Probabilistic load forecasting(PLF)is able to present the uncertainty information of the future loads.It is the basis of stochastic power system planning and operation.Recent works on PLF mainly focus on how to develo...Probabilistic load forecasting(PLF)is able to present the uncertainty information of the future loads.It is the basis of stochastic power system planning and operation.Recent works on PLF mainly focus on how to develop and combine forecasting models,while the feature selection issue has not been thoroughly investigated for PLF.This paper fills the gap by proposing a feature selection method for PLF via sparse L1-norm penalized quantile regression.It can be viewed as an extension from point forecasting-based feature selection to probabilistic forecasting-based feature selection.Since both the number of training samples and the number of features to be selected are very large,the feature selection process is casted as a large-scale convex optimization problem.The alternating direction method of multipliers is applied to solve the problem in an efficient manner.We conduct case studies on the open datasets of ten areas.Numerical results show that the proposed feature selection method can improve the performance of the probabilistic forecasting and outperforms traditional least absolute shrinkage and selection operator method.展开更多
现有信源定位方法大多假定信源是远场源或近场源,而实际定位系统中往往存在远场源和近场源共存的情况.为实现远、近场源分离及高精度信源定位,本文在稀疏信号重构理论框架下提出了一种新的远近场混合源定位算法.该算法利用阵列协方差矩...现有信源定位方法大多假定信源是远场源或近场源,而实际定位系统中往往存在远场源和近场源共存的情况.为实现远、近场源分离及高精度信源定位,本文在稀疏信号重构理论框架下提出了一种新的远近场混合源定位算法.该算法利用阵列协方差矩阵反对角线元素和重加权l_1范数惩罚获得所有信源的到达角(Direction Of Arrival,DOA)估计.在DOA估计的基础上,根据远场与近场源距离参数位于不同区间的特点利用一维搜索实现远、近场源分离以及近场源距离参数的估计.从理论角度分析了重加权l_1范数惩罚算法的重构性能.本文所提算法不仅同时适用于高斯和非高斯信号,而且无需多维搜索和参数配对,也无需信源数的先验信息,同时还可以获得较好的定位精度.计算机仿真结果验证了所提算法的有效性.展开更多
基金supported by National Key R&D Program of China(No.2016YFB0900100).
文摘Probabilistic load forecasting(PLF)is able to present the uncertainty information of the future loads.It is the basis of stochastic power system planning and operation.Recent works on PLF mainly focus on how to develop and combine forecasting models,while the feature selection issue has not been thoroughly investigated for PLF.This paper fills the gap by proposing a feature selection method for PLF via sparse L1-norm penalized quantile regression.It can be viewed as an extension from point forecasting-based feature selection to probabilistic forecasting-based feature selection.Since both the number of training samples and the number of features to be selected are very large,the feature selection process is casted as a large-scale convex optimization problem.The alternating direction method of multipliers is applied to solve the problem in an efficient manner.We conduct case studies on the open datasets of ten areas.Numerical results show that the proposed feature selection method can improve the performance of the probabilistic forecasting and outperforms traditional least absolute shrinkage and selection operator method.
文摘现有信源定位方法大多假定信源是远场源或近场源,而实际定位系统中往往存在远场源和近场源共存的情况.为实现远、近场源分离及高精度信源定位,本文在稀疏信号重构理论框架下提出了一种新的远近场混合源定位算法.该算法利用阵列协方差矩阵反对角线元素和重加权l_1范数惩罚获得所有信源的到达角(Direction Of Arrival,DOA)估计.在DOA估计的基础上,根据远场与近场源距离参数位于不同区间的特点利用一维搜索实现远、近场源分离以及近场源距离参数的估计.从理论角度分析了重加权l_1范数惩罚算法的重构性能.本文所提算法不仅同时适用于高斯和非高斯信号,而且无需多维搜索和参数配对,也无需信源数的先验信息,同时还可以获得较好的定位精度.计算机仿真结果验证了所提算法的有效性.
