulation in single-mode microchip Nd:YAG lasers with asymmetric external cavity 被引量:3
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作者 谈宜东 张书练 +1 位作者 刘维新 毛威 《Chinese Physics B》 SCIE EI CAS CSCD 2007年第4期1020-1026,共7页
Intensity modulation induced by the asymmetric external cavity in single-mode microchip Nd:YAG lasers is prosented. Two kinds of experimental results are discussed based on multiple feedback effects. In one case, the... Intensity modulation induced by the asymmetric external cavity in single-mode microchip Nd:YAG lasers is prosented. Two kinds of experimental results are discussed based on multiple feedback effects. In one case, the intensity modulation curve is a normal sine wave, whose fringe frequency is four times higher than that of a conventional optical feedback system, caused by multiple feedback effects. In the other case, the intensity modulation curve is the overlapping of the above quadruple-frequency signal and conventional optical feedback signal, which is determined by the additional phase difference induced by the asymmetric external cavity. The theoretical analyses are in good agreement with the experimental results. The quadruple-frequency modulation of the laser output intensity can greatly increase the resolution of displacement measurement of an optical feedback system. 展开更多
关键词 optical feedback asymmetric external cavity multiple feedbacks
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The Representation of Soil Moisture−Atmosphere Feedbacks across the Tibetan Plateau in CMIP6 被引量:1
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作者 Joshua TALIB Omar V.MÜLLER +2 位作者 Emma J.BARTON Christopher M.TAYLOR Pier Luigi VIDALE 《Advances in Atmospheric Sciences》 SCIE CAS CSCD 2023年第11期2063-2081,共19页
Thermal processes on the Tibetan Plateau(TP)influence atmospheric conditions on regional and global scales.Given this,previous work has shown that soil moisture−driven surface flux variations feed back onto the atmosp... Thermal processes on the Tibetan Plateau(TP)influence atmospheric conditions on regional and global scales.Given this,previous work has shown that soil moisture−driven surface flux variations feed back onto the atmosphere.Whilst soil moisture is a source of atmospheric predictability,no study has evaluated soil moisture−atmosphere coupling on the TP in general circulation models(GCMs).In this study,we use several analysis techniques to assess soil moisture−atmosphere coupling in CMIP6 simulations including:instantaneous coupling indices;analysis of flux and atmospheric behaviour during dry spells;and a quantification of the preference for convection over drier soils.Through these metrics we partition feedbacks into their atmospheric and terrestrial components.Consistent with previous global studies,we conclude substantial inter-model differences in the representation of soil moisture−atmosphere coupling,and that most models underestimate such feedbacks.Focusing on dry spell analysis,most models underestimate increased sensible heat during periods of rainfall deficiency.For example,the model-mean bias in anomalous sensible heat flux is 10 W m−2(≈25%)smaller compared to observations.Deficient dry-spell sensible heat fluxes lead to a weaker atmospheric response.We also find that most GCMs fail to capture the negative feedback between soil moisture and deep convection.The poor simulation of feedbacks in CMIP6 experiments suggests that forecast models also struggle to exploit soil moisture−driven predictability.To improve the representation of land−atmosphere feedbacks requires developments in not only atmospheric modelling,but also surface processes,as we find weak relationships between rainfall biases and coupling indexes. 展开更多
关键词 model evaluation land-atmosphere feedbacks Tibetan Plateau PRECIPITATION surface energy balance
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Sustainable Development of Energy Systems and Climate Systems:Key Issues and Perspectives 被引量:1
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作者 Bing Wang Lu Li Xinru Jiang 《Energy Engineering》 EI 2023年第8期1763-1773,共11页
Climate change and energy security issues are prominent challenges in current energy system management,which should be governed synergistically due to the feedback relationships between them.The“Energy Systems Manage... Climate change and energy security issues are prominent challenges in current energy system management,which should be governed synergistically due to the feedback relationships between them.The“Energy Systems Management and Climate Change”Special Collection Issue in the journal of Energy Engineering provide insights into the field of energy systems management and climate change.From an extended perspective,this study discusses the key issues,research methods and models for energy system management and climate change research.Comprehensive and accurate prediction of energy supply and demand,the evaluation on the energy system resilience to climate change and the coupling methodology application of both nature and social science field maybe the frontier topics around achieving sustainable development goals of energy systems. 展开更多
关键词 Energy system management climate change renewable energy feedbacks
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Effects of three coniferous plantation species on plant-soil feedbacks and soil physical and chemical properties in semiarid mountain ecosystems 被引量:5
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作者 Chun Han Yongjing Liu +5 位作者 Cankun Zhang Yage Li Tairan Zhou Salman Khan Ning Chen Changming Zhao 《Forest Ecosystems》 SCIE CSCD 2021年第1期22-34,共13页
Background:Large-scale afforestation can significantly change the ground cover and soil physicochemical properties,especially the soil fertility maintenance and water conservation functions of artificial forests,which... Background:Large-scale afforestation can significantly change the ground cover and soil physicochemical properties,especially the soil fertility maintenance and water conservation functions of artificial forests,which are very important in semi-arid mountain ecosystems.However,how different tree species affect soil nutrients and soil physicochemical properties after afforestation,and which is the best plantation species for improving soil fertility and water conservation functions remain largely unknown.Methods:This study investigated the soil nutrient contents of three different plantations(Larix principis-rupprechtii,Picea crassifolia,Pinus tabuliformis),soils and plant-soil feedbacks,as well as the interactions between soil physicochemical properties.Results:The results revealed that the leaves and litter layers strongly influenced soil nutrient availability through biogeochemical processes:P.tabuliformis had higher organic carbon,ratio of organic carbon to total nitrogen(C:N)and organic carbon to total phosphorus(C:P)in the leaves and litter layers than L.principis-rupprechtii or P.crassifolia,suggesting that higher C:N and C:P hindered litter decomposition.As a result,the L.principis-rupprechtii and P.crassifolia plantation forests significantly improved soil nutrients and clay components,compared with the P.tabuliformis plantation forest.Furthermore,the L.principis-rupprechtii and P.crassifolia plantation forests significantly improved the soil capacity,soil total porosity,and capillary porosity,decreased soil bulk density,and enhanced water storage capacity,compared with the P.tabuliformis plantation forest.The results of this study showed that,the strong link between plants and soil was tightly coupled to C:N and C:P,and there was a close correlation between soil particle size distribution and soil physicochemical properties.Conclusions:Therefore,our results recommend planting the L.principis-rupprechtii and P.crassifolia as the preferred tree species to enhance the soil fertility and water conservation f 展开更多
关键词 PLANTATION C:N:P stoichiometry Plant-soil feedbacks Soil physicochemical properties Mountain ecosystems
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Cloud Radiative Feedbacks during the ENSO Cycle Simulated by CAMS-CSM 被引量:2
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作者 Lin CHEN Lijuan HUA +5 位作者 Xinyao RONG Jian LI Lu WANG Guo ZHANG Ming SUN Zi'an GE 《Journal of Meteorological Research》 SCIE CSCD 2019年第4期666-677,共12页
This study evaluated the simulated cloud radiative feedbacks(CRF)during the El Ni?o–Southern Oscillation(ENSO)cycle in the latest version of the Chinese Academy of Meteorological Sciences climate system model(CAMS-CS... This study evaluated the simulated cloud radiative feedbacks(CRF)during the El Ni?o–Southern Oscillation(ENSO)cycle in the latest version of the Chinese Academy of Meteorological Sciences climate system model(CAMS-CSM).We conducted two experimental model simulations:the Atmospheric Model Intercomparison Project(AMIP),forced by the observed sea surface temperature(SST);and the preindustrial control(PIcontrol),a coupled run without flux correction.We found that both the experiments generally reproduced the observed features of the shortwave and longwave cloud radiative forcing(SWCRF and LWCRF)feedbacks.The AMIP run exhibited better simulation performance in the magnitude and spatial distribution than the PIcontrol run.Furthermore,the simulation biases in SWCRF and LWCRF feedbacks were linked to the biases in the representation of the corresponding total cloud cover and precipitation feedbacks.It is interesting to further find that the simulation bias originating in the atmospheric component was amplified in the PIcontrol run,indicating that the coupling aggravated the simulation bias.Since the PIcontrol run exhibited an apparent mean SST cold bias over the cold tongue,the precipitation response to the SST anomaly(SSTA)changes during the ENSO cycle occurred towards the relatively warmer western equatorial Pacific.Thus,the corresponding cloud cover and CRF shifted westward and showed a weaker magnitude in the PIcontrol run versus observational data.In contrast,the AMIP run was forced by the observational SST,hence representing a more realistic CRF.Our results demonstrate the challenges of simulating CRF in coupled models.This study also underscores the necessity of realistically representing the climatological mean state when simulating CRF during the ENSO cycle. 展开更多
关键词 ENSO CAMS climate system model CLOUD RADIATIVE feedbacks ENSO cycle
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ENSO Indices and Analyses 被引量:2
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作者 王志仁 吴德星 +1 位作者 陈学恩 乔然 《Advances in Atmospheric Sciences》 SCIE CAS CSCD 2013年第5期1491-1506,共16页
New ENSO indices were developed and the spatial variability and temporal evolution of ENSO were analyzed based on the new indices and modeling experiments, as well as multiple data resources. The new indices, after be... New ENSO indices were developed and the spatial variability and temporal evolution of ENSO were analyzed based on the new indices and modeling experiments, as well as multiple data resources. The new indices, after being defined, were validated with their good diagnostic characteristics and correlation with wind and SST. In the analysis after the definition and validation of the new indices, ENSO feedbacks from wind, heat fluxes, and precipitation were spatially and temporally examined in order to understand ENSO variability and evolution with some emphasized points such as the interaction among the feedbacks, the role of westerly wind bursts and the transformation between zonal and meridional circulations in an ENSO cycle, and the typical pattern of modern ENSO. 展开更多
关键词 ENSO ENSO indices Walker Circulation westerly wind bursts ENSO feedbacks
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Time-Fractal in Living Objects
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作者 Andras Szasz 《Open Journal of Biophysics》 2022年第1期1-26,共26页
Homeostasis creates self-organized synchrony of the body’s reactions, and despite the energetically open system with intensive external and internal interactions, it is robustly stable. Importantly the self-organized... Homeostasis creates self-organized synchrony of the body’s reactions, and despite the energetically open system with intensive external and internal interactions, it is robustly stable. Importantly the self-organized system has scaling behaviors in its allometry, internal structures, and dynamic processes. The system works stochastically. Deterministic reductionism has validity only by the great average of the probabilistic processes. The system’s dynamics have a characteristic distribution of signals, which may be characterized by their frequency distribution, creating a particular “noise” 1/<em>f </em>of the power density. The stochastic processes produce resonances pumped by various noise spectra. The chemical processes are mostly driven by enzymatic processes, which also have noise-dependent resonant optimizing. The resonance frequencies are as many as many enzymatic reactions exist in the target. 展开更多
关键词 HOMEOSTASIS SELF-ORGANIZING feedbacks Complexity Resonance Stochastic Processes 1/f Noise DISSIPATION Enzymatic Reactions
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The Silk Road agenda of the Pan-Eurasian Experiment (PEEX) program 被引量:3
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作者 Hanna K.Lappalainen Markku Kulmala +13 位作者 Joni Kujansuu Tuukka Petaja Alexander Mahura Gerrit de Leeuw Sergej Zilitinkevich Merli Juustila Veli-Matti Kerminen Bob Bornstein Zhang Jiahua Xue Yong Qiu Yubao Liang Dong Liu Jie Guo Huadong 《Big Earth Data》 EI 2018年第1期8-35,共28页
The Silk Road Economic Belt and the 21st-Century Maritime Silk Road(B&R)aims at facilitating the twenty-first Century economic development of China.However,climate change,air quality and related feedbacks are affe... The Silk Road Economic Belt and the 21st-Century Maritime Silk Road(B&R)aims at facilitating the twenty-first Century economic development of China.However,climate change,air quality and related feedbacks are affecting the successful development of the environment and societies in the B&R geographical domain.The most urgent risks related to the atmospheric system,to the land system and to hydrospheric and cryospheric processes are changing climate-air quality interactions,air pollution,changing monsoon dynamics,land degradation,and the melting of Tibetan Plateau glaciers.A framework is needed in which a science and technology-based approach has the critical mass and expertise to identify the main steps toward solutions and is capable to implement this roadmap.The Pan-Eurasian Experiment(PEEX)program,initiated in 2012,aims to resolve science,technology and sustainability questions in the Northern Eurasian region.PEEX is now identifying its science agenda for the B&R region.One fundamental element of the PEEX research agenda is the availability of comprehensive ground-based observations together with Earth observation data.PEEX complements the recently launched international scientific program called Digital Belt and Road(DBAR).PEEX has expertise to coordinate the ground-based observations and initiate new flagship stations,while DBAR provides a big data platform on Earth observation from China and countries along the Belt and Road region.The DBAR and PEEX have joint interests and synergy expertise on monitoring on ecological environment,urbanization,cultural heritages,coastal zones,and arctic cold regions supporting the sustainable development of the Belt and Road region.In this paper we identify the research themes of the PEEX related Silk Road agenda relevant to China and give an overview of the methodological requirements and present the infrastructure requirements needed to carry out large scale research program. 展开更多
关键词 Silk road Economic Belt air quality land-climate feedbacks Earth observation data in situ observations multiscale modeling SMEa concept Pan-Eurasian Experiment(PEEX)program Digital Belt and road(DBa)program
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基于反馈机制的供应网络风险管理策略选择管 被引量:3
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作者 薛伟霞 孙见荆 《科技管理研究》 CSSCI 北大核心 2013年第20期218-221,225,共5页
由于供应网络的复杂动态性,诸多风险因素之间相互作用,组成一个复杂动态系统。在此复杂动态系统下进行风险管理,给风险管理策略的选择和实施带来很大的挑战,存在反直觉的决策。在考虑反馈机制的基础上,使用系统动力学建模的方法,通过计... 由于供应网络的复杂动态性,诸多风险因素之间相互作用,组成一个复杂动态系统。在此复杂动态系统下进行风险管理,给风险管理策略的选择和实施带来很大的挑战,存在反直觉的决策。在考虑反馈机制的基础上,使用系统动力学建模的方法,通过计算机仿真技术提出一种解决该问题的有效方法。该方法得出的实施策略能避免反直觉情况下的错误选择。 展开更多
关键词 技术经济及管理 风险管理策略 系统动力学 反馈机制
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Practical stabilization of a class of uncertain time-varying nonlinear delay systems
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作者 Bassem Ben HAMED Mohamed Ali HAMMAMI 《控制理论与应用(英文版)》 EI 2009年第2期175-180,共6页
In this paper we deal with a class of uncertain time-varying nonlinear systems with a state delay. Under some assumptions, we construct some stabilizing continuous feedback, i.e. linear and nonlinear in the state, whi... In this paper we deal with a class of uncertain time-varying nonlinear systems with a state delay. Under some assumptions, we construct some stabilizing continuous feedback, i.e. linear and nonlinear in the state, which can guarantee global uniform exponential stability and global uniform practical convergence of the considered system. The quadratic Lyapunov function for the nominal stable system is used as a Lyapunov candidate function for the global system. The results developed in this note are applicable to a class of dynamical systems with uncertain time-delay. Our result is illustrated by a numerical example. 展开更多
关键词 Nonlinear system TIME-DELAY feedbacks Practical convergence Lyapunov function
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Layered multicast congestion control by particle swarm optimization in heterogeneous environment
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作者 MA Hai-yuan MENG Xiang-ru MA Zhi-qiang LI Jin-liang 《The Journal of China Universities of Posts and Telecommunications》 EI CSCD 2011年第3期85-91,共7页
To enhance multicast throughput in heterogeneous environment, a new layered multicast congestion control scheme is proposed. With the goal of maximizing global satisfaction of the whole group, allocating sending rate ... To enhance multicast throughput in heterogeneous environment, a new layered multicast congestion control scheme is proposed. With the goal of maximizing global satisfaction of the whole group, allocating sending rate in each layer is formulated to an optimization problem. Since the problem is noncovexity, the sender uses particle swarm optimization to search a set of optimal layers rates. The new scheme also eliminates 'lowest-first' phenomenon by proposing a feedbacks suppression algorithm named equal-probability sampling (EPS). Upon EPS all the receivers send feedbacks at equal probability without bias. Simulation results prove that the new scheme can enhance global satisfaction and multicast throughput efficiently, compared with the traditional layered multicast congestion control scheme based on representatives. 展开更多
关键词 layered multicast congestion control particle swarm optimization feedbacks suppression
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Global Stability in Dynamical Systems with Multiple Feedback Mechanisms
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作者 Morten Andersen Frank Vinther Johnny T. Ottesen 《Advances in Pure Mathematics》 2016年第5期393-407,共15页
A class of n-dimensional ODEs with up to n feedbacks from the n’th variable is analysed. The feedbacks are represented by non-specific, bounded, non-negative C<sup>1</sup> functions. The main result is th... A class of n-dimensional ODEs with up to n feedbacks from the n’th variable is analysed. The feedbacks are represented by non-specific, bounded, non-negative C<sup>1</sup> functions. The main result is the formulation and proof of an easily applicable criterion for existence of a globally stable fixed point of the system. The proof relies on the contraction mapping theorem. Applications of this type of systems are numerous in biology, e.g., models of the hypothalamic-pituitary-adrenal axis and testosterone secretion. Some results important for modelling are: 1) Existence of an attractive trapping region. This is a bounded set with non-negative elements where solutions cannot escape. All solutions are shown to converge to a “minimal” trapping region. 2) At least one fixed point exists. 3) Sufficient criteria for a unique fixed point are formulated. One case where this is fulfilled is when the feedbacks are negative. 展开更多
关键词 ODES Multiple feedbacks Stability Global Stability Attracting Trapping Region Nonlinear Dynamics
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