期刊文献+
共找到2篇文章
< 1 >
每页显示 20 50 100
基于外汇期货期权的隐含风险中性概率的复原与市场情绪 被引量:4
1
作者 周娟 韩立岩 《系统工程理论与实践》 EI CSCD 北大核心 2008年第8期197-205,共9页
金融资产价格蕴涵着市场信息,涉及宏观经济、公司财务、经济人偏好等诸多种类.尝试从衍生资产的价格中挖掘反映经济人对未来预期的信息.首先从欧元期货期权的价格中推导欧元期货的隐含风险中性概率分布密度;该分布具有尖峰的特点,并且... 金融资产价格蕴涵着市场信息,涉及宏观经济、公司财务、经济人偏好等诸多种类.尝试从衍生资产的价格中挖掘反映经济人对未来预期的信息.首先从欧元期货期权的价格中推导欧元期货的隐含风险中性概率分布密度;该分布具有尖峰的特点,并且随着时间推移而发生变化.其次提出情绪测量指标,并论证投资者情绪会影响隐含风险中性概率分布的认知.在复原隐含风险中性概率分布的过程中能够使用表现投资者对同时存在多种分布的处理的方法,这为Knight不确定环境的存在提供更多的实验证据. 展开更多
关键词 外汇期货期权 隐含风险中性概率 投资者情绪 KNIGHT不确定性
原文传递
Recovering implied risk-neutral probability density function using SVR
2
作者 胡小平 崔海蓉 +1 位作者 朱丽华 王新燕 《Journal of Southeast University(English Edition)》 EI CAS 2010年第3期489-493,共5页
Using support vector regression (SVR), a novel non-parametric method for recovering implied risk-neutral probability density function (IRNPDF) is investigated by solving linear operator equations. First, the SVR p... Using support vector regression (SVR), a novel non-parametric method for recovering implied risk-neutral probability density function (IRNPDF) is investigated by solving linear operator equations. First, the SVR principle for function approximation is introduced, and an SVR method for solving linear operator equations with knowing some values of the right-hand function and without knowing its form is depicted. Then, the principle for solving the IRNPDF based on SVR and the method for constructing cross-kernel functions are proposed. Finally, an empirical example is given to verify the validity of the method. The results show that the proposed method can overcome the shortcomings of the traditional parametric methods, which have strict restrictions on the option exercise price; meanwhile, it requires less data than other non-parametric methods, and it is a promising method for the recover of IRNPDF. 展开更多
关键词 support vector regression option prices implied risk-neutral probability linear operator equation non-parametric method
下载PDF
上一页 1 下一页 到第
使用帮助 返回顶部