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流感大爆发的多重早期预警信号
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作者 张玲 高洁 靳佩轩 《生物数学学报》 2015年第2期299-304,共6页
基于CGR-混沌游走模型,本文对选取自1913-2012年的流感病毒HA蛋白质序列用时间序列方法来研究,从而得出流感大爆发的早期预警信号的多重指标值.基于详细HP模型先对蛋白质序列建立CGR-混沌游走模型,再求方差、延迟2自相关系数,发现大流行... 基于CGR-混沌游走模型,本文对选取自1913-2012年的流感病毒HA蛋白质序列用时间序列方法来研究,从而得出流感大爆发的早期预警信号的多重指标值.基于详细HP模型先对蛋白质序列建立CGR-混沌游走模型,再求方差、延迟2自相关系数,发现大流行年(-+1至2年)的混沌游走序列的方差和自相关系数都明显高于相邻年,而在非大流行年它们通常较小. 展开更多
关键词 流感病毒 早期预警信号 cgr-混沌游走模型 HA蛋白质序列
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Chaos game representation walk model for the protein sequences 被引量:3
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作者 高洁 蒋丽丽 徐振源 《Chinese Physics B》 SCIE EI CAS CSCD 2009年第10期4571-4579,共9页
A new chaos game representation of protein sequences based on the detailed hydrophobic-hydrophilic (HP) model has been proposed by Yu et al (Physica A 337(2004) 171). A CGR-walk model is proposed based on the ne... A new chaos game representation of protein sequences based on the detailed hydrophobic-hydrophilic (HP) model has been proposed by Yu et al (Physica A 337(2004) 171). A CGR-walk model is proposed based on the new CGR coordinates for the protein sequences from complete genomes in the present paper. The new CCR coordinates based on the detailed HP model are converted into a time series, and a long-memory ARFIMA(p, d, q) model is introduced into the protein sequence analysis. This model is applied to simulating real CCR-walk sequence data of twelve protein sequences. Remarkably long-range correlations are uncovered in the data and the results obtained from these models are reasonably consistent with those available from the ARFIMA(p, d, q) model. 展开更多
关键词 chaos game representation cgr-walk model protein sequence long-memory ARFIMA(p d q) model autocorrelation function
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Early-warning signals for an outbreak of the influenza pandemic 被引量:2
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作者 任迪 高洁 《Chinese Physics B》 SCIE EI CAS CSCD 2011年第12期461-464,共4页
Over the course of human history, influenza pandemics have been seen as major disasters, so studies on the influenza virus have become an important issue for many experts and scholars. Comprehensive research has been ... Over the course of human history, influenza pandemics have been seen as major disasters, so studies on the influenza virus have become an important issue for many experts and scholars. Comprehensive research has been performed over the years on the biological properties, chemical characteristics, external environmental factors and other aspects of the virus, and some results have been achieved. Based on the chaos game representation walk model, this paper uses the time series analysis method to study the DNA sequences of the influenza virus from 1913 to 2010, and works out the early-warning signals indicator value for the outbreak of an influenza pandemic. The variances in the CCR wall〈 sequences for the pandemic years (or + -1 to 2 years) are significantly higher than those for the adjacent years, while those in the non-pandemic years are usually smaller. In this way we can provide an influenza early-warning mechanism so that people can take precautions and be well prepared prior to a pandemic. 展开更多
关键词 influenza virus early-warning signals chaos game representation cgr walk model DNA sequence
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