Self-organized criticality(SOC) of forest fires in China from 1950 to 1989 is studied. The stability, scale-invariant character of SOC and external effects on SOC of forest fires in China are analyzed in detail. Fores...Self-organized criticality(SOC) of forest fires in China from 1950 to 1989 is studied. The stability, scale-invariant character of SOC and external effects on SOC of forest fires in China are analyzed in detail. Forest-fire cellular automata model is a typical model for the research of SOC. Based on the traditional forest-fire model, an improved model, in which effects of tree species, meteorological conditions and human efforts on forest fires are considered, is introduced. Actual forest fire data in China are compared with simulation results of the two models. It is shown that forest fire data in China have SOC behavior and simulation results of the improved model accord better with actual forest fire data than those of the traditional model.展开更多
The influences of finite-size effects on the self-organized criticality (SOC) of the traditional forest-fire model are investigated by means of a new method. The forest size is originally set to a value much greater t...The influences of finite-size effects on the self-organized criticality (SOC) of the traditional forest-fire model are investigated by means of a new method. The forest size is originally set to a value much greater than the correla-tion length of the forest. Finite-size effects are then studied by equally dividing the forest into more and more separate subsystems on condition that the forest size, igniting prob-ability and planting probability are invariant. A new phe-nomenon, i.e. the finite-size effects with one-side frequency peak, is observed. The boundary between two neighboring subsystems can be regarded as a firebreak. The concept of ’separation ability’ is introduced to represent the probability for the firebreak to block off the fire successfully. Restrain-ing effects of separation ability on finite-size effects are ana-lyzed. Finite-size effects and separation ability, as well as their relations are found to have practical importance to the actual forest-fire protection.展开更多
基金This work was supported by theSpecial Fund for the Major National Basic Research Projects in China the National Basic Research Climbing Project and the National Natural Science Foundation of China (Grant Nos. 59936140 and 19932020).
文摘Self-organized criticality(SOC) of forest fires in China from 1950 to 1989 is studied. The stability, scale-invariant character of SOC and external effects on SOC of forest fires in China are analyzed in detail. Forest-fire cellular automata model is a typical model for the research of SOC. Based on the traditional forest-fire model, an improved model, in which effects of tree species, meteorological conditions and human efforts on forest fires are considered, is introduced. Actual forest fire data in China are compared with simulation results of the two models. It is shown that forest fire data in China have SOC behavior and simulation results of the improved model accord better with actual forest fire data than those of the traditional model.
基金This work was supported by the National Basic Research "973" Project in China the National Natural Science Foundation in China (Grant Nos. 59876039, 59936140 and 39970621).
文摘The influences of finite-size effects on the self-organized criticality (SOC) of the traditional forest-fire model are investigated by means of a new method. The forest size is originally set to a value much greater than the correla-tion length of the forest. Finite-size effects are then studied by equally dividing the forest into more and more separate subsystems on condition that the forest size, igniting prob-ability and planting probability are invariant. A new phe-nomenon, i.e. the finite-size effects with one-side frequency peak, is observed. The boundary between two neighboring subsystems can be regarded as a firebreak. The concept of ’separation ability’ is introduced to represent the probability for the firebreak to block off the fire successfully. Restrain-ing effects of separation ability on finite-size effects are ana-lyzed. Finite-size effects and separation ability, as well as their relations are found to have practical importance to the actual forest-fire protection.