利用政府间气候变化委员会第四次评估报告(the Fourth Assessment Report of the Intergov-ernmental Panel on Climate Change,IPCC AR4)的14个全球气候耦合模式对中国淮河流域气温和降水的模拟能力进行了评估,预估了该地区21世纪的降...利用政府间气候变化委员会第四次评估报告(the Fourth Assessment Report of the Intergov-ernmental Panel on Climate Change,IPCC AR4)的14个全球气候耦合模式对中国淮河流域气温和降水的模拟能力进行了评估,预估了该地区21世纪的降水和气温变化。同时,还分析了14个气候模式对1961-1999年气温和降水的模拟能力,并且根据Taylor方法选取具有较好模拟能力的模式做集合分析。结果表明,不同的气候模式对淮河流域的气温和降水都具有一定的模拟能力,但大多数模式模拟的气温偏低、降水偏多;选取的模式集合可以明显改善模式的模拟能力,但是没有表现出明显的优势。对淮河流域降水和气温未来情景的预估表明,各模式给出的情景结果尽管存在一定的差异,但模拟的21世纪气候变化的趋势基本一致,即气温持续增加,降水出现区域性增加;还重点分析了14个模式集合的结果在2010-2039年、2040-2069年和2070-2099年3个时段的年平均、季节平均降水和气温变化及其时空变化特征,结果表明,3个时段的气温和降水在不同情景下都是逐渐增加的,A2情景下增幅最显著,B1情景下增幅最小。展开更多
Plant temperature （Tp） and its relations to the microclimate of rice colony and irrigation water were studied using a thermo-sensitive genic male sterile （TGMS） rice line, Pei＇ai 64S. Significant differences in t...Plant temperature （Tp） and its relations to the microclimate of rice colony and irrigation water were studied using a thermo-sensitive genic male sterile （TGMS） rice line, Pei＇ai 64S. Significant differences in the daily change of temperature were detected between Tp and air temperature at the height of 150 cm （TA）. From 8：00 to 20：00, Tp was lower than TA, but they were similar during 21：00 to next 7：00. The maximum Tp occurred one hour earlier than the maximum TA, though they both reached the minimum at 6：00. Tp fluctuated less than TA. At the same height, during 6：00-13：00, Tp was higher than air temperature （Ta）, and Tp reached the maximum one hour earlier than Ta. During the rest time on sunny day, Tp was close to or even a little lower than Ta. On overcast day, Tp was higher than Ta in the whole day, and both maximized at the same time. In addition, Tp was regulated by solar radiation, cloudage and wind speed in daytime, and by irrigation water at night. The present study indicated that a TA of 29.6℃ was the critical point, at which Tp was increased or decreased by irrigation water. Tp and the difference between water and air temperatures showed a conic relation. Tp fluctuation was also regulated by the absorption or reflection of solar radiation by leaves during daytime and release of heat energy during nighttime. By analysis on correlation and regression simulation, two models of Tp were established.展开更多
This study examines the impacts of land-use data on the simulation of surface air temperature in Northwest China by the Weather Research and Forecasting(WRF) model. International Geosphere–Biosphere Program(IGBP) lan...This study examines the impacts of land-use data on the simulation of surface air temperature in Northwest China by the Weather Research and Forecasting(WRF) model. International Geosphere–Biosphere Program(IGBP) landuse data with 500-m spatial resolution are generated from Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer(MODIS)satellite products. These data are used to replace the default U.S. Geological Survey(USGS) land-use data in the WRF model. Based on the data recorded by national basic meteorological observing stations in Northwest China, results are compared and evaluated. It is found that replacing the default USGS land-use data in the WRF model with the IGBP data improves the ability of the model to simulate surface air temperature in Northwest China in July and December 2015. Errors in the simulated daytime surface air temperature are reduced, while the results vary between seasons. There is some variation in the degree and range of impacts of land-use data on surface air temperature among seasons. Using the IGBP data, the simulated daytime surface air temperature in July 2015 improves at a relatively small number of stations, but to a relatively large degree; whereas the simulation of daytime surface air temperature in December 2015 improves at almost all stations, but only to a relatively small degree(within 1°C). Mitigation of daytime surface air temperature overestimation in July 2015 is influenced mainly by the change in ground heat flux. The modification of underestimated temperature comes mainly from the improvement of simulated net radiation in December 2015.展开更多
文摘利用政府间气候变化委员会第四次评估报告(the Fourth Assessment Report of the Intergov-ernmental Panel on Climate Change,IPCC AR4)的14个全球气候耦合模式对中国淮河流域气温和降水的模拟能力进行了评估,预估了该地区21世纪的降水和气温变化。同时,还分析了14个气候模式对1961-1999年气温和降水的模拟能力,并且根据Taylor方法选取具有较好模拟能力的模式做集合分析。结果表明,不同的气候模式对淮河流域的气温和降水都具有一定的模拟能力,但大多数模式模拟的气温偏低、降水偏多;选取的模式集合可以明显改善模式的模拟能力,但是没有表现出明显的优势。对淮河流域降水和气温未来情景的预估表明,各模式给出的情景结果尽管存在一定的差异,但模拟的21世纪气候变化的趋势基本一致,即气温持续增加,降水出现区域性增加;还重点分析了14个模式集合的结果在2010-2039年、2040-2069年和2070-2099年3个时段的年平均、季节平均降水和气温变化及其时空变化特征,结果表明,3个时段的气温和降水在不同情景下都是逐渐增加的,A2情景下增幅最显著,B1情景下增幅最小。
基金supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China (Grant No. 30370830)
文摘Plant temperature （Tp） and its relations to the microclimate of rice colony and irrigation water were studied using a thermo-sensitive genic male sterile （TGMS） rice line, Pei＇ai 64S. Significant differences in the daily change of temperature were detected between Tp and air temperature at the height of 150 cm （TA）. From 8：00 to 20：00, Tp was lower than TA, but they were similar during 21：00 to next 7：00. The maximum Tp occurred one hour earlier than the maximum TA, though they both reached the minimum at 6：00. Tp fluctuated less than TA. At the same height, during 6：00-13：00, Tp was higher than air temperature （Ta）, and Tp reached the maximum one hour earlier than Ta. During the rest time on sunny day, Tp was close to or even a little lower than Ta. On overcast day, Tp was higher than Ta in the whole day, and both maximized at the same time. In addition, Tp was regulated by solar radiation, cloudage and wind speed in daytime, and by irrigation water at night. The present study indicated that a TA of 29.6℃ was the critical point, at which Tp was increased or decreased by irrigation water. Tp and the difference between water and air temperatures showed a conic relation. Tp fluctuation was also regulated by the absorption or reflection of solar radiation by leaves during daytime and release of heat energy during nighttime. By analysis on correlation and regression simulation, two models of Tp were established.
基金Supported by the China Meteorological Administration Special Public Welfare Research Fund(GYHY201506001)National Natural Science Foundation of China(41675015)
文摘This study examines the impacts of land-use data on the simulation of surface air temperature in Northwest China by the Weather Research and Forecasting(WRF) model. International Geosphere–Biosphere Program(IGBP) landuse data with 500-m spatial resolution are generated from Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer(MODIS)satellite products. These data are used to replace the default U.S. Geological Survey(USGS) land-use data in the WRF model. Based on the data recorded by national basic meteorological observing stations in Northwest China, results are compared and evaluated. It is found that replacing the default USGS land-use data in the WRF model with the IGBP data improves the ability of the model to simulate surface air temperature in Northwest China in July and December 2015. Errors in the simulated daytime surface air temperature are reduced, while the results vary between seasons. There is some variation in the degree and range of impacts of land-use data on surface air temperature among seasons. Using the IGBP data, the simulated daytime surface air temperature in July 2015 improves at a relatively small number of stations, but to a relatively large degree; whereas the simulation of daytime surface air temperature in December 2015 improves at almost all stations, but only to a relatively small degree(within 1°C). Mitigation of daytime surface air temperature overestimation in July 2015 is influenced mainly by the change in ground heat flux. The modification of underestimated temperature comes mainly from the improvement of simulated net radiation in December 2015.
