Most of the progress in the development of single scale mathematical and computational models for the study of infectious disease dynamics which now span over a century is build on a body of knowledge that has been de...Most of the progress in the development of single scale mathematical and computational models for the study of infectious disease dynamics which now span over a century is build on a body of knowledge that has been developed to address particular single scale descriptions of infectious disease dynamics based on understanding disease transmission process.Although this single scale understanding of infectious disease dynamics is now founded on a body of knowledge with a long history,dating back to over a century now,that knowledge has not yet been formalized into a scientific theory.In this article,we formalize this accumulated body of knowledge into a scientific theory called the transmission mechanism theory of disease dynamics which states that at every scale of organization of an infectious disease system,disease dynamics is determined by transmission as the main dynamic disease process.Therefore,the transmission mechanism theory of disease dynamics can be seen as formalizing knowledge that has been inherent in the study of infectious disease dynamics using single scale mathematical and computational models for over a century now.The objective of this article is to summarize this existing knowledge about single scale modelling of infectious dynamics by means of a scientific theory called the transmission mechanism theory of disease dynamics and highlight its aims,assumptions and limitations.展开更多
基金financial support from South Africa National Research Foundation(NRF)Grant No.IPRR(UID 132608).
文摘Most of the progress in the development of single scale mathematical and computational models for the study of infectious disease dynamics which now span over a century is build on a body of knowledge that has been developed to address particular single scale descriptions of infectious disease dynamics based on understanding disease transmission process.Although this single scale understanding of infectious disease dynamics is now founded on a body of knowledge with a long history,dating back to over a century now,that knowledge has not yet been formalized into a scientific theory.In this article,we formalize this accumulated body of knowledge into a scientific theory called the transmission mechanism theory of disease dynamics which states that at every scale of organization of an infectious disease system,disease dynamics is determined by transmission as the main dynamic disease process.Therefore,the transmission mechanism theory of disease dynamics can be seen as formalizing knowledge that has been inherent in the study of infectious disease dynamics using single scale mathematical and computational models for over a century now.The objective of this article is to summarize this existing knowledge about single scale modelling of infectious dynamics by means of a scientific theory called the transmission mechanism theory of disease dynamics and highlight its aims,assumptions and limitations.
文摘目的 分离培养体外稳定传代的原代HIV-1耐药毒株,观察失去药物压力下,耐药毒株的体外生长以及主要耐药突变的演化趋势.方法 采集15例服用拉米夫定＋司他夫定＋萘韦拉平（3TC＋D4T＋NVP）的HIV-1感染者的外周血单个核细胞（PBMC）,用体外共培养的方法从中分离原代HIV-1毒株;RT-PCR扩增耐药毒株历代培养上清的HIV-1 pol区基因并测序,在Stanford HIV Drug Resistance Database数据库进行耐药性分析.结果 15例患者中病毒载量〉1000拷贝/ml的有8例,均成功分离出稳定传代的原代毒株,其中2株为耐药毒株,所携带的主要耐药突变分别是K103N/K238T和M184V/K103N/Y181C/H221Y,分别对NVP和3TC/NVP高度耐药;无药物压力的体外培养过程中,M184V、K103N、Y181C和H221Y等耐药突变可以稳定传代,但是K238T发生了回复突变.结论 分离出2株稳定传代的HIV-1耐药毒株,无药物压力情况下,携带K103N突变的毒株具有较好的复制适应性,可稳定传代;携带M184V和K103N/Y181C/H221Y的毒株也能够稳定复制;本研究中发现K238T耐药突变在失去药物的条件下稳定性差,提示该位点易发生回复突变.
