Chinese financial system and capital allocation to strategic sectors dominated by state banks made important contributions to the country＇s high economic growth rates during the catch-up stage of the last three decad...Chinese financial system and capital allocation to strategic sectors dominated by state banks made important contributions to the country＇s high economic growth rates during the catch-up stage of the last three decades. High household saving rates, fixed exchange rate regime, and extensive capital controls helped this stage as well. While the structural changes in the labor market conditions by moving from primary sectors to more capital intensive heavy industry, construction, commerce, and other service sectors have been contributed to the economic growth, competition, and productivity, due to the direct state governance or intensive interventions, competition and productivity have been curtailed on certain large industries. Aiming to eliminate this unproductive economic activity, enterprise sector reforms of China targeted restructuring the state enterprise＇s capital, organization, and management system. Besides, the reforms on science and technology system seek to participate in global production and R＆D networks by improving high-tech sectors through creating strong complementarity and collaboration between skilled human capital and educational interferences.展开更多
2008年国际金融危机以来中国经济增速逐渐放缓,然而企业杠杆率却呈现“逆周期”上升,同时国有企业与民营企业的杠杆率呈现“所有制分化”。上述中国企业杠杆率特有的周期演变机制有待探索。在优质资产相对缺乏和政府影响力较为强大的背...2008年国际金融危机以来中国经济增速逐渐放缓,然而企业杠杆率却呈现“逆周期”上升,同时国有企业与民营企业的杠杆率呈现“所有制分化”。上述中国企业杠杆率特有的周期演变机制有待探索。在优质资产相对缺乏和政府影响力较为强大的背景下,预算软约束和政府隐性担保对企业杠杆率的周期变化具有深刻的影响。本文基于Dewatripont and Maskin(1995)关于预算软约束的建模思想,引入经济基本面和政府隐性担保,考察了企业与银行间借贷博弈的均衡性质,进而探究了企业杠杆率在不同经济基本面下的变化规律。本文的理论模型证明,给定隐性担保水平,企业杠杆率的周期性取决于预算软约束的周期性,随着经济形势由差转好,预算软约束先增强后减弱,企业杠杆率逐渐从“周期性不定”转为“逆周期”变化。本文进一步分析了政府隐性担保的内生选择路径,发现其周期性变化对企业杠杆率周期演变过程中的所有制结构分化具有解释力,在其“递减型”或“倒U型”路径下,民营企业杠杆率周期性不定,国有企业杠杆率则在较长区间内呈“逆周期性”。本文最后还将现实中的有关政策措施纳入模型,讨论了机制优化的思路及其对企业杠杆率周期性的影响。展开更多
文摘Chinese financial system and capital allocation to strategic sectors dominated by state banks made important contributions to the country＇s high economic growth rates during the catch-up stage of the last three decades. High household saving rates, fixed exchange rate regime, and extensive capital controls helped this stage as well. While the structural changes in the labor market conditions by moving from primary sectors to more capital intensive heavy industry, construction, commerce, and other service sectors have been contributed to the economic growth, competition, and productivity, due to the direct state governance or intensive interventions, competition and productivity have been curtailed on certain large industries. Aiming to eliminate this unproductive economic activity, enterprise sector reforms of China targeted restructuring the state enterprise＇s capital, organization, and management system. Besides, the reforms on science and technology system seek to participate in global production and R＆D networks by improving high-tech sectors through creating strong complementarity and collaboration between skilled human capital and educational interferences.
文摘2008年国际金融危机以来中国经济增速逐渐放缓,然而企业杠杆率却呈现“逆周期”上升,同时国有企业与民营企业的杠杆率呈现“所有制分化”。上述中国企业杠杆率特有的周期演变机制有待探索。在优质资产相对缺乏和政府影响力较为强大的背景下,预算软约束和政府隐性担保对企业杠杆率的周期变化具有深刻的影响。本文基于Dewatripont and Maskin(1995)关于预算软约束的建模思想,引入经济基本面和政府隐性担保,考察了企业与银行间借贷博弈的均衡性质,进而探究了企业杠杆率在不同经济基本面下的变化规律。本文的理论模型证明,给定隐性担保水平,企业杠杆率的周期性取决于预算软约束的周期性,随着经济形势由差转好,预算软约束先增强后减弱,企业杠杆率逐渐从“周期性不定”转为“逆周期”变化。本文进一步分析了政府隐性担保的内生选择路径,发现其周期性变化对企业杠杆率周期演变过程中的所有制结构分化具有解释力,在其“递减型”或“倒U型”路径下,民营企业杠杆率周期性不定,国有企业杠杆率则在较长区间内呈“逆周期性”。本文最后还将现实中的有关政策措施纳入模型,讨论了机制优化的思路及其对企业杠杆率周期性的影响。
