The economy of most rural locations in the semi-arid region of Llano Estacado in the southern United States is predominantly based on agriculture, primarily beef and wheat (Triticum aestivum L.) production. This regio...The economy of most rural locations in the semi-arid region of Llano Estacado in the southern United States is predominantly based on agriculture, primarily beef and wheat (Triticum aestivum L.) production. This region is prone to drought and is projected to experience a drier climate. Droughts that coincide with the critical phenological phases of a crop can be remarkably costly. Although drought cannot be prevented, its losses can be minimized through mitigation measures if it is predicted in advance. Predicting yield loss from an imminent drought is an important need of stakeholders. One way to fulfill this need is using an agricultural drought index, such as the Agricultural Reference Index for Drought (ARID). Being plant physiology-based, ARID can represent drought-yield relationships accurately. This study developed an ARID-based yield model for predicting the drought-induced yield loss for winter wheat in this region by accounting for its phenological phase-specific sensitivity to water stress. The reasonable values of the drought sensitivity coefficients of the yield model indicated that it could reflect the phenomenon of water stress decreasing the winter wheat yields in this region reasonably. The values of the various metrics used to evaluate the model, including Willmott Index (0.86), Nash-Sutcliffe Index (0.61), and percentage error (26), indicated that the yield model performed fairly well at predicting the drought-induced yield loss for winter wheat. The yield model may be useful for predicting the drought-induced yield loss for winter wheat in the study region and scheduling irrigation allocation based on phenological phase-specific drought sensitivity.展开更多
Wheat (Triticum aestivum L.) production is a major economic activity in most regional and rural areas in the Southern Plains, a semi-arid region of the United States. This region is vulnerable to drought and is projec...Wheat (Triticum aestivum L.) production is a major economic activity in most regional and rural areas in the Southern Plains, a semi-arid region of the United States. This region is vulnerable to drought and is projected to experience a drier climate in the future. Since the interannual variability in climate in this region is linked to an ocean-atmospheric phenomenon, called El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO), droughts in this region may be associated with ENSO. Droughts that occur during the critical growth phases of wheat can be extremely costly. However, the losses due to an impending drought can be minimized through mitigation measures if it is predicted in advance. Predicting the yield loss from an imminent drought is crucial for stakeholders. One of the reliable ways for such prediction is using a plant physiology-based agricultural drought index, such as Agricultural Reference Index for Drought (ARID). This study developed ENSO phase-specific, ARID-based models for predicting the drought-induced yield loss for winter wheat in this region by accounting for its phenological phase-specific sensitivity to drought. The reasonable values of the drought sensitivity coefficients of the yield model for each ENSO phase (El Niño, La Niña, or Neutral) indicated that the yield models reflected reasonably well the phenomena of water stress decreasing the winter wheat yields in this region during different ENSO phases. The values of various goodness-of-fit measures used, including the Nash-Sutcliffe Index (0.54 to 0.67), the Willmott Index (0.82 to 0.89), and the percentage error (20 to 26), indicated that the yield models performed fairly well at predicting the ENSO phase-specific loss of wheat yields from drought. This yield model may be useful for predicting yield loss from drought and scheduling irrigation allocation based on the phenological phase-specific sensitivity to drought as impacted by ENSO.展开更多
针对目前草原植被盖度和物候期监测中存在的连续工作能力差、自动监测能力弱和精确度较低问题,将固定监测、移动监测和云平台结合,研制了一种草原植被盖度与物候智能监测系统。该系统主要由固定监测子系统、移动监测子系统以及草原物候...针对目前草原植被盖度和物候期监测中存在的连续工作能力差、自动监测能力弱和精确度较低问题,将固定监测、移动监测和云平台结合,研制了一种草原植被盖度与物候智能监测系统。该系统主要由固定监测子系统、移动监测子系统以及草原物候智能监测云平台组成。固定监测子系统主要由物候相机、供电模块、通信模块、边缘计算控制器和支撑立杆等组成,移动监测子系统主要包括手持机和应用程序。草原物候智能监测云平台基于浏览器/服务器模式架构设计,具有信息查询、数据分析、数据显示和数据共享等功能。固定监测子系统和移动监测子系统可实现草原植被图像数据的采集和上传,然后通过云服务器部署的图像处理程序自动提取草原植被指数和植被盖度并存入数据库。在此基础上,通过拟合植被指数的时间序列获得植被生长曲线,并利用TIMESAT软件提取物候参数。经测试,提出的利用过绿指数(excess green index,EXG)结合最大类间方差法分割草原植被图像进而实现草原植被盖度识别的方法获得了90%的精确度,满足草原植被盖度自动化和批量化提取需求。并且,该研究在提取相对绿度指数(green chromatic coordinate,GCC)、EXG与归一化红绿差分指数(normalized green red difference index,NGRDI)植被指数的基础上,采用Double Logistic函数拟合的植被生长曲线可以准确反映植被生长周期。该系统为草原植被数智化监测和管理提供了可靠的技术和数据支撑。展开更多
Accurate estimation of rice phenology is of critical importance for agricultural practices and studies. However, the accuracy of phenological parameters extracted by remote sensing data cannot be guaranteed because of...Accurate estimation of rice phenology is of critical importance for agricultural practices and studies. However, the accuracy of phenological parameters extracted by remote sensing data cannot be guaranteed because of the influence of climate, e.g. the monsoon season, and limited available remote sensing data. In this study, we integrate the data of H J-1 CCD and Landsat-8 operational land imager （OLI） by using the ordinary least-squares （OLS） and construct higher temporal resolution vegetation indices （VIs） time-series data to extract the phenological param- eters of single-cropped rice. Two widely used VIs, namely the normalized difference vegetation index （NDVI） and 2-band enhanced vegetation index （EVI2）, were adopted to minimize the influence of environmental factors and the intrinsic difference between the two sensors. Savitzky-Golay （S-G） filters were applied to construct continuous VI profiles per pixel. The results showed that, compared with NDVI, EVI2 was more stable and comparable between the two sensors. Compared with the observed phenological data of the single-cropped rice, the integrated VI time-series had a relatively low root mean square error （RMSE）, and EVI2 showed higher accuracy compared with NDVI. We also demonstrate the application of phenology extraction of the single-cropped rice in a spatial scale in the study area. While the work is of general value, it can also be extrapolated to other regions where qualified remote sensing data are the bottleneck but where complementary data are occasionally available.展开更多
Most existing agronomic trait models of winter wheat vary across growing seasons, and it is an open question whether a unified statistical model can be developed to predict agronomic traits using a vegetation index(VI...Most existing agronomic trait models of winter wheat vary across growing seasons, and it is an open question whether a unified statistical model can be developed to predict agronomic traits using a vegetation index(VI) across multiple growing seasons. In this study, we constructed a hierarchical linear model(HLM) to automatically adapt the relationship between VIs and agronomic traits across growing seasons and tested the model’s performance by sensitivity analysis. Results demonstrated that(1) optical VIs give poor performance in predicting AGB and PNC across all growth stages, whereas VIs perform well for LAI, LGB, LNC, and SPAD.(2) The sensitivity indices of the phenological information in the AGB and PNC prediction models were 0.81–0.86 and 0.66–0.73, whereas LAI, LGB, LNC, and SPAD prediction models produced sensitivity indexes of 0.01–0.02, 0.01–0.02, 0.01–0.02, and 0.02–0.08, respectively.(3) The AGB and PNC prediction models considering ZS were more accurate than the prediction models based on VI. Whether or not phenological information is used, there was no difference in model accuracy for LGB,LNC, SPAD, and LAI. This study may provide a guideline for deciding whether phenological correction is required for estimation of agronomic traits across multiple growing seasons.展开更多
文摘The economy of most rural locations in the semi-arid region of Llano Estacado in the southern United States is predominantly based on agriculture, primarily beef and wheat (Triticum aestivum L.) production. This region is prone to drought and is projected to experience a drier climate. Droughts that coincide with the critical phenological phases of a crop can be remarkably costly. Although drought cannot be prevented, its losses can be minimized through mitigation measures if it is predicted in advance. Predicting yield loss from an imminent drought is an important need of stakeholders. One way to fulfill this need is using an agricultural drought index, such as the Agricultural Reference Index for Drought (ARID). Being plant physiology-based, ARID can represent drought-yield relationships accurately. This study developed an ARID-based yield model for predicting the drought-induced yield loss for winter wheat in this region by accounting for its phenological phase-specific sensitivity to water stress. The reasonable values of the drought sensitivity coefficients of the yield model indicated that it could reflect the phenomenon of water stress decreasing the winter wheat yields in this region reasonably. The values of the various metrics used to evaluate the model, including Willmott Index (0.86), Nash-Sutcliffe Index (0.61), and percentage error (26), indicated that the yield model performed fairly well at predicting the drought-induced yield loss for winter wheat. The yield model may be useful for predicting the drought-induced yield loss for winter wheat in the study region and scheduling irrigation allocation based on phenological phase-specific drought sensitivity.
文摘Wheat (Triticum aestivum L.) production is a major economic activity in most regional and rural areas in the Southern Plains, a semi-arid region of the United States. This region is vulnerable to drought and is projected to experience a drier climate in the future. Since the interannual variability in climate in this region is linked to an ocean-atmospheric phenomenon, called El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO), droughts in this region may be associated with ENSO. Droughts that occur during the critical growth phases of wheat can be extremely costly. However, the losses due to an impending drought can be minimized through mitigation measures if it is predicted in advance. Predicting the yield loss from an imminent drought is crucial for stakeholders. One of the reliable ways for such prediction is using a plant physiology-based agricultural drought index, such as Agricultural Reference Index for Drought (ARID). This study developed ENSO phase-specific, ARID-based models for predicting the drought-induced yield loss for winter wheat in this region by accounting for its phenological phase-specific sensitivity to drought. The reasonable values of the drought sensitivity coefficients of the yield model for each ENSO phase (El Niño, La Niña, or Neutral) indicated that the yield models reflected reasonably well the phenomena of water stress decreasing the winter wheat yields in this region during different ENSO phases. The values of various goodness-of-fit measures used, including the Nash-Sutcliffe Index (0.54 to 0.67), the Willmott Index (0.82 to 0.89), and the percentage error (20 to 26), indicated that the yield models performed fairly well at predicting the ENSO phase-specific loss of wheat yields from drought. This yield model may be useful for predicting yield loss from drought and scheduling irrigation allocation based on the phenological phase-specific sensitivity to drought as impacted by ENSO.
文摘针对目前草原植被盖度和物候期监测中存在的连续工作能力差、自动监测能力弱和精确度较低问题,将固定监测、移动监测和云平台结合,研制了一种草原植被盖度与物候智能监测系统。该系统主要由固定监测子系统、移动监测子系统以及草原物候智能监测云平台组成。固定监测子系统主要由物候相机、供电模块、通信模块、边缘计算控制器和支撑立杆等组成,移动监测子系统主要包括手持机和应用程序。草原物候智能监测云平台基于浏览器/服务器模式架构设计,具有信息查询、数据分析、数据显示和数据共享等功能。固定监测子系统和移动监测子系统可实现草原植被图像数据的采集和上传,然后通过云服务器部署的图像处理程序自动提取草原植被指数和植被盖度并存入数据库。在此基础上,通过拟合植被指数的时间序列获得植被生长曲线,并利用TIMESAT软件提取物候参数。经测试,提出的利用过绿指数(excess green index,EXG)结合最大类间方差法分割草原植被图像进而实现草原植被盖度识别的方法获得了90%的精确度,满足草原植被盖度自动化和批量化提取需求。并且,该研究在提取相对绿度指数(green chromatic coordinate,GCC)、EXG与归一化红绿差分指数(normalized green red difference index,NGRDI)植被指数的基础上,采用Double Logistic函数拟合的植被生长曲线可以准确反映植被生长周期。该系统为草原植被数智化监测和管理提供了可靠的技术和数据支撑。
基金supported by the National High-Tech R&D Program(863)of China(No.2012AA12A30703)the Fundamental Research Funds for the Central Universities,China
文摘Accurate estimation of rice phenology is of critical importance for agricultural practices and studies. However, the accuracy of phenological parameters extracted by remote sensing data cannot be guaranteed because of the influence of climate, e.g. the monsoon season, and limited available remote sensing data. In this study, we integrate the data of H J-1 CCD and Landsat-8 operational land imager （OLI） by using the ordinary least-squares （OLS） and construct higher temporal resolution vegetation indices （VIs） time-series data to extract the phenological param- eters of single-cropped rice. Two widely used VIs, namely the normalized difference vegetation index （NDVI） and 2-band enhanced vegetation index （EVI2）, were adopted to minimize the influence of environmental factors and the intrinsic difference between the two sensors. Savitzky-Golay （S-G） filters were applied to construct continuous VI profiles per pixel. The results showed that, compared with NDVI, EVI2 was more stable and comparable between the two sensors. Compared with the observed phenological data of the single-cropped rice, the integrated VI time-series had a relatively low root mean square error （RMSE）, and EVI2 showed higher accuracy compared with NDVI. We also demonstrate the application of phenology extraction of the single-cropped rice in a spatial scale in the study area. While the work is of general value, it can also be extrapolated to other regions where qualified remote sensing data are the bottleneck but where complementary data are occasionally available.
基金supported by the National Key Research and Development Program of China (2019YFE0125300)the Shandong Provincial Key R&D Plan (2021LZGC026)the China Agriculture Research System (CARS-03)。
文摘Most existing agronomic trait models of winter wheat vary across growing seasons, and it is an open question whether a unified statistical model can be developed to predict agronomic traits using a vegetation index(VI) across multiple growing seasons. In this study, we constructed a hierarchical linear model(HLM) to automatically adapt the relationship between VIs and agronomic traits across growing seasons and tested the model’s performance by sensitivity analysis. Results demonstrated that(1) optical VIs give poor performance in predicting AGB and PNC across all growth stages, whereas VIs perform well for LAI, LGB, LNC, and SPAD.(2) The sensitivity indices of the phenological information in the AGB and PNC prediction models were 0.81–0.86 and 0.66–0.73, whereas LAI, LGB, LNC, and SPAD prediction models produced sensitivity indexes of 0.01–0.02, 0.01–0.02, 0.01–0.02, and 0.02–0.08, respectively.(3) The AGB and PNC prediction models considering ZS were more accurate than the prediction models based on VI. Whether or not phenological information is used, there was no difference in model accuracy for LGB,LNC, SPAD, and LAI. This study may provide a guideline for deciding whether phenological correction is required for estimation of agronomic traits across multiple growing seasons.
