Climate condition over a region is mostly determined by the changes in precipitation,temperature and evaporation as the key climate variables.The countries belong to the Belt and Road region are subjected to face stro...Climate condition over a region is mostly determined by the changes in precipitation,temperature and evaporation as the key climate variables.The countries belong to the Belt and Road region are subjected to face strong changes in future climate.In this paper,we used five global climate models from the latest Sixth Phase of Coupled Model Intercomparison Project(CMIP6)to evaluate future climate changes under seven combined scenarios of the Shared Socioeconomic Pathways and the Representative Concentration Pathways(SSP1-1.9,SSP1-2.6,SSP2-4.5,SSP3-7.0,SSP4-3.4,SSP4-6.0 and SSP5-8.5)across the Belt and Road region.This study focuses on undertaking a climate change assessment in terms of future changes in precipitation,air temperature and actual evaporation for the three distinct periods as near-term period(2021−2040),mid-term period(2041−2060)and long-term period(2081−2100).To discern spatial structure,Köppen−Geiger Climate Classification method has been used in this study.In relative terms,the results indicate an evidence of increasing tendency in all the studied variables,where significant changes are anticipated mostly in the long-term period.In addition to,though it is projected to increase under all the SSP-RCP scenarios,greater increases will be happened under higher emission scenarios(SSP5-8.5 and SSP3-7.0).For temperature,robust increases in annual mean temperature is found to be 5.2°C under SSP3-7.0,and highest 7.0°C under SSP5-8.5 scenario relative to present day.The northern part especially Cold and Polar region will be even more warmer(+6.1°C)in the long-term(2081−2100)period under SSP5-8.5.Similarly,at the end of the twenty-first century,annual mean precipitation is inclined to increase largely with a rate of 2.1%and 2.8%per decade under SSP3-7.0 and SSP5-8.5 respectively.Spatial distribution demonstrates that the largest precipitation increases are to be pronounced in the Polar and Arid regions.Precipitation is projected to increase with response to increasing warming most of the regions.F展开更多
With the rising adoption of blockchain technology due to its decentralized,secure,and transparent features,ensuring its resilience against network threats,especially Distributed Denial of Service(DDoS)attacks,is cruci...With the rising adoption of blockchain technology due to its decentralized,secure,and transparent features,ensuring its resilience against network threats,especially Distributed Denial of Service(DDoS)attacks,is crucial.This research addresses the vulnerability of blockchain systems to DDoS assaults,which undermine their core decentralized characteristics,posing threats to their security and reliability.We have devised a novel adaptive integration technique for the detection and identification of varied DDoS attacks.To ensure the robustness and validity of our approach,a dataset amalgamating multiple DDoS attacks was derived from the CIC-DDoS2019 dataset.Using this,our methodology was applied to detect DDoS threats and further classify them into seven unique attack subcategories.To cope with the broad spectrum of DDoS attack variations,a holistic framework has been pro-posed that seamlessly integrates five machine learning models:Gate Recurrent Unit(GRU),Convolutional Neural Networks(CNN),Long-Short Term Memory(LSTM),Deep Neural Networks(DNN),and Support Vector Machine(SVM).The innovative aspect of our framework is the introduction of a dynamic weight adjustment mechanism,enhancing the system’s adaptability.Experimental results substantiate the superiority of our ensemble method in comparison to singular models across various evaluation metrics.The framework displayed remarkable accuracy,with rates reaching 99.71%for detection and 87.62%for classification tasks.By developing a comprehensive and adaptive methodology,this study paves the way for strengthening the defense mechanisms of blockchain systems against DDoS attacks.The ensemble approach,combined with the dynamic weight adjustment,offers promise in ensuring blockchain’s enduring security and trustworthiness.展开更多
The objective of this work is to formulate and demonstrate the methodology of multi-models for improving the performance of existing advanced control strategies. Multiple models are used to capture the nonlinear proce...The objective of this work is to formulate and demonstrate the methodology of multi-models for improving the performance of existing advanced control strategies. Multiple models are used to capture the nonlinear process dynamics relating to gain and time constant variations. The multi-model strategy was implemented on several controllers such as Smith-Predictor using PI （Proportional-lntegral） and GPC （Generalized Predictive Control）. Computer simulations and experiments were conducted on several nonlinear systems and compared to the original form of these controllers. The enhanced approach was tested on controlling the screw speed of an injection molding machine and temperature of a steel cylinder.展开更多
A brief review of the importance of simulation-based engineering and science(including social sciences)is followed by a historic perspective of model-based simulation.Section 2 is on declarative modeling of component ...A brief review of the importance of simulation-based engineering and science(including social sciences)is followed by a historic perspective of model-based simulation.Section 2 is on declarative modeling of component systems as well as its advantages for self-documentation and for computer-aided checks and coupling.As an example for declarative modeling,General System Theory(GEST)implementor is given.In Sec.3,basic concepts for coupling of component models,and rules for computer-assisted coupling specification are explained.Section 4 is devoted to possible computerized checks in couplings of declarative models such as:(1)automatic unit checking to avoid meaning-less input/output matching at the time of coupling specification,(2)automatic threshold checking to provide warnings and/or to avoid disasters,and(3)automatic unit conversion for convenience of using library models.Section 5 is about several layers of nested couplings for modeling systems of systems.In Sec.6,two types of variable couplings are discussed:(1)couplings with variable connections(to allow input/output relations of models to depend on time or state conditions)and(2)coupling with variable component models(to allow component(or coupled)models to be switched based on time or state conditions).Section 7 is on the use of multimodels as component models in couplings.Section 8 is on types of inputs and their use in couplings as well as on exter-nal inputs to simulation studies.In Sec.9,conclusions and future work for complex systems are outlined.Especially,the values of simulation systems engineering as well as understanding and avoidance of misunderstanding in cognitive and emotive simulations are stressed.Appendix A is a list of almost 50 types of couplings and Appendix B lists over 50 terms related with couplings in modeling and simulation.To show the richness of“input”concept which is important in specification of input/output relations of component models,Appendix C lists almost 150 types of inputs.Information shared in this article may be use展开更多
基金Supported by National Natural Science Foundation of China （61164013, U1334211, 51174091）, the Key Program of China Ministry of Railway （2011Z002-D）, and Natural Science Foundation of Jiangxi Province （20122BAB201021）
基金This study was cooperatively funded by National Key Research and Development Program of ChinaMOST(2018FY100501)The authors are thankful for the support by the Postgraduate Research&Practice Innovation Program of Jiangsu Province(KYCX20_0957)High-level Talent Recruitment Program of the Nanjing University of Information Science and Technology(NUIST),and the Guest Professor Program of the Xinjiang Institute of Ecology and Geography,CAS.The authors would like to thank the World Climate Research Program's working group on coupled modeling and European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts for producing and making available their model output.
文摘Climate condition over a region is mostly determined by the changes in precipitation,temperature and evaporation as the key climate variables.The countries belong to the Belt and Road region are subjected to face strong changes in future climate.In this paper,we used five global climate models from the latest Sixth Phase of Coupled Model Intercomparison Project(CMIP6)to evaluate future climate changes under seven combined scenarios of the Shared Socioeconomic Pathways and the Representative Concentration Pathways(SSP1-1.9,SSP1-2.6,SSP2-4.5,SSP3-7.0,SSP4-3.4,SSP4-6.0 and SSP5-8.5)across the Belt and Road region.This study focuses on undertaking a climate change assessment in terms of future changes in precipitation,air temperature and actual evaporation for the three distinct periods as near-term period(2021−2040),mid-term period(2041−2060)and long-term period(2081−2100).To discern spatial structure,Köppen−Geiger Climate Classification method has been used in this study.In relative terms,the results indicate an evidence of increasing tendency in all the studied variables,where significant changes are anticipated mostly in the long-term period.In addition to,though it is projected to increase under all the SSP-RCP scenarios,greater increases will be happened under higher emission scenarios(SSP5-8.5 and SSP3-7.0).For temperature,robust increases in annual mean temperature is found to be 5.2°C under SSP3-7.0,and highest 7.0°C under SSP5-8.5 scenario relative to present day.The northern part especially Cold and Polar region will be even more warmer(+6.1°C)in the long-term(2081−2100)period under SSP5-8.5.Similarly,at the end of the twenty-first century,annual mean precipitation is inclined to increase largely with a rate of 2.1%and 2.8%per decade under SSP3-7.0 and SSP5-8.5 respectively.Spatial distribution demonstrates that the largest precipitation increases are to be pronounced in the Polar and Arid regions.Precipitation is projected to increase with response to increasing warming most of the regions.F
基金supported by National Natural Science Foundation of China(Grant Nos.62162022,62162024)Hainan Provincial Natural Science Foundation of China(Grant Nos.723QN238,621RC612).
文摘With the rising adoption of blockchain technology due to its decentralized,secure,and transparent features,ensuring its resilience against network threats,especially Distributed Denial of Service(DDoS)attacks,is crucial.This research addresses the vulnerability of blockchain systems to DDoS assaults,which undermine their core decentralized characteristics,posing threats to their security and reliability.We have devised a novel adaptive integration technique for the detection and identification of varied DDoS attacks.To ensure the robustness and validity of our approach,a dataset amalgamating multiple DDoS attacks was derived from the CIC-DDoS2019 dataset.Using this,our methodology was applied to detect DDoS threats and further classify them into seven unique attack subcategories.To cope with the broad spectrum of DDoS attack variations,a holistic framework has been pro-posed that seamlessly integrates five machine learning models:Gate Recurrent Unit(GRU),Convolutional Neural Networks(CNN),Long-Short Term Memory(LSTM),Deep Neural Networks(DNN),and Support Vector Machine(SVM).The innovative aspect of our framework is the introduction of a dynamic weight adjustment mechanism,enhancing the system’s adaptability.Experimental results substantiate the superiority of our ensemble method in comparison to singular models across various evaluation metrics.The framework displayed remarkable accuracy,with rates reaching 99.71%for detection and 87.62%for classification tasks.By developing a comprehensive and adaptive methodology,this study paves the way for strengthening the defense mechanisms of blockchain systems against DDoS attacks.The ensemble approach,combined with the dynamic weight adjustment,offers promise in ensuring blockchain’s enduring security and trustworthiness.
文摘The objective of this work is to formulate and demonstrate the methodology of multi-models for improving the performance of existing advanced control strategies. Multiple models are used to capture the nonlinear process dynamics relating to gain and time constant variations. The multi-model strategy was implemented on several controllers such as Smith-Predictor using PI （Proportional-lntegral） and GPC （Generalized Predictive Control）. Computer simulations and experiments were conducted on several nonlinear systems and compared to the original form of these controllers. The enhanced approach was tested on controlling the screw speed of an injection molding machine and temperature of a steel cylinder.
文摘A brief review of the importance of simulation-based engineering and science(including social sciences)is followed by a historic perspective of model-based simulation.Section 2 is on declarative modeling of component systems as well as its advantages for self-documentation and for computer-aided checks and coupling.As an example for declarative modeling,General System Theory(GEST)implementor is given.In Sec.3,basic concepts for coupling of component models,and rules for computer-assisted coupling specification are explained.Section 4 is devoted to possible computerized checks in couplings of declarative models such as:(1)automatic unit checking to avoid meaning-less input/output matching at the time of coupling specification,(2)automatic threshold checking to provide warnings and/or to avoid disasters,and(3)automatic unit conversion for convenience of using library models.Section 5 is about several layers of nested couplings for modeling systems of systems.In Sec.6,two types of variable couplings are discussed:(1)couplings with variable connections(to allow input/output relations of models to depend on time or state conditions)and(2)coupling with variable component models(to allow component(or coupled)models to be switched based on time or state conditions).Section 7 is on the use of multimodels as component models in couplings.Section 8 is on types of inputs and their use in couplings as well as on exter-nal inputs to simulation studies.In Sec.9,conclusions and future work for complex systems are outlined.Especially,the values of simulation systems engineering as well as understanding and avoidance of misunderstanding in cognitive and emotive simulations are stressed.Appendix A is a list of almost 50 types of couplings and Appendix B lists over 50 terms related with couplings in modeling and simulation.To show the richness of“input”concept which is important in specification of input/output relations of component models,Appendix C lists almost 150 types of inputs.Information shared in this article may be use
