This paper discusses how the positive and negative predictive values vary withcontrary variations of sensitivity and specificity at a certain disease prevalence.Let thesensitiviy be Se and the specificity be Sp at the...This paper discusses how the positive and negative predictive values vary withcontrary variations of sensitivity and specificity at a certain disease prevalence.Let thesensitiviy be Se and the specificity be Sp at the initial cutoff point,correspondingly Se’and Sp’ at a new cutoff point:A=Se’/Se:B-(1-Sp’)/(1-Sp):C=Sp’/Sp;D=(I-Se’)/(I-Se).Moving the cutoff point from the initial point to the new point,if the contrary variationsof the sensitivity and specificity satisfy the inequality A】B,then the positive predictivevalue increases,otherwise it decreases or remains unchanged.If the variations satisfy theinequality C】D,then the negative prcdictive value increases,otherwise it decreasses or re-mains unchanged.展开更多
文摘This paper discusses how the positive and negative predictive values vary withcontrary variations of sensitivity and specificity at a certain disease prevalence.Let thesensitiviy be Se and the specificity be Sp at the initial cutoff point,correspondingly Se’and Sp’ at a new cutoff point:A=Se’/Se:B-(1-Sp’)/(1-Sp):C=Sp’/Sp;D=(I-Se’)/(I-Se).Moving the cutoff point from the initial point to the new point,if the contrary variationsof the sensitivity and specificity satisfy the inequality A】B,then the positive predictivevalue increases,otherwise it decreases or remains unchanged.If the variations satisfy theinequality C】D,then the negative prcdictive value increases,otherwise it decreasses or re-mains unchanged.