武器装备体系(weapon system of systems,WSoS)能力规划是武器装备体系研究的重要内容.履行使命任务时,可出动的兵力以及携行可支撑能力的武器装备数量是有限的,对此,提出一种基于效能价值的武器装备体系能力规划方法.统筹考虑作战中各...武器装备体系(weapon system of systems,WSoS)能力规划是武器装备体系研究的重要内容.履行使命任务时,可出动的兵力以及携行可支撑能力的武器装备数量是有限的,对此,提出一种基于效能价值的武器装备体系能力规划方法.统筹考虑作战中各项任务能力需求,结合支撑不同能力的武器装备与相应装备数量之间的关系,快速给出不同规模部队的能力规划方案.以使命任务为牵引,分析能力需求,建立归一化作战能力效能模型;基于前景理论(prospect theory),给出考虑风险因素的作战能力效能价值函数;以装备单位数量为约束变量,构建基于效能价值的体系能力规划模型,对其求解可得出使体系效能价值最大的武器装备能力规划方案.最后,以武警部队担负的反恐处突作战任务为例,验证所提出方法的可行性和有效性.展开更多
Effectiveness evaluation of the joint operation system is an important basis for the demonstration and development of weapon equipment.With the consideration that existing models of system effectiveness evaluation sel...Effectiveness evaluation of the joint operation system is an important basis for the demonstration and development of weapon equipment.With the consideration that existing models of system effectiveness evaluation seldom describe the structural relationship among equipment clearly as well as reflect the dynamic,the analog-to-digital converter-graphical evaluation and review technique(ADC-GERT)network parameter estimation model is proposed based on the ADC model and the joint operation system structure.Firstly,analysis of the joint operation system structure and operation process is conducted to build the GERT network,where equipment subsystems are nodes and activities are directed arches.Then the mission effectiveness of equipment subsystems is calculated by the ADC model.The probability transfer parameters are modified by the mission effectiveness of equipment subsystems based on the Bayesian theorem,with the ADC-GERT network parameter estimation model constructed.Finally,a case study is used to validate the efficiency and dynamic of the ADC-GERT network parameter estimation model.展开更多
文摘武器装备体系(weapon system of systems,WSoS)能力规划是武器装备体系研究的重要内容.履行使命任务时,可出动的兵力以及携行可支撑能力的武器装备数量是有限的,对此,提出一种基于效能价值的武器装备体系能力规划方法.统筹考虑作战中各项任务能力需求,结合支撑不同能力的武器装备与相应装备数量之间的关系,快速给出不同规模部队的能力规划方案.以使命任务为牵引,分析能力需求,建立归一化作战能力效能模型;基于前景理论(prospect theory),给出考虑风险因素的作战能力效能价值函数;以装备单位数量为约束变量,构建基于效能价值的体系能力规划模型,对其求解可得出使体系效能价值最大的武器装备能力规划方案.最后,以武警部队担负的反恐处突作战任务为例,验证所提出方法的可行性和有效性.
基金supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China(72071111,71801127,71671091)the NSFC and the UK Royal Society joint project(71811530338)+2 种基金the Special Postdoctoral Fund of China(2019TQ0150)the Fundamental Research Funds for the Central Universities of China(NC2019003)the Intelligence Introduction Base of the Ministry of Science and Technology(G20190010178)。
文摘Effectiveness evaluation of the joint operation system is an important basis for the demonstration and development of weapon equipment.With the consideration that existing models of system effectiveness evaluation seldom describe the structural relationship among equipment clearly as well as reflect the dynamic,the analog-to-digital converter-graphical evaluation and review technique(ADC-GERT)network parameter estimation model is proposed based on the ADC model and the joint operation system structure.Firstly,analysis of the joint operation system structure and operation process is conducted to build the GERT network,where equipment subsystems are nodes and activities are directed arches.Then the mission effectiveness of equipment subsystems is calculated by the ADC model.The probability transfer parameters are modified by the mission effectiveness of equipment subsystems based on the Bayesian theorem,with the ADC-GERT network parameter estimation model constructed.Finally,a case study is used to validate the efficiency and dynamic of the ADC-GERT network parameter estimation model.
