High Mountain Asia(HMA)shows a remarkable warming tendency and divergent trend of regional precipitation with enhanced meteorological extremes.The rapid thawing of the HMA cryosphere may alter the magnitude and freque...High Mountain Asia(HMA)shows a remarkable warming tendency and divergent trend of regional precipitation with enhanced meteorological extremes.The rapid thawing of the HMA cryosphere may alter the magnitude and frequency of nature hazards.We reviewed the influence of climate change on various types of nature hazards in HMA region,including their phenomena,mechanisms and impacts.It reveals that:1)the occurrences of extreme rainfall,heavy snowfall,and drifting snow hazards are escalating;accelerated ice and snow melting have advanced the onset and increased the magnitude of snowmelt floods;2)due to elevating trigger factors,such as glacier debuttressing and the rapid shift of thermal and hydrological regime of bedrock/snow/ice interface or subsurface,the mass flow hazards including bedrock landslide,snow avalanche,ice-rock avalanches or glacier detachment,and debris flow will become more severe;3)increased active-layer detachment and retrogressive thaw slumps slope failures,thaw settlement and thermokarst lake will damage many important engineering structures and infrastructure in permafrost region;4)multi-hazards cascading hazard in HMA,such as the glacial lake outburst flood(GLOF)and avalanche-induced mass flow may greatly enlarge the destructive power of the primary hazard by amplifying its volume,mobility,and impact force;and 5)enhanced slope instability and sediment supply in the highland areas could impose remote catastrophic impacts upon lowland regions,and threat hydropower security and future water shortage.In future,ongoing thawing of HMA will profoundly weaken the multiple-phase material of bedrock,ice,water,and soil,and enhance activities of nature hazards.Compounding and cascading hazards of high magnitude will prevail in HMA.As the glacier runoff overpasses the peak water,low flow or droughts in lowland areas downstream of glacierized mountain regions will became more frequent and severe.Addressing escalating hazards in the HMA region requires tackling scientific challenges,including understanding mul展开更多
With the chaotic nature surrounds them, the understanding of of disasters and the uncertainty that how to achieve effectiveness in crisis management remains limited. This paper investigates how government applies vari...With the chaotic nature surrounds them, the understanding of of disasters and the uncertainty that how to achieve effectiveness in crisis management remains limited. This paper investigates how government applies various capabilities in the crisis management process contingent upon the nature of different disasters. By demonstrating the crisis management process from a contingent perspective, the capabilities that government should emphasise can vary according to the nature of the disaster. This study develops a framework for crisis management to serve as a guide when government is facing a crisis.展开更多
基金the National Natural Science Foundation of China(41941017,42101083)the Second Tibetan Plateau Scientific Expedition and Research Program(STEP)(2019QZKK0906)Science and Technology Research Program of Institute of Mountain Hazards and Environment,Chinese Academy of Sciences(IMHE-ZDRW-02).
文摘High Mountain Asia(HMA)shows a remarkable warming tendency and divergent trend of regional precipitation with enhanced meteorological extremes.The rapid thawing of the HMA cryosphere may alter the magnitude and frequency of nature hazards.We reviewed the influence of climate change on various types of nature hazards in HMA region,including their phenomena,mechanisms and impacts.It reveals that:1)the occurrences of extreme rainfall,heavy snowfall,and drifting snow hazards are escalating;accelerated ice and snow melting have advanced the onset and increased the magnitude of snowmelt floods;2)due to elevating trigger factors,such as glacier debuttressing and the rapid shift of thermal and hydrological regime of bedrock/snow/ice interface or subsurface,the mass flow hazards including bedrock landslide,snow avalanche,ice-rock avalanches or glacier detachment,and debris flow will become more severe;3)increased active-layer detachment and retrogressive thaw slumps slope failures,thaw settlement and thermokarst lake will damage many important engineering structures and infrastructure in permafrost region;4)multi-hazards cascading hazard in HMA,such as the glacial lake outburst flood(GLOF)and avalanche-induced mass flow may greatly enlarge the destructive power of the primary hazard by amplifying its volume,mobility,and impact force;and 5)enhanced slope instability and sediment supply in the highland areas could impose remote catastrophic impacts upon lowland regions,and threat hydropower security and future water shortage.In future,ongoing thawing of HMA will profoundly weaken the multiple-phase material of bedrock,ice,water,and soil,and enhance activities of nature hazards.Compounding and cascading hazards of high magnitude will prevail in HMA.As the glacier runoff overpasses the peak water,low flow or droughts in lowland areas downstream of glacierized mountain regions will became more frequent and severe.Addressing escalating hazards in the HMA region requires tackling scientific challenges,including understanding mul
文摘With the chaotic nature surrounds them, the understanding of of disasters and the uncertainty that how to achieve effectiveness in crisis management remains limited. This paper investigates how government applies various capabilities in the crisis management process contingent upon the nature of different disasters. By demonstrating the crisis management process from a contingent perspective, the capabilities that government should emphasise can vary according to the nature of the disaster. This study develops a framework for crisis management to serve as a guide when government is facing a crisis.
