In this paper we demonstrate the need for risk-adjusted approaches to planning expansion of livestock production. In particular, we illustrate that under exposure to risk, a portfolio of producers is needed where more...In this paper we demonstrate the need for risk-adjusted approaches to planning expansion of livestock production. In particular, we illustrate that under exposure to risk, a portfolio of producers is needed where more efficient producers co-exist and cooperate with less efficient ones given that the latter are associated with lower, uncorre, lated or even negatively correlated contingencies. This raises important issues of cooperation and risk sharing among diverse producers. For large-scale practical allocation problems when information on the contingencies may be disperse, not analytically tractable, or be available on aggregate levels, we propose a downscaling procedure based on behavioral principles utilizing spatial risk preference structure, It allows for estimation of production allocation at required resolutions accounting for location specific risks and suitability constraints. The approach provides a tool for harmonization of data from various spatial levels. We applied the method in a case study of livestock production allocation in China to 2030.展开更多
It is very important to efficiently represent the target scattering characteristics in applications of polarimetric radar remote sensing. Three probability mass functions are introduced in this paper for target repres...It is very important to efficiently represent the target scattering characteristics in applications of polarimetric radar remote sensing. Three probability mass functions are introduced in this paper for target representation: using similarity parameters to describe target average scattering mechanism, using the eigenvalues of a target coherency matrix to describe target scattering randomness, and using radar received power to describe target scattering intensity. The concept of cross-entropy is employed to measure the difference between two scatterers based on the probability mass functions. Three parts of difference between scatterers are measured separately as the difference of average scattering mechanism, the difference of scattering randomness and the difference of scattering intensity, so that the usage of polarimetric data can be highly efficient and flexible. The supervised/unsupervised image classification schemes and their simplified versions are established based on the minimum cross-entropy principle. They are demonstrated to have better classification performance than the maximum likelihood classifier based on the Wishart distribution assumption, both in supervised and in unsupervised classification.展开更多
文摘In this paper we demonstrate the need for risk-adjusted approaches to planning expansion of livestock production. In particular, we illustrate that under exposure to risk, a portfolio of producers is needed where more efficient producers co-exist and cooperate with less efficient ones given that the latter are associated with lower, uncorre, lated or even negatively correlated contingencies. This raises important issues of cooperation and risk sharing among diverse producers. For large-scale practical allocation problems when information on the contingencies may be disperse, not analytically tractable, or be available on aggregate levels, we propose a downscaling procedure based on behavioral principles utilizing spatial risk preference structure, It allows for estimation of production allocation at required resolutions accounting for location specific risks and suitability constraints. The approach provides a tool for harmonization of data from various spatial levels. We applied the method in a case study of livestock production allocation in China to 2030.
基金This work was supported in part by the National Natural Science Foundation of China(Grant No.40271077)the National Important Fundamental Research Plan of China(Grant No.2001CB309401)+3 种基金the Science Foundation of National Defence of Chinathe Research Fund for the Doctoral Program of Higher Education of Chinathe Aerospace Technology Foundation of Chinaand the Fundam ental Research Foundation of Tsinghua University.
文摘It is very important to efficiently represent the target scattering characteristics in applications of polarimetric radar remote sensing. Three probability mass functions are introduced in this paper for target representation: using similarity parameters to describe target average scattering mechanism, using the eigenvalues of a target coherency matrix to describe target scattering randomness, and using radar received power to describe target scattering intensity. The concept of cross-entropy is employed to measure the difference between two scatterers based on the probability mass functions. Three parts of difference between scatterers are measured separately as the difference of average scattering mechanism, the difference of scattering randomness and the difference of scattering intensity, so that the usage of polarimetric data can be highly efficient and flexible. The supervised/unsupervised image classification schemes and their simplified versions are established based on the minimum cross-entropy principle. They are demonstrated to have better classification performance than the maximum likelihood classifier based on the Wishart distribution assumption, both in supervised and in unsupervised classification.