This paper investigates the inverse problem of bi-revealed utilities in a defaultable universe,defined as a standard universe(represented by a filtration F)perturbed by an exogenous defaultable time τ.We assume that ...This paper investigates the inverse problem of bi-revealed utilities in a defaultable universe,defined as a standard universe(represented by a filtration F)perturbed by an exogenous defaultable time τ.We assume that the standard universe does not take into account the possibility of the default,thus τ adds an additional source of risk.The defaultable universe is represented by the filtration G up to time τ(τ included),where G stands for the progressive enlargement of F by T.The basic assumption in force is that τ avoids F-stopping times.The bi-revealed problem consists in recovering a consistent dynamic utility from the observable characteristic of an agent.The general results on bi-revealed utilities,first given in a general and abstract framework,are translated in the defaultable G-universe and then are interpreted in the F-universe.The decomposition of G-adapted processes X^(G) provides an interpretation of a Gcharacteristic X^(G)_(τ) stopped at τ as a reserve process.Thanks to the characterization of G-martingales stopped at τ in terms of F-martingales,we establish a correspondence between G-bi-revealed utilities from characteristic and F-bi-revealed pair of utilities from characteristic and reserves.In a financial framework,characteristic can be interpreted as wealth and reserves as consumption.This result sheds a new light on the consumption in utility criterion:the consumption process can be interpreted as a certain quantity of wealth,or reserves,that are accumulated for the financing of losses at the default time.展开更多
We investigate an optimal portfolio and consumption choice problem with a defaultable security. Under the goal of maximizing the expected discounted utility of the average past consumption, a dynamic programming princ...We investigate an optimal portfolio and consumption choice problem with a defaultable security. Under the goal of maximizing the expected discounted utility of the average past consumption, a dynamic programming principle is applied to derive a pair of second-order parabolic Hamilton-Jacobi- Bellman （HJB） equations with gradient constraints. We explore these HJB equations by a viscosity solution approach and characterize the post-default and pre-default value functions as a unique pair of constrained viscosity solutions to the HJB equations.展开更多
This study considers an optimal investment and reinsurance problem involving a defaultable security for an insurer in an ambiguous environment.In other words,the insurer is ambiguous about the insurance claim that is ...This study considers an optimal investment and reinsurance problem involving a defaultable security for an insurer in an ambiguous environment.In other words,the insurer is ambiguous about the insurance claim that is exponentially distributed with an uncertain rate parameter.The insurer can purchase proportional reinsurance and invest its wealth in three assets:a risk-free asset,a risky asset,the price process of which satisfies the Heston local-stochastic volatility model,and a defaultable corporate bond.For the optimal investment–reinsurance objective with a smooth ambiguity utility proposed by Klibanoff,P.,Marinacci,M.,and Mukerji,S.[A smooth model of decision making under ambiguity,Econometrica,2005,73(6):1849-1892],the equilibrium strategy is introduced and the extended Hamilton–Jacobi–Bellman equation is established through a stochastic control approach.However,the analytical solution of the strategy under the Heston local-stochastic volatility model cannot be obtained because of the complicated nonlinearity of the partial differential equation.In this study,we employ a perturbation method to derive an asymptotic solution for the post-and pre-default cases.In addition,we present a sensitivity analysis to explain the impact of model parameters on the equilibrium investment–reinsurance strategy.展开更多
In this paper a generalized defaultable bond pricing formula is derived by assuming that there exists a defaultable forward rate term structure and that firms in the economy interact when default occurs.Generally,The ...In this paper a generalized defaultable bond pricing formula is derived by assuming that there exists a defaultable forward rate term structure and that firms in the economy interact when default occurs.Generally,The risk-neutral default intensity λ Q is not equal to the empirical or actual default intensity λ.This paper proves that multiple default intensities are invariant under equivalent martingale transformation,given a well-diversified portfolio corresponding to the defaultable bond.Thus one can directly apply default intensities and fractional losses empirically estimated to the evaluation of defaultable bonds or contingent claims.展开更多
This paper considers an improved model of pricing defaultable bonds under the assumption that the interest rate satisfies the Vasicek model driven by fractional Brownian motion(fBm for short)based on the counterparty ...This paper considers an improved model of pricing defaultable bonds under the assumption that the interest rate satisfies the Vasicek model driven by fractional Brownian motion(fBm for short)based on the counterparty risk framework of Jarrow and Yu(2001). The authors use the theory of stochastic analysis of f Bm to derive pricing formulas for the defaultable bonds and study how the counterparty risk, recovery rate, and the Hurst parameter affect the values of the defaultable bonds.Numerical experiment results are presented to demonstrate the findings.展开更多
This paper considers the estimation of an unknown function h that can be characterized as a solution to a nonlinear operator equation mapping between two infinite dimensional Hilbert spaces. The nonlinear operator is ...This paper considers the estimation of an unknown function h that can be characterized as a solution to a nonlinear operator equation mapping between two infinite dimensional Hilbert spaces. The nonlinear operator is unknown but can be consistently estimated, and its inverse is discontinuous, rendering the problem ill-posed. We establish the consistency for the class of estimators that are regularized using general lower semicompact penalty functions. We derive the optimal convergence rates of the estimators under the Hilbert scale norms. We apply our results to two important problems in economics and finance: (1) estimating the parameters of the pricing kernel of defaultable bonds; (2) recovering the volatility surface implied by option prices allowing for measurement error in the option prices and numerical error in the computation of the operator.展开更多
This paper analyzes the influence of downside risk on defaultable bond returns.By introducing a defaultable bond-trading model,we show that the decline in market risk tolerance and information accuracy leads to tradin...This paper analyzes the influence of downside risk on defaultable bond returns.By introducing a defaultable bond-trading model,we show that the decline in market risk tolerance and information accuracy leads to trading loss under downside conditions.Our empirical analysis indicates that downside risk can explain a large proportion of the variation in yield spreads and contains almost all valid information on liquidity risk.As the credit level decreases,the explanatory power of downside risk increases significantly.We also investigate the predictive power of downside risk in cross-sectional defaultable bond excess returns using a portfolio-level analysis and Fama-Mac Beth regressions.We find that downside risk is a strong and robust predictor for future bond returns.In addition,due to the higher proportion of abnormal transactions in the Chinese bond market,downside risk proxy semi-variance can better explain yield spreads and predict portfolio excess returns than the proxy value at risk.展开更多
We study the smooth-pasting property for a class of conditional expectations with reflected Levy process as underlying state process. A relationship between local times and regulators for the doubly reflected Levy pro...We study the smooth-pasting property for a class of conditional expectations with reflected Levy process as underlying state process. A relationship between local times and regulators for the doubly reflected Levy process is established. As applications, we derive the analytic pricing formula for a zero-coupon defaultable bond when the default intensity （resp. the stochastic loss rate） is modeled as one-sided （resp. double-sided） reflected Levy processes. Finally, some numerical illustrations are provided.展开更多
在Du ffie-S ing leton定价模型的基础上,构造了流动性风险影响下的可违约债券定价模型,其中流动性因素的风险中性过程具备均值回复和条件异方差特征。在该模型的基础上,进一步建立了连续复利下可违约债券信用利差的期限结构模型,并通...在Du ffie-S ing leton定价模型的基础上,构造了流动性风险影响下的可违约债券定价模型,其中流动性因素的风险中性过程具备均值回复和条件异方差特征。在该模型的基础上,进一步建立了连续复利下可违约债券信用利差的期限结构模型,并通过改变流动性风险中性过程的控制参数,探讨了流动性风险对可违约债券利差期限结构的影响。结果显示,债券利差的期限结构对流动性风险非常敏感,且同样利差结构的债券可能拥有完全不同的风险结构。对这些风险构成不加甄别,将直接影响使用基于强度过程的简约化模型对信用衍生品定价的准确性。展开更多
基金This work is with the financial support of the“Chaire Risque Financier”of the“Fondation du Risque”,the Labex MME-DII.The authors's research is part of the ANR project DREAMeS(ANR-21-CE46-0002).
文摘This paper investigates the inverse problem of bi-revealed utilities in a defaultable universe,defined as a standard universe(represented by a filtration F)perturbed by an exogenous defaultable time τ.We assume that the standard universe does not take into account the possibility of the default,thus τ adds an additional source of risk.The defaultable universe is represented by the filtration G up to time τ(τ included),where G stands for the progressive enlargement of F by T.The basic assumption in force is that τ avoids F-stopping times.The bi-revealed problem consists in recovering a consistent dynamic utility from the observable characteristic of an agent.The general results on bi-revealed utilities,first given in a general and abstract framework,are translated in the defaultable G-universe and then are interpreted in the F-universe.The decomposition of G-adapted processes X^(G) provides an interpretation of a Gcharacteristic X^(G)_(τ) stopped at τ as a reserve process.Thanks to the characterization of G-martingales stopped at τ in terms of F-martingales,we establish a correspondence between G-bi-revealed utilities from characteristic and F-bi-revealed pair of utilities from characteristic and reserves.In a financial framework,characteristic can be interpreted as wealth and reserves as consumption.This result sheds a new light on the consumption in utility criterion:the consumption process can be interpreted as a certain quantity of wealth,or reserves,that are accumulated for the financing of losses at the default time.
文摘We investigate an optimal portfolio and consumption choice problem with a defaultable security. Under the goal of maximizing the expected discounted utility of the average past consumption, a dynamic programming principle is applied to derive a pair of second-order parabolic Hamilton-Jacobi- Bellman （HJB） equations with gradient constraints. We explore these HJB equations by a viscosity solution approach and characterize the post-default and pre-default value functions as a unique pair of constrained viscosity solutions to the HJB equations.
基金isupported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China(Grant Nos.11871010 and 11971040)the Fundamental Research Funds for the Central Universities(Grant No.2019XD-A11)The work of Weilin Xiao is supported by the Humanities and Social Sciences of Ministry of Education Planning Fund of China(Grant No.23YJA630102).
文摘This study considers an optimal investment and reinsurance problem involving a defaultable security for an insurer in an ambiguous environment.In other words,the insurer is ambiguous about the insurance claim that is exponentially distributed with an uncertain rate parameter.The insurer can purchase proportional reinsurance and invest its wealth in three assets:a risk-free asset,a risky asset,the price process of which satisfies the Heston local-stochastic volatility model,and a defaultable corporate bond.For the optimal investment–reinsurance objective with a smooth ambiguity utility proposed by Klibanoff,P.,Marinacci,M.,and Mukerji,S.[A smooth model of decision making under ambiguity,Econometrica,2005,73(6):1849-1892],the equilibrium strategy is introduced and the extended Hamilton–Jacobi–Bellman equation is established through a stochastic control approach.However,the analytical solution of the strategy under the Heston local-stochastic volatility model cannot be obtained because of the complicated nonlinearity of the partial differential equation.In this study,we employ a perturbation method to derive an asymptotic solution for the post-and pre-default cases.In addition,we present a sensitivity analysis to explain the impact of model parameters on the equilibrium investment–reinsurance strategy.
基金National Natural Science Foundation of China(70 0 71 0 1 2 )
文摘In this paper a generalized defaultable bond pricing formula is derived by assuming that there exists a defaultable forward rate term structure and that firms in the economy interact when default occurs.Generally,The risk-neutral default intensity λ Q is not equal to the empirical or actual default intensity λ.This paper proves that multiple default intensities are invariant under equivalent martingale transformation,given a well-diversified portfolio corresponding to the defaultable bond.Thus one can directly apply default intensities and fractional losses empirically estimated to the evaluation of defaultable bonds or contingent claims.
基金supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China under Grant Nos.11471051 and 11871010supported by the National Social Science Foundation of China under Grant No.16ZDA033
文摘This paper considers an improved model of pricing defaultable bonds under the assumption that the interest rate satisfies the Vasicek model driven by fractional Brownian motion(fBm for short)based on the counterparty risk framework of Jarrow and Yu(2001). The authors use the theory of stochastic analysis of f Bm to derive pricing formulas for the defaultable bonds and study how the counterparty risk, recovery rate, and the Hurst parameter affect the values of the defaultable bonds.Numerical experiment results are presented to demonstrate the findings.
基金supported by US National Science Foundation (Grant No. SES-0631613)the Cowles Foundation for Research in Economics
文摘This paper considers the estimation of an unknown function h that can be characterized as a solution to a nonlinear operator equation mapping between two infinite dimensional Hilbert spaces. The nonlinear operator is unknown but can be consistently estimated, and its inverse is discontinuous, rendering the problem ill-posed. We establish the consistency for the class of estimators that are regularized using general lower semicompact penalty functions. We derive the optimal convergence rates of the estimators under the Hilbert scale norms. We apply our results to two important problems in economics and finance: (1) estimating the parameters of the pricing kernel of defaultable bonds; (2) recovering the volatility surface implied by option prices allowing for measurement error in the option prices and numerical error in the computation of the operator.
基金supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China under Grant No.71471129,71501140
文摘This paper analyzes the influence of downside risk on defaultable bond returns.By introducing a defaultable bond-trading model,we show that the decline in market risk tolerance and information accuracy leads to trading loss under downside conditions.Our empirical analysis indicates that downside risk can explain a large proportion of the variation in yield spreads and contains almost all valid information on liquidity risk.As the credit level decreases,the explanatory power of downside risk increases significantly.We also investigate the predictive power of downside risk in cross-sectional defaultable bond excess returns using a portfolio-level analysis and Fama-Mac Beth regressions.We find that downside risk is a strong and robust predictor for future bond returns.In addition,due to the higher proportion of abnormal transactions in the Chinese bond market,downside risk proxy semi-variance can better explain yield spreads and predict portfolio excess returns than the proxy value at risk.
基金supported by National Natural Science Foundation of China(GrantNos.11001213,71201074 and 70932003)NCET-12-0914the Fundamental Research Funds for the Central Universities(Grant No.K5051370001)
文摘We study the smooth-pasting property for a class of conditional expectations with reflected Levy process as underlying state process. A relationship between local times and regulators for the doubly reflected Levy process is established. As applications, we derive the analytic pricing formula for a zero-coupon defaultable bond when the default intensity （resp. the stochastic loss rate） is modeled as one-sided （resp. double-sided） reflected Levy processes. Finally, some numerical illustrations are provided.
文摘在Du ffie-S ing leton定价模型的基础上,构造了流动性风险影响下的可违约债券定价模型,其中流动性因素的风险中性过程具备均值回复和条件异方差特征。在该模型的基础上,进一步建立了连续复利下可违约债券信用利差的期限结构模型,并通过改变流动性风险中性过程的控制参数,探讨了流动性风险对可违约债券利差期限结构的影响。结果显示,债券利差的期限结构对流动性风险非常敏感,且同样利差结构的债券可能拥有完全不同的风险结构。对这些风险构成不加甄别,将直接影响使用基于强度过程的简约化模型对信用衍生品定价的准确性。
