℃ Climate change is likely to affect hydrological cycle through precipitation, evapotranspiration, soil moisture etc. In the present study, an attempt has been made to study the climate change and the sensitivity of...℃ Climate change is likely to affect hydrological cycle through precipitation, evapotranspiration, soil moisture etc. In the present study, an attempt has been made to study the climate change and the sensitivity of estimated evapotranspiration to each climatic variable for a semi-arid region of Beijing in North China using data set from 1951 to 2010. Penman-Monteith method was used to calculate reference crop evapotranspiration （ETo）. Changes of ETo to each climatic variable was estimated using a sensitivity analysis method proposed in this study. Results show that in the past 60 years, mean temperature and vapor pressure deficit （VPD） were significantly increasing, relative humidity and sunshine hours were significantly decreasing, and wind speed greatly oscillated without a significant trend. Total precipitation was significantly decreasing in corn season （from June to September）, but it was increasing in wheat season （from October to next May）. The change rates of tem- perature, relative humidity, VPD, wind speed, annual total precipitation, sunshine hours and solar radiation were 0.42℃, 1.47%, 0.04 kPa, 0.05 m.s-1, 25.0 mm, 74.0 hours and 90.7 MJ.m-2 per decade, respectively. In the past 60 years, yearly ETo was increasing with a rate of 19.5 mm per decade, and total ETos in wheat and corn seasons were increasing with rates of 13.1 and 5.3 mm per decade, respectively. Sensitivity analysis showed that mean air temperature was the first key factor for ETo change in the past 60 years, causing an annual total ETo increase of 7.4%, followed by relative humidity （5.5%） and sunshine hours （-3.1%）; the less sensitivity factors were wind speed （0.7%）, minimum temperature （-0.3%） and maximum temperature （-0.2%）. A greater reduction of total ETo （12.3%） in the past 60 years was found in wheat season, mainly because of mean temperature （8.6%） and relative hu- midity （5.4%）, as compared to a reduction of 6.0% in ETo during corn season due to sunshinehours （-6.9%）, 展开更多
In Côte d’Ivoire, maize (Zea mays L) is the second most cultivated cereal after rice. Since the first report of Spodoptera frugiperda in Côte d’Ivoire, maize production in the northern regions has been aff...In Côte d’Ivoire, maize (Zea mays L) is the second most cultivated cereal after rice. Since the first report of Spodoptera frugiperda in Côte d’Ivoire, maize production in the northern regions has been affected resulting in maize production losses. This study aims to study the seasonal dynamic of Spodoptera frugiperda in maize fields in the sub-Sudanese zone, main zone of maize cultivation in Côte d’Ivoire. The study was done using pheromone trap lures. The results revealed a variation in the moth population at various growth stages during rainy and dry seasons. Notably, the highest numbers of moths were consistently trapped during the whorl stage with counts ranging from 131 ± 35.7 during the rainy season to 70.6 ± 15.01 in the dry season. The lowest numbers of moths were observed during pod maturation, with counts ranging from 30.3 ± 13.05 during the rainy season to 11.7 ± 3.05 in the dry season. Between the 7<sup>th</sup> and 21<sup>st</sup> days after sowing, the count of moths displayed a consistent upward trajectory, reaching 188 moths during the rainy season. The damages were particularly observed at whorl stage. The relationship between the numbers of moths and some climatic variables revealed a negative correlation between moths numbers and rainfall (r= −0.44) and relative humidity (r= −0.684). In contrast, there were positive relationships with temperature (r = 0.16), highlighting the significant impact of temperature changes on moth population dynamics. The research highlights the need for integrated pest management strategies that consider climatic factors and growth stages of maize to mitigate the impact of this insect pest on maize.展开更多
Linhe National Meteorological Station, a representative weather station in the Hetao Irrigation District of China, was selected as the research site for the present study. Changes in climatic variables and reference e...Linhe National Meteorological Station, a representative weather station in the Hetao Irrigation District of China, was selected as the research site for the present study. Changes in climatic variables and reference evapotranspiration （ET0 ） （estimated by the Penman-Monteith method） were detected using Mann-Kendall tests and Sen＇s slope estimator, respectively. The authors analyzed the relationship between the ET0 change and each climatic variable＇s change. From 1954 to 2012, the air temperature showed a significant increasing trend, whereas relative humidity and wind speed decreased dramatically. These changes resulted in a slight increase in ETo. The radiative component of total ET0 increased from 50% to 57%, indicating that this component made a greater contribution to the increase in total ETo than the aerodynamic component, especially during the crop growing season （from April to October）. The sensitivity analysis showed that ETo in Hetao is most sensitive to mean daily air temperature （11.8%）, followed by wind speed （-7.3%） and relative humidity （4.8%）. Changes in sunshine duration had only a minor effect on ET0 over the past 59 years.展开更多
针对不同环境、多性状条件下优良品种选择效率低下的问题,探讨整合环境型鉴定技术(envirotyping techniques,ET)和多性状选择对黄淮海夏玉米区试参试品种进行综合评价,以期为品种合理布局提供理论依据。本研究以2016—2017年黄淮海夏玉...针对不同环境、多性状条件下优良品种选择效率低下的问题,探讨整合环境型鉴定技术(envirotyping techniques,ET)和多性状选择对黄淮海夏玉米区试参试品种进行综合评价,以期为品种合理布局提供理论依据。本研究以2016—2017年黄淮海夏玉米组区域试验数据为材料,基于当年19个环境协变量信息采用ET将40个试点划分为不同生态区(mega-environments,ME)。采用品种-产量×性状(genotype by yield×trait,GYT)双标图技术对不同生态区(mega-environments,ME)籽粒产量与生育期、株高、穗位高、倒伏率、空秆率、穗长、秃尖、穗行数、穗粒重、百粒重、茎腐病和黑粉病等农艺性状的组合表现进行综合评价,研究GYT双标图技术在玉米区域试验多性状评价中的作用。AMMI方差分析表明,2016年被测农艺性状基因型、环境和互作效应均达到了极显著水平(P<0.01),2017年被测农艺性状除穗位高互作效应不显著外,其余性状基因型、环境和互作效应均达到了极显著水平。根据当年气象因子信息将位于8个省份的40个试点划分为4个ME,降水亏缺(dbp)、饱和水汽压差(vpd)、相对湿度(rh)和最高温度(Tmax)在5个物候期中呈现出较大的变化趋势。GYT双标图与ME结合,可以筛选出不同ME的优势品种。2016年参试品种中,衡玉321和冀丰118在划定的4个ME中均表现出丰产性突出、稳定性较好的特征,属于丰产稳产型品种。而潞玉36和潞研1502则属于参试品种中丰产性、稳定性均较差的品种。2017年参试品种中,DK56在ME2和ME4试点中产量-性状组合表现较为协调,DK205和衡玉6105分别在ME1和ME3生态区中有较好的表现。对照品种郑单958两年区域试验表现出较好的稳定性但丰产性一般。基于环境型鉴定技术划分生态区与GYT双标图相结合对参试品种的丰产性、适应性和稳定性进行评价,实现品种推广的精细定位,为黄淮海夏玉米区品种多性�展开更多
气象因素是电力需求变化的重要影响因素之一.为了研究气候变化对月度电力需求的影响,建立了包含气象条件、时间趋势和春节移动假日等变量的多元回归方程,以苏州市月度电力需求预测为例,重点分析了气象因素和春节移动假日对月度电力需求...气象因素是电力需求变化的重要影响因素之一.为了研究气候变化对月度电力需求的影响,建立了包含气象条件、时间趋势和春节移动假日等变量的多元回归方程,以苏州市月度电力需求预测为例,重点分析了气象因素和春节移动假日对月度电力需求的影响.研究结果发现,使用月平均气温计算出的月制冷度(Cooling Degree of Month,CDM)和月采暖度(Heating Degree of Month,HDM)能较好的刻画气温变化对月度电力需求的影响;考虑了春节假日效应后,能更好的提升回归方程的预测能力;非"疫情"期间和"疫情"期间模拟预测结果均达到较好的精度,显示出模型具有良好的预测稳健性.展开更多
The elevational gradient present in mountainous areas provides the most powerful natural experimental system available to clarify the ecological and evolutionary responses of living organisms to geophysical influences...The elevational gradient present in mountainous areas provides the most powerful natural experimental system available to clarify the ecological and evolutionary responses of living organisms to geophysical influences.In this study,we explored the elevational patterns of plant species and functional diversity and the effects of area,mid-domain effect,climatic variables and net primary productivity on the observed diversity patterns along the ridge of the Baekdudaegan Mountains,South Korea.Rapoport’s elevational rule was also evaluated by examining the relationship between elevational range size of plant species and elevation.A total of 802 plant species from 97 families and 342 genera were found in 1100 plots along a 200-–1900-m elevational gradient along the ridge.The elevational patterns of plant species diversity along the ridge of the Baekdudaegan depicted distinctly hump-shaped patterns,whereas the functional diversity decreased monotonically with elevation.The mid-domain effect was the most powerful explanatory variable for species diversity patterns.However,climatic variables were better predictors for functional diversity.Moreover,Rapoport’s elevational rule was not supported.Our study suggests that different elevational patterns may be observed among different diversity measurements even in the same taxon and that there may be fundamental differences in the mechanisms underlying these diversity patterns.展开更多
Variations in leaf morphological characteristics have been extensively studied at both interand intraspecific levels although not explicitly on paper birch (Betula papyrifera Marsh). Paper birch populations might have...Variations in leaf morphological characteristics have been extensively studied at both interand intraspecific levels although not explicitly on paper birch (Betula papyrifera Marsh). Paper birch populations might have considerable genotypic and leaf morphological variations that have allowed them to inhabit wide environmental gradients. In this study, we analyzed variations in leaf morphological characteristics in 23 paper birch populations collected across Canada and grown in a greenhouse. Furthermore, we examined whether the variations in leaf morphological characteristics observed were related to the climate of the population’s origin. We found significant genotypic differences in all leaf morphological characteristics (p < 0.05) measured among the birch populations. Thus, we expected that the morphological variations in birch might be related to natural diversity in birch populations due to environmental differences at habitat origin. Principal component analysis (PCA) reduced thirteen leaf morphological variables to five principal components (PC) explaining 84.74% of the total variance in the original data. PCs accumulated with specific leaf area, petiole and leaf width were positively related to latitudinal, longitudinal, and elevational gradients at the population’s origin. Unpredictably, these PCs were significantly negatively correlated to precipitation and aridity index at the origin. Thus, we analyzed if correlations within leaf morphological characteristics had supported the birch populations to acclimate and produce unpredictable relations with the environment of origin. Our results showed that the populations originated in limited precipitation (during growing season) had large leaf width and petiole size but low leaf hairs on adaxial surface. Thus, all these leaf morphological features provide a basis for the birch to reduce water loss from leaves and balance water use efficiency in reduced precipitation. Furthermore, the leaf characteristics measured may also include phenotypic plasticity of t展开更多
We examined patterns of plant species richness on an elevation gradient and evaluated the effects of cli- matic variables including mean annual temperature and precipitation, area, the mid-domain effect and productivi...We examined patterns of plant species richness on an elevation gradient and evaluated the effects of cli- matic variables including mean annual temperature and precipitation, area, the mid-domain effect and productivity on species richness along two transects on Mt. Seorak, South Korea. A total of 235 plant species of 72 families and 161 genera were recorded from 130 plots along the two transects. Two different patterns, monotonic decline and a unimodal shape, were observed for woody plants with the change in elevation along the two transects, whereas multimodal patterns were observed for all plant species considered together and for herbaceous plants. Area and productivity showed significant relationships with total plant richness. Climatic variables were better predictors than other variables for variation by elevation in woody plant richness, whereas productivity was a more important variable for herbaceous plant richness. Although area was an important variable for predicting species richness pat- terns, the effects differed by transect and plant group. No empirical evidence was linked to the mid-domain effect.Different elevational patterns may characterize different groups in the same taxon and there might be fundamental differences in the mechanisms underlying these richness patterns.展开更多
As per the Essential Climate Variables (ESV) of World Meterological Organisation (WMO), the physical, chemical and biological variables critically contribute to the earth’s climate. Among them, the variables such as ...As per the Essential Climate Variables (ESV) of World Meterological Organisation (WMO), the physical, chemical and biological variables critically contribute to the earth’s climate. Among them, the variables such as temperature and pH in the marine environment may affect seriously and in turn it has an impact on the biota, especially in the intertidal environment, where it has brunt force. According to United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change (UNFCCC), the datasets should provide the empirical evidence needed to predict the climate change and evoluate the mitigation and adaptation measures. Under this context, a review was carried out to know what extent marine scientists understand this factor and what level the biodiversity was evoluated and its impact was analysed in this article. Based on the existing literature review, it was understood that only a few groups that also only few species from these groups were studied in this aspect. The remaining groups and their species and their basic trophic were not evolved in this aspect. So, the marine scientific community, environmentalist and policy makers should take stock on this aspect and give thrust on this study.展开更多
基金Open Research Funds of State Key Laboratory of Simulation and Regulation of Water Cycle in River Basin, No.IWHR-SKL-201105 National Natural Science Foundation of China, No.51179005 Fundamental Re- search Funds for the Central Universities, No.2009SD-10
文摘℃ Climate change is likely to affect hydrological cycle through precipitation, evapotranspiration, soil moisture etc. In the present study, an attempt has been made to study the climate change and the sensitivity of estimated evapotranspiration to each climatic variable for a semi-arid region of Beijing in North China using data set from 1951 to 2010. Penman-Monteith method was used to calculate reference crop evapotranspiration （ETo）. Changes of ETo to each climatic variable was estimated using a sensitivity analysis method proposed in this study. Results show that in the past 60 years, mean temperature and vapor pressure deficit （VPD） were significantly increasing, relative humidity and sunshine hours were significantly decreasing, and wind speed greatly oscillated without a significant trend. Total precipitation was significantly decreasing in corn season （from June to September）, but it was increasing in wheat season （from October to next May）. The change rates of tem- perature, relative humidity, VPD, wind speed, annual total precipitation, sunshine hours and solar radiation were 0.42℃, 1.47%, 0.04 kPa, 0.05 m.s-1, 25.0 mm, 74.0 hours and 90.7 MJ.m-2 per decade, respectively. In the past 60 years, yearly ETo was increasing with a rate of 19.5 mm per decade, and total ETos in wheat and corn seasons were increasing with rates of 13.1 and 5.3 mm per decade, respectively. Sensitivity analysis showed that mean air temperature was the first key factor for ETo change in the past 60 years, causing an annual total ETo increase of 7.4%, followed by relative humidity （5.5%） and sunshine hours （-3.1%）; the less sensitivity factors were wind speed （0.7%）, minimum temperature （-0.3%） and maximum temperature （-0.2%）. A greater reduction of total ETo （12.3%） in the past 60 years was found in wheat season, mainly because of mean temperature （8.6%） and relative hu- midity （5.4%）, as compared to a reduction of 6.0% in ETo during corn season due to sunshinehours （-6.9%）,
文摘In Côte d’Ivoire, maize (Zea mays L) is the second most cultivated cereal after rice. Since the first report of Spodoptera frugiperda in Côte d’Ivoire, maize production in the northern regions has been affected resulting in maize production losses. This study aims to study the seasonal dynamic of Spodoptera frugiperda in maize fields in the sub-Sudanese zone, main zone of maize cultivation in Côte d’Ivoire. The study was done using pheromone trap lures. The results revealed a variation in the moth population at various growth stages during rainy and dry seasons. Notably, the highest numbers of moths were consistently trapped during the whorl stage with counts ranging from 131 ± 35.7 during the rainy season to 70.6 ± 15.01 in the dry season. The lowest numbers of moths were observed during pod maturation, with counts ranging from 30.3 ± 13.05 during the rainy season to 11.7 ± 3.05 in the dry season. Between the 7<sup>th</sup> and 21<sup>st</sup> days after sowing, the count of moths displayed a consistent upward trajectory, reaching 188 moths during the rainy season. The damages were particularly observed at whorl stage. The relationship between the numbers of moths and some climatic variables revealed a negative correlation between moths numbers and rainfall (r= −0.44) and relative humidity (r= −0.684). In contrast, there were positive relationships with temperature (r = 0.16), highlighting the significant impact of temperature changes on moth population dynamics. The research highlights the need for integrated pest management strategies that consider climatic factors and growth stages of maize to mitigate the impact of this insect pest on maize.
基金supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China(Grant No.51179005)the Special Fund for Public Welfare Industry of the Ministry of Water Resources of China(Grant No.201401036)
文摘Linhe National Meteorological Station, a representative weather station in the Hetao Irrigation District of China, was selected as the research site for the present study. Changes in climatic variables and reference evapotranspiration （ET0 ） （estimated by the Penman-Monteith method） were detected using Mann-Kendall tests and Sen＇s slope estimator, respectively. The authors analyzed the relationship between the ET0 change and each climatic variable＇s change. From 1954 to 2012, the air temperature showed a significant increasing trend, whereas relative humidity and wind speed decreased dramatically. These changes resulted in a slight increase in ETo. The radiative component of total ET0 increased from 50% to 57%, indicating that this component made a greater contribution to the increase in total ETo than the aerodynamic component, especially during the crop growing season （from April to October）. The sensitivity analysis showed that ETo in Hetao is most sensitive to mean daily air temperature （11.8%）, followed by wind speed （-7.3%） and relative humidity （4.8%）. Changes in sunshine duration had only a minor effect on ET0 over the past 59 years.
文摘针对不同环境、多性状条件下优良品种选择效率低下的问题,探讨整合环境型鉴定技术(envirotyping techniques,ET)和多性状选择对黄淮海夏玉米区试参试品种进行综合评价,以期为品种合理布局提供理论依据。本研究以2016—2017年黄淮海夏玉米组区域试验数据为材料,基于当年19个环境协变量信息采用ET将40个试点划分为不同生态区(mega-environments,ME)。采用品种-产量×性状(genotype by yield×trait,GYT)双标图技术对不同生态区(mega-environments,ME)籽粒产量与生育期、株高、穗位高、倒伏率、空秆率、穗长、秃尖、穗行数、穗粒重、百粒重、茎腐病和黑粉病等农艺性状的组合表现进行综合评价,研究GYT双标图技术在玉米区域试验多性状评价中的作用。AMMI方差分析表明,2016年被测农艺性状基因型、环境和互作效应均达到了极显著水平(P<0.01),2017年被测农艺性状除穗位高互作效应不显著外,其余性状基因型、环境和互作效应均达到了极显著水平。根据当年气象因子信息将位于8个省份的40个试点划分为4个ME,降水亏缺(dbp)、饱和水汽压差(vpd)、相对湿度(rh)和最高温度(Tmax)在5个物候期中呈现出较大的变化趋势。GYT双标图与ME结合,可以筛选出不同ME的优势品种。2016年参试品种中,衡玉321和冀丰118在划定的4个ME中均表现出丰产性突出、稳定性较好的特征,属于丰产稳产型品种。而潞玉36和潞研1502则属于参试品种中丰产性、稳定性均较差的品种。2017年参试品种中,DK56在ME2和ME4试点中产量-性状组合表现较为协调,DK205和衡玉6105分别在ME1和ME3生态区中有较好的表现。对照品种郑单958两年区域试验表现出较好的稳定性但丰产性一般。基于环境型鉴定技术划分生态区与GYT双标图相结合对参试品种的丰产性、适应性和稳定性进行评价,实现品种推广的精细定位,为黄淮海夏玉米区品种多性�
文摘气象因素是电力需求变化的重要影响因素之一.为了研究气候变化对月度电力需求的影响,建立了包含气象条件、时间趋势和春节移动假日等变量的多元回归方程,以苏州市月度电力需求预测为例,重点分析了气象因素和春节移动假日对月度电力需求的影响.研究结果发现,使用月平均气温计算出的月制冷度(Cooling Degree of Month,CDM)和月采暖度(Heating Degree of Month,HDM)能较好的刻画气温变化对月度电力需求的影响;考虑了春节假日效应后,能更好的提升回归方程的预测能力;非"疫情"期间和"疫情"期间模拟预测结果均达到较好的精度,显示出模型具有良好的预测稳健性.
基金supported from a part of the‘Korea Big Tree Project’ funded by the Korea Green Promotion Agency,Korea Forest Service
文摘The elevational gradient present in mountainous areas provides the most powerful natural experimental system available to clarify the ecological and evolutionary responses of living organisms to geophysical influences.In this study,we explored the elevational patterns of plant species and functional diversity and the effects of area,mid-domain effect,climatic variables and net primary productivity on the observed diversity patterns along the ridge of the Baekdudaegan Mountains,South Korea.Rapoport’s elevational rule was also evaluated by examining the relationship between elevational range size of plant species and elevation.A total of 802 plant species from 97 families and 342 genera were found in 1100 plots along a 200-–1900-m elevational gradient along the ridge.The elevational patterns of plant species diversity along the ridge of the Baekdudaegan depicted distinctly hump-shaped patterns,whereas the functional diversity decreased monotonically with elevation.The mid-domain effect was the most powerful explanatory variable for species diversity patterns.However,climatic variables were better predictors for functional diversity.Moreover,Rapoport’s elevational rule was not supported.Our study suggests that different elevational patterns may be observed among different diversity measurements even in the same taxon and that there may be fundamental differences in the mechanisms underlying these diversity patterns.
文摘Variations in leaf morphological characteristics have been extensively studied at both interand intraspecific levels although not explicitly on paper birch (Betula papyrifera Marsh). Paper birch populations might have considerable genotypic and leaf morphological variations that have allowed them to inhabit wide environmental gradients. In this study, we analyzed variations in leaf morphological characteristics in 23 paper birch populations collected across Canada and grown in a greenhouse. Furthermore, we examined whether the variations in leaf morphological characteristics observed were related to the climate of the population’s origin. We found significant genotypic differences in all leaf morphological characteristics (p < 0.05) measured among the birch populations. Thus, we expected that the morphological variations in birch might be related to natural diversity in birch populations due to environmental differences at habitat origin. Principal component analysis (PCA) reduced thirteen leaf morphological variables to five principal components (PC) explaining 84.74% of the total variance in the original data. PCs accumulated with specific leaf area, petiole and leaf width were positively related to latitudinal, longitudinal, and elevational gradients at the population’s origin. Unpredictably, these PCs were significantly negatively correlated to precipitation and aridity index at the origin. Thus, we analyzed if correlations within leaf morphological characteristics had supported the birch populations to acclimate and produce unpredictable relations with the environment of origin. Our results showed that the populations originated in limited precipitation (during growing season) had large leaf width and petiole size but low leaf hairs on adaxial surface. Thus, all these leaf morphological features provide a basis for the birch to reduce water loss from leaves and balance water use efficiency in reduced precipitation. Furthermore, the leaf characteristics measured may also include phenotypic plasticity of t
基金a part of the ‘Korea Big Tree Project’ funded by the Korea Green Promotion Agency,Korea Forest Service
文摘We examined patterns of plant species richness on an elevation gradient and evaluated the effects of cli- matic variables including mean annual temperature and precipitation, area, the mid-domain effect and productivity on species richness along two transects on Mt. Seorak, South Korea. A total of 235 plant species of 72 families and 161 genera were recorded from 130 plots along the two transects. Two different patterns, monotonic decline and a unimodal shape, were observed for woody plants with the change in elevation along the two transects, whereas multimodal patterns were observed for all plant species considered together and for herbaceous plants. Area and productivity showed significant relationships with total plant richness. Climatic variables were better predictors than other variables for variation by elevation in woody plant richness, whereas productivity was a more important variable for herbaceous plant richness. Although area was an important variable for predicting species richness pat- terns, the effects differed by transect and plant group. No empirical evidence was linked to the mid-domain effect.Different elevational patterns may characterize different groups in the same taxon and there might be fundamental differences in the mechanisms underlying these richness patterns.
文摘As per the Essential Climate Variables (ESV) of World Meterological Organisation (WMO), the physical, chemical and biological variables critically contribute to the earth’s climate. Among them, the variables such as temperature and pH in the marine environment may affect seriously and in turn it has an impact on the biota, especially in the intertidal environment, where it has brunt force. According to United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change (UNFCCC), the datasets should provide the empirical evidence needed to predict the climate change and evoluate the mitigation and adaptation measures. Under this context, a review was carried out to know what extent marine scientists understand this factor and what level the biodiversity was evoluated and its impact was analysed in this article. Based on the existing literature review, it was understood that only a few groups that also only few species from these groups were studied in this aspect. The remaining groups and their species and their basic trophic were not evolved in this aspect. So, the marine scientific community, environmentalist and policy makers should take stock on this aspect and give thrust on this study.
