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卫星太阳电池阵在轨故障统计及分析 被引量:8
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作者 杨倩 薛培元 《航天器环境工程》 2013年第5期555-560,共6页
文章针对2000年1月至2012年9月期间79颗在轨卫星发生的114次太阳电池阵故障事件进行了分类统计分析,并利用Kaplan-Meier估计量分析方法对这些在轨故障进行了可靠性分析。结果表明:太阳电池阵的故障多发生在卫星在轨第一年,其中电子类故... 文章针对2000年1月至2012年9月期间79颗在轨卫星发生的114次太阳电池阵故障事件进行了分类统计分析,并利用Kaplan-Meier估计量分析方法对这些在轨故障进行了可靠性分析。结果表明:太阳电池阵的故障多发生在卫星在轨第一年,其中电子类故障发生率较高;不同卫星平台的系统缺陷或设计共性问题也与太阳电池阵故障紧密相关。最后,结合我国卫星太阳电池阵设计及制造工艺技术,提出了加强出厂前的测试和试验验证、加强仿真建模、加强冗余设计等建议。 展开更多
关键词 在轨故障 太阳电池阵 统计分析 kaplan-meier估计量 可靠性设计
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学术期刊论文生存被引次数的定义与应用 被引量:8
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作者 张中文 徐天和 +1 位作者 董秀芬 高永 《编辑学报》 CSSCI 北大核心 2015年第4期316-319,共4页
通过对《编辑学报》和《中国科技期刊研究》2000年第1期发表的论文被引情况的统计分析,总结论文被引的规律性。将生存分析方法引入论文被引次数的研究,提出学术期刊论文生存被引次数的概念,并给出论文"寿终""复活"&... 通过对《编辑学报》和《中国科技期刊研究》2000年第1期发表的论文被引情况的统计分析,总结论文被引的规律性。将生存分析方法引入论文被引次数的研究,提出学术期刊论文生存被引次数的概念,并给出论文"寿终""复活""复活率"的概念。采用Kaplan-Meier法对生存被引次数的生存率进行估计。结合实例对所提出的生存被引次数的合理性、应用前景及存在的问题进行了讨论。 展开更多
关键词 学术期刊 生存分析 生存被引次数 kaplan-meier估计
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基于多元copula函数的串联系统应力-强度模型可靠度的非参数估计 被引量:3
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作者 祁辉 魏毅 《武汉大学学报(理学版)》 CAS CSCD 北大核心 2018年第3期269-277,共9页
针对多部件的串联系统应力-强度模型可靠度的估计问题,利用多元Farlie-Gumbel-Morgenstern copula(FGM)函数或多元Clayton copula函数来度量变量之间的相关性,给出了在变量非删失或右删失情形下模型可靠度的非参数估计,并证明了估计... 针对多部件的串联系统应力-强度模型可靠度的估计问题,利用多元Farlie-Gumbel-Morgenstern copula(FGM)函数或多元Clayton copula函数来度量变量之间的相关性,给出了在变量非删失或右删失情形下模型可靠度的非参数估计,并证明了估计量的渐近性质.数值模拟的结果表明该方法在有限样本下表现良好. 展开更多
关键词 应力-强度模型 连接函数 kaplan-meier估计量 右删失
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Composite Quantile Regression for Nonparametric Model with Random Censored Data 被引量:1
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作者 Rong Jiang Weimin Qian 《Open Journal of Statistics》 2013年第2期65-73,共9页
The composite quantile regression should provide estimation efficiency gain over a single quantile regression. In this paper, we extend composite quantile regression to nonparametric model with random censored data. T... The composite quantile regression should provide estimation efficiency gain over a single quantile regression. In this paper, we extend composite quantile regression to nonparametric model with random censored data. The asymptotic normality of the proposed estimator is established. The proposed methods are applied to the lung cancer data. Extensive simulations are reported, showing that the proposed method works well in practical settings. 展开更多
关键词 kaplan-meier estimator Censored DATA COMPOSITE QUANTILE Regression KERNEL estimator NONPARAMETRIC Model
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基于右删失宽相依数据的Kaplan-Meier估计和风险率估计的渐近性质 被引量:2
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作者 李永明 周勇 《应用数学学报》 CSCD 北大核心 2019年第1期71-84,共14页
本文在生存时间和删失时间均为宽相依数据下,建立了生存函数的Kaplan-Meier估计和风险率估计的强逼近和强表示,获得的强逼近和强表示误差项的收敛速度达到O(n^(-1/2)log^(1/2)n).所得结果推广了负相协和负超可加相依数据情形下的相关结果.
关键词 宽相依 kaplan-meier估计 强逼近和强表示 生存函数 风险率估计
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基于判断事后分层抽样下删失数据的保序估计 被引量:1
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作者 李涛 韩子璇 《应用数学学报》 CSCD 北大核心 2022年第2期145-167,共23页
本文讨论了判断事后分层抽样下生存函数的Kaplan-Meier估计及其大样本性质.此外,基于判断事后分层抽样下各层序的信息,对样本进行保序回归,根据样本中是否存在空层的情况提出了不同的保序Kaplan-Meier估计,并讨论各估计的性质.本文通过... 本文讨论了判断事后分层抽样下生存函数的Kaplan-Meier估计及其大样本性质.此外,基于判断事后分层抽样下各层序的信息,对样本进行保序回归,根据样本中是否存在空层的情况提出了不同的保序Kaplan-Meier估计,并讨论各估计的性质.本文通过模拟对判断事后分层样本下的各种Kaplan-Meier估计以及简单随机样本下的Kaplan-Meier估计进行比较,结果显示判断事后分层抽样比简单随机抽样更有效,并且保序估计方法可以提升估计的效率. 展开更多
关键词 判断事后分层抽样 kaplan-meier估计 保序回归 生存函数
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关于KAPLAN-MEIER 估计的二阶 EDGEWORTH 展开 被引量:1
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作者 丁邦俊 郑祖康 《系统科学与数学》 CSCD 北大核心 2000年第4期398-402,共5页
定义F=min(t> 0,F(t)= 1};设 t< F为固定正实数, n为样本总数, δ2F为F(n)(t)的方差,本文在假设F,G都连续可微的条件下得到如下结果:
关键词 截断数据 kaplan-meier估计 U-统计量 EDGEWORTH展开
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Kernel Estimators of the ROC Curve with Censored Data
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作者 Fang-fang Bai Yong Zhou 《Acta Mathematicae Applicatae Sinica》 SCIE CSCD 2013年第1期43-54,共12页
Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves are often used to study the two sample problem in medical studies. However, most data in medical studies are censored. Usually a natural estimator is based on the Kapla... Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves are often used to study the two sample problem in medical studies. However, most data in medical studies are censored. Usually a natural estimator is based on the Kaplan-Meier estimator. In this paper we propose a smoothed estimator based on kernel techniques for the ROC curve with censored data. The large sample properties of the smoothed estimator are established. Moreover, deficiency is considered in order to compare the proposed smoothed estimator of the ROC curve with the empirical one based on Kaplan-Meier estimator. It is shown that the smoothed estimator outperforms the direct empirical estimator based on the Kaplan-Meier estimator under the criterion of deficiency. A simulation study is also conducted and a real data is analyzed. 展开更多
关键词 ROC curve smoothed estimator censored data kaplan-meier estimator DEFICIENCY
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A MICROCOMPUTER PROGRAM FOR CALCULATINGTHE CONFIDENCE INTERVALS OF SURVIVAL PROBABILITY IN MEDICAL FOLLOW-UP STUDIES
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作者 项永兵 高玉堂 金凡 《Chinese Journal of Cancer Research》 SCIE CAS CSCD 1996年第1期72-78,共7页
In cancer survival analysis, it is very frequently to estimate the confidence intervals for survival probabilities.But this calculation is not commonly involve in most popular computer packages, or only one methods of... In cancer survival analysis, it is very frequently to estimate the confidence intervals for survival probabilities.But this calculation is not commonly involve in most popular computer packages, or only one methods of estimation in the packages. In the present Paper, we will describe a microcomputer Program for estimating the confidence intervals of survival probabilities, when the survival functions are estimated using Kaplan-Meier product-limit or life-table method. There are five methods of estimation in the program (SPCI), which are the classical(based on Greenwood's formula of variance of S(ti), Rothman-Wilson, arcsin transformation, log(-Iog) transformation, Iogit transformation methods. Two example analysis are given for testing the performances of the program running. 展开更多
关键词 Survival analysis Confidence intervals kaplan-meier estimator Life-table estimator Microcomputer BASIC.
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Survival Rate Analysis on Breast Cancer Cases at Univesity College Hospital, Ibadan, Nigeria
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作者 Olatayo Olusegun Alabi Aminat Yetunde Saula +4 位作者 Ezra Gayawan Victor Samuel Alabi Hamidu Abimbola Bello Rasaq Yinka Akinbo Taiwo Abideen Lasisi 《Open Journal of Statistics》 2022年第2期238-260,共23页
Breast cancer is one of the leading diseases that affect women’s lives. It affects their lives in so many ways by denying them the required standard of health needed to carry out all of their daily activities for som... Breast cancer is one of the leading diseases that affect women’s lives. It affects their lives in so many ways by denying them the required standard of health needed to carry out all of their daily activities for some days, weeks, months or years before eventually causing death. This research estimates the survival rate of breast cancer patients and investigates the effects of stage of tumor, gender, age, ethnic group, occupation, marital status and type of cancer upon the survival of patients. Data used for the study were extracted from the case file of patients in the Radiation Oncology Department, University College Hospital, Ibadan using a well-structured pro forma in which 74 observations were censored and 30 events occurred. The Kaplan-Meier estimator was used to estimate the overall survival probability of breast cancer patients following their recruitment into the study and determine the mean and median survival times of breast cancer patients following their time of recruitment into the study. Since there are different groups with respect to the stages of tumor at the time of diagnosis, the log-rank test was used to compare the survival curve of the stages of tumor with considering p-values below 0.05 as statistically significant. Multivariate Cox regression was used to investigate the effects of some variables on the survival of patients. The overall cumulative survival probability obtained is 0.175 (17.5%). The overall estimated mean time until death is 28.751 weeks while the median time between admission and death is 23 weeks. As the p-value (0.000032) of the log-rank test for comparing stages of tumor is less than 0.05, it is concluded that there is significant evidence of a difference in survival times for the stages of tumor. The survival function plot for the stages of tumor shows that patients with stage III tumor are less likely to survive. From the estimated mean time until death for the stages of tumor, it was deduced that stage I tumor patients have an increased chance of survival. Types of 展开更多
关键词 Survival Rate Breast Cancer kaplan-meier estimator Log-Rank Test and Multivariate Cox Regression
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左截断的Turnbull估计与相应右截断的Kaplan-Meier估计的关系 被引量:1
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作者 王丽霞 《湖北汽车工业学院学报》 1997年第2期19-23,共5页
本文推导只有左截断的Turnbull估计与某种右截断机制下的KaplanMeier估计间的关系。
关键词 Turnbull估计 kaplan-meier估计 左截断 右截断 关系
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基于Copula函数的应力-强度模型可靠度的非参数估计 被引量:1
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作者 祁辉 管强 《应用概率统计》 CSCD 北大核心 2017年第1期91-101,共11页
本文研究了相关的应力变量和强度变量在右删失的情形下,应力-强度模型可靠度的非参数估计.其中变量之间的相关关系采用常见的Farlie-Gurnbel-Morgenstern copula函数和Clayton copula函数来度量.采用经验过程的理论,本文建立了所提出估... 本文研究了相关的应力变量和强度变量在右删失的情形下,应力-强度模型可靠度的非参数估计.其中变量之间的相关关系采用常见的Farlie-Gurnbel-Morgenstern copula函数和Clayton copula函数来度量.采用经验过程的理论,本文建立了所提出估计量的相合性及渐近正态性.数值模拟的结果表明所提出的方法在有限样本下表现良好.本文所提出的方法在实际中有广泛的应用前景. 展开更多
关键词 应力-强度模型 kaplan-meier估计量 右删失 连接函数
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县域企业生存时间及其影响因素研究——以福建省罗源县为例 被引量:1
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作者 陈晓平 杨云波 《福建师范大学学报(自然科学版)》 CAS 北大核心 2019年第3期17-23,共7页
发现企业生存时间属于删失数据,并运用Kaplan-Meier估计描绘了企业的生存曲线.基于Cox比例风险模型,实证结果表明注册资本、产业类别、企业类别和企业类型对企业生存存在显著影响.注册资本越高,企业生存时间越长;第三产业生存时间更长;... 发现企业生存时间属于删失数据,并运用Kaplan-Meier估计描绘了企业的生存曲线.基于Cox比例风险模型,实证结果表明注册资本、产业类别、企业类别和企业类型对企业生存存在显著影响.注册资本越高,企业生存时间越长;第三产业生存时间更长;农专生存时间比私营企业和内资企业更长;国有企业比其它4种企业生存时间更长.提出重点关注存在"瓶颈期"的企业,实施中小企业所得税优惠等政策,优化市场资源配置,大力发展民营企业等政策建议,旨在激发企业活力,降低企业死亡率,实现民营企业与国有企业共同健康成长. 展开更多
关键词 县域企业 生存时间 删失数据 kaplan-meier估计 COX比例风险模型
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The Statistical Analysis of Interval-Censored Failure Time Data with Applications
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作者 Radhey S. Singh Dishna P. Totawattage 《Open Journal of Statistics》 2013年第2期155-166,共12页
The analysis of survival data is a major focus of statistics. Interval censored data reflect uncertainty as to the exact times the units failed within an interval. This type of data frequently comes from tests or situ... The analysis of survival data is a major focus of statistics. Interval censored data reflect uncertainty as to the exact times the units failed within an interval. This type of data frequently comes from tests or situations where the objects of interest are not constantly monitored. Thus events are known only to have occurred between the two observation periods. Interval censoring has become increasingly common in the areas that produce failure time data. This paper explores the statistical analysis of interval-censored failure time data with applications. Three different data sets, namely Breast Cancer, Hemophilia, and AIDS data were used to illustrate the methods during this study. Both parametric and nonparametric methods of analysis are carried out in this study. Theory and methodology of fitted models for the interval-censored data are described. Fitting of parametric and non-parametric models to three real data sets are considered. Results derived from different methods are presented and also compared. 展开更多
关键词 INTERVAL Cens ORING SURVIVAL Analysis Parametric NON-PARAMETRIC SEMI-PARAMETRIC SURVIVAL Functions SURVIVAL CURVES kaplan-meier Estimate Turnbull estimator Logspline Estimation
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Survival Analysis of Lung Cancer Patients from TCGA Cohort
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作者 Ruibin Lyu 《Advances in Lung Cancer》 2020年第1期1-15,共15页
Lung cancer is one of the leading causes of death worldwide, accounting for an estimated 2.1 million cases in 2018. To analyze the risk factors behind the lung cancer survival, this paper employs two main models: Kapl... Lung cancer is one of the leading causes of death worldwide, accounting for an estimated 2.1 million cases in 2018. To analyze the risk factors behind the lung cancer survival, this paper employs two main models: Kaplan-Meier estimator and Cox proportional hazard model [1]. Also, log-rank test and wald test are utilized to test whether a correlation exists or not, which is discussed in detail in later parts of the paper. The aim is to find out the most influential factors for the survival probability of lung cancer patients. To summarize the results, stage of cancer is always a significant factor for lung cancer survival, and time has to be taken into account when analyzing the survival rate of patients in our data sample, which is from TCGA. Future study on lung cancer is also required to make improvement for the treatment of lung cancer, as our data sample might not represent the overall condition of patients diagnosed with lung cancer;also, more appropriate and advanced models should be employed in order to reflect factors that can affect survival rate of patients with lung cancer in detail. 展开更多
关键词 LUNG Cancer SURVIVAL Analysis kaplan-meier estimator COX Proportional HAZARD Model
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BAYESIAN VARIABLE SAMPLING PLAN FOR THE WEIBULL DISTRIBUTIONWITH TYPE Ⅰ CENSORING
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作者 陈建伟 林埜 《Acta Mathematicae Applicatae Sinica》 SCIE CSCD 1999年第3期269-280,共12页
In this article, we study a model of a single variable sampling plan with Type I censoring.Assume that the quality of an item in a batch is measured by a random variable which follows aWeibull distribution W(λ,m), wi... In this article, we study a model of a single variable sampling plan with Type I censoring.Assume that the quality of an item in a batch is measured by a random variable which follows aWeibull distribution W(λ,m), with scale parameter A and shape parameter m having a gammadiscrete prior distribution or θ=1/λ and m having an inverse gamma-uniform prior distribution.The decision function is based on the Kaplan-Meter estimator. Then, the explicit expressions ofthe Bayes risk are derived. In addition, an algorithm is suggested so that an optimal samplingplan can be determined approximately after a finite number of searching steps. 展开更多
关键词 Single sampling plan the Weibull distribution the kaplan-meier estimator the Bayes risk
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删失数据非线性回归模型的广义M估计
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作者 王思洋 胡涛 崔恒建 《北京师范大学学报(自然科学版)》 CAS CSCD 北大核心 2014年第1期1-6,共6页
加速失效模型(AFT模型)是研究失效时间和协变量间相互关系的一类重要模型.在标准的AFT模型中,假设对数变换后的生存时间与协变量间是线性关系,本文将线性关系扩展到非线性,在广义M估计的目标函数中使用Kaplan-Meier权,提出右删失数据非... 加速失效模型(AFT模型)是研究失效时间和协变量间相互关系的一类重要模型.在标准的AFT模型中,假设对数变换后的生存时间与协变量间是线性关系,本文将线性关系扩展到非线性,在广义M估计的目标函数中使用Kaplan-Meier权,提出右删失数据非线性回归模型的加权广义M估计.我们还得到了广义M估计的渐近性和相合性,并且通过模拟研究验证了该方法在有限样本情形下估计效果良好. 展开更多
关键词 非线性回归 广义M估计 kaplan-meier 右删失 影响函数
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《财富》世界500强新上榜企业在榜时长研究
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作者 陈晓平 陈易旺 周勇 《数理统计与管理》 CSSCI 北大核心 2021年第6期965-973,共9页
基于生存分析的Kaplan-Meier估计和Cox比例风险模型方法,以1997-2019年《财富》世界500强企业排行榜数据为研究样本,本文发现新上榜企业在榜时长属于删失数据,研究了在榜时长的特征及其影响因素.本文分析的结果表明新上榜企业雇员人数... 基于生存分析的Kaplan-Meier估计和Cox比例风险模型方法,以1997-2019年《财富》世界500强企业排行榜数据为研究样本,本文发现新上榜企业在榜时长属于删失数据,研究了在榜时长的特征及其影响因素.本文分析的结果表明新上榜企业雇员人数、营业收入以及所属的行业信息对在榜时长有显著地影响,其中新上榜企业的雇员人数、营业收入与在榜时长正相关.新上榜企业中所属行业信息中为互联网信息技术的在榜概率明显高于制造、商业贸易、银行、能源矿产和其他行业.从总体上看,日本、英国、美国、其他国家的新上榜企业在榜时长显著短于中国,历史排名前150名的新上榜企业在榜时长显著长于历史排名后200名. 展开更多
关键词 世界500强 在榜时长 删失数据 kaplan-meier估计 COX比例风险模型
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串联模式下的应力-强度模型可靠度的非参数统计推断
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作者 祁辉 《三明学院学报》 2017年第2期1-5,共5页
应力-强度模型在工程学,医学等领域有着广泛的应用。对于变量非删失以及右删失的情形,研究了当随机应力和随机强度相互独立时的元串联系统应力-强度模型可靠度的非参数估计。近一步,建立了估计量的大样本性质.数值模拟表明所提出的方法... 应力-强度模型在工程学,医学等领域有着广泛的应用。对于变量非删失以及右删失的情形,研究了当随机应力和随机强度相互独立时的元串联系统应力-强度模型可靠度的非参数估计。近一步,建立了估计量的大样本性质.数值模拟表明所提出的方法表现良好。 展开更多
关键词 应力-强度模型 经验分布函数 kaplan-meier估计量 右删失
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Smoothed Estimator of Quantile Residual Lifetime for Right Censored Data
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作者 ZHANG Li LIU Peng ZHOU Yong 《Journal of Systems Science & Complexity》 SCIE EI CSCD 2015年第6期1374-1388,共15页
It is of great interest to estimate quantile residual lifetime in medical science and many other fields. In survival analysis, Kaplan-Meier(K-M) estimator has been widely used to estimate the survival distribution. ... It is of great interest to estimate quantile residual lifetime in medical science and many other fields. In survival analysis, Kaplan-Meier(K-M) estimator has been widely used to estimate the survival distribution. However, it is well-known that the K-M estimator is not continuous, thus it can not always be used to calculate quantile residual lifetime. In this paper, the authors propose a kernel smoothing method to give an estimator of quantile residual lifetime. By using modern empirical process techniques, the consistency and the asymptotic normality of the proposed estimator are provided neatly.The authors also present the empirical small sample performances of the estimator. Deficiency is introduced to compare the performance of the proposed estimator with the naive unsmoothed estimator of the quantile residaul lifetime. Further simulation studies indicate that the proposed estimator performs very well. 展开更多
关键词 Empirical process estimating equation influence curve kaplan-meier estimator kernel smoothing quantile residual lifetime right censored data
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