综合自上而下的系统动力学模型和自下而上的元胞自动机模型,从宏观用地总量需求和微观土地供给相平衡的角度,充分利用系统动力学模型在情景模拟和宏观驱动因素反映上的优势与元胞自动机模型在微观土地利用空间格局反映上的优势,发展了...综合自上而下的系统动力学模型和自下而上的元胞自动机模型,从宏观用地总量需求和微观土地供给相平衡的角度,充分利用系统动力学模型在情景模拟和宏观驱动因素反映上的优势与元胞自动机模型在微观土地利用空间格局反映上的优势,发展了土地利用情景变化动力学LUSD(Land Use Scenarios Dynamics model)模型.利用该模型对中国北方13省未来20年土地利用变化的情景模拟结果表明,由于LUSD模型充分利用了系统动力学模型和元胞自动机模型的特点和优势,同时考虑了土地利用系统宏观驱动因素复杂性和微观格局演化复杂性的特征,因而提高了当前土地利用情景模型的可靠性,这将在一定程度上为理解土地利用系统的复杂驱动行为,评估脆弱生态区土地系统变化的潜在生态效应提供帮助.同时,LUSD模型的情景模拟结果也表明,农牧交错带地区是中国北方未来20年土地利用变化比较明显的地区,而耕地和城镇用地则是该区域内变化最为显著的两种用地类型.展开更多
A National Science Foundation of China （NSFC） major research project, Destruction of the North China Craton （NCC）, has been carried out in the past few years by Chinese scientists through an in-depth and systemati...A National Science Foundation of China （NSFC） major research project, Destruction of the North China Craton （NCC）, has been carried out in the past few years by Chinese scientists through an in-depth and systematic observations, experiments and theoretical analyses, with an emphasis on the spatio-temporal distribution of the NCC destruction, the structure of deep earth and shallow geological records of the craton evolution, the mechanism and dynamics of the craton destruction. From this work the foUowing conclusions can be drawn： （1） Significant spatial heterogeneity exists in the NCC lithospheric thickness and crustal structure, which constrains the scope of the NCC destruction. （2） The nature of the Paleozoic, Mesozoic and Cenozoic sub-continental lithospheric mantle （CLM） underneath the NCC is characterized in detail. In terms of water content, the late Mesozoic CLM was rich in water, but Cenozoic CLM was highly water deficient. （3） The correlation between magmatism and surface geological response confirms that the geological and tectonic evolution is governed by cratonic destruction processes. （4） Pacific subduction is the main dynamic factor that triggered the destruction of the NCC, which highlights the role of cratonic destruction in plate tectonics.展开更多
文摘综合自上而下的系统动力学模型和自下而上的元胞自动机模型,从宏观用地总量需求和微观土地供给相平衡的角度,充分利用系统动力学模型在情景模拟和宏观驱动因素反映上的优势与元胞自动机模型在微观土地利用空间格局反映上的优势,发展了土地利用情景变化动力学LUSD(Land Use Scenarios Dynamics model)模型.利用该模型对中国北方13省未来20年土地利用变化的情景模拟结果表明,由于LUSD模型充分利用了系统动力学模型和元胞自动机模型的特点和优势,同时考虑了土地利用系统宏观驱动因素复杂性和微观格局演化复杂性的特征,因而提高了当前土地利用情景模型的可靠性,这将在一定程度上为理解土地利用系统的复杂驱动行为,评估脆弱生态区土地系统变化的潜在生态效应提供帮助.同时,LUSD模型的情景模拟结果也表明,农牧交错带地区是中国北方未来20年土地利用变化比较明显的地区,而耕地和城镇用地则是该区域内变化最为显著的两种用地类型.
基金supported by National Natural Science Foundation of China (Grant Nos.90714001,90714004,90714008,90714009,91014006,91114206)
文摘A National Science Foundation of China （NSFC） major research project, Destruction of the North China Craton （NCC）, has been carried out in the past few years by Chinese scientists through an in-depth and systematic observations, experiments and theoretical analyses, with an emphasis on the spatio-temporal distribution of the NCC destruction, the structure of deep earth and shallow geological records of the craton evolution, the mechanism and dynamics of the craton destruction. From this work the foUowing conclusions can be drawn： （1） Significant spatial heterogeneity exists in the NCC lithospheric thickness and crustal structure, which constrains the scope of the NCC destruction. （2） The nature of the Paleozoic, Mesozoic and Cenozoic sub-continental lithospheric mantle （CLM） underneath the NCC is characterized in detail. In terms of water content, the late Mesozoic CLM was rich in water, but Cenozoic CLM was highly water deficient. （3） The correlation between magmatism and surface geological response confirms that the geological and tectonic evolution is governed by cratonic destruction processes. （4） Pacific subduction is the main dynamic factor that triggered the destruction of the NCC, which highlights the role of cratonic destruction in plate tectonics.
