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4种小儿危重死亡评分对危重患儿死亡风险的预测价值 被引量:41
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作者 张丽丹 黄慧敏 +5 位作者 程玉才 徐玲玲 黄雪琼 裴瑜馨 唐雯 覃肇源 《中华危重病急救医学》 CAS CSCD 北大核心 2018年第1期51-56,共6页
目的 探讨小儿危重病例评分(PCIS)、儿童死亡风险评分Ⅲ(PRISMⅢ)、儿童器官功能障碍评分2(PELOD-2)、儿童多器官功能障碍评分(P-MODS)对危重患儿死亡风险的预测价值.方法 回顾性分析2012年8月至2017年5月入住中山大学附属第一... 目的 探讨小儿危重病例评分(PCIS)、儿童死亡风险评分Ⅲ(PRISMⅢ)、儿童器官功能障碍评分2(PELOD-2)、儿童多器官功能障碍评分(P-MODS)对危重患儿死亡风险的预测价值.方法 回顾性分析2012年8月至2017年5月入住中山大学附属第一医院儿童重症加强治疗病房(PICU)的461例危重患儿的临床资料,收集所有患儿的性别、年龄、基础疾病、PICU住院时间;根据住院期间临床结局将患儿分为存活组和死亡组.记录两组患儿入PICU后24 h内PCIS、PRISMⅢ、PELOD-2、P-MODS相关生理学参数并评分;绘制受试者工作特征曲线(ROC),采用ROC曲线下面积(AUC)评估PCIS、PRISMⅢ、PELOD-2、P-MODS对死亡的预测能力;采用Hosmer-Lemeshow拟合优度检验,评估各项评分系统预测病死率与实际病死率的拟合度.结果 461例危重患儿中35例因资料严重缺失、住院未超过24 h、入院8 h内死亡而被排除,最终426例患儿纳入分析;住院期间存活355例,死亡71例,病死率16.7%.两组患儿性别、年龄、基础疾病及PICU住院时间比较差异无统计学意义;死亡组PCIS评分明显低于存活组〔分:80(76,88)比86(80,92)〕,PRISMⅢ、PELOD-2及P-MODS评分均明显高于存活组〔PRISMⅢ(分):16(13,22)比12(10,15),PELOD-2(分):6(5,9)比4(2,5),P-MODS(分):6(4,9)比3(2,6),均P〈0.01〕.ROC曲线分析显示,PCIS、PRISMⅢ、PELOD-2和P-MODS评分预测危重患儿死亡的AUC分别为0.649、0.731、0.773、0.747.Hosmer-Lemeshow拟合优度检验结果显示,PCIS预测病死率与实际病死率的拟合效果最好(χ2=7.573,P=0.476);PELOD-2、P-MODS预测病死率与实际病死率的拟合效果尚可(χ12=9.551,P1=0.145;χ22=10.343,P2=0.111);而PRISMⅢ预测病死率与实际病死率拟合效果不佳(χ2=43.549,P〈0.001).结论 PRISMⅢ、PELOD-2、P-MODS均可较好预测危重患儿的预后,准确评估病情;PCIS的预测病死率与实际病� 展开更多
关键词 危重评分 死亡评分 预测 病死率
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基于ISS评估急诊科多发创伤患者滞留时间与其转归分析 被引量:32
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作者 王曼维 李岩 +2 位作者 鱼锋 李笠 赵斌 《中华急诊医学杂志》 CAS CSCD 北大核心 2020年第4期578-581,共4页
目的基于ISS评估急诊科多发创伤患者滞留时间的临床影响因素,并分析滞留时间与患者病死率的相关性。方法选取2013年10月至2016年11月经我院急诊科收治的多发创伤患者244例,评估、记录患者ISS评分,统计患者的一般资料、急诊滞留时间及此... 目的基于ISS评估急诊科多发创伤患者滞留时间的临床影响因素,并分析滞留时间与患者病死率的相关性。方法选取2013年10月至2016年11月经我院急诊科收治的多发创伤患者244例,评估、记录患者ISS评分,统计患者的一般资料、急诊滞留时间及此次就诊的转归。结果研究显示,涉及患者244例,男性191例、女性53例,急诊滞留时间(117.25±87.442)min,数据显示临床转归为死亡的人数46例。结论:多发性创伤患者ISS分值越高在急诊科的滞留时间相对越长,急诊滞留时间延长的患者病死率相对较高,多发性创伤ISS分值更高则病死率更高。 展开更多
关键词 多发性创伤 ISS评分 急诊滞留时间 病死率
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Criteria for the diagnosis and severity stratification of acute pancreatitis 被引量:24
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作者 Makoto Otsuki Kazunori Takeda +8 位作者 Seiki Matsuno Yasuyuki Kihara Masaru Koizumi Masahiko Hirota Tetsuhide Ito Keisho Kataoka Motoji Kitagawa Kazuo Inui Yoshifumi Takeyama 《World Journal of Gastroenterology》 SCIE CAS 2013年第35期5798-5805,共8页
Recent diagnostic and therapeutic progress for severe acute pancreatitis(SAP)remarkably decreased the casemortality rate.To further decrease the mortality rate of SAP,it is important to precisely evaluate the severity... Recent diagnostic and therapeutic progress for severe acute pancreatitis(SAP)remarkably decreased the casemortality rate.To further decrease the mortality rate of SAP,it is important to precisely evaluate the severity at an early stage,and initiate appropriate treatment as early as possible.Research Committee of Intractable Diseases of the Pancreas in Japan developed simpler criteria combining routinely available data with clinical signs.Severity can be evaluated by laboratory examinations or by clinical signs,reducing the defect values of the severity factors.Moreover,the severity criteria considered laboratory/clinical severity scores and contrastenhanced computed tomography(CE-CT)findings as independent risk factors.Thus,CE-CT scans are not necessarily required to evaluate the severity of acute pancreatitis.There was no fatal case in mild AP diagnosed by the CE-CT severity score,whereas case-mortality rate in those with SAP was 14.8%.Case-mortality of SAP that fulfilled both the laboratory/clinical and the CE-CT severity criteria was 30.8%.It is recommended,therefore,to perform CE-CT examination to clarify the prognosis in those patients who were diagnosed as SAP by laboratory/clinical severity criteria.Because the mortality rate of these patients with SAP is high,such patients should be transferred to advanced medical units. 展开更多
关键词 Severe acute PANCREATITIS SEVERITY score SCORING system PROGNOSTIC factors Case-mortality
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Prognostic value of risk scoring systems for cirrhotic patients with variceal bleeding 被引量:22
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作者 Xin-Xing Tantai Na Liu +4 位作者 Long-Bao Yang Zhong-Cao Wei Cai-Lan Xiao Ya-Hua Song Jin-Hai Wang 《World Journal of Gastroenterology》 SCIE CAS 2019年第45期6668-6680,共13页
BACKGROUND Acute variceal bleeding is one of the deadliest complications of cirrhosis,with a high risk of in-hospital rebleeding and mortality.Some risk scoring systems to predict clinical outcomes in patients with up... BACKGROUND Acute variceal bleeding is one of the deadliest complications of cirrhosis,with a high risk of in-hospital rebleeding and mortality.Some risk scoring systems to predict clinical outcomes in patients with upper gastrointestinal bleeding have been developed.However,for cirrhotic patients with variceal bleeding,data regarding the predictive value of these prognostic scores in predicting in-hospital outcomes are limited and controversial.AIM To validate and compare the overall performance of selected prognostic scoring systems for predicting in-hospital outcomes in cirrhotic patients with variceal bleeding.METHODS From March 2017 to June 2019,cirrhotic patients with acute variceal bleeding were retrospectively enrolled at the Second Affiliated Hospital of Xi’an Jiaotong University.The clinical Rockall score(CRS),AIMS65 score(AIMS65),Glasgow-Blatchford score(GBS),modified GBS(mGBS),Canada-United Kingdom-Australia score(CANUKA),Child-Turcotte-Pugh score(CTP),model for endstage liver disease(MELD)and MELD-Na were calculated.The overall performance of these prognostic scoring systems was evaluated.RESULTS A total of 330 cirrhotic patients with variceal bleeding were enrolled;the rates of in-hospital rebleeding and mortality were 20.3%and 10.6%,respectively.For inhospital rebleeding,the discriminative ability of the CTP and CRS were clinically acceptable,with area under the receiver operating characteristic curves(AUROCs)of 0.717(0.648-0.787)and 0.716(0.638-0.793),respectively.The other tested scoring systems had poor discriminative ability(AUROCs<0.7).For inhospital mortality,the CRS,CTP,AIMS65,MELD-Na and MELD showed excellent discriminative ability(AUROCs>0.8).The AUROCs of the mGBS,CANUKA and GBS were relatively small,but clinically acceptable(AUROCs>0.7).Furthermore,the calibration of all scoring systems was good for either inhospital rebleeding or death.CONCLUSION For cirrhotic patients with variceal bleeding,in-hospital rebleeding and mortality rates remain high.The CTP and CRS can be used clinically t 展开更多
关键词 CIRRHOSIS Variceal BLEEDING REBLEEDING mortality Risk score
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New injury severity score(NISS)outperforms injury severity score(ISS)in the evaluation of severe blunt trauma patients 被引量:18
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作者 Hui Li Yue-Feng Ma 《Chinese Journal of Traumatology》 CAS CSCD 2021年第5期261-265,共5页
Purpose:The injury severity score(ISS)and new injury severity score(NISS)have been widely used in trauma evaluation.However,which scoring system is better in trauma outcome prediction is still disputed.The purpose of ... Purpose:The injury severity score(ISS)and new injury severity score(NISS)have been widely used in trauma evaluation.However,which scoring system is better in trauma outcome prediction is still disputed.The purpose of this study is to evaluate the value of the two scoring systems in predicting trauma outcomes,including mortality,intensive care unit(ICU)admission and ICU length of stay.Methods:The data were collected retrospectively from three hospitals in Zhejiang province,China.The comparisons of NISS and ISS in predicting outcomes were performed by using receiver operator characteristic(ROC)curves and Hosmer-Lemeshow statistics.Results:A total of 1825 blunt trauma patients were enrolled in our study.Finally,1243 patients were admitted to ICU,and 215 patients died before discharge.The ISS and NISS were equivalent in predicting mortality(area under ORC curve[AUC]:0.886 vs.0.887,p=0.9113).But for the patients with ISS>25,NISS showed better performance in predicting mortality.NISS was also significantly better than ISS in predicting ICU admission and prolonged ICU length of stay.Conclusion:NISS outperforms ISS in predicting the outcomes for severe blunt trauma and can be an essential supplement of ISS.Considering the convenience of NISS in calculation,it is advantageous to promote NISS in China's primary hospitals. 展开更多
关键词 Injury severity score New injury severity score mortality Intensive care units
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MELD score can predict early mortality in patients with rebleeding after band ligation for variceal bleeding 被引量:18
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作者 Chun-Yen Lin I-Shyan Sheen +5 位作者 Tsung-Nan Lin Chun-Jung Lin Wen-Juei Jeng Chien-Hao Huang Yu-Pin Ho Cheng-Tang Chiu 《World Journal of Gastroenterology》 SCIE CAS CSCD 2011年第16期2120-2125,共6页
AIM:To investigate the outcomes,as well as risk factors for 6-wk mortality,in patients with early rebleeding after endoscopic variceal band ligation (EVL) for esophageal variceal hemorrhage (EVH).METHODS:Among 817 EVL... AIM:To investigate the outcomes,as well as risk factors for 6-wk mortality,in patients with early rebleeding after endoscopic variceal band ligation (EVL) for esophageal variceal hemorrhage (EVH).METHODS:Among 817 EVL procedures performed for EVH between January 2007 and December 2008,128 patients with early rebleeding,defined as rebleeding within 6 wk after EVL,were enrolled for analysis.RESULT:The rate of early rebleeding after EVL for acute EVH was 15.6% (128/817).The 5-d,6-wk,3-mo,and 6-mo mortality rates were 7.8%,38.3%,55.5%,and 58.6%,respectively,in these early rebleeding patients.The use of beta-blockers,occurrence of hypovolemic shock,and higher model for end-stage liver disease (MELD) score at the time of rebleeding were independent predictors for 6-wk mortality.A cut-off value of 21.5 for the MELD score was found with an area under ROC curve of 0.862 (P < 0.001).The sensitivity,specificity,positive predictive value,and negative predictive value were 77.6%,81%,71.7%,and 85.3%,respectively.As for the 6-mo survival rate,patients with a MELD score ≥ 21.5 had a significantly lower survival rate than patients with a MELD score < 21.5 (P < 0.001).CONCLUSION:This study demonstrated that the MELD score is an easy and powerful predictor for 6-wk mortality and outcomes of patients with early rebleeding after EVL for EVH. 展开更多
关键词 Model for end-stage liver disease score Esophageal variceal hemorrhage REBLEEDING CIRRHOSIS mortality
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心脏瓣膜手术在院死亡风险预测模型及评分标准的建立 被引量:14
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作者 王崇 韩林 +2 位作者 张冠鑫 李白翎 徐志云 《中国胸心血管外科临床杂志》 CAS 2011年第1期2-10,共9页
目的为提高心脏瓣膜手术围术期的安全性,建立我国心脏瓣膜手术在院死亡的风险预测模型及评分标准。方法纳入1998年1月1日至2008年12月31日于长海医院接受主动脉瓣置换术、二尖瓣置换术、二尖瓣成形术和二尖瓣+主动脉瓣联合手术患者共4 ... 目的为提高心脏瓣膜手术围术期的安全性,建立我国心脏瓣膜手术在院死亡的风险预测模型及评分标准。方法纳入1998年1月1日至2008年12月31日于长海医院接受主动脉瓣置换术、二尖瓣置换术、二尖瓣成形术和二尖瓣+主动脉瓣联合手术患者共4 032例的临床资料,其中男1876例(46.53%),女2156例(53.47%);年龄45.90±13.60岁。根据左侧房室瓣的手术部位,将患者分为二尖瓣手术组(n=1910)、主动脉瓣手术组(n=724)和二尖瓣+主动脉瓣联合手术组(n=1398)3组;并将纳入患者的60%作为建模亚库(n=2418),40%作为验证亚库(n=1 614)。采用单因素分析和多因素logistic回归分析建立模型,通过Hosmer-Lemeshow(H-L)卡方检验及受试者工作特征(receiver operating characteristic,ROC)曲线下面积评价模型预测校准度和鉴别效度,据模型中各危险因素的权重系数及其变量类型构建风险预测的评分标准。结果总在院病死率为4.74%(191/4032)。多因素logistic回归分析发现,三尖瓣关闭不全[OR=1.33,95%CI(1.071,1.648)]、主动脉瓣狭窄[OR=1.34,95%CI(1.082,1.659)]、慢性肺部疾病[OR=2.11,95%CI(1.292,3.455)]、左心室射血分数[OR=1.55,95%CI(1.081,2.234)]、术前危重状态[OR=2.69,95%CI(1.499,4.821)]、心功能分级(NYHA)[OR=2.75,95%CI(1.343,5.641)]、同期冠状动脉旁路移植术(CABG)[OR=3.02,95%CI(1.405,6.483)]以及术前最后一次血清肌酐水平[OR=4.16,95%CI(1.979,8.766)]为心瓣膜手术在院死亡的独立危险因子。各组预测校准度较好,H-L卡方检验P均〉0.05(建模亚库组:χ^2=1.615,P=0.830;验证亚库组:χ^2=2.218,P=0.200;二尖瓣手术组:χ^2=5.175,P=0.470;主动脉瓣手术组:χ^2=12.708,P=0.090;二尖瓣+主动脉瓣手术组:χ^2=3.875,P=0.380),而ROC曲线下面积均〉0.70[建模亚库组:0.757,95%CI(0.712,0.802);验证亚库组:0.754,95% CI(0.701,0.806);二尖瓣手术� 展开更多
关键词 心脏瓣膜手术 风险预测模型 风险评分 在院死亡
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Effects of early rehabilitation therapy on patients with mechanical ventilation 被引量:13
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作者 Ze-hua Dong Bang-xu Yu +2 位作者 Yun-bo Sun Wei Fang Lei Li 《World Journal of Emergency Medicine》 CAS 2014年第1期48-52,共5页
BACKGROUND: For patients in intensive care unit(ICU), mechanical ventilation is an effective treatment to survive from acute illness and improve survival rates. However, long periods of bed rest and restricted physica... BACKGROUND: For patients in intensive care unit(ICU), mechanical ventilation is an effective treatment to survive from acute illness and improve survival rates. However, long periods of bed rest and restricted physical activity can result in side effects. This study aimed to investigate the feasibility of early rehabilitation therapy in patients with mechanical ventilation.METHODS: A randomized controlled trial was carried out. Sixty patients, with tracheal intubation or tracheostomy more than 48 hours and less than 72 hours, were admitted to the ICU of the Affiliated Hospital of Medical College, Qingdao University, from May 2010 to May 2012. These patients were randomly divided into a rehabilitation group and a control group. In the rehabilitation group, rehabilitation therapy was performed twice daily, and the training time and intensity were adjusted according to the condition of the patients. Early rehabilitation therapy included heading up actively, transferring from the supine position to sitting position, sitting at the edge of the bed, sitting in chair, transferring from sitting to standing, and ambulating bedside. The patient's body mass index, days to first out of bed, duration of mechanical ventilation, length of ICU stay, APACHE II score, highest FiO2, lowest PaO2/FiO2 and hospital mortality of patients were all compared between the rehabilitation group and the control group. The differences between the two groups were compared using Student's t test.RESULTS: There was no significant difference in body mass index, APACHE II score, highest FiO2, lowest PaO2/FiO2 and hospital mortality between the rehabilitation group and the control group(P>0.05). Patients in the rehabilitation group had shorter days to first out of bed(3.8±1.2 d vs. 7.3±2.8 d; P=0.00), duration of mechanical ventilation(5.6±2.1 d vs. 12.7±4.1 d; P=0.005) and length of ICU stay(12.7±4.1 d vs. 15.2±4.5 d; P=0.01) compared with the control group.CONCLUSION: Early rehabilitation therapy was feasible and effective in improving the ou 展开更多
关键词 Early rehabilitation therapy Mechanical ventilation Intensive care unit Hospital mortality APACHE II score
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GRACE 评分用于急性肺栓塞危险分层的研究 被引量:12
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作者 赵梦华 宋文奇 +4 位作者 徐宝元 田洪森 张凯 石建平 王泰然 《中国急救医学》 CAS CSCD 北大核心 2014年第4期338-341,共4页
目的:探讨全球急性冠状动脉事件注册( GRACE)评分预测急性肺栓塞患者临床转归的适用性。方法对103例连续性急性肺栓塞住院患者进行了GRACE评分、Geneva预后评分、简化急性肺栓塞严重程度指数和欧洲心脏病学会评分检测,并对上述预后... 目的:探讨全球急性冠状动脉事件注册( GRACE)评分预测急性肺栓塞患者临床转归的适用性。方法对103例连续性急性肺栓塞住院患者进行了GRACE评分、Geneva预后评分、简化急性肺栓塞严重程度指数和欧洲心脏病学会评分检测,并对上述预后评分方法预测主要终点(30 d全因病死率)的效能进行了分析和比较。预测效能的评估指标为受试者工作特征曲线下面积(AUC)。结果纳入此研究患者的30 d全因病死率为18.4%。依据GRACE评分分类为低危组的患者均未发生不良事件( GRACE 评分≤109的阴性预测值为100%)。 GRACE 评分(AUC 0.715,95%CI 0.63~0.80)比Geneva预后评分(AUC 0.623,95%CI 0.53~0.71)、欧洲心脏病学会评分(AUC 0.662,95%CI 0.57~0.76)及简化急性肺栓塞严重程度指数(AUC 0.705,95%CI 0.61~0.80)具有更高的预测效能。结论 GRACE评分有预测急性肺栓塞患者30 d病死率的价值。 展开更多
关键词 急性肺栓塞 全球急性冠状动脉事件注册( GRACE)评分 Geneva预后评分 简化急性肺栓塞严重程度指数(sPESI) 欧洲心脏病学会(ESC)评分 病死率 Simplified pulmonary EMBOLISM severity index (sPESI)
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MELD评分联合NLR预测肝硬化患者短期预后的价值 被引量:12
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作者 陈卉 谭诗云 《医学研究杂志》 2019年第5期143-147,共5页
目的探讨终末期肝病模型(model for end-stage liver disease,MELD)评分结合中性粒细胞-淋巴细胞比值(neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio,NLR)预测肝硬化患者短期预后的价值。方法回顾性分析2017年1~12月在笔者医院住院的408例肝硬化患者... 目的探讨终末期肝病模型(model for end-stage liver disease,MELD)评分结合中性粒细胞-淋巴细胞比值(neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio,NLR)预测肝硬化患者短期预后的价值。方法回顾性分析2017年1~12月在笔者医院住院的408例肝硬化患者的临床资料,根据3个月预后情况,将患者分为生存组330例,死亡组78例。入院后24h内测量NLR,肝肾功能和凝血功能,并计算MELD评分及MELD相关评分系统评分。运用受试者工作特征曲线(ROC)下面积(AUC)评估MELD评分结合NLR预测肝硬化患者3个月预后的准确性。结果与生存组比较,死亡组年龄、总胆红素、肌酐、凝血酶原时间、国际标准化比值、MELD、NLR均显著升高,血红蛋白、白蛋白、血清钠均降低(P<0.05),差异有统计学意义;年龄、NLR为肝硬化患者预后的独立危险因素,血红蛋白为其保护因素;MELD评分与NLR的AUC相当(0.746vs0.739),所有评分系统中,iMELD-NLR的AUC最高为0.847;对于低MELD评分人群,NLR也有较高的诊断价值,其AUC为0.743。结论MELD评分结合NLR对预测肝硬化患者的短期预后具有良好的价值。 展开更多
关键词 肝硬化 MELD评分 病死率 中性粒细胞-淋巴细胞比值
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Modified physiological and operative score for the enumeration of mortality and morbidity risk assessment model in general surgery 被引量:10
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作者 Lian-An Ding Li-Qun Sun +2 位作者 Shuang-Xi Chen Lin-Lin Qu Dong-Fang Xie 《World Journal of Gastroenterology》 SCIE CAS CSCD 2007年第38期5090-5095,共6页
AIM: To establish a scoring system for predicting the incidence of postoperative complications and mortality in general surgery based on the physiological and operative severity score for the enumeration of mortality ... AIM: To establish a scoring system for predicting the incidence of postoperative complications and mortality in general surgery based on the physiological and operative severity score for the enumeration of mortality and morbidity (POSSUM), and to evaluate its efficacy. METHODS: Eighty-four patients with postoperative complications or death and 172 patients without postoperative complications, who underwent surgery in our department during the previous 2 years, were retrospectively analyzed by logistic regression. Fifteen indexes were investigated including age, cardiovascular function, respiratory function, blood test results, endocrine function, central nervous system function, hepatic function, renal function, nutritional status, extent of operative trauma, and course of anesthesia. Modified POSSUM (M-POSSUM) was developed using significant risk factors with its efficacy evaluated. RESULTS: The significant risk factors were found to be age, cardiovascular function, respiratory function, hepatic function, renal function, blood test results, endocrine function, nutritional status, duration of operation, intraoperative blood loss, and course of anesthesia. These factors were all included in the scoring system. There were significant differences in the scores between the patients with and without postoperative complications, between the patients died and survived with complications, and between the patients died and survived without complications. The receiver operating characteristic curves showed that the M-POSSUM could accurately predict postoperative complications and mortality.CONCLUSION: M-POSSUM correlates well with postoperative complications and mortality, and is more accurate than POSSUM. 展开更多
关键词 Physiological and operative severity score for the enumeration of mortality and morbidity Postoperative morbidity mortality Preoperative assessment General surgery Critical illness
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小儿死亡危险评分的临床应用 被引量:8
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作者 张剑珲 曾其毅 陶建平 《实用儿科临床杂志》 CAS CSCD 北大核心 2005年第6期569-570,共2页
目的观察小儿死亡危险评分(PRISM评分)与PICU急性危重症患儿预后的关系。方法对2003年2-10月PICU收治急性危重症45例,回顾性评定PRISM评分,并依据评分分组,记录患儿临床资料和住院时间、预后。结果PRISM 评分<15分24例,>15分21例... 目的观察小儿死亡危险评分(PRISM评分)与PICU急性危重症患儿预后的关系。方法对2003年2-10月PICU收治急性危重症45例,回顾性评定PRISM评分,并依据评分分组,记录患儿临床资料和住院时间、预后。结果PRISM 评分<15分24例,>15分21例。两组年龄、体质量和院内感染率均无显著差异(P均>0.05)。两组死亡率分别为8.1%(2/ 24例)和38.1%(8/21例),PRISM评分<15分组死亡率明显低于>15分组(x2=4.14 P<0.05)。PRISM>15分组存活病例住院天数(13.2±6.1)d显著长于PRISM<15分组(9.7±8.5)d(t=1.74.P<0.05)。结论PRISM评分越高,死亡率随之增加。PRISM评分增高,患儿住院时间越长。PRISM评分能够准确评估急性危重症病人的严重程度和预后。 展开更多
关键词 死亡危险评分 死亡率 婴儿
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运用倾向性评分的方法探讨联合使用灯盏细辛注射液对冠心病患者临床结局的影响 被引量:10
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作者 申浩 杨伟 +1 位作者 谢雁鸣 曾宪斌 《中国中药杂志》 CAS CSCD 北大核心 2013年第18期3166-3171,共6页
灯盏细辛注射液是临床上治疗冠心病的常用中药注射剂,为探讨联合使用灯盏细辛注射液对冠心病临床结局的影响。该文基18家三甲综合医院的HIS(hospital information system,HIS)数据库所收集的所有联合使用了灯盏细辛注射液与未联合使用... 灯盏细辛注射液是临床上治疗冠心病的常用中药注射剂,为探讨联合使用灯盏细辛注射液对冠心病临床结局的影响。该文基18家三甲综合医院的HIS(hospital information system,HIS)数据库所收集的所有联合使用了灯盏细辛注射液与未联合使用灯盏细辛注射液患者的信息、采用GBM倾向评分加权法,控制本研究数据中存在的大量混杂因素,采用Logistic回归、倾向性评分加权的Logistic回归、带协变量调整的倾向性评分加权Logistic回归,分析使用灯盏细辛注射液对临床结局的影响。结果显示控制了混杂因素之后,联合使用灯盏细辛注射液相对于未联合使用灯盏细辛组其针对冠心病患者的死亡率存在统计学差异。说明联合使用灯盏细辛能降低冠心病患者的死亡率,但鉴于该文属于回顾性的研究,可能存在大量未知的混杂因素,该研究结果仍有待前瞻性研究做进一步证实。 展开更多
关键词 灯盏细辛注射液 冠心病 倾向性评分 死亡率 真实世界
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主动脉内球囊反搏术在ST段抬高型心肌梗死患者中不同TIMI评分的疗效分析 被引量:9
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作者 曹佳宁 刘文娴 《心肺血管病杂志》 CAS 2014年第6期808-812,共5页
目的:探讨IABP辅助治疗对不同的TIMI评分的ST段抬高型心肌梗死(STEMI)患者,近期疗效的影响.方法:回顾性分析本院心内科,2005年7月至2013年7月间,未发生机械并发症(室间隔穿孔、严重瓣膜反流及心脏游离缘破裂)并且院内生存24小时... 目的:探讨IABP辅助治疗对不同的TIMI评分的ST段抬高型心肌梗死(STEMI)患者,近期疗效的影响.方法:回顾性分析本院心内科,2005年7月至2013年7月间,未发生机械并发症(室间隔穿孔、严重瓣膜反流及心脏游离缘破裂)并且院内生存24小时以上的急性心肌梗死患者898例的临床资料,其中应用IABP机械辅助的有294例患者.将患者按照针对STEMI的TIMI评分方法分为低危组(0~3分)、中危组(4~7分)、高危组(8~14分).分析不同危险度患者应用IABP辅助治疗的临床效果.结果:低危组429例患者中,应用IABP的患者数量较少(23例),IABP治疗组与常规治疗组均无院内死亡,未见明显不同;在中危组(293例)中,IABP治疗组(119例)与常规治疗组(174例)相比,院内病死率明显降低(5.0% vs.12.1%,P<0.05);高危组(176例)中,应用IABP患者(152例)较常规药物治疗组(24例)院内病死率较低(18.4% vs.29.2%),但无统计学差异(P =0.220).多变量Logistic回归结果:IABP为具有统计学意义的保护因素(OR=0.109,95% CI:0.025~0.484,P=0.004).结论:在TIMI评分4-7分(中危组)的患者中,应用IABP可以提高患者在院期间生存率. 展开更多
关键词 主动脉内球囊反搏术 ST抬高型心肌梗死 TIMI评分 院内死亡
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京沪妇女保健服务的公平性简析:基于文献分析视角 被引量:9
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作者 左姣 王旭 +9 位作者 于明珠 徐天强 郝超 陈政 沈群红 徐凌忠 蒲川 胡志 郝模 李程跃 《中国卫生资源》 北大核心 2019年第1期1-5,共5页
目的基于文献视角,分析京沪两地妇女保健(以下简称“妇保”)服务提供不公平性的严重程度及其差异,探索提升服务公平性的重要意义以及定量评价服务公平性的可行性。方法系统收集1995—2017年所有涉及北京、上海两地妇保服务公平性问题的... 目的基于文献视角,分析京沪两地妇女保健(以下简称“妇保”)服务提供不公平性的严重程度及其差异,探索提升服务公平性的重要意义以及定量评价服务公平性的可行性。方法系统收集1995—2017年所有涉及北京、上海两地妇保服务公平性问题的文献,采用“五分度评分法”半定量评判服务提供不公平性的严重程度。运用Spearman相关分析和线性回归分析分析服务提供不公平性的严重程度评分与孕产妇死亡率的关系。结果京沪两地妇保服务提供不公平性的严重程度均呈下降趋势,北京市从2000年的4.00分下降至2017年的2.60分,上海市从2000年的4.00分下降至2017年的2.71分。两地的妇保服务不公平性严重程度与孕产妇死亡率之间均呈正相关,相关系数分别为0.515和0.715。结论京沪两地妇女保健服务公平性得到改善,上海市服务公平性改善的作用优于北京市,但两地仍有提升空间。适宜的妇保体系应确保城乡、不同族群、不同区域、不同收入人群获得服务的公平性。同时,验证了基于文献分析评价妇保服务公平性具有可行性。 展开更多
关键词 妇女保健 服务提供 公平性 严重程度评分 孕产妇死亡率 Spearman相关分析 线性回归分析
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EuroSCORE模型对心瓣膜手术患者死亡风险的预测 被引量:8
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作者 王崇 张冠鑫 +2 位作者 韩林 朱吉 徐志云 《中国胸心血管外科临床杂志》 CAS 2011年第3期189-193,共5页
目的评价欧洲心脏手术风险评估系统(European System for Cardiac Operative Risk Evaluation,EuroSCORE)模型预测行心脏瓣膜手术患者在院死亡率的准确性。方法收集1998年1月至2008年12月于第二军医大学长海医院因心脏瓣膜疾病行外科治... 目的评价欧洲心脏手术风险评估系统(European System for Cardiac Operative Risk Evaluation,EuroSCORE)模型预测行心脏瓣膜手术患者在院死亡率的准确性。方法收集1998年1月至2008年12月于第二军医大学长海医院因心脏瓣膜疾病行外科治疗4 155例患者的临床资料,其中男1 955例,女2 200例;年龄45.90±13.64岁。先按additive及logistic EuroSCORE两种方法评分,将患者分为低风险(n=981)、中风险(n=2 492)、高风险(n=682)3个亚组,比较全组及各亚组患者的实际与预测死亡率。模型预测的校准度用Hosmer-Lemeshow卡方检验,预测的鉴别度采用受试者工作特征(receiver operating characteristic,ROC)曲线下面积检验。结果 4 155例患者在院死亡205例,实际在院死亡率4.93%;additive EuroSCORE预测死亡率为3.80%,而logisticEuroSCORE为3.30%;提示两种评分方法均低估了实际在院死亡率(χ2=11.13,44.34,P<0.05)。additiveEuroSCORE对高风险亚组在院死亡预测校准度较高(χ2=3.61,P=0.31),但对低风险亚组(χ2=0.00,P<0.01)及中风险亚组(χ2=14.72,P<0.01)较低;而logistic EuroSCORE对低风险亚组(χ2=1.66,P=0.88)及高风险亚组(χ2=11.71,P=0.11)在院死亡预测准确性均较高,却低估了中风险亚组(χ2=17.48,P<0.01)的实际在院死亡率。两种评分方法对全组患者在院死亡预测的鉴别度均较差(ROC曲线下面积分别为0.676和0.677)。结论 EuroSCORE模型对本中心心瓣膜手术患者死亡风险预测的准确性较差,不适合本中心心瓣膜手术的风险预测,在今后的临床实践中应慎重使用。 展开更多
关键词 心脏瓣膜手术 EUROscore 风险预测 死亡率
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Comparison of Child-Pugh, MELD, MELD-Na, and ALBI Scores in Predicting In-Hospital Mortality in Patients with HCC
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作者 Yun Liu Lijian Ran +4 位作者 Hongjia Zhang Heling Ren Xin Jiang Pinliang Liao Min Ou 《International Journal of Clinical Medicine》 CAS 2023年第3期148-162,共15页
Background & Objectives: Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) leads to high morbidity and mortality. Various models have been proposed for predicting the outcome of patients with HCC. We aim to compare the prognostic ab... Background & Objectives: Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) leads to high morbidity and mortality. Various models have been proposed for predicting the outcome of patients with HCC. We aim to compare the prognostic abilities of Child-Pugh, MELD, MELD-Na, and ALBI scores for predicting in-hospital mortality of HCC. Methods: We enrolled patients diagnosed with liver cirrhosis and HCC from May 2017 through May 2018. We further divided eligible patients into hepatitis B virus (HBV), patients without ascites, and patients with ascites subgroups. Areas under the characteristic curves (AUCs) were analyzed. Results: A total of 495 patients were included in the study. We collected data on patients at admission. A majority of patients were infected with HBV (91.5%). None of them were complicated with hepatic encephalopathy. Only 14.9% of patients presented with ascites. In the whole population, AUCs with 95% confidence interval (CI) of Child-Pugh, ALBI, MELD, and MELD-Na scores in predicting in-hospital mortality were 0.889 (95% CI: 0.858 - 0.915), 0.849 (95% CI: 0.814 - 0.879), 0.669 (95% CI: 0.626 - 0.711), and 0.721 (95% CI: 0.679 - 0.760), respectively. In the patients without ascites subgroup, Child-Pugh showed better discriminatory ability than ALBI score in predicting in-hospital mortality (P = 0.0002), while there were no significant differences among other comparisons. Conclusions: Child-Pugh and ALBI may be useful predictors for predicting in-hospital mortality in whole patients, in patients with HBV infection, and in patients without ascites. In HCC patients with ascites, MELD-Na may be effective for predicting in-hospital mortality. 展开更多
关键词 Hepatocellular Carcinoma Child-Pugh score MELD score MELD-Na score ALBI score In-Hospital mortality
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MEWS评分在早期识别潜在危重症患者中的价值 被引量:8
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作者 庄丽玲 林玉燕 +2 位作者 庄陆香 黄秀丹 范超领 《中国卫生标准管理》 2021年第3期164-166,共3页
目的探讨改良早期预警评分(modified early warning score,MEWS)在早期识别潜在危重症患者中的应用价值。方法选取我院急诊科2017年1月-2019年1月收治的200例患者为研究对象,按照就诊顺序均分为研究组(对照组基础上采用改良早期预警评... 目的探讨改良早期预警评分(modified early warning score,MEWS)在早期识别潜在危重症患者中的应用价值。方法选取我院急诊科2017年1月-2019年1月收治的200例患者为研究对象,按照就诊顺序均分为研究组(对照组基础上采用改良早期预警评分系统)和对照组(采用常规急诊分诊流程),然后根据评分结果分流至红、黄、绿区域,比较分两组患者分诊情况、去向以及转归情况。结果研究组绿区分组占比高于对照组(P<0.05);MEWS分数越高,患者病情越重,病死率越高。结论MEWS评分系统将急诊患者病情分值化,为护理提供有效的参考数据,可准确鉴别潜在危重患者,值得临床应用。 展开更多
关键词 MEWS评分 早期识别 预警 危重症 急诊科 分诊 死亡率
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Intra-abdominal pressure monitoring in predicting outcome of patients with severe acute pancreatitis 被引量:6
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作者 Zhang, Wei-Fang Ni, Yun-Lan +3 位作者 Cai, Ling Li, Tong Fang, Xue-Ling Zhang, Yun-Tao 《Hepatobiliary & Pancreatic Diseases International》 SCIE CAS 2007年第4期420-423,共4页
BACKGROUND: Severe acute pancreatitis (SAP) is a serious disease with many complications, high mortality and poor prognosis. It is characterized by rapid deterioration and poses one of the most difficult challenges in... BACKGROUND: Severe acute pancreatitis (SAP) is a serious disease with many complications, high mortality and poor prognosis. It is characterized by rapid deterioration and poses one of the most difficult challenges in clinical practice. Previous investigations suggest that SAP is one of the main causes of intra-abdominal pressure (IAP) increase. The aim of this study was to evaluate the utility of IAP-monitoring in predicting the severity and prognosis of SAP. METHODS: Eighty-nine patients with SAP who had been treated from February 2001 to December 2005 were studied. Since bladder pressure accurately reflects IAP, we measured it instead of IAP. Bladder pressure was measured at the time of admission and every 12 hours in the course of the disease, 9 consecutive times in all. The APACHE II scores of all patients were obtained within 24 hours after admission. According to a maximum bladder pressure <10 cmH(2)O, all patients were divided into two groups, mildly-elevated and severely-elevated. Mortality and mean APACHE II scores in the two groups were calculated. In addition, the mean bladder pressure and APACHE II scores in survivors were compared with those in deaths. RESULTS: Sixty-eight of the 89 patients were in the severely-elevated group. Mortality and mean APACHE II scores in this group were much higher than those in the mildly-elevated group (mortality, 39.71% vs. 9.52%; mean APACHE II score, 23.15 +/- 7.42 vs. 15.95 +/- 5.35, P<0.01). The mean bladder pressures and APACHE II scores in deaths were significantly greater than those in survivors (mean bladder pressure, 14.1 +/- 3.8 vs. 9.2 +/- 2.3 cmH(2)O, P<0.01; mean APACHE II score, 27.83 +/- 4.87 vs. 18.37 +/- 6.74, P<0.01). CONCLUSION: It is suggested that IAP may be used as a marker of the severity and prognosis of SAP. 展开更多
关键词 severe acute pancreatitis intra-abdominal pressure APACHE II score mortality
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5分钟Apgar评分与早产儿新生儿期死亡 被引量:6
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作者 平萍 袁天明 《中国优生与遗传杂志》 2022年第11期1957-1961,共5页
目的研究5分钟Apgar评分与早产儿新生儿期(生后0~28天)死亡风险的关系。方法选择2010年9月1日至2020年9月1日浙江省绍兴市妇幼保健院出生的活产胎龄26~36^(+6)周的早产儿进行回顾性分析。根据胎龄将早产儿分组,即26~27^(+6)周组、28~29^... 目的研究5分钟Apgar评分与早产儿新生儿期(生后0~28天)死亡风险的关系。方法选择2010年9月1日至2020年9月1日浙江省绍兴市妇幼保健院出生的活产胎龄26~36^(+6)周的早产儿进行回顾性分析。根据胎龄将早产儿分组,即26~27^(+6)周组、28~29^(+6)周组、30~31^(+6)周组、32~33^(+6)周组、34~36^(+6)周组,并根据不同胎龄早产儿的5分钟Apgar评分进行分组,分成0~3分组、4~6分组以及7~10分组。分析不同5分钟Apgar评分与各胎龄组的早产儿的新生儿期死亡的关系。应用SPSS 26.0统计软件进行数据分析。计数资料以例(%)表示。采用二元Logistic回归分析混杂因素,校正混杂因素后分析5分钟Apgar评分是否为早产儿新生儿期死亡的独立危险因素及相对危险度,以P<0.05为差异有统计学意义。结果在每一胎龄组中,低5分钟Apgar评分与高的死亡校正相对危险度(aRR)相关。例如,在孕周26~27^(+6)周组早产儿中,以5分钟Apgar评分7~10分为参考,0~3分的aRR为5.8(95%CI:1.2~26.5),4~6分的aRR为1.5(95%CI:0.3~6.2)。结论低5分钟Apgar评分与高早产儿新生儿期死亡相对危险度相关。 展开更多
关键词 APGAR评分 早产儿 死亡
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