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On the Decadal and Interdecadal Variability in the Pacific Ocean 被引量:7
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作者 杨海军 张琼 《Advances in Atmospheric Sciences》 SCIE CAS CSCD 2003年第2期173-184,共12页
The Pacific decadal and interdecadal oscillation (PDO) has been extensively explored in recent decades because of its profound impact on global climate systems. It is a long-lived ENSO-like pattern of Pacific climate ... The Pacific decadal and interdecadal oscillation (PDO) has been extensively explored in recent decades because of its profound impact on global climate systems. It is a long-lived ENSO-like pattern of Pacific climate variability with a period of 10-30 years. The general picture is that the anomalously warm (cool) SSTs in the central North Pacific are always accompanied by the anomalously cool (warm) SSTs along the west coast of America and in the central east tropical Pacific with comparable amplitude. In general, there are two classes of opinions on the origin of this low-frequency climate variability, one thinking that it results from deterministically coupled modes of the Pacific ocean-atmosphere system, and the other, from stochastic atmospheric forcing. The deterministic origin emphasizes that the internal physical processes in an air-sea system can provide a positive feedback mechanism to amplify an initial perturbation, and a negative feedback mechanism to reverse the phase of oscillation. The dynamic evolution of ocean circulation determines the timescale of the oscillation. The stochastic origin, however, emphasizes that because the atmospheric activities can be thought as having no preferred timescale and are associated with an essentially white noise spectrum, tne ocean response can manifest a red peak in a certain low frequency range with a decadal to interdecadal timescale. In this paper, the authors try to systematically understand the state of the art of observational, theoretical and numerical studies on the PDO and hope to provide a useful background reference for current research. 展开更多
关键词 climate system Pacific decadal oscillation deterministic origin stochastic origin
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从系统辩证学观点看混沌学的后现代特征 被引量:6
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作者 魏屹东 《系统辩证学学报》 2000年第2期27-28,33,共3页
混沌学这门被称为20世纪继量子力学和相对论之后的第三次科学革命的崭新学科,与几乎同时出现的后现代主义这种新文化思潮有着微妙的联系。运用系统辩证学观点分析了混优学所具有的后现代特征,认为这些特征表现为:确定性系统的奇异性... 混沌学这门被称为20世纪继量子力学和相对论之后的第三次科学革命的崭新学科,与几乎同时出现的后现代主义这种新文化思潮有着微妙的联系。运用系统辩证学观点分析了混优学所具有的后现代特征,认为这些特征表现为:确定性系统的奇异性;多极性的协同整合性;思维方式的整体化;方法论的综合化。 展开更多
关键词 混沌学 内随机性 系统辩证学 后现代特征
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确定性安全评价方法在轨道系统中的应用与思考
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作者 徐洋 《铁道建筑技术》 2023年第5期118-121,共4页
为了响应“一带一路”和“走出去”的国家战略,越来越多的中国企业参与到了海外的铁路和轨道交通项目的建设中。这些项目一般都要求参建方开展针对可靠性、可用性、可维护性和安全性要求的系统保障工作,但中国企业普遍缺乏这方面经验,... 为了响应“一带一路”和“走出去”的国家战略,越来越多的中国企业参与到了海外的铁路和轨道交通项目的建设中。这些项目一般都要求参建方开展针对可靠性、可用性、可维护性和安全性要求的系统保障工作,但中国企业普遍缺乏这方面经验,这一问题已经引起重视,通过确定性安全评价(Deterministic Safety Assessment,简称DSA)方法开展安全性保障就是其中一项重要工作。依托新加坡850E项目的实践经验,介绍了DSA方法的起源、发展和应用,并梳理出适用于轨道系统(含第三轨)的确定性安全原则,归纳了验证证据的接收准则。同时,还对工作执行过程中遇到的问题和注意事项进行总结,为国内专业人员参与其他海外项目提供技术支撑。 展开更多
关键词 系统保障 确定性 安全评价 轨道系统
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确定性随机竞争系统的竞争力演化及其分布 被引量:3
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作者 黄传峰 储俊 +1 位作者 张炎治 聂锐 《湖南科技大学学报(自然科学版)》 CAS 北大核心 2010年第2期67-71,共5页
利用复杂系统结构分析的方法,研究了一类确定性系统的一般随机竞争演化模型.研究发现,系统中节点的竞争力将随系统演化时间而呈指数变动,并根据节点竞争力随机增长的出现概率而存在3种不同长期趋势,且短期中系统节点的竞争力分布保持基... 利用复杂系统结构分析的方法,研究了一类确定性系统的一般随机竞争演化模型.研究发现,系统中节点的竞争力将随系统演化时间而呈指数变动,并根据节点竞争力随机增长的出现概率而存在3种不同长期趋势,且短期中系统节点的竞争力分布保持基本形态不变;同时,系统将在长期中出现竞争态势不变、均匀竞争与崩溃3种可能的状态.该模型有助于解释与预测各类无退出机制的竞争系统的演化过程与状态特征. 展开更多
关键词 确定性系统 随机竞争 竞争力 分布 演化
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Exploiting Virtual Elasticity of Production Systems to Respect OTD—Part 3: Basic Considerations for Modelling CPPS Characterized by Non-Ergodic Order Entry and Non-Deterministic Product-Mix for Fully Flexible Addressable Workstations
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作者 Bruno G. Rüttimann Martin T. Stöckli 《American Journal of Operations Research》 2022年第2期19-63,共45页
The recently experienced hype concerning the so-called “4<sup>th</sup> Industrial Revolution” of production systems has prompted several papers of various subtopics regarding Cyber-Phdysical Production S... The recently experienced hype concerning the so-called “4<sup>th</sup> Industrial Revolution” of production systems has prompted several papers of various subtopics regarding Cyber-Phdysical Production Systems (CPPS). However, important aspects such as the modelling of CPPS to understand the theory regarding the performance of highly non-ergodic and non-deterministic flexible manufacturing systems in terms of Exit Rate (ER), Manufacturing Lead Time (MLT), and On-Time Delivery (OTD) have not yet been examined systematically and even less modeled analytically. To develop the topic, in this paper, the prerequisites for modelling such systems are defined in order to be able to derive an explicit and dedicated production mathematics-based understanding of CPPS and its dynamics: switching from explorative simulation to rational modelling of the manufacturing “physics” led to an own and specific manufacturing theory. The findings have led to enouncing, among others, the Theorem of Non-Ergodicity as well as the Batch Cycle Time Deviation Function giving important insights to model digital twin-based CPPS for complying with the mandatory OTD. 展开更多
关键词 On-Time-Delivery Production system Industry 4.0 CPPS IoT Stochastic Arrival Rate Non-Ergodic Process Virtual Elasticity Production Capacity Nominal Mean Exit Rate Theorem of Non-Ergodicity Non-deterministic Product-Mix TFL AGV Scheduling Algorithm Digital Twin
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混沌-改变人类认识的新发现
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作者 梁宝社 李大伟 刘华 《河北建筑科技学院学报》 2002年第4期79-82,共4页
介绍了混沌的概念及其主要特征 ,阐述了混沌研究的意义。混沌的发现改变了人类的认识。混沌研究对现代科学的发展产生着影响 ,自本世纪 70年代后期 。
关键词 混沌 确定性系统 随机性 无序
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Cluster Based Hierarchical Routing Algorithm for Network on Chip
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作者 U. Saravanakumar R. Rangarajan +2 位作者 R. Haripriya R. Nithya K. Rajasekar 《Circuits and Systems》 2013年第5期401-406,共6页
This paper presents a new logical mechanism called as Cluster Based Hierarchical Routing (CBHR) to improve the efficiency of NoC. This algorithm comprises the following steps: 1) the network is segmented logically int... This paper presents a new logical mechanism called as Cluster Based Hierarchical Routing (CBHR) to improve the efficiency of NoC. This algorithm comprises the following steps: 1) the network is segmented logically into clusters with same size or different sizes;2) algorithms are assigned for internal and global routing;3) routers working functions are modified logically to support local and global communication. The experiments have conducted for CBHR algorithm for two dimensional mesh and torus architectures. The performance of this mechanism is analyzed and compared with other deterministic and adaptive routing algorithms in terms of energy, throughput with different packet injection ratios. 展开更多
关键词 system on CHIP Network on CHIP deterministic and Adaptive ROUTING Algorithms MESH TORUS
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An immune-swarm intelligence based algorithm for deterministic coverage problems of wireless sensor networks 被引量:1
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作者 刘继忠 王保磊 +1 位作者 敖俊宇 Q.M.Jonathan WU 《Journal of Central South University》 SCIE EI CAS 2012年第11期3154-3161,共8页
A novel immune-swarm intelligence (ISI) based algorithm for solving the deterministic coverage problems of wireless sensor networks was presented.It makes full use of information sharing and retains diversity from the... A novel immune-swarm intelligence (ISI) based algorithm for solving the deterministic coverage problems of wireless sensor networks was presented.It makes full use of information sharing and retains diversity from the principle of particle swarm optimization (PSO) and artificial immune system (AIS).The algorithm was analyzed in detail and proper swarm size,evolving generations,gene-exchange individual order,and gene-exchange proportion in molecule were obtained for better algorithm performances.According to the test results,the appropriate parameters are about 50 swarm individuals,over 3 000 evolving generations,20%-25% gene-exchange proportion in molecule with gene-exchange taking place between better fitness affinity individuals.The algorithm is practical and effective in maximizing the coverage probability with given number of sensors and minimizing sensor numbers with required coverage probability in sensor placement.It can reach a better result quickly,especially with the proper calculation parameters. 展开更多
关键词 wireless sensor network deterministic area coverage immune-swarm algorithm particle swarm optimization artificialimmune system
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物理系统中随机效应:混沌和随机共振
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作者 颜士敏 曹振兴 《科技视界》 2016年第15期192-193,共2页
针对现代统计物理中两种非线性动力学行为,即混沌和随机共振,本文利用数值解法进行了模拟和解释。混沌是确定性系统中内禀随机性的一种体现,深化了人们对必然和偶然的认识,而随机共振是随机系统的内在有序性体现,改变了人们对于噪声的观... 针对现代统计物理中两种非线性动力学行为,即混沌和随机共振,本文利用数值解法进行了模拟和解释。混沌是确定性系统中内禀随机性的一种体现,深化了人们对必然和偶然的认识,而随机共振是随机系统的内在有序性体现,改变了人们对于噪声的观念,证实了噪声对于系统序的建立具有建设性作用。这些结果对于学生通过物理计算更好地理解物理系统特性具有参考意义。 展开更多
关键词 混沌 随机共振 确定性系统 随机系统
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无需初始状态先验统计知识的最优状态估计
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作者 刘轩黄 《海南大学学报(自然科学版)》 CAS 1999年第1期15-22,共8页
为获得系统状态的最优线性无偏估计(BLUE),Kalman滤波算法要求事先知道系统状态的均值与方差,但此要求往往难以满足.今放弃这一要求而考虑离散线性时变多输入多输出(MIMO)随机系统的状态估计问题.若系统是完全可... 为获得系统状态的最优线性无偏估计(BLUE),Kalman滤波算法要求事先知道系统状态的均值与方差,但此要求往往难以满足.今放弃这一要求而考虑离散线性时变多输入多输出(MIMO)随机系统的状态估计问题.若系统是完全可重构的,则本文所给新的滤波算法便将给出系统状态的BLUE.对于即使不可观测的完全可重构确定性系统,该新算法也能给出其无差估计. 展开更多
关键词 滤波算法 无偏估计 随机系统 状态估计 BLUE
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The Assessment of the Arising of Food Allergy among Antiacid Users Using Mathematical Model
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作者 Hyun Mo Yang* Ariana Campos Yang +2 位作者 Keity Souza Santos Clovis Eduardo Galvao Fabio Fernandes Morato Castro 《Applied Mathematics》 2012年第3期293-307,共15页
The first case of a new food allergy, an anaphylactic reaction to Manioc (Manihot esculenta or Manihot utilissima), also called cassava and tapioca, was described in 2001. Cassava is a tuber widely consumed in Brazil,... The first case of a new food allergy, an anaphylactic reaction to Manioc (Manihot esculenta or Manihot utilissima), also called cassava and tapioca, was described in 2001. Cassava is a tuber widely consumed in Brazil, which has been consumed by native Indians, i.e., more than 500 years ago, so why are the first cases just emerging now? We address this question by developing a mathematical model considering the fact that proton pump inhibitors (PPIs) for digestive disorders maintain the cassava allergen intact due to the elevation in pH of gastric juice, thereby facilitating its presentation to the immune system. The model assumed the mass action law including saturation to describe the recruitment of PPIs users, and Hill function to describe the sensitization of immune system by the allergens and the acquisition of full food allergy. Analytical results were obtained from the model, and numerical simulations were done. The estimated period of time elapsed since the introduction of antiacids before the diagnosis of food allergy was 15 years. The food allergy may become a public health problem, if PPIs are being used indiscriminately and irregularly. The results obtained from the analysis of the model suggest that the use of nonprescription antiacids, like PPIs, may be recommended or approved by the physician in order to avoid the rising of food allergy. 展开更多
关键词 deterministic Model Sensitization of Immune system Cassava Allergens Proton Pump Inhibitors Public Health
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确定性系统的最优自适应控制器
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作者 刘广生 兰华 邢丽君 《东北电力学院学报》 1995年第4期31-38,共8页
研究了确定性系统的最优自适应控制问题,系统的自适应控制器采用随机投影算法来构造,证明了自适应系统全局稳定,且自适应控制收敛于“一步超前”的最优控制。
关键词 确定性系统 计算机 仿真 自适应控制器
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Recognition Methods of Geometrical Images of Automata Models of Systems in Control Problem
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作者 Anton Epifanov 《Journal of Mechanical Engineering Research》 2021年第2期21-31,共11页
The laws of functioning of discrete deterministic dynamical systems are investigated,presented in the form of automata models defined by geometric images.Due to the use of the apparatus of geometric images of automata... The laws of functioning of discrete deterministic dynamical systems are investigated,presented in the form of automata models defined by geometric images.Due to the use of the apparatus of geometric images of automata,developed by V.A.Tverdokhlebov,the analysis of automata models is carried out on the basis of the analysis of mathematical structures represented by geometric curves and numerical sequences.The purpose of present research is to further develop the mathematical apparatus of geometric images of automaton models of systems,including the development of new methods for recognizing automata by their geometric images,given both geometric curves and numerical sequences. 展开更多
关键词 Discrete deterministic dynamical system Mathematical model AUTOMATON Geometric image of an automaton mapping Geometric curve Sequence Recognition of geometric images of automata
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Developing and studying the dynamical behavior of a nonlinear mathematical model for cancers with tumor by considering immune system role
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作者 Amir Alishzadeh Khoei Mohammadreza Zakerzadeh +1 位作者 Moosa Ayati Neda Soleimanit 《International Journal of Biomathematics》 SCIE 2021年第5期1-30,共30页
We are constrained by widespread cancerous diseases to improve treatment methods which save patients and provide better living conditions during and after the treatment period.Because of the complexity of the treatmen... We are constrained by widespread cancerous diseases to improve treatment methods which save patients and provide better living conditions during and after the treatment period.Because of the complexity of the treatment process,mathematical models need to be used in order to have a better understanding of the process.However,deriving an adequate complex model that can capture the disease pattern which could be confirmed by simulations and experiments has its own barriers.In this paper,a new mathematical model is developed concerning immune system effect on cancer.The model is introduced using nonlinear ordinary differential equations.Also,the qualitative behavior of the proposed system is studied in order to examine the extent of the model with respect to the nature of tumor evolution.Thus,number and status of equilibria points in line with the existence of limit cycles are obtained for sub-systems and the whole system.Meanwhile,possible bifurcations are mentioned,and the consequent evolutions are described.It is shown that the model conforms well to natural possibilities,cancer growth or remission.Thus,the model would be fit for further studies for prediction and contemplating treatment method,especially for immune stimulating drugs and immunotherapy. 展开更多
关键词 Deductive mathematical modeling deterministic mathematical modeling mathematical simulation of immune system effect
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确定论方法计算气冷快堆燃耗的程序系统开发
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作者 张竞宇 孙玉良 +1 位作者 李富 颜见秋 《核动力工程》 EI CAS CSCD 北大核心 2010年第S2期68-72,共5页
为了快速准确地求解气冷快堆的燃耗问题,开发了一套确定论方法程序系统。基于通用的燃耗过程计算框架,选取了输运程序WIMS和扩散程序CITATION,编写了相关的数据转换、截面管理、燃耗插值、自动控制程序,实现了WIMS和CITATION程序的耦合... 为了快速准确地求解气冷快堆的燃耗问题,开发了一套确定论方法程序系统。基于通用的燃耗过程计算框架,选取了输运程序WIMS和扩散程序CITATION,编写了相关的数据转换、截面管理、燃耗插值、自动控制程序,实现了WIMS和CITATION程序的耦合,并对一个气冷快堆模型燃耗过程进行了模拟。结果表明:开发的确定论方法程序系统是可行的,具备分析气冷快堆燃耗过程中重要物理特性的功能。 展开更多
关键词 气冷快堆 确定论方法 程序系统 燃耗
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基于确定学习理论的轴流压气机系统分岔预测
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作者 文彬鹤 王聪 +2 位作者 易学飞 闻伟 朱爱峰 《航空发动机》 2016年第6期23-29,共7页
针对轴流压气机系统中的分岔预测问题,基于简化的Moore-Greitzer 3阶压气机模型,分析了该系统中存在的分岔现象;利用最新发展的确定学习理论,对压气机系统随着γ参数变化出现的几种典型模态的相关系统动态进行辨识,并将所学知识保存成常... 针对轴流压气机系统中的分岔预测问题,基于简化的Moore-Greitzer 3阶压气机模型,分析了该系统中存在的分岔现象;利用最新发展的确定学习理论,对压气机系统随着γ参数变化出现的几种典型模态的相关系统动态进行辨识,并将所学知识保存成常值RBF神经网络以构成模式库;利用该模式库构建1组嵌入了常值RBF神经网络的动态估计器;将测试模式与估计器相比,得到1组残差,并利用动态模式识别方法的残差最小原则实现了对Pitchfork分岔的预测。 展开更多
关键词 pitchfork分岔 旋转失速 确定学习 系统辨识 动态模式识别 快速预测 轴流压气机
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基于确定学习的电力系统稳定性控制
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作者 林鹏 王芳连 陈填锐 《工业控制计算机》 2020年第1期19-21,24,共4页
传统自适应控制方法存在计算过于复杂、控制器奇异性的问题。为了解决这些问题,采用了一种简单的自适应控制方法,以保证电力系统中所有信号的有界性和有限时间内跟踪误差的收敛性。主要思想是将控制过程中的稳定闭环系统分解为一系列具... 传统自适应控制方法存在计算过于复杂、控制器奇异性的问题。为了解决这些问题,采用了一种简单的自适应控制方法,以保证电力系统中所有信号的有界性和有限时间内跟踪误差的收敛性。主要思想是将控制过程中的稳定闭环系统分解为一系列具有适当状态变换的线性时变扰动子系统,利用递归设计方法,建立了径向基函数神经网络的部分持续激励条件,保证了扰动子系统的指数稳定性。因此,在闭环信号循环轨道的局部区域内实现了闭环系统动力学的精确逼近,在闭环反馈控制过程中所学习的知识可以被重复利用,从而避免了在自适应控制过程中大量重复训练的过程。仿真结果表明了该方法的有效性。 展开更多
关键词 确定学习 自适应控制 电力系统 径向基神经网络 持续激励
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现代科学中的一些非线性问题
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作者 黄志洵 《北京广播学院学报(自然科学版)》 2000年第1期1-10,共10页
在 2 0世纪 ,非线性科学引起了巨大兴趣。本文介绍非线性科学的主要创造与发展 ,例如 Poincarè关于非线性方程的研究已延拓到各方面。讨论了混沌学、Prigogine理论、虚时间概念、复杂性科学的有关问题。
关键词 非线性方程 确定性系统 混沌 耗散结构
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平滑l_1模递推辨识算法
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作者 孙明轩 《科技通报》 1996年第3期152-156,共5页
通过对l1模指标的平滑处理,构造了平滑近似指标下的递推辨识算法.这种算法实时计算负担小,且具有良好算法性质.数值仿真结果表明,它仍蕴含原指标意义下的鲁棒估计性质.
关键词 鲁棒辨识 确定性系统 平滑l1模 递推辨识算法
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BCC二代气候系统模式的季节预测评估和可预报性分析 被引量:38
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作者 吴捷 任宏利 +2 位作者 张帅 刘颖 刘向文 《大气科学》 CSCD 北大核心 2017年第6期1300-1315,共16页
本文利用国家气候中心(BCC)第二代季节预测模式系统历史回报数据,从确定性预报和概率预报两个方面系统地评估了该模式对气温、降水和大气环流的季节预报性能,并与BCC一代气候预测模式的结果进行了对比,重点分析了二代模式的季节可预报... 本文利用国家气候中心(BCC)第二代季节预测模式系统历史回报数据,从确定性预报和概率预报两个方面系统地评估了该模式对气温、降水和大气环流的季节预报性能,并与BCC一代气候预测模式的结果进行了对比,重点分析了二代模式的季节可预报性问题。结果显示,BCC二代模式对全球气温、降水和环流的预报性能整体上优于一代模式,特别在热带中东太平洋、印度洋和海洋大陆地区的温度和降水的预报效果改进尤为明显。这些热带地区降水预报的改进,可以通过激发太平洋—北美型(PNA)、东亚—太平洋型(EAP)等遥相关波列提升该模式在中高纬地区的季节预报技巧。分析表明,厄尔尼诺和南方涛动(ENSO)信号在热带和热带外地区均是模式季节可预报性的重要来源,BCC二代模式能够较好把握全球大气环流对ENSO信号的响应特征,从而通过对ENSO预报技巧的改进有效地提升了模式整体的预报性能。从概率预报来看,BCC二代模式对我国冬季气温和夏季降水具备一定的预报能力,特别是对我国东部大部分地区冬季气温正异常和负异常事件预报的可靠性和辨析度相对较高。因此,进一步提高模式对热带大尺度异常信号和大气主要模态的预报能力、加强概率预报产品释用对提高季节气候预测水平具有重要意义。 展开更多
关键词 季节预测 确定性预报 概率预报 可预报性 BCC二代模式
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