The sparse and uneven placement of rain gauges across the Tibetan Plateau(TP) impedes the acquisition of precise,high-resolution precipitation measurements,thus challenging the reliability of forecast data.To address ...The sparse and uneven placement of rain gauges across the Tibetan Plateau(TP) impedes the acquisition of precise,high-resolution precipitation measurements,thus challenging the reliability of forecast data.To address such a challenge,we introduce a model called Multisource Generative Adversarial Network-Convolutional Long Short-Term Memory(GAN-ConvLSTM) for Precipitation Nowcasting(MGCPN),which utilizes data products from the Integrated Multi-satellite Retrievals for global precipitation measurement(IMERG) data,offering high spatiotemporal resolution precipitation forecasts for upcoming periods ranging from 30 to 300 min.The results of our study confirm that the implementation of the MGCPN model successfully addresses the problem of underestimating and blurring precipitation results that often arise with increasing forecast time.This issue is a common challenge in precipitation forecasting models.Furthermore,we have used multisource spatiotemporal datasets with integrated geographic elements for training and prediction to improve model accuracy.The model demonstrates its competence in generating precise precipitation nowcasting with IMERG data,offering valuable support for precipitation research and forecasting in the TP region.The metrics results obtained from our study further emphasize the notable advantages of the MGCPN model;it outperforms the other considered models in the probability of detection(POD),critical success index,Heidke Skill Score,and mean absolute error,especially showing improvements in POD by approximately 33%,19%,and 8% compared to Convolutional Gated Recurrent Unit(ConvGRU),ConvLSTM,and small Attention-UNet(SmaAt-UNet) models.展开更多
Based on variational adjoint methods,theoretical analyses and numerical experiments are performed for retrievals of two-dimensional winds and related parameters from single-Doppler radar data in polar coordinates.In t...Based on variational adjoint methods,theoretical analyses and numerical experiments are performed for retrievals of two-dimensional winds and related parameters from single-Doppler radar data in polar coordinates.In the method,the reflectivity conservation equation is used as the governing equation and the mass continuity equation as a weak constraint.At the same time,the stable functional of regularization and background field are also introduced in the cost functional.Based on the ideal experiments with artificial data,real two-dimensional wind fields are retrieved with low-altitude data from the Nanjing Doppler Radar Station,and the results are encouraging and promising.展开更多
A variational method is developed to retrieve winds in the first step and then thermodynamic fields in the second step from Doppler radar observations. In the first step, wind fields are retrieved at two time levels: ...A variational method is developed to retrieve winds in the first step and then thermodynamic fields in the second step from Doppler radar observations. In the first step, wind fields are retrieved at two time levels: the beginning and ending times of the data assimilation period, simultaneously from two successive volume scans by using the weak form constraints provided by the mass continuity and vorticity equations. As the retrieved wind fields are expressed by Legendre polynomial expansions at the beginning and ending times, the time tendency term in the vorticity equation can be conveniently formulated, and the retrieved winds can be compared with the radar observed radial winds in the cost function at the precise time and position of each radar beam. In the second step, the perturbation pressure and temperature fields at the middle time are then derived from the retrieved wind fields and the velocity time tendency by using the weak form constraints provided by the three momentum equations. The merits of the new method are demonstrated by numerical experiments with simulated radar observations and compared with the traditional least squares methods which consider neither the precise observation times and positions nor the velocity time tendency. The new method is also applied to real radar data for a heavy rainfall event during the 2001 Meiyu season in China.展开更多
Continuous high spatial-resolution 10-day precipitation data are essential for crop growth services and phenological research.In this study,we first use the bidimensional empirical mode decomposition(BEMD)algorithm to...Continuous high spatial-resolution 10-day precipitation data are essential for crop growth services and phenological research.In this study,we first use the bidimensional empirical mode decomposition(BEMD)algorithm to decompose the digital elevation model(DEM)data and obtain high-frequency(OR3),intermediate-frequency(OR5),and low-frequency(OR8)margin terrains.Then,we propose a refined precipitation spatialization model,which uses ground-based meteorological observation data,integrated multi-satellite retrievals for global precipitation measurement(GPM IMERG)satellite precipitation products,DEM data,terrain decomposition data,prevailing precipitation direction(PPD)data,and other multisource data,to construct China's high-resolution 10-day precipitation data from2001 to 2018.The decomposition results show mountainous terrain from fine to coarse scales;and the influences of altitude,slope,and aspect on precipitation are better represented in the model after topography is decomposed.Moreover,terrain decomposition data can be added to the model simulation to improve the quality of the simulation product;the simulation quality of the model in summer is better than that in spring and autumn,and is relatively poor in winter;and OR5 and OR8 can be improved in the simulation,with better OR5 and OR8 dynamically selected.In addition,preprocessing the data before precipitation spatialization is particularly important.For example,adding 0.01to the 0 value of precipitation,multiplying the small value of precipitation less than 1 by 10,and performing the normal distributions transform(e.g.,Yeo–Johnson)on the data can improve the simulation quality.展开更多
The result merging for multiple Independent Resource Retrieval Systems (IRRSs), which is a key component in developing a meta-search engine, is a difficult problem that still not effectively solved. Most of the existi...The result merging for multiple Independent Resource Retrieval Systems (IRRSs), which is a key component in developing a meta-search engine, is a difficult problem that still not effectively solved. Most of the existing result merging methods, usually suffered a great influence from the usefulness weight of different IRRS results and overlap rate among them. In this paper, we proposed a scheme that being capable of coalescing and optimizing a group of existing multi-sources-retrieval merging results effectively by Discrete Particle Swarm Optimization (DPSO). The experimental results show that the DPSO, not only can overall outperform all the other result merging algorithms it employed, but also has better adaptability in application for unnecessarily taking into account different IRRS's usefulness weight and their overlap rate with respect to a concrete query. Compared to other result merging algorithms it employed, the DPSO's recognition precision can increase nearly 24.6%, while the precision standard deviation for different queries can decrease about 68.3%.展开更多
In this paper we investigate the impact of the Atmospheric Infra-Red Sounder (AIRS) temperature retrievals on data assimilation and the resulting forecasts using the four-dimensional Local Ensemble Transform Kalman Fi...In this paper we investigate the impact of the Atmospheric Infra-Red Sounder (AIRS) temperature retrievals on data assimilation and the resulting forecasts using the four-dimensional Local Ensemble Transform Kalman Filter (LETKF) data assimilation scheme and a reduced resolution version of the NCEP Global Forecast System (GFS).Our results indicate that the AIRS temperature retrievals have a significant and consistent positive impact in the Southern Hemispheric extratropics on both analyses and forecasts,which is found not only in the temperature field but also in other variables.In tropics and the Northern Hemispheric extratropics these impacts are smaller,but are still generally positive or neutral.展开更多
The calibration accuracy of High Resolution Infrared Radiation Sounder Mod. 2 (HIRS / 2) on NOAA-10 satellite is analyzed in this paper. The non-linear effect in the linear calibration curve induces a deviation of 1.... The calibration accuracy of High Resolution Infrared Radiation Sounder Mod. 2 (HIRS / 2) on NOAA-10 satellite is analyzed in this paper. The non-linear effect in the linear calibration curve induces a deviation of 1.5 degrees (k) of brightness temperature in the tenth channel (8.3 um, water vapor absorption) of the HIRS/2 and the non-linear effect affects the other channels to a different extent. Based on analyzing non- linearity in two-point calibration curve, a tri-point calibration equation is given. A numerical test of effects of the linear and non-linear calibration models on the accuracy of atmospheric temperature retrievals is carried out.展开更多
The paper develops a passive sub-millimeter precipitation retrievals algorithm for Microwave Humidity and Temperature Sounder(MWHTS)onboard the Chinese Feng Yun 3C(FY-3C)satellite.The retrieval algorithm employs a num...The paper develops a passive sub-millimeter precipitation retrievals algorithm for Microwave Humidity and Temperature Sounder(MWHTS)onboard the Chinese Feng Yun 3C(FY-3C)satellite.The retrieval algorithm employs a number of neural network estimators trained and evaluated using the validated global reference physical model NCEP/WRF/ARTS,and works for seawater.NCEP data per 6 hours are downloaded to run the Weather Research and Forecast model WRF,and derive the typical precipitation data from the whole world.The Atmospheric Radiative Transfer Simulator ARTS is feasible for performing simulations of atmospheric radiative transfer.Rain detection algorithm has been used to generate level 2 products.Retrievals are reliable for surface precipitation rate higher than 0.1 mm/h at 15km resolution,which is in good agreement with those retrieved using the Precipitation retrieval algorithm version 1(ATMP-1)for Advanced Technology Microwave Sounder(ATMS)aboard Suomi NPP satellite.展开更多
This paper describes three algorithms for retrieving precipitation over oceans from brightness temperatures (TBs) of the Micro-Wave Humidity Sounder-2 (MHWS-2) onboard Fengyun-3C (FY-3C). For algorithm development, sc...This paper describes three algorithms for retrieving precipitation over oceans from brightness temperatures (TBs) of the Micro-Wave Humidity Sounder-2 (MHWS-2) onboard Fengyun-3C (FY-3C). For algorithm development, scattering- induced TB depressions (ΔTBs) of MWHS-2 at channels between 89 and 190 GHz were collocated to rain rates derived from measurements of the Global Precipitation Measurement’s Dual-frequency Precipitation Radar (DPR) for the year 2017. ΔTBs were calculated by subtracting simulated cloud-free TBs from bias-corrected observed TBs for each channel. These ΔTBs were then related to rain rates from DPR using (1) multilinear regression (MLR);the other two algorithms, (2) range searches (RS) and (3) nearest neighbor searches (NNS), are based on k-dimensional trees. While all three algorithms produce instantaneous rain rates, the RS algorithm also provides the probability of precipitation and can be understood in a Bayesian framework. Different combinations of MWHS-2 channels were evaluated using MLR and results suggest that adding 118 GHz improves retrieval performance. The optimal combination of channels excludes high-peaking channels but includes 118 GHz channels peaking in the mid and high troposphere. MWHS-2 observations from another year were used for validation purposes. The annual mean 2.5° × 2.5° gridded rain rates from the three algorithms are consistent with those from the Global Precipitation Climatology Project (GPCP) and DPR. Their correlation coefficients with GPCP are 0.96 and their biases are less than 5%. The correlation coefficients with DPR are slightly lower and the maximum bias is ~8%, partly due to the lower sampling density of DPR compared to that of MWHS-2.展开更多
基金Supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China (41871285 and 52104158)。
文摘The sparse and uneven placement of rain gauges across the Tibetan Plateau(TP) impedes the acquisition of precise,high-resolution precipitation measurements,thus challenging the reliability of forecast data.To address such a challenge,we introduce a model called Multisource Generative Adversarial Network-Convolutional Long Short-Term Memory(GAN-ConvLSTM) for Precipitation Nowcasting(MGCPN),which utilizes data products from the Integrated Multi-satellite Retrievals for global precipitation measurement(IMERG) data,offering high spatiotemporal resolution precipitation forecasts for upcoming periods ranging from 30 to 300 min.The results of our study confirm that the implementation of the MGCPN model successfully addresses the problem of underestimating and blurring precipitation results that often arise with increasing forecast time.This issue is a common challenge in precipitation forecasting models.Furthermore,we have used multisource spatiotemporal datasets with integrated geographic elements for training and prediction to improve model accuracy.The model demonstrates its competence in generating precise precipitation nowcasting with IMERG data,offering valuable support for precipitation research and forecasting in the TP region.The metrics results obtained from our study further emphasize the notable advantages of the MGCPN model;it outperforms the other considered models in the probability of detection(POD),critical success index,Heidke Skill Score,and mean absolute error,especially showing improvements in POD by approximately 33%,19%,and 8% compared to Convolutional Gated Recurrent Unit(ConvGRU),ConvLSTM,and small Attention-UNet(SmaAt-UNet) models.
基金supported by the National Key Technologies R and D Program of China during the 11th Five-year Plan Period(Grant No. 2008BAC37B03)
文摘Based on variational adjoint methods,theoretical analyses and numerical experiments are performed for retrievals of two-dimensional winds and related parameters from single-Doppler radar data in polar coordinates.In the method,the reflectivity conservation equation is used as the governing equation and the mass continuity equation as a weak constraint.At the same time,the stable functional of regularization and background field are also introduced in the cost functional.Based on the ideal experiments with artificial data,real two-dimensional wind fields are retrieved with low-altitude data from the Nanjing Doppler Radar Station,and the results are encouraging and promising.
文摘A variational method is developed to retrieve winds in the first step and then thermodynamic fields in the second step from Doppler radar observations. In the first step, wind fields are retrieved at two time levels: the beginning and ending times of the data assimilation period, simultaneously from two successive volume scans by using the weak form constraints provided by the mass continuity and vorticity equations. As the retrieved wind fields are expressed by Legendre polynomial expansions at the beginning and ending times, the time tendency term in the vorticity equation can be conveniently formulated, and the retrieved winds can be compared with the radar observed radial winds in the cost function at the precise time and position of each radar beam. In the second step, the perturbation pressure and temperature fields at the middle time are then derived from the retrieved wind fields and the velocity time tendency by using the weak form constraints provided by the three momentum equations. The merits of the new method are demonstrated by numerical experiments with simulated radar observations and compared with the traditional least squares methods which consider neither the precise observation times and positions nor the velocity time tendency. The new method is also applied to real radar data for a heavy rainfall event during the 2001 Meiyu season in China.
基金Supported by the National Key Research and Development Program of China (2019YFB2102003)National Natural Science Foundation of China (41805049 and 42075118)Postgraduate Research&Practice Innovation Program of Jiangsu Province (KYCX21_0979)。
文摘Continuous high spatial-resolution 10-day precipitation data are essential for crop growth services and phenological research.In this study,we first use the bidimensional empirical mode decomposition(BEMD)algorithm to decompose the digital elevation model(DEM)data and obtain high-frequency(OR3),intermediate-frequency(OR5),and low-frequency(OR8)margin terrains.Then,we propose a refined precipitation spatialization model,which uses ground-based meteorological observation data,integrated multi-satellite retrievals for global precipitation measurement(GPM IMERG)satellite precipitation products,DEM data,terrain decomposition data,prevailing precipitation direction(PPD)data,and other multisource data,to construct China's high-resolution 10-day precipitation data from2001 to 2018.The decomposition results show mountainous terrain from fine to coarse scales;and the influences of altitude,slope,and aspect on precipitation are better represented in the model after topography is decomposed.Moreover,terrain decomposition data can be added to the model simulation to improve the quality of the simulation product;the simulation quality of the model in summer is better than that in spring and autumn,and is relatively poor in winter;and OR5 and OR8 can be improved in the simulation,with better OR5 and OR8 dynamically selected.In addition,preprocessing the data before precipitation spatialization is particularly important.For example,adding 0.01to the 0 value of precipitation,multiplying the small value of precipitation less than 1 by 10,and performing the normal distributions transform(e.g.,Yeo–Johnson)on the data can improve the simulation quality.
基金Supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China (No. 90818007)
文摘The result merging for multiple Independent Resource Retrieval Systems (IRRSs), which is a key component in developing a meta-search engine, is a difficult problem that still not effectively solved. Most of the existing result merging methods, usually suffered a great influence from the usefulness weight of different IRRS results and overlap rate among them. In this paper, we proposed a scheme that being capable of coalescing and optimizing a group of existing multi-sources-retrieval merging results effectively by Discrete Particle Swarm Optimization (DPSO). The experimental results show that the DPSO, not only can overall outperform all the other result merging algorithms it employed, but also has better adaptability in application for unnecessarily taking into account different IRRS's usefulness weight and their overlap rate with respect to a concrete query. Compared to other result merging algorithms it employed, the DPSO's recognition precision can increase nearly 24.6%, while the precision standard deviation for different queries can decrease about 68.3%.
基金National Natural Science Foundation of China (40975067)973 Program (2009CB421500)+1 种基金CMA Grant GYHY200806029NASA grant NNX07AM97G in U.S.A
文摘In this paper we investigate the impact of the Atmospheric Infra-Red Sounder (AIRS) temperature retrievals on data assimilation and the resulting forecasts using the four-dimensional Local Ensemble Transform Kalman Filter (LETKF) data assimilation scheme and a reduced resolution version of the NCEP Global Forecast System (GFS).Our results indicate that the AIRS temperature retrievals have a significant and consistent positive impact in the Southern Hemispheric extratropics on both analyses and forecasts,which is found not only in the temperature field but also in other variables.In tropics and the Northern Hemispheric extratropics these impacts are smaller,but are still generally positive or neutral.
文摘 The calibration accuracy of High Resolution Infrared Radiation Sounder Mod. 2 (HIRS / 2) on NOAA-10 satellite is analyzed in this paper. The non-linear effect in the linear calibration curve induces a deviation of 1.5 degrees (k) of brightness temperature in the tenth channel (8.3 um, water vapor absorption) of the HIRS/2 and the non-linear effect affects the other channels to a different extent. Based on analyzing non- linearity in two-point calibration curve, a tri-point calibration equation is given. A numerical test of effects of the linear and non-linear calibration models on the accuracy of atmospheric temperature retrievals is carried out.
文摘The paper develops a passive sub-millimeter precipitation retrievals algorithm for Microwave Humidity and Temperature Sounder(MWHTS)onboard the Chinese Feng Yun 3C(FY-3C)satellite.The retrieval algorithm employs a number of neural network estimators trained and evaluated using the validated global reference physical model NCEP/WRF/ARTS,and works for seawater.NCEP data per 6 hours are downloaded to run the Weather Research and Forecast model WRF,and derive the typical precipitation data from the whole world.The Atmospheric Radiative Transfer Simulator ARTS is feasible for performing simulations of atmospheric radiative transfer.Rain detection algorithm has been used to generate level 2 products.Retrievals are reliable for surface precipitation rate higher than 0.1 mm/h at 15km resolution,which is in good agreement with those retrieved using the Precipitation retrieval algorithm version 1(ATMP-1)for Advanced Technology Microwave Sounder(ATMS)aboard Suomi NPP satellite.
基金This work was supported by a NASA grant(Grant No.NNX17AJ09G)to Vanderbilt University.
文摘This paper describes three algorithms for retrieving precipitation over oceans from brightness temperatures (TBs) of the Micro-Wave Humidity Sounder-2 (MHWS-2) onboard Fengyun-3C (FY-3C). For algorithm development, scattering- induced TB depressions (ΔTBs) of MWHS-2 at channels between 89 and 190 GHz were collocated to rain rates derived from measurements of the Global Precipitation Measurement’s Dual-frequency Precipitation Radar (DPR) for the year 2017. ΔTBs were calculated by subtracting simulated cloud-free TBs from bias-corrected observed TBs for each channel. These ΔTBs were then related to rain rates from DPR using (1) multilinear regression (MLR);the other two algorithms, (2) range searches (RS) and (3) nearest neighbor searches (NNS), are based on k-dimensional trees. While all three algorithms produce instantaneous rain rates, the RS algorithm also provides the probability of precipitation and can be understood in a Bayesian framework. Different combinations of MWHS-2 channels were evaluated using MLR and results suggest that adding 118 GHz improves retrieval performance. The optimal combination of channels excludes high-peaking channels but includes 118 GHz channels peaking in the mid and high troposphere. MWHS-2 observations from another year were used for validation purposes. The annual mean 2.5° × 2.5° gridded rain rates from the three algorithms are consistent with those from the Global Precipitation Climatology Project (GPCP) and DPR. Their correlation coefficients with GPCP are 0.96 and their biases are less than 5%. The correlation coefficients with DPR are slightly lower and the maximum bias is ~8%, partly due to the lower sampling density of DPR compared to that of MWHS-2.
