As a virtual representation of a specific physical asset,the digital twin has great potential for realizing the life cycle maintenance management of a dynamic system.Nevertheless,the dynamic stress concentration is ge...As a virtual representation of a specific physical asset,the digital twin has great potential for realizing the life cycle maintenance management of a dynamic system.Nevertheless,the dynamic stress concentration is generated since the state of the dynamic system changes over time.This generation of dynamic stress concentration has hindered the exploitation of the digital twin to reflect the dynamic behaviors of systems in practical engineering applications.In this context,this paper is interested in achieving real-time performance prediction of dynamic systems by developing a new digital twin framework that includes simulation data,measuring data,multi-level fusion modeling(M-LFM),visualization techniques,and fatigue analysis.To leverage its capacity,the M-LFM method combines the advantages of different surrogate models and integrates simulation and measured data,which can improve the prediction accuracy of dynamic stress concentration.A telescopic boom crane is used as an example to verify the proposed framework for stress prediction and fatigue analysis of the complex dynamic system.The results show that the M-LFM method has better performance in the computational efficiency and calculation accuracy of the stress prediction compared with the polynomial response surface method and the kriging method.In other words,the proposed framework can leverage the advantages of digital twins in a dynamic system:damage monitoring,safety assessment,and other aspects and then promote the development of digital twins in industrial fields.展开更多
Massive rural-to-urban migration in China is consequential for political trust: rural-to-urban migrants have been found to hold lower levels of trust in local government than their rural peers who choose to stay in th...Massive rural-to-urban migration in China is consequential for political trust: rural-to-urban migrants have been found to hold lower levels of trust in local government than their rural peers who choose to stay in the countryside (mean 4.92 and 6.34 out of 10, respectively, p < 0.001). This article explores why migrants have a certain level of political trust in their county-level government. Using data of rural-to-urban migrants from the China Family Panel Survey, this study performs a hierarchical linear modeling (HLM) to unpack the multi-level explanatory factors of rural-to-urban migrants’ political trust. Findings show that the individual-level socio-economic characteristics and perceptions of government performance (Level-1), the neighborhood-level characteristics-the physical and social status and environment of neighborhoods (Level-2), and the objective macroeconomic performance of county-level government (Level-3), work together to explain migrants’ trust levels. These results suggest that considering the effects of neighborhood-level factors on rural-to-urban migrants’ political trust merits policy and public management attention in rapidly urbanizing countries.展开更多
基金supported by the National Key R&D Program of China(Grant No.2018YFB1700704)the National Natural Science Foundation of China(Grant No.52075068).
文摘As a virtual representation of a specific physical asset,the digital twin has great potential for realizing the life cycle maintenance management of a dynamic system.Nevertheless,the dynamic stress concentration is generated since the state of the dynamic system changes over time.This generation of dynamic stress concentration has hindered the exploitation of the digital twin to reflect the dynamic behaviors of systems in practical engineering applications.In this context,this paper is interested in achieving real-time performance prediction of dynamic systems by developing a new digital twin framework that includes simulation data,measuring data,multi-level fusion modeling(M-LFM),visualization techniques,and fatigue analysis.To leverage its capacity,the M-LFM method combines the advantages of different surrogate models and integrates simulation and measured data,which can improve the prediction accuracy of dynamic stress concentration.A telescopic boom crane is used as an example to verify the proposed framework for stress prediction and fatigue analysis of the complex dynamic system.The results show that the M-LFM method has better performance in the computational efficiency and calculation accuracy of the stress prediction compared with the polynomial response surface method and the kriging method.In other words,the proposed framework can leverage the advantages of digital twins in a dynamic system:damage monitoring,safety assessment,and other aspects and then promote the development of digital twins in industrial fields.
文摘Massive rural-to-urban migration in China is consequential for political trust: rural-to-urban migrants have been found to hold lower levels of trust in local government than their rural peers who choose to stay in the countryside (mean 4.92 and 6.34 out of 10, respectively, p < 0.001). This article explores why migrants have a certain level of political trust in their county-level government. Using data of rural-to-urban migrants from the China Family Panel Survey, this study performs a hierarchical linear modeling (HLM) to unpack the multi-level explanatory factors of rural-to-urban migrants’ political trust. Findings show that the individual-level socio-economic characteristics and perceptions of government performance (Level-1), the neighborhood-level characteristics-the physical and social status and environment of neighborhoods (Level-2), and the objective macroeconomic performance of county-level government (Level-3), work together to explain migrants’ trust levels. These results suggest that considering the effects of neighborhood-level factors on rural-to-urban migrants’ political trust merits policy and public management attention in rapidly urbanizing countries.
